Independiente vs Boca Juniors Prediction & Stats - Primera División 2026

Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Independiente vs Boca Juniors carries real history into this round of the Primera División.

The two sides meet on 25/10 (Sunday) at Estadio Libertadores de América, 20:00 (UK time).

Read the Independiente vs Boca Juniors prediction below before backing anything.

Our verdict on Independiente vs Boca Juniors

A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Independiente vs Boca Juniors call we are most confident in:

Who do the bookmakers favour?

The market makes Boca Juniors the side to beat, with roughly 31% of the implied odds in their favour.

For the wider picture, compare all Primera División odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.

Independiente Preview

Independiente reach this fixture 30 match into their Primera División. Here is where El Rojo stand:

In this competition

• 12 won, 9 drawn, 9 lost

• 1.5 points per game

• 38 scored, at 1.27 a game

• 36 conceded, at 1.2 a game

El Rojo, season-wide

• 14 won, 9 drawn, 10 lost across all competitions

• Leading scorer: Gabriel Ávalos, 11 goals

• Most assists: Gabriel Ávalos, 5 assists

Recent results — Independiente

18/10/2026 13:45

Racing Club

1 - 1

Independiente

D

11/10/2026 20:30

Talleres Córdoba

0 - 1

Independiente

W

02/10/2026 18:15

Independiente

1 - 4

Instituto

L

19/09/2026 15:45

Unión Santa Fe

1 - 2

Independiente

W

13/09/2026 18:15

Independiente

1 - 1

San Lorenzo

D

Boca Juniors: how they are travelling

Boca Juniors come in 30 matches into their Primera División.

Here is what Boca have produced:

In this competition

• 14 won, 12 drawn, 4 lost

• 1.8 points per game

• 45 scored, at 1.5 a game

• 26 conceded, at 0.87 a game

Boca, season-wide

• 24 won, 15 drawn, 9 lost across all competitions

• Leading scorer: Miguel Merentiel, 10 goals

• Most assists: Lautaro Emanuel Blanco, 5 assists

Recent results — Boca

20/10/2026 20:30

Vasco da Gama

1 - 3

Boca Juniors

W

16/10/2026 20:30

Boca Juniors

2 - 1

Talleres Córdoba

W

13/10/2026 20:30

Boca Juniors

0 - 1

Vasco da Gama

L

09/10/2026 18:30

Instituto

2 - 2

Boca Juniors

D

02/10/2026 20:30

Boca Juniors

3 - 0

Unión Santa Fe

W

The head-to-head favours Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors have generally come out ahead of El Rojo in their recent meetings.

From 14 match(es):

• Boca Juniors: 4 win(s)

• Independiente: 3 win(s)

• Drawn: 7

That trend is worth factoring into the Independiente vs Boca Juniors prediction.

Form comparison Independiente vs Boca Juniors

A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:

Home Team

Independiente

Argentina - Primera División

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L W D	1.5
Home	L D L D L	1.43
Away	D W W W W	1.56

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	36%	44%
Goals	2.47	2.57	2.38
Scored	1.27	1.29	1.25
Conceded	1.2	1.29	1.13
Both Teams to Score	57%	50%	63%
Without Conceding	30%	36%	25%
Failed To Score	17%	21%	13%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.46	1.62	1.32
xGA	1.33	1	1.61

Away Team

Boca Juniors

Argentina - Primera División

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W D W W	1.8
Home	D W W W W	2
Away	D W D D D	1.6

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	47%	53%	40%
Goals	2.37	2	2.73
Scored	1.5	1.4	1.6
Conceded	0.87	0.6	1.13
Both Teams to Score	53%	47%	60%
Without Conceding	43%	53%	33%
Failed To Score	10%	13%	7%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.62	1.79	1.46
xGA	1.15	0.96	1.34

Further markets to consider

Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:

Fixture information - Independiente vs Boca Juniors

• Match: Independiente vs Boca Juniors

• Competition: Primera División

• Date: Sunday, 25/10/2026

• Kick-off: 20:00 (UK time)

• Venue: Estadio Libertadores de América

More Primera División predictions

Explore the rest of our Primera División predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.

The statistics for Los Diablos Rojos vs Boca Jrs that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.

Home Team

Independiente

Argentina - Primera División

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L W D	1.5
Home	L D L D L	1.43
Away	D W W W W	1.56

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	36%	44%
Goals	2.47	2.57	2.38
Scored	1.27	1.29	1.25
Conceded	1.2	1.29	1.13
Both Teams to Score	57%	50%	63%
Without Conceding	30%	36%	25%
Failed To Score	17%	21%	13%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.46	1.62	1.32
xGA	1.33	1	1.61

Away Team

Boca Juniors

Argentina - Primera División

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W D W W	1.8
Home	D W W W W	2
Away	D W D D D	1.6

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	47%	53%	40%
Goals	2.37	2	2.73
Scored	1.5	1.4	1.6
Conceded	0.87	0.6	1.13
Both Teams to Score	53%	47%	60%
Without Conceding	43%	53%	33%
Failed To Score	10%	13%	7%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.62	1.79	1.46
xGA	1.15	0.96	1.34

Corners

10.14 / Match

+16% Corners / Match

Independiente received +16% more corners than Boca Juniors in the Primera División

8.73 / Match

Racing Club

(4)

Talleres Córdoba

(2)

Instituto

(3)

Unión Santa Fe

(1)

San Lorenzo

(8)

Central Córdoba SdE

(3)

Gimnasia Mendoza

(7)

(5)

Talleres Córdoba

(2)

Instituto

(2)

Unión Santa Fe

(8)

San Lorenzo

(2)

Central Córdoba SdE

(6)

Gimnasia Mendoza

(11)

Lanús

Cards

2.53 / Match

+28% Cards / Match

Independiente received +28% more cards than Boca Juniors in the Primera División

1.97 / Match

Racing Club

(2)

Talleres Córdoba

(2)

Instituto

(3)

Unión Santa Fe

(4)

San Lorenzo

(2)

Central Córdoba SdE

(1)

Gimnasia Mendoza

(1)

(1)

Talleres Córdoba

(3)

Instituto

(2)

Unión Santa Fe

(3)

San Lorenzo

(3)

Central Córdoba SdE

(3)

Gimnasia Mendoza

(2)

Lanús

Goals Scored

1.27 / Match

+18%

Boca Juniors is +18% better in terms of goals scored

1.5 / Match

Racing Club

(1)

Talleres Córdoba

(1)

Instituto

(1)

Unión Santa Fe

(2)

San Lorenzo

(1)

Central Córdoba SdE

(1)

Gimnasia Mendoza

(0)

(2)

Talleres Córdoba

(2)

Instituto

(3)

Unión Santa Fe

(2)

San Lorenzo

(3)

Central Córdoba SdE

(2)

Gimnasia Mendoza

(1)

Lanús

Goals Conceded

1.2 / Match

+28%

Independiente condeded +28% more goals than Boca Juniors

0.87 / Match

Racing Club

(1)

Talleres Córdoba

(0)

Instituto

(4)

Unión Santa Fe

(1)

San Lorenzo

(1)

Central Córdoba SdE

(0)

Gimnasia Mendoza

(3)

(1)

Talleres Córdoba

(2)

Instituto

(0)

Unión Santa Fe

(0)

San Lorenzo

(1)

Central Córdoba SdE

(2)

Gimnasia Mendoza

(0)

Lanús

Primera División Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Argentinos Juniors	32	17	10	5	38	25	13	61	1.91
2	Rosario Central	32	17	8	7	45	30	15	59	1.84
3	Belgrano	33	16	10	7	38	26	12	58	1.76
4	River Plate	33	17	5	11	47	30	17	56	1.7
5	Boca Juniors	30	14	12	4	45	26	19	54	1.8
6	Gimnasia La Plata	32	16	6	10	41	39	2	54	1.69
7	Independiente Rivadavia	30	15	8	7	47	38	9	53	1.77
8	Vélez Sarsfield	30	13	13	4	36	26	10	52	1.73
9	Instituto	29	15	5	9	37	27	10	50	1.72
10	Lanús	30	13	8	9	34	26	8	47	1.57
11	Estudiantes	30	13	6	11	35	23	12	45	1.5
12	Independiente	30	12	9	9	38	36	2	45	1.5
13	Huracán	31	11	11	9	32	28	4	44	1.42
14	Defensa y Justicia	29	11	10	8	36	33	3	43	1.48
15	Barracas Central	29	10	10	9	26	25	1	40	1.38
16	San Lorenzo	30	10	10	10	23	28	-5	40	1.33
17	Sarmiento	30	12	4	14	35	41	-6	40	1.33
18	Gimnasia Mendoza	30	11	6	13	30	37	-7	39	1.3
19	Unión Santa Fe	31	10	8	13	44	45	-1	38	1.23
20	Racing Club	31	9	9	13	33	37	-4	36	1.16
21	Newell's Old Boys	29	8	11	10	28	37	-9	35	1.21
22	Talleres Córdoba	30	9	7	14	29	35	-6	34	1.13
23	Tigre	29	7	12	10	31	30	1	33	1.14
24	Banfield	29	8	7	14	31	38	-7	31	1.07
25	Platense	30	6	12	12	24	35	-11	30	1
26	Atlético Tucumán	29	6	10	13	27	33	-6	28	0.97
27	Central Córdoba SdE	29	6	8	15	22	39	-17	26	0.9
28	Deportivo Riestra	29	3	14	12	15	25	-10	23	0.79
29	Aldosivi	29	2	10	17	20	41	-21	16	0.55
30	Estudiantes Río Cuarto	29	3	5	21	13	41	-28	14	0.48