Primeira Liga
Alverca vs Casa Pia
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 - 18:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
Alverca vs Casa Pia Prediction & Stats - Primeira Liga 2026/27
Predictions
Alverca vs Casa Pia is part of the Primeira Liga schedule for Saturday (07/11).
The fixture is staged at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, 18:00 (UK time).
Below is our Alverca vs Casa Pia prediction, built before you place a bet.
Our verdict on Alverca vs Casa Pia
Value at this level takes some digging out. Having gone through the form and the numbers, here is our preferred Alverca vs Casa Pia prediction:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Under 3.5 Goals
Last updated on 07-11-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Alverca the side to beat, with roughly 53% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Primeira Liga odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Alverca Preview
Alverca reach this fixture 10 match into their Primeira Liga. Here is where Alverca stand:
In this competition
3 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost
1.1 points per game
13 scored, at 1.3 a game
14 conceded, at 1.4 a game
Alverca, season-wide
3 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Vivaldo Leandro Semedo Moura Sousa, 3 goals
Most assists: Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques, 3 assists
Recent results — Alverca
02/11/2026 15:15
24/10/2026 13:00
18/10/2026 10:00
12/10/2026 15:15
19/09/2026 13:00
Casa Pia: how they are travelling
Casa Pia come in 10 matches into their Primeira Liga.
Here is what Os Gansos have produced:
In this competition
2 won, 1 drawn, 7 lost
0.7 points per game
5 scored, at 0.5 a game
19 conceded, at 1.9 a game
Os Gansos, season-wide
3 won, 1 drawn, 7 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Henrique Araújo, 1 goals
Most assists: Sebastián Pérez, 1 assists
Recent results — Os Gansos
30/10/2026 16:15
24/10/2026 10:30
18/10/2026 10:00
10/10/2026 15:30
20/09/2026 13:00
The head-to-head
A short sample to go on — 2 recent meeting(s) between the two:
Alverca: 2 win(s)
Casa Pia: 0 win(s)
Drawn: 0
With so little history, this fixture stays hard to call.
Form comparison Alverca vs Casa Pia
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Alverca
Portugal - Primeira Liga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
W
W
|
1.1 |
| Home |
L
W
L
D
D
|
1 |
| Away |
L
W
W
L
L
|
1.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Goals | 2.7 | 2.2 | 3.2 |
| Scored | 1.3 | 1 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Both Teams to Score | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.22 | 1.19 | 1.25 |
|
xGA
|
1.43 | 1.44 | 1.43 |
Away Team
Casa Pia
Portugal - Primeira Liga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
L
W
L
|
0.7 |
| Home |
L
L
L
L
L
|
0 |
| Away |
W
W
D
L
L
|
1.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Goals | 2.4 | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| Scored | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Conceded | 1.9 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Without Conceding | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.13 | 1.11 | 1.15 |
|
xGA
|
1.8 | 1.75 | 1.84 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Alverca to Win
Expect a hard-fought battle in Alverca vs Casa Pia, but we’re backing Alverca to take home the three points.
Their strong home record at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca makes them the safer pick, and we expect them to use their home-field advantage to claim all three points.
👉 Prediction: Double Chance - X2
Our analysis suggests there is little separating Alverca and Casa Pia in terms of overall quality. However, with the security of the Double Chance market, where a win or a draw is enough to land the bet, we see great value in backing Casa Pia.
With odds of 2.22, there’s solid potential for an upset, especially considering Alverca’s recent struggles and Casa Pia’s form.
Fixture information - Alverca vs Casa Pia
Match: Alverca vs Casa Pia
Competition: Primeira Liga
Date: Saturday, 07/11/2026
Kick-off: 18:00 (UK time)
Venue: Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
More Primeira Liga predictions
Explore the rest of our Primeira Liga predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Alverca vs Casa Pia that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
1.9
League: 2.66
Both Teams to Score
40%
League: 46%
Over 1.5+
60%
League: 73%
Over 2.5+
30%
League: 54%
Cards
4.4
League: 4.65
Corners
9.6
League: 8.79
Home Team
Alverca
Portugal - Primeira Liga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
W
W
|
1.1 |
| Home |
L
W
L
D
D
|
1 |
| Away |
L
W
W
L
L
|
1.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Goals | 2.7 | 2.2 | 3.2 |
| Scored | 1.3 | 1 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Both Teams to Score | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.22 | 1.19 | 1.25 |
|
xGA
|
1.43 | 1.44 | 1.43 |
Away Team
Casa Pia
Portugal - Primeira Liga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
L
W
L
|
0.7 |
| Home |
L
L
L
L
L
|
0 |
| Away |
W
W
D
L
L
|
1.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Goals | 2.4 | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| Scored | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Conceded | 1.9 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Without Conceding | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.13 | 1.11 | 1.15 |
|
xGA
|
1.8 | 1.75 | 1.84 |
Corners
8.6 / Match
+17% Corners / Match
Casa Pia received +17% more corners than Alverca in the Primeira Liga
10.1 / Match
Benfica
(5)
FC Arouca
(3)
Famalicão
(3)
Rio Ave FC
(8)
CD Nacional
(0)
Sporting Braga
(2)
Santa Clara
(10)(3)
Sporting CP
(5)
Estrela Amadora
(3)
Santa Clara
(4)
GD Estoril Praia
(5)
Porto
(4)
Vitória Guimarães
(5)
Moreirense FC
Cards
2.8 / Match
+22% Cards / Match
Alverca received +22% more cards than Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga
2.3 / Match
Benfica
(3)
FC Arouca
(1)
Famalicão
(2)
Rio Ave FC
(2)
CD Nacional
(3)
Sporting Braga
(1)
Santa Clara
(1)(2)
Sporting CP
(2)
Estrela Amadora
(2)
Santa Clara
(2)
GD Estoril Praia
(4)
Porto
(2)
Vitória Guimarães
(1)
Moreirense FC
Goals Scored
1.3 / Match
+160%
Alverca is +160% better in terms of goals scored
0.5 / Match
Benfica
(0)
FC Arouca
(0)
Famalicão
(4)
Rio Ave FC
(1)
CD Nacional
(3)
Sporting Braga
(1)
Santa Clara
(1)(0)
Sporting CP
(2)
Estrela Amadora
(0)
Santa Clara
(2)
GD Estoril Praia
(1)
Porto
(0)
Vitória Guimarães
(0)
Moreirense FC
Goals Conceded
1.4 / Match
+26%
Casa Pia condeded +26% more goals than Alverca
1.9 / Match
Benfica
(1)
FC Arouca
(1)
Famalicão
(1)
Rio Ave FC
(0)
CD Nacional
(1)
Sporting Braga
(2)
Santa Clara
(1)(2)
Sporting CP
(0)
Estrela Amadora
(1)
Santa Clara
(1)
GD Estoril Praia
(4)
Porto
(0)
Vitória Guimarães
(1)
Moreirense FC
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Porto
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 30 | 3 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 2.44 |
| 3 |
Sporting CP
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 2.1 |
| 4 |
Santa Clara
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 2.1 |
| 5 |
FC Arouca
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 2 |
| 6 |
Academico Viseu
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 | 2 |
| 7 |
Gil Vicente
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 1.56 |
| 8 |
Sporting Braga
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 | 1.4 |
| 9 |
Moreirense FC
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 | 1.4 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 1.22 |
| 11 |
Famalicão
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 1 |
| 12 |
Estrela Amadora
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 10 | 1 |
| 13 |
Vitória Guimarães
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 0.89 |
| 14 |
CS Marítimo
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 8 | 0.8 |
| 15 |
CD Nacional
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 7 | 0.7 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 7 | 0.7 |
| 17 |
Rio Ave FC
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 7 | 0.7 |
| 18 |
GD Estoril Praia
|
10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 2 | 0.2 |
Odds
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