Liga MX
León vs Toluca
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 - 00:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Estadio León
León vs Toluca Prediction & Stats - Liga MX 2026/27
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. León vs Toluca carries real history into this round of the Liga MX.
The two sides meet on 25/10 (Sunday) at Estadio León, 00:00 (UK time).
Read the León vs Toluca prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on León vs Toluca
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the León vs Toluca call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Double Chance: Draw or Toluca
Last updated on 24-10-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Toluca the side to beat, with roughly 25% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Liga MX odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
León Preview
León reach this fixture 13 match into their Liga MX. Here is where Los Panzas Verdes stand:
In this competition
6 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost
1.62 points per game
20 scored, at 1.54 a game
17 conceded, at 1.31 a game
Los Panzas Verdes, season-wide
6 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Daniel Arcila, 4 goals
Most assists: Fernandoz Beltrán Cru, 3 assists
Recent results — León
20/10/2026 23:10
17/10/2026 21:00
09/10/2026 21:00
27/09/2026 21:00
20/09/2026 22:10
Toluca: how they are travelling
Toluca come in 12 matches into their Liga MX.
Here is what Diablos Rojos have produced:
In this competition
6 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost
1.75 points per game
26 scored, at 2.17 a game
16 conceded, at 1.33 a game
Diablos Rojos, season-wide
6 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Federico Sebastián Viñas Barboza, 5 goals
Most assists: Helio Junio Nunes de Castro, 5 assists
Recent results — Diablos Rojos
21/10/2026 21:00
17/10/2026 21:00
09/10/2026 23:00
26/09/2026 18:50
20/09/2026 20:00
The head-to-head
Over 32 recent meetings between León and Toluca:
León: 11 win(s)
Toluca: 11 win(s)
Drawn: 10
An even record like this keeps the León vs Toluca prediction genuinely open.
Form comparison León vs Toluca
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
León
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
D
W
D
|
1.62 |
| Home |
L
W
W
W
W
|
2 |
| Away |
W
D
D
L
D
|
1.29 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 46% | 67% | 29% |
| Goals | 2.85 | 3.5 | 2.29 |
| Scored | 1.54 | 2 | 1.14 |
| Conceded | 1.31 | 1.5 | 1.14 |
| Both Teams to Score | 62% | 50% | 71% |
| Without Conceding | 31% | 50% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.53 | 1.6 | 1.47 |
|
xGA
|
1.63 | 1.43 | 1.8 |
Away Team
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
D
L
D
L
|
1.69 |
| Home |
D
D
L
W
W
|
1.57 |
| Away |
L
D
W
W
D
|
1.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 46% | 43% | 50% |
| Goals | 3.54 | 4.14 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 2.15 | 2.57 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.38 | 1.57 | 1.17 |
| Both Teams to Score | 69% | 86% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 31% | 14% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
2.06 | 2.48 | 1.56 |
|
xGA
|
1.42 | 1.16 | 1.73 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Under 9.5 Corners
For León vs Toluca, we see under 9.5 corners as a relatively safe betting option. This market offers great value compared to the standard markets.
With both teams likely to play carefully, we don’t expect a high number of attacks leading to corners.
👉 Prediction: Toluca to Win
We’re backing Toluca to win in the 1X2 market in the León vs Toluca clash.
The odds of 2.09 to win give you good value, and their track record away from home shows they have what it takes to pull off a victory at Estadio León.
Fixture information - León vs Toluca
Match: León vs Toluca
Competition: Liga MX
Date: Sunday, 25/10/2026
Kick-off: 00:00 (UK time)
Venue: Estadio León
More Liga MX predictions
Explore the rest of our Liga MX predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for La Fiera vs Los Auriazules that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
3.2
League: 2.98
Both Teams to Score
66%
League: 60%
Over 1.5+
85%
League: 80%
Over 2.5+
54%
League: 52%
Cards
4
League: 4.09
Corners
11.54
League: 11.15
Home Team
León
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
D
W
D
|
1.62 |
| Home |
L
W
W
W
W
|
2 |
| Away |
W
D
D
L
D
|
1.29 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 46% | 67% | 29% |
| Goals | 2.85 | 3.5 | 2.29 |
| Scored | 1.54 | 2 | 1.14 |
| Conceded | 1.31 | 1.5 | 1.14 |
| Both Teams to Score | 62% | 50% | 71% |
| Without Conceding | 31% | 50% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.53 | 1.6 | 1.47 |
|
xGA
|
1.63 | 1.43 | 1.8 |
Away Team
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
D
L
D
L
|
1.69 |
| Home |
D
D
L
W
W
|
1.57 |
| Away |
L
D
W
W
D
|
1.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 46% | 43% | 50% |
| Goals | 3.54 | 4.14 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 2.15 | 2.57 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.38 | 1.57 | 1.17 |
| Both Teams to Score | 69% | 86% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 31% | 14% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
2.06 | 2.48 | 1.56 |
|
xGA
|
1.42 | 1.16 | 1.73 |
Corners
10.15 / Match
+23% Corners / Match
Toluca received +23% more corners than León in the Liga MX
12.46 / Match
Tigres UANL
(4)
América
(7)
Puebla
(6)
Juárez
(1)
Querétaro
(1)
Atlético San Luis
(6)
Pumas UNAM
(2)(17)
Tijuana
(15)
Atlético San Luis
(6)
Tigres UANL
(5)
Cruz Azul
(6)
Santos Laguna
(5)
Puebla
(6)
Atlas
Cards
2.46 / Match
+60% Cards / Match
León received +60% more cards than Toluca in the Liga MX
1.54 / Match
Tigres UANL
(1)
América
(4)
Puebla
(1)
Juárez
(2)
Querétaro
(3)
Atlético San Luis
(1)
Pumas UNAM
(1)(0)
Tijuana
(0)
Atlético San Luis
(4)
Tigres UANL
(1)
Cruz Azul
(1)
Santos Laguna
(1)
Puebla
(1)
Atlas
Goals Scored
1.54 / Match
+40%
Toluca is +40% better in terms of goals scored
2.15 / Match
Tigres UANL
(2)
América
(3)
Puebla
(1)
Juárez
(2)
Querétaro
(1)
Atlético San Luis
(2)
Pumas UNAM
(1)(2)
Tijuana
(1)
Atlético San Luis
(2)
Tigres UANL
(3)
Cruz Azul
(2)
Santos Laguna
(1)
Puebla
(5)
Atlas
Goals Conceded
1.31 / Match
+5%
Toluca condeded +5% more goals than León
1.38 / Match
Tigres UANL
(0)
América
(5)
Puebla
(1)
Juárez
(1)
Querétaro
(1)
Atlético San Luis
(0)
Pumas UNAM
(3)(2)
Tijuana
(1)
Atlético San Luis
(3)
Tigres UANL
(3)
Cruz Azul
(3)
Santos Laguna
(0)
Puebla
(2)
Atlas
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
América
|
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 27 | 2.25 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara
|
13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 23 | 1.77 |
| 3 |
Cruz Azul
|
13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 23 | 1.77 |
| 4 |
Toluca
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 22 | 1.69 |
| 5 |
León
|
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 21 | 1.62 |
| 6 |
Atlas
|
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 21 | 1.62 |
| 7 |
Monterrey
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 20 | 1.67 |
| 8 |
Querétaro
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 | 1.67 |
| 9 |
Santos Laguna
|
13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 | 1.46 |
| 10 |
Tijuana
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 | 1.42 |
| 11 |
Pumas UNAM
|
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 16 | 1.23 |
| 12 |
Puebla
|
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 16 | 1.23 |
| 13 |
Atlético San Luis
|
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 16 | 1.23 |
| 14 |
Tigres UANL
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 | 1.08 |
| 15 |
Atlante
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 14 | 1.08 |
| 16 |
Pachuca
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 1 |
| 17 |
Necaxa
|
13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 9 | 0.69 |
| 18 |
Juárez
|
13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 32 | -24 | 4 | 0.31 |
Odds
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