Serie A
Athletico-PR vs Atlético MG
Fri, 09 Oct 2026 - 00:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Arena de Baixada
Athletico-PR vs Atlético MG Prediction & Stats - Serie A 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Athletico-PR vs Atlético MG carries real history into this round of the Serie A.
The two sides meet on 09/10 (Friday) at Arena de Baixada, 00:00 (UK time).
Read the Athletico-PR vs Atlético MG prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Athletico-PR vs Atlético MG
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Athletico-PR vs Atlético MG call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Correct Score: 1 - 1
Last updated on 06-10-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Athletico-PR the side to beat, with roughly 45% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Serie A odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Athletico-PR Preview
Athletico-PR reach this fixture 28 match into their Serie A. Here is where Athletico Paranaense stand:
In this competition
14 won, 7 drawn, 7 lost
1.75 points per game
43 scored, at 1.54 a game
32 conceded, at 1.14 a game
Athletico Paranaense, season-wide
15 won, 9 drawn, 8 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Kevin Stiven Viveros Rodallega, 18 goals
Most assists: Lucas Ángel Esquivel, 5 assists
Recent results — Athletico-PR
20/09/2026 18:30
11/09/2026 20:00
06/09/2026 15:00
30/08/2026 10:00
24/08/2026 19:00
Atlético MG: how they are travelling
Atlético MG come in 28 matches into their Serie A.
Here is what Galo have produced:
In this competition
12 won, 7 drawn, 9 lost
1.54 points per game
37 scored, at 1.32 a game
32 conceded, at 1.14 a game
Galo, season-wide
19 won, 11 drawn, 13 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Hulk, 7 goals
Most assists: Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte, 4 assists
Recent results — Galo
03/10/2026 17:30
19/09/2026 15:00
16/09/2026 18:00
12/09/2026 15:00
09/09/2026 18:00
The head-to-head favours Atlético MG
Atlético MG have generally come out ahead of Athletico Paranaense in their recent meetings.
From 29 match(es):
Atlético MG: 15 win(s)
Athletico-PR: 12 win(s)
Drawn: 2
That trend is worth factoring into the Athletico-PR vs Atlético MG prediction.
Form comparison Athletico-PR vs Atlético MG
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Athletico-PR
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
L
D
W
|
1.75 |
| Home |
W
D
D
W
W
|
2.21 |
| Away |
D
L
W
W
D
|
1.29 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 2.68 | 2.57 | 2.79 |
| Scored | 1.54 | 1.79 | 1.29 |
| Conceded | 1.14 | 0.79 | 1.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 57% | 57% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 36% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 14% | 29% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.39 | 1.58 | 1.21 |
|
xGA
|
1.36 | 1.02 | 1.71 |
Away Team
Atlético MG
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
D
W
L
|
1.54 |
| Home |
W
W
D
W
W
|
2.07 |
| Away |
L
D
D
W
W
|
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 43% | 57% | 29% |
| Goals | 2.46 | 2.86 | 2.07 |
| Scored | 1.32 | 1.71 | 0.93 |
| Conceded | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| Both Teams to Score | 46% | 64% | 29% |
| Without Conceding | 25% | 29% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 7% | 57% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.45 | 1.68 | 1.23 |
|
xGA
|
1.58 | 1.47 | 1.7 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals
After analyzing Athletico-PR vs Atlético MG, we expect a high-scoring match, making over 2.5 goals the best betting option. This means the match needs at least three goals for the bet to win.
Both teams have been in strong form, so this match has all the ingredients for a high-scoring result.
👉 Our prediction is: Draw
Athletico-PR vs Atlético MG is a matchup that is as close as they come, with our analysis finding hardly anything to separate the two sides. And so, our betting tip is to take the draw on the 1X2 market.
The 3 odds for a draw are quite favourable and would result in a substantial payout if the match does end in a stalemate.
Fixture information - Athletico-PR vs Atlético MG
Match: Athletico-PR vs Atlético MG
Competition: Serie A
Date: Friday, 09/10/2026
Kick-off: 00:00 (UK time)
Venue: Arena de Baixada
More Serie A predictions
Explore the rest of our Serie A predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Atlético PR vs Galão da Massa that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.32
League: 2.66
Both Teams to Score
43%
League: 59%
Over 1.5+
68%
League: 78%
Over 2.5+
40%
League: 52%
Cards
4.57
League: 4.94
Corners
10.57
League: 10.28
Home Team
Athletico-PR
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
L
D
W
|
1.75 |
| Home |
W
D
D
W
W
|
2.21 |
| Away |
D
L
W
W
D
|
1.29 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 2.68 | 2.57 | 2.79 |
| Scored | 1.54 | 1.79 | 1.29 |
| Conceded | 1.14 | 0.79 | 1.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 57% | 57% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 36% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 14% | 29% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.39 | 1.58 | 1.21 |
|
xGA
|
1.36 | 1.02 | 1.71 |
Away Team
Atlético MG
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
D
W
L
|
1.54 |
| Home |
W
W
D
W
W
|
2.07 |
| Away |
L
D
D
W
W
|
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 43% | 57% | 29% |
| Goals | 2.46 | 2.86 | 2.07 |
| Scored | 1.32 | 1.71 | 0.93 |
| Conceded | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| Both Teams to Score | 46% | 64% | 29% |
| Without Conceding | 25% | 29% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 7% | 57% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.45 | 1.68 | 1.23 |
|
xGA
|
1.58 | 1.47 | 1.7 |
Corners
10.07 / Match
+5% Corners / Match
Atlético MG received +5% more corners than Athletico-PR in the Serie A
10.57 / Match
Bahia
(6)
Coritiba
(3)
Cruzeiro
(2)
Fluminense
(8)
Botafogo
(2)
RB Bragantino
(8)
Santos
(2)(5)
RB Bragantino
(10)
Chapecoense
(5)
Fluminense
(2)
São Paulo
(4)
Vitória
(5)
Internacional
(8)
Grêmio
Cards
2.18 / Match
+20% Cards / Match
Athletico-PR received +20% more cards than Atlético MG in the Serie A
1.82 / Match
Bahia
(3)
Coritiba
(3)
Cruzeiro
(2)
Fluminense
(2)
Botafogo
(1)
RB Bragantino
(0)
Santos
(1)(1)
RB Bragantino
(2)
Chapecoense
(1)
Fluminense
(1)
São Paulo
(2)
Vitória
(3)
Internacional
(3)
Grêmio
Goals Scored
1.54 / Match
+17%
Athletico-PR is +17% better in terms of goals scored
1.32 / Match
Bahia
(2)
Coritiba
(3)
Cruzeiro
(1)
Fluminense
(3)
Botafogo
(3)
RB Bragantino
(1)
Santos
(2)(1)
RB Bragantino
(1)
Chapecoense
(3)
Fluminense
(0)
São Paulo
(2)
Vitória
(0)
Internacional
(3)
Grêmio
Goals Conceded
1.14 / Match
+0%
Both Teams are equal in terms of goals conceded
1.14 / Match
Bahia
(1)
Coritiba
(3)
Cruzeiro
(3)
Fluminense
(3)
Botafogo
(2)
RB Bragantino
(1)
Santos
(0)(0)
RB Bragantino
(1)
Chapecoense
(1)
Fluminense
(2)
São Paulo
(1)
Vitória
(0)
Internacional
(0)
Grêmio
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | 32 | 60 | 2.14 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 57 | 2.04 |
| 3 |
Athletico-PR
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 49 | 1.75 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 48 | 1.71 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 46 | 1.64 |
| 6 |
Cruzeiro
|
28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 45 | 1.61 |
| 7 |
Atlético MG
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 40 | 1.48 |
| 8 |
Santos
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 | 1.41 |
| 9 |
Coritiba
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 | 1.36 |
| 10 |
São Paulo
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 | 1.33 |
| 11 |
RB Bragantino
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 36 | 1.33 |
| 12 |
Botafogo
|
28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 35 | 1.25 |
| 13 |
Vitória
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 | 1.18 |
| 14 |
Corinthians
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 32 | 1.14 |
| 15 |
Mirassol
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 | 1.14 |
| 16 |
Vasco da Gama
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 31 | 1.15 |
| 17 |
Grêmio
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 | 1.04 |
| 18 |
Internacional
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 | 1 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 | 0.82 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense
|
27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 18 | 0.67 |
Odds
Hey there! I’m Abhishek Nandwani, one of the voices behind the content at Eagle Predict. Hailing from India's capital, Delhi, I’m not just a football fan – I’m a die-hard Manchester United supporter. With 15 years of experience in the media world, I’ve spent the past three years in the betting world, producing content. When I’m not writing about football betting, you’ll probably catch me glued to football matches and enjoying some good food. For me, Zinedine Zidane is The GOAT! Stay tuned for my reviews – they’re always packed with detailed insights!
