Serie A
São Paulo vs Vitória
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 - 01:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
São Paulo vs Vitória Prediction & Stats - Serie A 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. São Paulo vs Vitória carries real history into this round of the Serie A.
The two sides meet on 11/10 (Sunday) at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, 01:00 (UK time).
Read the São Paulo vs Vitória prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on São Paulo vs Vitória
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the São Paulo vs Vitória call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
São Paulo Win
Last updated on 08-10-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes São Paulo the side to beat, with roughly 58% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Serie A odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
São Paulo Preview
São Paulo reach this fixture 29 match into their Serie A. Here is where São Paulo Futebol Clube stand:
In this competition
10 won, 6 drawn, 13 lost
1.24 points per game
33 scored, at 1.14 a game
34 conceded, at 1.17 a game
São Paulo Futebol Clube, season-wide
15 won, 11 drawn, 15 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Luciano da Rocha Neves, 9 goals
Most assists: Wendell Nascimento Borges, 3 assists
Recent results — São Paulo
07/10/2026 20:30
02/10/2026 19:00
19/09/2026 20:00
15/09/2026 20:30
12/09/2026 17:30
Vitória: how they are travelling
Vitória come in 29 matches into their Serie A.
Here is what Leão da Barra have produced:
In this competition
10 won, 6 drawn, 13 lost
1.24 points per game
32 scored, at 1.1 a game
42 conceded, at 1.45 a game
Leão da Barra, season-wide
12 won, 6 drawn, 17 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Carlos Rene de Sousa Ferreira, 9 goals
Most assists: Erick de Arruda Serafim, 5 assists
Recent results — Leão da Barra
07/10/2026 19:00
20/09/2026 15:00
13/09/2026 15:00
07/09/2026 19:00
02/09/2026 20:30
The head-to-head favours São Paulo
Recent meetings have tended to go São Paulo's way against Vitória.
From 15 match(es):
São Paulo: 11 win(s)
Vitória: 4 win(s)
Drawn: 0
It is a pattern worth weighing in the São Paulo vs Vitória prediction.
Form comparison São Paulo vs Vitória
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
São Paulo
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
L
W
|
1.24 |
| Home |
L
W
W
W
D
|
1.93 |
| Away |
L
L
L
L
D
|
0.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 34% | 57% | 13% |
| Goals | 2.31 | 2.43 | 2.2 |
| Scored | 1.14 | 1.57 | 0.73 |
| Conceded | 1.17 | 0.86 | 1.47 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 57% | 53% |
| Without Conceding | 21% | 36% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 7% | 40% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.48 | 1.65 | 1.31 |
|
xGA
|
1.31 | 1.13 | 1.48 |
Away Team
Vitória
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
L
D
W
|
1.24 |
| Home |
W
W
L
W
L
|
2.07 |
| Away |
D
L
L
L
D
|
0.36 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 34% | 67% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.55 | 2.27 | 2.86 |
| Scored | 1.1 | 1.47 | 0.71 |
| Conceded | 1.45 | 0.8 | 2.14 |
| Both Teams to Score | 38% | 20% | 57% |
| Without Conceding | 38% | 67% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 20% | 43% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.34 | 1.55 | 1.12 |
|
xGA
|
1.67 | 1.43 | 1.92 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
Fixture information - São Paulo vs Vitória
Match: São Paulo vs Vitória
Competition: Serie A
Date: Sunday, 11/10/2026
Kick-off: 01:00 (UK time)
Venue: Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
More Serie A predictions
Explore the rest of our Serie A predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Sao Paulo FC vs Rubro-Negro Baiano that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.65
League: 2.66
Both Teams to Score
57%
League: 60%
Over 1.5+
86%
League: 79%
Over 2.5+
47%
League: 52%
Cards
4.35
League: 4.92
Corners
12.65
League: 10.37
Home Team
São Paulo
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
L
W
|
1.24 |
| Home |
L
W
W
W
D
|
1.93 |
| Away |
L
L
L
L
D
|
0.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 34% | 57% | 13% |
| Goals | 2.31 | 2.43 | 2.2 |
| Scored | 1.14 | 1.57 | 0.73 |
| Conceded | 1.17 | 0.86 | 1.47 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 57% | 53% |
| Without Conceding | 21% | 36% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 7% | 40% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.48 | 1.65 | 1.31 |
|
xGA
|
1.31 | 1.13 | 1.48 |
Away Team
Vitória
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
L
D
W
|
1.24 |
| Home |
W
W
L
W
L
|
2.07 |
| Away |
D
L
L
L
D
|
0.36 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 34% | 67% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.55 | 2.27 | 2.86 |
| Scored | 1.1 | 1.47 | 0.71 |
| Conceded | 1.45 | 0.8 | 2.14 |
| Both Teams to Score | 38% | 20% | 57% |
| Without Conceding | 38% | 67% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 20% | 43% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.34 | 1.55 | 1.12 |
|
xGA
|
1.67 | 1.43 | 1.92 |
Corners
11.62 / Match
+22% Corners / Match
São Paulo received +22% more corners than Vitória in the Serie A
9.52 / Match
Cruzeiro
(8)
Santos
(14)
Internacional
(3)
Palmeiras
(6)
Atlético MG
(16)
RB Bragantino
(9)
Chapecoense
(3)(3)
Chapecoense
(8)
Cruzeiro
(5)
Mirassol
(6)
Grêmio
(5)
Atlético MG
(7)
Bahia
(8)
Botafogo
Cards
2.1 / Match
+18% Cards / Match
Vitória received +18% more cards than São Paulo in the Serie A
2.48 / Match
Cruzeiro
(1)
Santos
(1)
Internacional
(1)
Palmeiras
(1)
Atlético MG
(1)
RB Bragantino
(2)
Chapecoense
(0)(2)
Chapecoense
(0)
Cruzeiro
(5)
Mirassol
(2)
Grêmio
(1)
Atlético MG
(4)
Bahia
(2)
Botafogo
Goals Scored
1.14 / Match
+4%
São Paulo is +4% better in terms of goals scored
1.1 / Match
Cruzeiro
(0)
Santos
(1)
Internacional
(1)
Palmeiras
(0)
Atlético MG
(2)
RB Bragantino
(2)
Chapecoense
(0)(4)
Chapecoense
(1)
Cruzeiro
(2)
Mirassol
(1)
Grêmio
(1)
Atlético MG
(0)
Bahia
(1)
Botafogo
Goals Conceded
1.17 / Match
+19%
Vitória condeded +19% more goals than São Paulo
1.45 / Match
Cruzeiro
(2)
Santos
(2)
Internacional
(0)
Palmeiras
(2)
Atlético MG
(0)
RB Bragantino
(1)
Chapecoense
(1)(0)
Chapecoense
(3)
Cruzeiro
(2)
Mirassol
(0)
Grêmio
(2)
Atlético MG
(2)
Bahia
(0)
Botafogo
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | 32 | 60 | 2.14 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 57 | 2.04 |
| 3 |
Athletico-PR
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 49 | 1.75 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 48 | 1.71 |
| 5 |
Cruzeiro
|
29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 48 | 1.66 |
| 6 |
Bahia
|
28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 46 | 1.64 |
| 7 |
Atlético MG
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 43 | 1.54 |
| 8 |
Santos
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 41 | 1.46 |
| 9 |
Coritiba
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 | 1.36 |
| 10 |
RB Bragantino
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 37 | 1.28 |
| 11 |
São Paulo
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 | 1.24 |
| 12 |
Vitória
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 36 | 1.24 |
| 13 |
Botafogo
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 35 | 1.21 |
| 14 |
Vasco da Gama
|
28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 34 | 1.21 |
| 15 |
Mirassol
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 33 | 1.14 |
| 16 |
Corinthians
|
29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 32 | 1.1 |
| 17 |
Internacional
|
29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 31 | 1.07 |
| 18 |
Grêmio
|
29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 30 | 1.03 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 24 | 0.83 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense
|
28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 57 | -28 | 18 | 0.64 |
Odds
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