Serie A
Botafogo vs Atlético MG
Thu, 05 Nov 2026 - 00:30 (UK Time)
Stadium: Estádio Nilton Santos
Botafogo vs Atlético MG Prediction & Stats - Serie A 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Botafogo vs Atlético MG carries real history into this round of the Serie A.
The two sides meet on 05/11 (Thursday) at Estádio Nilton Santos, 00:30 (UK time).
Read the Botafogo vs Atlético MG prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Botafogo vs Atlético MG
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Botafogo vs Atlético MG call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Correct Score: 1 - 1
Last updated on 03-11-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Botafogo the side to beat, with roughly 47% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Serie A odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Botafogo Preview
Botafogo reach this fixture 33 match into their Serie A. Here is where Botafogo stand:
In this competition
10 won, 9 drawn, 14 lost
1.18 points per game
45 scored, at 1.36 a game
53 conceded, at 1.61 a game
Botafogo, season-wide
18 won, 11 drawn, 18 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Danilo Oliveira, 10 goals
Most assists: Alex Telles, 5 assists
Recent results — Botafogo
28/10/2026 20:30
24/10/2026 15:30
17/10/2026 17:00
12/10/2026 15:00
07/10/2026 19:30
Atlético MG: how they are travelling
Atlético MG come in 33 matches into their Serie A.
Here is what Galo have produced:
In this competition
14 won, 8 drawn, 11 lost
1.52 points per game
44 scored, at 1.33 a game
39 conceded, at 1.18 a game
Galo, season-wide
23 won, 12 drawn, 17 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Hulk, 7 goals
Most assists: Hulk, 6 assists
Recent results — Galo
01/11/2026 16:30
29/10/2026 18:30
26/10/2026 19:00
21/10/2026 18:00
17/10/2026 17:30
The head-to-head favours Atlético MG
Atlético MG have generally come out ahead of Botafogo in their recent meetings.
From 28 match(es):
Atlético MG: 12 win(s)
Botafogo: 10 win(s)
Drawn: 6
That trend is worth factoring into the Botafogo vs Atlético MG prediction.
Form comparison Botafogo vs Atlético MG
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Botafogo
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
D
L
|
1.18 |
| Home |
W
L
W
D
D
|
1.5 |
| Away |
L
L
D
L
L
|
0.88 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 38% | 24% |
| Goals | 2.97 | 3 | 2.94 |
| Scored | 1.36 | 1.63 | 1.12 |
| Conceded | 1.61 | 1.38 | 1.82 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67% | 69% | 65% |
| Without Conceding | 15% | 25% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 19% | 29% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.57 | 1.77 | 1.38 |
|
xGA
|
1.65 | 1.58 | 1.71 |
Away Team
Atlético MG
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
L
L
W
W
|
1.52 |
| Home |
D
L
W
W
W
|
2.06 |
| Away |
L
D
L
D
D
|
0.94 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 42% | 59% | 25% |
| Goals | 2.52 | 2.65 | 2.38 |
| Scored | 1.33 | 1.59 | 1.06 |
| Conceded | 1.18 | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Both Teams to Score | 48% | 59% | 38% |
| Without Conceding | 24% | 29% | 19% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 12% | 50% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.51 | 1.75 | 1.25 |
|
xGA
|
1.66 | 1.45 | 1.88 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Atlético MG win or Draw
Our betting tip for this match is to back Atlético MG to win or draw in the Double Chance market.
Playing away from home is always a challenge, but based on recent form and season statistics, Atlético MG has shown they have what it takes to secure a positive result. Keep in mind that they only need to avoid defeat for the bet to win.
👉 Prediction: Under 2.5
Botafogo and Atlético MG have shown a preference for defensive football this season, often avoiding risky attacks.
With both teams likely to play carefully, we see under 2.5 goals as the best value bet for this match.
Fixture information - Botafogo vs Atlético MG
Match: Botafogo vs Atlético MG
Competition: Serie A
Date: Thursday, 05/11/2026
Kick-off: 00:30 (UK time)
Venue: Estádio Nilton Santos
More Serie A predictions
Explore the rest of our Serie A predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Botafogo vs Galão da Massa that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.69
League: 2.66
Both Teams to Score
54%
League: 59%
Over 1.5+
72%
League: 78%
Over 2.5+
57%
League: 51%
Cards
5
League: 4.89
Corners
9.63
League: 10.57
Home Team
Botafogo
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
D
L
|
1.18 |
| Home |
W
L
W
D
D
|
1.5 |
| Away |
L
L
D
L
L
|
0.88 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 38% | 24% |
| Goals | 2.97 | 3 | 2.94 |
| Scored | 1.36 | 1.63 | 1.12 |
| Conceded | 1.61 | 1.38 | 1.82 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67% | 69% | 65% |
| Without Conceding | 15% | 25% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 19% | 29% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.57 | 1.77 | 1.38 |
|
xGA
|
1.65 | 1.58 | 1.71 |
Away Team
Atlético MG
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
L
L
W
W
|
1.52 |
| Home |
D
L
W
W
W
|
2.06 |
| Away |
L
D
L
D
D
|
0.94 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 42% | 59% | 25% |
| Goals | 2.52 | 2.65 | 2.38 |
| Scored | 1.33 | 1.59 | 1.06 |
| Conceded | 1.18 | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Both Teams to Score | 48% | 59% | 38% |
| Without Conceding | 24% | 29% | 19% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 12% | 50% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.51 | 1.75 | 1.25 |
|
xGA
|
1.66 | 1.45 | 1.88 |
Corners
10.34 / Match
+6% Corners / Match
Atlético MG received +6% more corners than Botafogo in the Serie A
10.97 / Match
Remo
(8)
Internacional
(7)
Chapecoense
(4)
Coritiba
(7)
Vasco da Gama
(7)
Mirassol
(4)
Grêmio
(3)(7)
Cruzeiro
(0)
Flamengo
(10)
Coritiba
(12)
Santos
(3)
Athletico-PR
(5)
RB Bragantino
(10)
Chapecoense
Cards
2.67 / Match
+42% Cards / Match
Botafogo received +42% more cards than Atlético MG in the Serie A
1.88 / Match
Remo
(1)
Internacional
(2)
Chapecoense
(0)
Coritiba
(2)
Vasco da Gama
(1)
Mirassol
(1)
Grêmio
(1)(2)
Cruzeiro
(2)
Flamengo
(0)
Coritiba
(3)
Santos
(2)
Athletico-PR
(1)
RB Bragantino
(2)
Chapecoense
Goals Scored
1.36 / Match
+2%
Botafogo is +2% better in terms of goals scored
1.33 / Match
Remo
(1)
Internacional
(0)
Chapecoense
(1)
Coritiba
(1)
Vasco da Gama
(1)
Mirassol
(0)
Grêmio
(3)(0)
Cruzeiro
(2)
Flamengo
(1)
Coritiba
(2)
Santos
(2)
Athletico-PR
(1)
RB Bragantino
(1)
Chapecoense
Goals Conceded
1.61 / Match
+27%
Botafogo condeded +27% more goals than Atlético MG
1.18 / Match
Remo
(2)
Internacional
(3)
Chapecoense
(0)
Coritiba
(1)
Vasco da Gama
(2)
Mirassol
(2)
Grêmio
(2)(1)
Cruzeiro
(3)
Flamengo
(0)
Coritiba
(1)
Santos
(2)
Athletico-PR
(0)
RB Bragantino
(1)
Chapecoense
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 28 | 40 | 73 | 2.21 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 56 | 22 | 34 | 70 | 2.12 |
| 3 |
Cruzeiro
|
33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 57 | 1.73 |
| 4 |
Athletico-PR
|
33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 54 | 1.64 |
| 5 |
Fluminense
|
33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 54 | 1.64 |
| 6 |
Bahia
|
33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 53 | 1.61 |
| 7 |
Atlético MG
|
33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 50 | 1.52 |
| 8 |
RB Bragantino
|
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 | 1.38 |
| 9 |
Santos
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 47 | 1.38 |
| 10 |
São Paulo
|
33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 43 | 1.3 |
| 11 |
Coritiba
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 1.24 |
| 12 |
Mirassol
|
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 40 | 1.18 |
| 13 |
Botafogo
|
33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 39 | 1.18 |
| 14 |
Internacional
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 38 | 1.12 |
| 15 |
Vasco da Gama
|
32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 38 | 1.19 |
| 16 |
Vitória
|
33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 38 | 1.15 |
| 17 |
Grêmio
|
33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 37 | 1.12 |
| 18 |
Corinthians
|
33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 36 | 1.09 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 | 0.88 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense
|
33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 68 | -35 | 21 | 0.64 |
Odds
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