Primera Categoria Serie A
Leones del Norte vs Libertad
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 - 16:30 (UK Time)
Stadium:
Leones del Norte vs Libertad Prediction & Stats - Primera Categoria Serie A 2026
Predictions
Leones del Norte vs Libertad is part of the Primera Categoria Serie A schedule for Sunday (25/10).
The fixture is staged at , 16:30 (UK time).
Below is our Leones del Norte vs Libertad prediction, built before you place a bet.
Our verdict on Leones del Norte vs Libertad
Value at this level takes some digging out. Having gone through the form and the numbers, here is our preferred Leones del Norte vs Libertad prediction:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Under 3.5 Goals
Last updated on 24-10-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Leones del Norte the side to beat, with roughly 47% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Primera Categoria Serie A odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Leones del Norte Preview
Leones del Norte reach this fixture 33 match into their Primera Categoria Serie A. Here is where Leones del Norte stand:
In this competition
10 won, 10 drawn, 13 lost
1.21 points per game
33 scored, at 1 a game
39 conceded, at 1.18 a game
Leones del Norte, season-wide
10 won, 10 drawn, 13 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Juan Luis Anangonó León, 10 goals
Most assists: Jonathan Arroyo Santiago, 3 assists
Recent results — Leones del Norte
18/10/2026 15:00
09/10/2026 14:00
19/09/2026 17:30
13/09/2026 14:00
07/09/2026 20:00
Libertad: how they are travelling
Libertad come in 33 matches into their Primera Categoria Serie A.
Here is what Libertad have produced:
In this competition
14 won, 8 drawn, 11 lost
1.52 points per game
42 scored, at 1.27 a game
35 conceded, at 1.06 a game
Libertad, season-wide
14 won, 8 drawn, 12 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín, 12 goals
Most assists: Elvis Adan Patta Quintero, 5 assists
Recent results — Libertad
17/10/2026 12:30
09/10/2026 14:00
19/09/2026 20:00
13/09/2026 19:00
06/09/2026 20:00
The head-to-head
A short sample to go on — 3 recent meeting(s) between the two:
Leones del Norte: 1 win(s)
Libertad: 1 win(s)
Drawn: 1
With so little history, this fixture stays hard to call.
Form comparison Leones del Norte vs Libertad
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Leones del Norte
Ecuador - Primera Categoria Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
D
L
D
|
1.21 |
| Home |
L
L
W
L
D
|
1.44 |
| Away |
L
D
D
L
W
|
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 38% | 24% |
| Goals | 2.18 | 2.19 | 2.18 |
| Scored | 1 | 1.19 | 0.82 |
| Conceded | 1.18 | 1 | 1.35 |
| Both Teams to Score | 48% | 50% | 47% |
| Without Conceding | 30% | 31% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 19% | 35% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.37 | 1.54 | 1.21 |
|
xGA
|
1.49 | 1.28 | 1.7 |
Away Team
Libertad
Ecuador - Primera Categoria Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
W
W
L
|
1.52 |
| Home |
W
L
W
L
D
|
1.94 |
| Away |
W
W
L
D
W
|
1.06 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 42% | 59% | 25% |
| Goals | 2.33 | 2.47 | 2.19 |
| Scored | 1.27 | 1.59 | 0.94 |
| Conceded | 1.06 | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Both Teams to Score | 45% | 41% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 36% | 47% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 18% | 38% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.31 | 1.56 | 1.05 |
|
xGA
|
1.78 | 1.56 | 2.01 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Leones del Norte win or Draw
The upcoming Leones del Norte vs Libertad matchup looks to be a close contest, but home advantage could be the key factor in this match.
For that reason, we suggest backing Leones del Norte to win or draw on the Double Chance market. Playing at in front of their home fans should give them the edge they need to at least avoid defeat, making this a strong bet.
👉 Prediction: Leones del Norte to Win
Expect a hard-fought battle in Leones del Norte vs Libertad, but we’re backing Leones del Norte to take home the three points.
Their strong home record at makes them the safer pick, and we expect them to use their home-field advantage to claim all three points.
Fixture information - Leones del Norte vs Libertad
Match: Leones del Norte vs Libertad
Competition: Primera Categoria Serie A
Date: Sunday, 25/10/2026
Kick-off: 16:30 (UK time)
Venue:
More Primera Categoria Serie A predictions
Explore the rest of our Primera Categoria Serie A predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Leones del Norte vs Libertad that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.26
League: 2.3
Both Teams to Score
47%
League: 48%
Over 1.5+
69%
League: 66%
Over 2.5+
42%
League: 41%
Cards
4.75
League: 4.83
Corners
8.15
League: 9.37
Home Team
Leones del Norte
Ecuador - Primera Categoria Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
D
L
D
|
1.21 |
| Home |
L
L
W
L
D
|
1.44 |
| Away |
L
D
D
L
W
|
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 38% | 24% |
| Goals | 2.18 | 2.19 | 2.18 |
| Scored | 1 | 1.19 | 0.82 |
| Conceded | 1.18 | 1 | 1.35 |
| Both Teams to Score | 48% | 50% | 47% |
| Without Conceding | 30% | 31% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 19% | 35% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.37 | 1.54 | 1.21 |
|
xGA
|
1.49 | 1.28 | 1.7 |
Away Team
Libertad
Ecuador - Primera Categoria Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
W
W
L
|
1.52 |
| Home |
W
L
W
L
D
|
1.94 |
| Away |
W
W
L
D
W
|
1.06 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 42% | 59% | 25% |
| Goals | 2.33 | 2.47 | 2.19 |
| Scored | 1.27 | 1.59 | 0.94 |
| Conceded | 1.06 | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Both Teams to Score | 45% | 41% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 36% | 47% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 18% | 38% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.31 | 1.56 | 1.05 |
|
xGA
|
1.78 | 1.56 | 2.01 |
Corners
9.09 / Match
+4% Corners / Match
Libertad received +4% more corners than Leones del Norte in the Primera Categoria Serie A
9.46 / Match
CS Emelec
(6)
Libertad
(7)
Guayaquil City FC
(2)
Técnico Universitario
(4)
Mushuc Runa SC
(5)
Orense SC
(6)
CS Emelec
(4)(4)
Guayaquil City FC
(4)
Leones del Norte
(8)
CS Emelec
(4)
CSD Independiente del Valle
(2)
Deportivo Cuenca
(6)
CS Emelec
(2)
SD Aucas
Cards
2.48 / Match
+9% Cards / Match
Leones del Norte received +9% more cards than Libertad in the Primera Categoria Serie A
2.27 / Match
CS Emelec
(1)
Libertad
(2)
Guayaquil City FC
(4)
Técnico Universitario
(2)
Mushuc Runa SC
(2)
Orense SC
(2)
CS Emelec
(1)(2)
Guayaquil City FC
(0)
Leones del Norte
(4)
CS Emelec
(2)
CSD Independiente del Valle
(2)
Deportivo Cuenca
(2)
CS Emelec
(1)
SD Aucas
Goals Scored
1 / Match
+27%
Libertad is +27% better in terms of goals scored
1.27 / Match
CS Emelec
(1)
Libertad
(0)
Guayaquil City FC
(1)
Técnico Universitario
(0)
Mushuc Runa SC
(1)
Orense SC
(1)
CS Emelec
(1)(4)
Guayaquil City FC
(3)
Leones del Norte
(2)
CS Emelec
(2)
CSD Independiente del Valle
(1)
Deportivo Cuenca
(1)
CS Emelec
(0)
SD Aucas
Goals Conceded
1.18 / Match
+10%
Leones del Norte condeded +10% more goals than Libertad
1.06 / Match
CS Emelec
(3)
Libertad
(3)
Guayaquil City FC
(1)
Técnico Universitario
(1)
Mushuc Runa SC
(1)
Orense SC
(0)
CS Emelec
(2)(0)
Guayaquil City FC
(0)
Leones del Norte
(1)
CS Emelec
(3)
CSD Independiente del Valle
(0)
Deportivo Cuenca
(1)
CS Emelec
(1)
SD Aucas
Primera Categoria Serie A Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
CSD Independiente del Valle
|
30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73 | 33 | 40 | 74 | 2.47 |
| 2 |
CD Universidad Católica
|
30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 51 | 1.7 |
| 3 |
Macará
|
30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 51 | 1.7 |
| 4 |
SD Aucas
|
30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 50 | 1.67 |
| 5 |
LDU Quito
|
30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 46 | 1.53 |
| 6 |
Barcelona
|
30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 44 | 1.47 |
| 7 |
Libertad
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 41 | 1.37 |
| 8 |
Leones del Norte
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 39 | 1.3 |
| 9 |
Guayaquil City FC
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 39 | 1.3 |
| 10 |
Mushuc Runa SC
|
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 38 | 1.27 |
| 11 |
CS Emelec
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 36 | 1.3 |
| 12 |
Deportivo Cuenca
|
30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 36 | 1.2 |
| 13 |
Orense SC
|
30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 33 | 1.1 |
| 14 |
Técnico Universitario
|
30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 32 | 1.07 |
| 15 |
Delfin SC
|
30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 28 | 0.93 |
| 16 |
Manta FC
|
30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 21 | 0.7 |
Odds
Hey there! I’m Abhishek Nandwani, one of the voices behind the content at Eagle Predict. Hailing from India's capital, Delhi, I’m not just a football fan – I’m a die-hard Manchester United supporter. With 15 years of experience in the media world, I’ve spent the past three years in the betting world, producing content. When I’m not writing about football betting, you’ll probably catch me glued to football matches and enjoying some good food. For me, Zinedine Zidane is The GOAT! Stay tuned for my reviews – they’re always packed with detailed insights!
