Serie A
São Paulo vs Corinthians
Thu, 05 Nov 2026 - 00:30 (UK Time)
Stadium: Estádio Urbano Caldeira
São Paulo vs Corinthians Prediction & Stats - Serie A 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. São Paulo vs Corinthians carries real history into this round of the Serie A.
The two sides meet on 05/11 (Thursday) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira, 00:30 (UK time).
Read the São Paulo vs Corinthians prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on São Paulo vs Corinthians
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the São Paulo vs Corinthians call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Under 3.5 Goals
Last updated on 04-11-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes São Paulo the side to beat, with roughly 42% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Serie A odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
São Paulo Preview
São Paulo reach this fixture 33 match into their Serie A. Here is where São Paulo Futebol Clube stand:
In this competition
12 won, 7 drawn, 14 lost
1.3 points per game
39 scored, at 1.18 a game
39 conceded, at 1.18 a game
São Paulo Futebol Clube, season-wide
17 won, 12 drawn, 16 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Jonathan Calleri, 10 goals
Most assists: Wendell Nascimento Borges, 3 assists
Recent results — São Paulo
28/10/2026 20:30
24/10/2026 15:30
17/10/2026 20:00
10/10/2026 20:00
07/10/2026 20:30
Corinthians: how they are travelling
Corinthians come in 33 matches into their Serie A.
Here is what Sport Club Corinthians Paulista have produced:
In this competition
9 won, 9 drawn, 15 lost
1.09 points per game
36 scored, at 1.09 a game
42 conceded, at 1.27 a game
Sport Club Corinthians Paulista, season-wide
16 won, 13 drawn, 18 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Matheus Bidu, 5 goals
Most assists: Rodrigo Garro, 7 assists
Recent results — Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
30/10/2026 19:00
24/10/2026 17:30
19/10/2026 19:00
11/10/2026 16:30
07/10/2026 18:30
The head-to-head favours Corinthians
Corinthians have generally come out ahead of São Paulo Futebol Clube in their recent meetings.
From 48 match(es):
Corinthians: 16 win(s)
São Paulo: 15 win(s)
Drawn: 17
That trend is worth factoring into the São Paulo vs Corinthians prediction.
Form comparison São Paulo vs Corinthians
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
São Paulo
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
D
W
W
L
|
1.3 |
| Home |
W
W
L
W
W
|
2.06 |
| Away |
L
D
L
L
L
|
0.59 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 36% | 63% | 12% |
| Goals | 2.36 | 2.38 | 2.35 |
| Scored | 1.18 | 1.56 | 0.82 |
| Conceded | 1.18 | 0.81 | 1.53 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 56% | 59% |
| Without Conceding | 21% | 38% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 6% | 35% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.49 | 1.64 | 1.34 |
|
xGA
|
1.32 | 1.14 | 1.49 |
Away Team
Corinthians
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
L
D
L
|
1.09 |
| Home |
W
W
D
L
L
|
1.29 |
| Away |
L
L
L
L
L
|
0.88 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 27% | 35% | 19% |
| Goals | 2.36 | 2.06 | 2.69 |
| Scored | 1.09 | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Conceded | 1.27 | 1 | 1.56 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 41% | 75% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 41% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 29% | 13% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.44 | 1.66 | 1.22 |
|
xGA
|
1.29 | 1 | 1.6 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: São Paulo win or Draw
Backing the Double Chance market offers a relatively safe bet, and taking São Paulo or draw is a strong option here.
With São Paulo’s impressive home form, it’s difficult to see them leaving empty-handed against Corinthians. Given their solid performances at home, they should be more than capable of securing at least a point.
👉 Prediction: São Paulo to Win the First Half
With São Paulo coming into this match in great form and holding the home advantage against Corinthians, we see good value in backing them to win the first half.
Since the odds for a full-time win may not be as rewarding, the half-time bet can be a good alternative.
Fixture information - São Paulo vs Corinthians
Match: São Paulo vs Corinthians
Competition: Serie A
Date: Thursday, 05/11/2026
Kick-off: 00:30 (UK time)
Venue: Estádio Urbano Caldeira
More Serie A predictions
Explore the rest of our Serie A predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Sao Paulo FC vs Timão that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.54
League: 2.66
Both Teams to Score
66%
League: 59%
Over 1.5+
78%
League: 78%
Over 2.5+
50%
League: 51%
Cards
5.07
League: 4.89
Corners
12.63
League: 10.57
Home Team
São Paulo
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
D
W
W
L
|
1.3 |
| Home |
W
W
L
W
W
|
2.06 |
| Away |
L
D
L
L
L
|
0.59 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 36% | 63% | 12% |
| Goals | 2.36 | 2.38 | 2.35 |
| Scored | 1.18 | 1.56 | 0.82 |
| Conceded | 1.18 | 0.81 | 1.53 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 56% | 59% |
| Without Conceding | 21% | 38% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 6% | 35% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.49 | 1.64 | 1.34 |
|
xGA
|
1.32 | 1.14 | 1.49 |
Away Team
Corinthians
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
L
D
L
|
1.09 |
| Home |
W
W
D
L
L
|
1.29 |
| Away |
L
L
L
L
L
|
0.88 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 27% | 35% | 19% |
| Goals | 2.36 | 2.06 | 2.69 |
| Scored | 1.09 | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Conceded | 1.27 | 1 | 1.56 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 41% | 75% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 41% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 29% | 13% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.44 | 1.66 | 1.22 |
|
xGA
|
1.29 | 1 | 1.6 |
Corners
11.64 / Match
+19% Corners / Match
São Paulo received +19% more corners than Corinthians in the Serie A
9.79 / Match
Bahia
(11)
Mirassol
(7)
Vasco da Gama
(3)
Vitória
(6)
Cruzeiro
(8)
Santos
(14)
Internacional
(3)(4)
Mirassol
(3)
Vasco da Gama
(9)
Vitória
(3)
Palmeiras
(12)
Internacional
(11)
Fluminense
(0)
Flamengo
Cards
2.21 / Match
+26% Cards / Match
Corinthians received +26% more cards than São Paulo in the Serie A
2.79 / Match
Bahia
(3)
Mirassol
(2)
Vasco da Gama
(2)
Vitória
(5)
Cruzeiro
(1)
Santos
(1)
Internacional
(1)(2)
Mirassol
(3)
Vasco da Gama
(1)
Vitória
(4)
Palmeiras
(5)
Internacional
(3)
Fluminense
(3)
Flamengo
Goals Scored
1.18 / Match
+8%
São Paulo is +8% better in terms of goals scored
1.09 / Match
Bahia
(2)
Mirassol
(1)
Vasco da Gama
(1)
Vitória
(2)
Cruzeiro
(0)
Santos
(1)
Internacional
(1)(2)
Mirassol
(2)
Vasco da Gama
(1)
Vitória
(1)
Palmeiras
(1)
Internacional
(1)
Fluminense
(1)
Flamengo
Goals Conceded
1.18 / Match
+7%
Corinthians condeded +7% more goals than São Paulo
1.27 / Match
Bahia
(3)
Mirassol
(1)
Vasco da Gama
(0)
Vitória
(1)
Cruzeiro
(2)
Santos
(2)
Internacional
(0)(0)
Mirassol
(3)
Vasco da Gama
(1)
Vitória
(4)
Palmeiras
(2)
Internacional
(3)
Fluminense
(2)
Flamengo
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 28 | 40 | 73 | 2.21 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 56 | 22 | 34 | 70 | 2.12 |
| 3 |
Cruzeiro
|
33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 57 | 1.73 |
| 4 |
Athletico-PR
|
33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 54 | 1.64 |
| 5 |
Fluminense
|
33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 54 | 1.64 |
| 6 |
Bahia
|
33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 53 | 1.61 |
| 7 |
Atlético MG
|
33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 50 | 1.52 |
| 8 |
RB Bragantino
|
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 | 1.38 |
| 9 |
Santos
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 47 | 1.38 |
| 10 |
São Paulo
|
33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 43 | 1.3 |
| 11 |
Coritiba
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 1.24 |
| 12 |
Mirassol
|
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 40 | 1.18 |
| 13 |
Botafogo
|
33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 39 | 1.18 |
| 14 |
Internacional
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 38 | 1.12 |
| 15 |
Vasco da Gama
|
32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 38 | 1.19 |
| 16 |
Vitória
|
33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 38 | 1.15 |
| 17 |
Grêmio
|
33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 37 | 1.12 |
| 18 |
Corinthians
|
33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 36 | 1.09 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 | 0.88 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense
|
33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 68 | -35 | 21 | 0.64 |
Odds
Toba is a betting enthusiast with a keen interest in helping Nigerian players with the knowledge needed to navigate the sometimes complex world of sports betting. He combines his years of experience in sports journalism and passion for sports betting to craft easy to understand reviews and analysis of diverse betting topics. He has a very good knowledge of the Nigerian market and what would enhance the betting experience of an average Nigerian bettor. That is why he is dedicated to showcasing the best bookmakers, latest bonuses and general tips that can help you have a smooth betting adventure.
