Premier League
Aston Villa vs Manchester City
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 - 12:30 (UK Time)
Stadium: Villa Park
Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction & Stats - Premier League 2026/27
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Aston Villa vs Manchester City carries real history into this round of the Premier League.
The two sides meet on 24/10 (Saturday) at Villa Park, 12:30 (UK time).
Read the Aston Villa vs Manchester City prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Aston Villa vs Manchester City
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Aston Villa vs Manchester City call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Under 4.5 Goals
Last updated on 21-10-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Manchester City the side to beat, with roughly 20% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Premier League odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Aston Villa Preview
Aston Villa reach this fixture 7 match into their Premier League. Here is where Aston Villa F.C. stand:
In this competition
2 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost
1.14 points per game
7 scored, at 1 a game
11 conceded, at 1.57 a game
Aston Villa F.C., season-wide
5 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Nicolas Jackson, 3 goals
Most assists: John McGinn, 2 assists
Recent results — Aston Villa
17/10/2026 12:30
14/10/2026 15:00
10/10/2026 10:00
19/09/2026 07:30
16/09/2026 15:00
Manchester City: how they are travelling
Manchester City come in 7 matches into their Premier League.
Here is what Man City have produced:
In this competition
7 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost
3 points per game
19 scored, at 2.71 a game
7 conceded, at 1 a game
Man City, season-wide
10 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Erling Haaland, 8 goals
Most assists: Joško Gvardiol, 4 assists
Recent results — Man City
20/10/2026 15:00
17/10/2026 10:00
14/10/2026 15:00
11/10/2026 11:30
20/09/2026 09:00
The head-to-head favours Manchester City
Manchester City have generally come out ahead of Aston Villa F.C. in their recent meetings.
From 36 match(es):
Manchester City: 24 win(s)
Aston Villa: 8 win(s)
Drawn: 4
That trend is worth factoring into the Aston Villa vs Manchester City prediction.
Form comparison Aston Villa vs Manchester City
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Aston Villa
England - Premier League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
W
L
D
|
1.14 |
| Home |
D
L
L
|
0.33 |
| Away |
W
W
D
L
|
1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 29% | 0% | 50% |
| Goals | 2.57 | 2.67 | 2.5 |
| Scored | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.57 | 1.67 | 1.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.25 | 1.29 | 1.22 |
|
xGA
|
1.72 | 1.53 | 1.87 |
Away Team
Manchester City
England - Premier League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
W
W
W
|
3 |
| Home |
W
W
W
W
|
3 |
| Away |
W
W
W
|
3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Goals | 3.71 | 4.25 | 3 |
| Scored | 2.71 | 2.75 | 2.67 |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.5 | 0.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Without Conceding | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.71 | 1.84 | 1.53 |
|
xGA
|
1.24 | 1.18 | 1.33 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
Fixture information - Aston Villa vs Manchester City
Match: Aston Villa vs Manchester City
Competition: Premier League
Date: Saturday, 24/10/2026
Kick-off: 12:30 (UK time)
Venue: Villa Park
More Premier League predictions
Explore the rest of our Premier League predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for AVFC vs Manchester City F.C. that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.84
League: 2.9
Both Teams to Score
50%
League: 53%
Over 1.5+
67%
League: 76%
Over 2.5+
67%
League: 54%
Cards
5
League: 4.26
Corners
9.66
League: 9.4
Home Team
Aston Villa
England - Premier League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
W
L
D
|
1.14 |
| Home |
D
L
L
|
0.33 |
| Away |
W
W
D
L
|
1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 29% | 0% | 50% |
| Goals | 2.57 | 2.67 | 2.5 |
| Scored | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.57 | 1.67 | 1.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.25 | 1.29 | 1.22 |
|
xGA
|
1.72 | 1.53 | 1.87 |
Away Team
Manchester City
England - Premier League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
W
W
W
|
3 |
| Home |
W
W
W
W
|
3 |
| Away |
W
W
W
|
3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Goals | 3.71 | 4.25 | 3 |
| Scored | 2.71 | 2.75 | 2.67 |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.5 | 0.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Without Conceding | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.71 | 1.84 | 1.53 |
|
xGA
|
1.24 | 1.18 | 1.33 |
Corners
7.43 / Match
+31% Corners / Match
Manchester City received +31% more corners than Aston Villa in the Premier League
9.71 / Match
Newcastle
(5)
Brentford
(2)
Tottenham
(1)
Nottingham Forest
(6)
Hull City
(4)
Arsenal
(2)
Brighton
(2)(2)
Ipswich Town
(6)
Liverpool
(6)
Sunderland
(7)
Manchester United
(4)
Coventry City
(6)
Crystal Palace
(8)
Bournemouth
Cards
2.14 / Match
+36% Cards / Match
Aston Villa received +36% more cards than Manchester City in the Premier League
1.57 / Match
Newcastle
(2)
Brentford
(2)
Tottenham
(2)
Nottingham Forest
(2)
Hull City
(0)
Arsenal
(3)
Brighton
(3)(1)
Ipswich Town
(2)
Liverpool
(0)
Sunderland
(2)
Manchester United
(1)
Coventry City
(2)
Crystal Palace
(1)
Bournemouth
Goals Scored
1 / Match
+171%
Manchester City is +171% better in terms of goals scored
2.71 / Match
Newcastle
(1)
Brentford
(2)
Tottenham
(3)
Nottingham Forest
(1)
Hull City
(0)
Arsenal
(0)
Brighton
(0)(3)
Ipswich Town
(3)
Liverpool
(5)
Sunderland
(1)
Manchester United
(1)
Coventry City
(4)
Crystal Palace
(2)
Bournemouth
Goals Conceded
1.57 / Match
+36%
Aston Villa condeded +36% more goals than Manchester City
1 / Match
Newcastle
(0)
Brentford
(2)
Tottenham
(2)
Nottingham Forest
(2)
Hull City
(0)
Arsenal
(1)
Brighton
(4)(2)
Ipswich Town
(0)
Liverpool
(3)
Sunderland
(0)
Manchester United
(0)
Coventry City
(1)
Crystal Palace
(1)
Bournemouth
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 3 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 2.57 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2.29 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 1.86 |
| 5 |
Liverpool
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 1.71 |
| 6 |
Brentford
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 1.43 |
| 7 |
Leeds United
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 1.43 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 1.43 |
| 9 |
Hull City
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 1.29 |
| 10 |
Ipswich Town
|
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 9 | 1.29 |
| 11 |
Aston Villa
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 | 1.14 |
| 12 |
Newcastle
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 | 1.14 |
| 13 |
Manchester United
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 |
Tottenham
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | 0.86 |
| 16 |
Bournemouth
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 | 0.86 |
| 17 |
Coventry City
|
7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 | 0.86 |
| 18 |
Fulham
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 | 0.71 |
| 19 |
Nottingham Forest
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5 | 0.71 |
| 20 |
Sunderland
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | 0.57 |
Odds
