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Premier League

Leeds United vs Manchester United

Sun, 18 Oct 2026 - 14:00 (UK Time)

Stadium: Elland Road

Manchester United Team Logo

Leeds United vs Manchester United Prediction & Stats - Premier League 2026/27

Predictions

Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Leeds United vs Manchester United carries real history into this round of the Premier League.

The two sides meet on 18/10 (Sunday) at Elland Road, 14:00 (UK time).

Read the Leeds United vs Manchester United prediction below before backing anything.

Our verdict on Leeds United vs Manchester United

A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Leeds United vs Manchester United call we are most confident in:

Eagle Predict Prediction

Under 4.5 Goals

Last updated on 16-10-2026.

Who do the bookmakers favour?

The market makes Leeds United the side to beat, with roughly 38% of the implied odds in their favour.

For the wider picture, compare all Premier League odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.

Leeds United Preview

Leeds United reach this fixture 6 match into their Premier League. Here is where Leeds United stand:

In this competition

  • 2 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost

  • 1.5 points per game

  • 8 scored, at 1.33 a game

  • 5 conceded, at 0.83 a game

Leeds United, season-wide

  • 3 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost across all competitions

  • Leading scorer: Dominic Calvert-Lewin, 2 goals

  • Most assists: Dominic Calvert-Lewin, 1 assists

Recent results — Leeds United

Premier League logo 10/10/2026 07:30
Arsenal
Arsenal Team Logo
2 - 1
Leeds United Team Logo
Leeds United
L
Premier League logo 20/09/2026 09:00
Leeds United
Leeds United Team Logo
0 - 0
Crystal Palace Team Logo
Crystal Palace
D
Premier League logo 14/09/2026 15:00
Leeds United
Leeds United Team Logo
4 - 1
Newcastle Team Logo
Newcastle
W
League Cup logo 09/09/2026 15:15
Chelsea
Chelsea Team Logo
6 - 3
Leeds United Team Logo
Leeds United
L
Premier League logo 05/09/2026 10:00
Brighton
Brighton Team Logo
1 - 1
Leeds United Team Logo
Leeds United
D

Manchester United: how they are travelling

Manchester United come in 6 matches into their Premier League.

Here is what Man Utd have produced:

In this competition

  • 1 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost

  • 1 points per game

  • 9 scored, at 1.5 a game

  • 9 conceded, at 1.5 a game

Man Utd, season-wide

  • 2 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost across all competitions

  • Leading scorer: Bruno Fernandes, 3 goals

  • Most assists: Matheus Cunha, 2 assists

Recent results — Man Utd

UEFA Champions League logo 13/10/2026 15:00
Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid Team Logo
2 - 0
Manchester United Team Logo
Manchester United
L
Premier League logo 10/10/2026 12:30
Manchester United
Manchester United Team Logo
1 - 1
Tottenham Team Logo
Tottenham
D
Premier League logo 20/09/2026 11:30
Fulham
Fulham Team Logo
1 - 1
Manchester United Team Logo
Manchester United
D
League Cup logo 16/09/2026 15:00
Manchester United
Manchester United Team Logo
2 - 3
Brighton Team Logo
Brighton
L
Premier League logo 13/09/2026 11:30
Manchester United
Manchester United Team Logo
0 - 1
Manchester City Team Logo
Manchester City
L

The head-to-head favours Manchester United

Manchester United have generally come out ahead of Leeds United in their recent meetings.

From 12 match(es):

  • Manchester United: 6 win(s)

  • Leeds United: 1 win(s)

  • Drawn: 5

That trend is worth factoring into the Leeds United vs Manchester United prediction.

Form comparison Leeds United vs Manchester United

A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:

Home Team

Leeds United Team Logo

Leeds United

England - Premier League

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall
L
D
W
D
D

1.5

Home
D
W
D

1.67

Away
L
D
W

1.33

Stats Overall Home Away
Win % 33% 33% 33%
Goals 2.17 2.33 2
Scored 1.33 1.67 1
Conceded 0.83 0.67 1
Both Teams to Score 67% 67% 67%
Without Conceding 33% 33% 33%
Failed To Score 17% 33% 0%
first to Score 0% 0% 0%
xG
1.29 1.33 1.24
xGA
1.64 1.58 1.71

Away Team

Manchester United Team Logo

Manchester United

England - Premier League

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall
D
D
L
D
W

1

Home
D
L
W

1.33

Away
D
D
L

0.67

Stats Overall Home Away
Win % 17% 33% 0%
Goals 3 3.33 2.67
Scored 1.5 2 1
Conceded 1.5 1.33 1.67
Both Teams to Score 67% 67% 67%
Without Conceding 0% 0% 0%
Failed To Score 33% 33% 33%
first to Score 0% 0% 0%
xG
2.15 2.13 2.17
xGA
1.29 1.11 1.46

Further markets to consider

Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:

👉 Prediction: Leeds United to Win

Expect a hard-fought battle in Leeds United vs Manchester United, but we’re backing Leeds United to take home the three points.

Their strong home record at Elland Road makes them the safer pick, and we expect them to use their home-field advantage to claim all three points.

👉 Prediction: Manchester United win or Draw

Despite being the away side, we don’t expect Manchester United to lose this match. Our recommended bet is Manchester United to win or draw in the Double Chance market, ensuring a payout as long as they don’t lose.

Manchester United has its weaknesses, but Leeds United has been vulnerable, and home advantage might not be enough to keep them from losing.

Fixture information - Leeds United vs Manchester United

  • Match: Leeds United vs Manchester United

  • Competition: Premier League

  • Date: Sunday, 18/10/2026

  • Kick-off: 14:00 (UK time)

  • Venue: Elland Road

More Premier League predictions

Explore the rest of our Premier League predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.

Stats

The statistics for LUFC vs Manchester United F.C. that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.

Goal Average

2.5

League: 2.95

Both Teams to Score

67%

League: 55%

Over 1.5+

84%

League: 77%

Over 2.5+

33%

League: 56%

Cards

2.33

League: 4.08

Corners

12

League: 9.32

Home Team

Leeds United Team Logo

Leeds United

England - Premier League

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall
L
D
W
D
D

1.5

Home
D
W
D

1.67

Away
L
D
W

1.33

Stats Overall Home Away
Win % 33% 33% 33%
Goals 2.17 2.33 2
Scored 1.33 1.67 1
Conceded 0.83 0.67 1
Both Teams to Score 67% 67% 67%
Without Conceding 33% 33% 33%
Failed To Score 17% 33% 0%
first to Score 0% 0% 0%
xG
1.29 1.33 1.24
xGA
1.64 1.58 1.71

Away Team

Manchester United Team Logo

Manchester United

England - Premier League

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall
D
D
L
D
W

1

Home
D
L
W

1.33

Away
D
D
L

0.67

Stats Overall Home Away
Win % 17% 33% 0%
Goals 3 3.33 2.67
Scored 1.5 2 1
Conceded 1.5 1.33 1.67
Both Teams to Score 67% 67% 67%
Without Conceding 0% 0% 0%
Failed To Score 33% 33% 33%
first to Score 0% 0% 0%
xG
2.15 2.13 2.17
xGA
1.29 1.11 1.46

Corners

Leeds United Team Logo

8.66 / Match

+21% Corners / Match

Manchester United Team Logo

10.5 / Match

Arsenal Team Logo

Arsenal

(4)

Crystal Palace Team Logo

Crystal Palace

(4)

Newcastle Team Logo

Newcastle

(5)

Brighton Team Logo

Brighton

(6)

Brentford Team Logo

Brentford

(5)

Nottingham Forest Team Logo

Nottingham Forest

(2)

(4)

Tottenham

Tottenham Team Logo

(13)

Fulham

Fulham Team Logo

(6)

Manchester City

Manchester City Team Logo

(3)

Everton

Everton Team Logo

(8)

Ipswich Town

Ipswich Town Team Logo

(6)

Hull City

Hull City Team Logo

Cards

Leeds United Team Logo

1.83 / Match

+10% Cards / Match

Manchester United Team Logo

1.67 / Match

Arsenal Team Logo

Arsenal

(4)

Crystal Palace Team Logo

Crystal Palace

(2)

Newcastle Team Logo

Newcastle

(1)

Brighton Team Logo

Brighton

(3)

Brentford Team Logo

Brentford

(0)

Nottingham Forest Team Logo

Nottingham Forest

(1)

(4)

Tottenham

Tottenham Team Logo

(0)

Fulham

Fulham Team Logo

(1)

Manchester City

Manchester City Team Logo

(3)

Everton

Everton Team Logo

(1)

Ipswich Town

Ipswich Town Team Logo

(1)

Hull City

Hull City Team Logo

Goals Scored

Leeds United Team Logo

1.33 / Match

+13%

Manchester United is +13% better in terms of goals scored

Manchester United Team Logo

1.5 / Match

Arsenal Team Logo

Arsenal

(1)

Crystal Palace Team Logo

Crystal Palace

(0)

Newcastle Team Logo

Newcastle

(4)

Brighton Team Logo

Brighton

(1)

Brentford Team Logo

Brentford

(1)

Nottingham Forest Team Logo

Nottingham Forest

(1)

(1)

Tottenham

Tottenham Team Logo

(1)

Fulham

Fulham Team Logo

(0)

Manchester City

Manchester City Team Logo

(2)

Everton

Everton Team Logo

(5)

Ipswich Town

Ipswich Town Team Logo

(0)

Hull City

Hull City Team Logo

Goals Conceded

Leeds United Team Logo

0.83 / Match

+45%

Manchester United condeded +45% more goals than Leeds United

Manchester United Team Logo

1.5 / Match

Arsenal Team Logo

Arsenal

(2)

Crystal Palace Team Logo

Crystal Palace

(0)

Newcastle Team Logo

Newcastle

(1)

Brighton Team Logo

Brighton

(1)

Brentford Team Logo

Brentford

(1)

Nottingham Forest Team Logo

Nottingham Forest

(0)

(1)

Tottenham

Tottenham Team Logo

(1)

Fulham

Fulham Team Logo

(1)

Manchester City

Manchester City Team Logo

(2)

Everton

Everton Team Logo

(2)

Ipswich Town

Ipswich Town Team Logo

(2)

Hull City

Hull City Team Logo

Premier League Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG
1
Manchester City logo Manchester City
6 6 0 0 16 5 11 18 3
2
Arsenal logo Arsenal
6 5 0 1 10 5 5 15 2.5
3
Brighton logo Brighton
6 4 1 1 18 5 13 13 2.17
4
Brentford logo Brentford
6 2 4 0 12 6 6 10 1.67
5
Everton logo Everton
6 2 4 0 8 5 3 10 1.67
6
Chelsea logo Chelsea
6 3 1 2 15 13 2 10 1.67
7
Leeds United logo Leeds United
6 2 3 1 8 5 3 9 1.5
8
Hull City logo Hull City
6 2 3 1 8 6 2 9 1.5
9
Liverpool logo Liverpool
6 2 3 1 7 7 0 9 1.5
10
Ipswich Town logo Ipswich Town
6 3 0 3 9 12 -3 9 1.5
11
Newcastle logo Newcastle
6 2 2 2 10 13 -3 8 1.33
12
Crystal Palace logo Crystal Palace
6 2 1 3 9 12 -3 7 1.17
13
Manchester United logo Manchester United
6 1 3 2 9 9 0 6 1
14
Coventry City logo Coventry City
6 2 0 4 5 11 -6 6 1
15
Nottingham Forest logo Nottingham Forest
6 1 2 3 5 8 -3 5 0.83
16
Aston Villa logo Aston Villa
6 1 2 3 6 11 -5 5 0.83
17
Sunderland logo Sunderland
6 1 1 4 6 12 -6 4 0.67
18
Tottenham logo Tottenham
6 0 3 3 3 9 -6 3 0.5
19
Bournemouth logo Bournemouth
6 0 3 3 7 13 -6 3 0.5
20
Fulham logo Fulham
6 0 2 4 6 10 -4 2 0.33

Odds

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