Bahia vs Mirassol Prediction & Stats - Serie A 2026

Bahia vs Mirassol is part of the Serie A schedule for Sunday (11/10).

The fixture is staged at Arena Fonte Nova, 23:30 (UK time).

Below is our Bahia vs Mirassol prediction, built before you place a bet.

Our verdict on Bahia vs Mirassol

Value at this level takes some digging out. Having gone through the form and the numbers, here is our preferred Bahia vs Mirassol prediction:

Who do the bookmakers favour?

The market makes Bahia the side to beat, with roughly 55% of the implied odds in their favour.

For the wider picture, compare all Serie A odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.

Bahia Preview

Bahia reach this fixture 28 match into their Serie A. Here is where Esquadrão de Aço stand:

In this competition

• 12 won, 10 drawn, 6 lost

• 1.64 points per game

• 43 scored, at 1.54 a game

• 35 conceded, at 1.25 a game

Esquadrão de Aço, season-wide

• 13 won, 10 drawn, 9 lost across all competitions

• Leading scorer: Luciano Batista da Silva Junior, 9 goals

• Most assists: Éverton Ribeiro, 4 assists

Recent results — Bahia

08/10/2026 20:30

Palmeiras

1 - 0

Bahia

L

20/09/2026 18:30

Athletico-PR

2 - 1

Bahia

L

14/09/2026 19:00

Bahia

2 - 1

Remo

W

05/09/2026 15:00

RB Bragantino

2 - 3

Bahia

W

30/08/2026 18:30

Bahia

3 - 2

Internacional

W

Mirassol: how they are travelling

Mirassol come in 29 matches into their Serie A.

Here is what Mirassol Futebol Clube have produced:

In this competition

• 8 won, 9 drawn, 12 lost

• 1.14 points per game

• 34 scored, at 1.17 a game

• 43 conceded, at 1.48 a game

Mirassol Futebol Clube, season-wide

• 13 won, 13 drawn, 15 lost across all competitions

• Leading scorer: Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alves, 6 goals

• Most assists: Reinaldo Manoel da Silva, 6 assists

Recent results — Mirassol Futebol Clube

07/10/2026 18:30

RB Bragantino

1 - 1

Mirassol

D

19/09/2026 16:00

Mirassol

2 - 0

Botafogo

W

13/09/2026 15:00

Mirassol

2 - 2

Vitória

D

06/09/2026 10:00

Coritiba

1 - 2

Mirassol

W

02/09/2026 18:30

Flamengo

2 - 0

Mirassol

L

The head-to-head

A short sample to go on — 3 recent meeting(s) between the two:

• Bahia: 1 win(s)

• Mirassol: 1 win(s)

• Drawn: 1

With so little history, this fixture stays hard to call.

Form comparison Bahia vs Mirassol

A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:

Home Team

Bahia

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W W W	1.59
Home	W W D D W	1.71
Away	L L W W D	1.47

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	41%	43%	40%
Goals	2.72	2.57	2.87
Scored	1.48	1.57	1.4
Conceded	1.24	1	1.47
Both Teams to Score	66%	71%	60%
Without Conceding	28%	29%	27%
Failed To Score	14%	7%	20%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.58	1.73	1.45
xGA	1.59	1.2	1.96

Away Team

Mirassol

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D W D W	1.14
Home	L W D D L	1.53
Away	D W L D L	0.71

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	28%	40%	14%
Goals	2.66	2.8	2.5
Scored	1.17	1.4	0.93
Conceded	1.48	1.4	1.57
Both Teams to Score	69%	73%	64%
Without Conceding	7%	13%	0%
Failed To Score	24%	13%	36%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.49	1.75	1.21
xGA	1.58	1.35	1.82

Further markets to consider

Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:

Fixture information - Bahia vs Mirassol

• Match: Bahia vs Mirassol

• Competition: Serie A

• Date: Sunday, 11/10/2026

• Kick-off: 23:30 (UK time)

• Venue: Arena Fonte Nova

More Serie A predictions

Explore the rest of our Serie A predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.

The statistics for Tricolor Baiano vs Mirassol FC that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.

Home Team

Bahia

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W W W	1.59
Home	W W D D W	1.71
Away	L L W W D	1.47

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	41%	43%	40%
Goals	2.72	2.57	2.87
Scored	1.48	1.57	1.4
Conceded	1.24	1	1.47
Both Teams to Score	66%	71%	60%
Without Conceding	28%	29%	27%
Failed To Score	14%	7%	20%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.58	1.73	1.45
xGA	1.59	1.2	1.96

Away Team

Mirassol

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D W D W	1.14
Home	L W D D L	1.53
Away	D W L D L	0.71

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	28%	40%	14%
Goals	2.66	2.8	2.5
Scored	1.17	1.4	0.93
Conceded	1.48	1.4	1.57
Both Teams to Score	69%	73%	64%
Without Conceding	7%	13%	0%
Failed To Score	24%	13%	36%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.49	1.75	1.21
xGA	1.58	1.35	1.82

Corners

11.17 / Match

+6% Corners / Match

Bahia received +6% more corners than Mirassol in the Serie A

10.58 / Match

Palmeiras

(3)

Athletico-PR

(3)

Remo

(7)

RB Bragantino

(8)

Internacional

(3)

Vitória

(7)

Chapecoense

(5)

(3)

RB Bragantino

(3)

Botafogo

(12)

Vitória

(7)

Coritiba

(7)

Flamengo

(3)

Palmeiras

(2)

Santos

Cards

2.28 / Match

+18% Cards / Match

Mirassol received +18% more cards than Bahia in the Serie A

2.69 / Match

Palmeiras

(2)

Athletico-PR

(3)

Remo

(2)

RB Bragantino

(2)

Internacional

(4)

Vitória

(3)

Chapecoense

(2)

(0)

RB Bragantino

(0)

Botafogo

(5)

Vitória

(4)

Coritiba

(2)

Flamengo

(2)

Palmeiras

(3)

Santos

Goals Scored

1.48 / Match

+26%

Bahia is +26% better in terms of goals scored

1.17 / Match

Palmeiras

(0)

Athletico-PR

(1)

Remo

(2)

RB Bragantino

(3)

Internacional

(3)

Vitória

(2)

Chapecoense

(3)

(1)

RB Bragantino

(2)

Botafogo

(2)

Vitória

(2)

Coritiba

(0)

Flamengo

(1)

Palmeiras

(1)

Santos

Goals Conceded

1.24 / Match

+16%

Mirassol condeded +16% more goals than Bahia

1.48 / Match

Palmeiras

(1)

Athletico-PR

(2)

Remo

(1)

RB Bragantino

(2)

Internacional

(2)

Vitória

(0)

Chapecoense

(3)

(1)

RB Bragantino

(0)

Botafogo

(2)

Vitória

(1)

Coritiba

(2)

Flamengo

(1)

Palmeiras

(1)

Santos

Serie A Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Flamengo	29	18	7	4	57	25	32	61	2.1
2	Palmeiras	29	17	9	3	48	21	27	60	2.07
3	Fluminense	29	14	9	6	48	36	12	51	1.76
4	Athletico-PR	29	14	8	7	45	34	11	50	1.72
5	Cruzeiro	29	14	6	9	44	40	4	48	1.66
6	Bahia	29	12	10	7	43	36	7	46	1.59
7	Atlético MG	29	12	8	9	39	34	5	44	1.52
8	Santos	29	11	9	9	45	43	2	42	1.45
9	São Paulo	30	11	6	13	35	35	0	39	1.3
10	Coritiba	29	10	8	11	37	47	-10	38	1.31
11	RB Bragantino	29	10	7	12	34	33	1	37	1.28
12	Vitória	30	10	6	14	33	44	-11	36	1.2
13	Botafogo	29	9	8	12	42	47	-5	35	1.21
14	Vasco da Gama	29	9	8	12	36	42	-6	35	1.21
15	Mirassol	29	8	9	12	34	43	-9	33	1.14
16	Corinthians	29	8	8	13	30	34	-4	32	1.1
17	Internacional	29	7	10	12	32	37	-5	31	1.07
18	Grêmio	29	7	9	13	31	39	-8	30	1.03
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	33	48	-15	25	0.83
20	Chapecoense	28	3	9	16	29	57	-28	18	0.64