Virsliga
FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 - 12:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Zemgales Olimpiskā centra
FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction & Stats - Virsliga 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils carries real history into this round of the Virsliga.
The two sides meet on 25/10 (Sunday) at Zemgales Olimpiskā centra, 12:00 (UK time).
Read the FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
Last updated on 24-10-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes BFC Daugavpils the side to beat, with roughly 34% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Virsliga odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
FS Jelgava Preview
FS Jelgava reach this fixture 33 match into their Virsliga. Here is where FS Jelgava stand:
In this competition
8 won, 8 drawn, 17 lost
0.97 points per game
34 scored, at 1.03 a game
56 conceded, at 1.7 a game
FS Jelgava, season-wide
8 won, 8 drawn, 17 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Filip Hašek, 8 goals
Most assists: Glebs Žaleiko, 7 assists
Recent results — FS Jelgava
18/10/2026 09:00
11/10/2026 09:00
19/09/2026 09:00
12/09/2026 07:00
05/09/2026 10:00
BFC Daugavpils: how they are travelling
BFC Daugavpils come in 33 matches into their Virsliga.
Here is what BFC Daugavpils have produced:
In this competition
12 won, 9 drawn, 12 lost
1.36 points per game
39 scored, at 1.18 a game
37 conceded, at 1.12 a game
BFC Daugavpils, season-wide
13 won, 9 drawn, 13 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Rostand Ndjiki, 12 goals
Most assists: Ziad Ouled-Haj-M'hand, 5 assists
Recent results — BFC Daugavpils
19/10/2026 11:00
11/10/2026 07:00
19/09/2026 07:00
13/09/2026 07:00
07/09/2026 12:00
The head-to-head favours BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils have generally come out ahead of FS Jelgava in their recent meetings.
From 15 match(es):
BFC Daugavpils: 7 win(s)
FS Jelgava: 2 win(s)
Drawn: 6
That trend is worth factoring into the FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils prediction.
Form comparison FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
FS Jelgava
Latvia - Virsliga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
L
D
L
|
0.97 |
| Home |
L
L
L
L
L
|
0.88 |
| Away |
L
L
D
W
W
|
1.06 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 24% | 25% | 24% |
| Goals | 2.73 | 2.38 | 3.06 |
| Scored | 1.03 | 0.81 | 1.24 |
| Conceded | 1.7 | 1.56 | 1.82 |
| Both Teams to Score | 42% | 31% | 53% |
| Without Conceding | 15% | 13% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 48% | 56% | 41% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.32 | 1.23 | 1.4 |
|
xGA
|
1.75 | 1.66 | 1.83 |
Away Team
BFC Daugavpils
Latvia - Virsliga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
W
W
W
|
1.36 |
| Home |
W
W
W
L
W
|
1.71 |
| Away |
D
W
D
D
L
|
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 36% | 53% | 19% |
| Goals | 2.3 | 2 | 2.63 |
| Scored | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.19 |
| Conceded | 1.12 | 0.82 | 1.44 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 41% | 69% |
| Without Conceding | 27% | 35% | 19% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 35% | 25% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.56 | 1.59 | 1.54 |
|
xGA
|
1.58 | 1.56 | 1.61 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: FS Jelgava to Win
Expect a hard-fought battle in FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils, but we’re backing FS Jelgava to take home the three points.
Their strong home record at Zemgales Olimpiskā centra makes them the safer pick, and we expect them to use their home-field advantage to claim all three points.
👉 Prediction: BFC Daugavpils to Win the First Half
Despite playing away at Zemgales Olimpiskā centra, BFC Daugavpils has the quality to put FS Jelgava under pressure early on. They are a dangerous side that usually starts matches strongly.
We see solid value in betting on BFC Daugavpils to win the first half at odds of 2.74.
Fixture information - FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils
Match: FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils
Competition: Virsliga
Date: Sunday, 25/10/2026
Kick-off: 12:00 (UK time)
Venue: Zemgales Olimpiskā centra
More Virsliga predictions
Explore the rest of our Virsliga predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.51
League: 2.89
Both Teams to Score
50%
League: 55%
Over 1.5+
66%
League: 77%
Over 2.5+
35%
League: 55%
Cards
3.51
League: 4.03
Corners
8.81
League: 9.56
Home Team
FS Jelgava
Latvia - Virsliga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
L
D
L
|
0.97 |
| Home |
L
L
L
L
L
|
0.88 |
| Away |
L
L
D
W
W
|
1.06 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 24% | 25% | 24% |
| Goals | 2.73 | 2.38 | 3.06 |
| Scored | 1.03 | 0.81 | 1.24 |
| Conceded | 1.7 | 1.56 | 1.82 |
| Both Teams to Score | 42% | 31% | 53% |
| Without Conceding | 15% | 13% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 48% | 56% | 41% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.32 | 1.23 | 1.4 |
|
xGA
|
1.75 | 1.66 | 1.83 |
Away Team
BFC Daugavpils
Latvia - Virsliga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
W
W
W
|
1.36 |
| Home |
W
W
W
L
W
|
1.71 |
| Away |
D
W
D
D
L
|
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 36% | 53% | 19% |
| Goals | 2.3 | 2 | 2.63 |
| Scored | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.19 |
| Conceded | 1.12 | 0.82 | 1.44 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 41% | 69% |
| Without Conceding | 27% | 35% | 19% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 35% | 25% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.56 | 1.59 | 1.54 |
|
xGA
|
1.58 | 1.56 | 1.61 |
Corners
10.16 / Match
+22% Corners / Match
FS Jelgava received +22% more corners than BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga
8.36 / Match
Liepāja
(5)
Rigas FS
(5)
Riga
(1)
Grobiņa
(5)
Super Nova
(3)
Tukums
(4)
Ogre United
(6)(3)
Auda
(5)
Ogre United
(9)
Liepāja
(3)
Rigas FS
(3)
Riga
(5)
Grobiņa
(3)
Super Nova
Cards
1.91 / Match
+44% Cards / Match
FS Jelgava received +44% more cards than BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga
1.33 / Match
Liepāja
(1)
Rigas FS
(3)
Riga
(3)
Grobiņa
(1)
Super Nova
(1)
Tukums
(1)
Ogre United
(3)(0)
Auda
(2)
Ogre United
(1)
Liepāja
(2)
Rigas FS
(0)
Riga
(3)
Grobiņa
(2)
Super Nova
Goals Scored
1.03 / Match
+15%
BFC Daugavpils is +15% better in terms of goals scored
1.18 / Match
Liepāja
(0)
Rigas FS
(2)
Riga
(0)
Grobiņa
(0)
Super Nova
(0)
Tukums
(4)
Ogre United
(3)(2)
Auda
(2)
Ogre United
(0)
Liepāja
(1)
Rigas FS
(1)
Riga
(0)
Grobiņa
(0)
Super Nova
Goals Conceded
1.7 / Match
+34%
FS Jelgava condeded +34% more goals than BFC Daugavpils
1.12 / Match
Liepāja
(3)
Rigas FS
(4)
Riga
(1)
Grobiņa
(0)
Super Nova
(1)
Tukums
(1)
Ogre United
(2)(1)
Auda
(1)
Ogre United
(0)
Liepāja
(2)
Rigas FS
(1)
Riga
(1)
Grobiņa
(0)
Super Nova
Virsliga Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rigas FS
|
33 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 24 | 57 | 83 | 2.52 |
| 2 |
Riga
|
33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 90 | 31 | 59 | 79 | 2.39 |
| 3 |
Auda
|
33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 64 | 1.94 |
| 4 |
Liepāja
|
33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 46 | 1.39 |
| 5 |
BFC Daugavpils
|
33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 45 | 1.36 |
| 6 |
Super Nova
|
33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 38 | 1.15 |
| 7 |
FS Jelgava
|
33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 32 | 0.97 |
| 8 |
Grobiņa
|
33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 29 | 0.88 |
| 9 |
Tukums
|
33 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 24 | 0.73 |
| 10 |
Ogre United
|
33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 33 | 81 | -48 | 18 | 0.55 |
Odds
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