Bundesliga
Mainz 05 vs Bayern München
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 - 14:30 (UK Time)
Stadium: Mewa Arena
Mainz 05 vs Bayern München Prediction & Stats - Bundesliga 2026/27
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Mainz 05 vs Bayern München carries real history into this round of the Bundesliga.
The two sides meet on 07/11 (Saturday) at Mewa Arena, 14:30 (UK time).
Read the Mainz 05 vs Bayern München prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Mainz 05 vs Bayern München
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Mainz 05 vs Bayern München call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
BTTS - Yes
Last updated on 05-11-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Bayern München the side to beat, with roughly 12% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Bundesliga odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Mainz 05 Preview
Mainz 05 reach this fixture 8 match into their Bundesliga. Here is where Die Nullfünfer stand:
In this competition
3 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost
1.25 points per game
17 scored, at 2.13 a game
17 conceded, at 2.13 a game
Die Nullfünfer, season-wide
4 won, 1 drawn, 5 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Phillip Tietz, 5 goals
Most assists: Sheraldo Becker, 4 assists
Recent results — Mainz 05
30/10/2026 15:30
27/10/2026 13:00
24/10/2026 09:30
17/10/2026 09:30
10/10/2026 09:30
Bayern München: how they are travelling
Bayern München come in 8 matches into their Bundesliga.
Here is what Bayern have produced:
In this competition
5 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost
2.25 points per game
27 scored, at 3.38 a game
8 conceded, at 1 a game
Bayern, season-wide
10 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Michael Olise, 6 goals
Most assists: Harry Kane, 6 assists
Recent results — Bayern
03/11/2026 15:00
31/10/2026 13:30
28/10/2026 15:45
25/10/2026 12:30
21/10/2026 15:00
The head-to-head favours Bayern München
Bayern München have generally come out ahead of Die Nullfünfer in their recent meetings.
From 38 match(es):
Bayern München: 27 win(s)
Mainz 05: 8 win(s)
Drawn: 3
That trend is worth factoring into the Mainz 05 vs Bayern München prediction.
Form comparison Mainz 05 vs Bayern München
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Mainz 05
Germany - Bundesliga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
L
W
|
1.25 |
| Home |
L
L
L
D
|
0.25 |
| Away |
L
W
W
W
|
2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 38% | 0% | 75% |
| Goals | 4.25 | 4 | 4.5 |
| Scored | 2.13 | 1.5 | 2.75 |
| Conceded | 2.13 | 2.5 | 1.75 |
| Both Teams to Score | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.88 | 2.19 | 1.57 |
|
xGA
|
1.42 | 1.49 | 1.35 |
Away Team
Bayern München
Germany - Bundesliga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
W
W
D
W
|
2.25 |
| Home |
D
W
W
W
|
2.5 |
| Away |
W
D
W
D
|
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Goals | 4.38 | 6 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 3.38 | 5 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Without Conceding | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
2.73 | 2.84 | 2.62 |
|
xGA
|
1.02 | 1.07 | 0.97 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Bayern München win or Draw
Despite being the away side, we don’t expect Bayern München to lose this match. Our recommended bet is Bayern München to win or draw in the Double Chance market, ensuring a payout as long as they don’t lose.
Bayern München has its weaknesses, but Mainz 05 has been vulnerable, and home advantage might not be enough to keep them from losing.
👉 Prediction: Under 9.5 Corners
We expect few corners in Mainz 05 vs Bayern München, as neither team has generated many this season.
We recommend betting on under 9.5 corners, meaning the match must have 9 or fewer total corners for the bet to win.
Fixture information - Mainz 05 vs Bayern München
Match: Mainz 05 vs Bayern München
Competition: Bundesliga
Date: Saturday, 07/11/2026
Kick-off: 14:30 (UK time)
Venue: Mewa Arena
More Bundesliga predictions
Explore the rest of our Bundesliga predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Karnevalsverein vs Bayern München that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
3.38
League: 3.5
Both Teams to Score
75%
League: 57%
Over 1.5+
75%
League: 81%
Over 2.5+
75%
League: 69%
Cards
2.5
League: 3.85
Corners
15
League: 10.63
Home Team
Mainz 05
Germany - Bundesliga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
L
W
|
1.25 |
| Home |
L
L
L
D
|
0.25 |
| Away |
L
W
W
W
|
2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 38% | 0% | 75% |
| Goals | 4.25 | 4 | 4.5 |
| Scored | 2.13 | 1.5 | 2.75 |
| Conceded | 2.13 | 2.5 | 1.75 |
| Both Teams to Score | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.88 | 2.19 | 1.57 |
|
xGA
|
1.42 | 1.49 | 1.35 |
Away Team
Bayern München
Germany - Bundesliga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
W
W
D
W
|
2.25 |
| Home |
D
W
W
W
|
2.5 |
| Away |
W
D
W
D
|
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Goals | 4.38 | 6 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 3.38 | 5 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Without Conceding | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
2.73 | 2.84 | 2.62 |
|
xGA
|
1.02 | 1.07 | 0.97 |
Corners
10.13 / Match
+14% Corners / Match
Bayern München received +14% more corners than Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga
11.51 / Match
Elversberg
(11)
Werder Bremen
(6)
Schalke 04
(1)
Bayer Leverkusen
(4)
Borussia M'gladbach
(4)
Eintracht Frankfurt
(4)
Hamburger SV
(5)(5)
Borussia Dortmund
(6)
Freiburg
(11)
RB Leipzig
(9)
Augsburg
(9)
Union Berlin
(9)
Elversberg
(11)
Schalke 04
Cards
2.75 / Match
+175% Cards / Match
Mainz 05 received +175% more cards than Bayern München in the Bundesliga
1 / Match
Elversberg
(4)
Werder Bremen
(3)
Schalke 04
(2)
Bayer Leverkusen
(3)
Borussia M'gladbach
(5)
Eintracht Frankfurt
(0)
Hamburger SV
(3)(2)
Borussia Dortmund
(1)
Freiburg
(1)
RB Leipzig
(0)
Augsburg
(1)
Union Berlin
(0)
Elversberg
(2)
Schalke 04
Goals Scored
2.13 / Match
+59%
Bayern München is +59% better in terms of goals scored
3.38 / Match
Elversberg
(1)
Werder Bremen
(2)
Schalke 04
(1)
Bayer Leverkusen
(3)
Borussia M'gladbach
(4)
Eintracht Frankfurt
(1)
Hamburger SV
(5)(2)
Borussia Dortmund
(3)
Freiburg
(6)
RB Leipzig
(2)
Augsburg
(7)
Union Berlin
(2)
Elversberg
(0)
Schalke 04
Goals Conceded
2.13 / Match
+53%
Mainz 05 condeded +53% more goals than Bayern München
1 / Match
Elversberg
(4)
Werder Bremen
(3)
Schalke 04
(0)
Bayer Leverkusen
(4)
Borussia M'gladbach
(3)
Eintracht Frankfurt
(3)
Hamburger SV
(0)(2)
Borussia Dortmund
(1)
Freiburg
(1)
RB Leipzig
(2)
Augsburg
(0)
Union Berlin
(1)
Elversberg
(0)
Schalke 04
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 2.25 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 2.25 |
| 3 |
Freiburg
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 2 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 1.88 |
| 5 |
Werder Bremen
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 15 | 1.88 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 1.63 |
| 7 |
Elversberg
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 13 | 1.63 |
| 8 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 | 1.38 |
| 9 |
Mainz 05
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 | 1.25 |
| 10 |
Augsburg
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 1.13 |
| 11 |
Stuttgart
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 9 | 1.13 |
| 12 |
Hoffenheim
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 | 1.13 |
| 13 |
Paderborn
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 | 1.13 |
| 14 |
Köln
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 | 1.13 |
| 15 |
Hamburger SV
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 | 1.13 |
| 16 |
Union Berlin
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 | 0.88 |
| 17 |
Schalke 04
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 | 0.75 |
| 18 |
Borussia M'gladbach
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 4 | 0.5 |
Odds
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