Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction & Stats - Serie A 2026

Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Bahia vs Flamengo carries real history into this round of the Serie A.

The two sides meet on 18/10 (Sunday) at Arena Fonte Nova, 22:30 (UK time).

Read the Bahia vs Flamengo prediction below before backing anything.

Our verdict on Bahia vs Flamengo

A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Bahia vs Flamengo call we are most confident in:

Who do the bookmakers favour?

The market makes Flamengo the side to beat, with roughly 29% of the implied odds in their favour.

For the wider picture, compare all Serie A odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.

Bahia Preview

Bahia reach this fixture 30 match into their Serie A. Here is where Esquadrão de Aço stand:

In this competition

• 13 won, 10 drawn, 7 lost

• 1.63 points per game

• 44 scored, at 1.47 a game

• 36 conceded, at 1.2 a game

Esquadrão de Aço, season-wide

• 14 won, 10 drawn, 10 lost across all competitions

• Leading scorer: Luciano Batista da Silva Junior, 10 goals

• Most assists: Éverton Ribeiro, 4 assists

Recent results — Bahia

11/10/2026 18:30

Bahia

1 - 0

Mirassol

W

08/10/2026 20:30

Palmeiras

1 - 0

Bahia

L

20/09/2026 18:30

Athletico-PR

2 - 1

Bahia

L

14/09/2026 19:00

Bahia

2 - 1

Remo

W

05/09/2026 15:00

RB Bragantino

2 - 3

Bahia

W

Flamengo: how they are travelling

Flamengo come in 30 matches into their Serie A.

Here is what Fla have produced:

In this competition

• 19 won, 7 drawn, 4 lost

• 2.13 points per game

• 58 scored, at 1.93 a game

• 25 conceded, at 0.83 a game

Fla, season-wide

• 27 won, 10 drawn, 5 lost across all competitions

• Leading scorer: Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos, 16 goals

• Most assists: Jorge Andrés Carrascal Guardo, 8 assists

Recent results — Fla

15/10/2026 20:30

Estudiantes

0 - 0

Flamengo

D

11/10/2026 16:30

Flamengo

1 - 0

Fluminense

W

08/10/2026 18:30

Santos

2 - 2

Flamengo

D

20/09/2026 17:30

Flamengo

2 - 1

RB Bragantino

W

17/09/2026 20:30

Flamengo

1 - 1

CSD Independiente del Valle

D

The head-to-head favours Flamengo

Flamengo have generally come out ahead of Esquadrão de Aço in their recent meetings.

From 23 match(es):

• Flamengo: 17 win(s)

• Bahia: 4 win(s)

• Drawn: 2

That trend is worth factoring into the Bahia vs Flamengo prediction.

Form comparison Bahia vs Flamengo

A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:

Home Team

Bahia

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L W W	1.63
Home	W W W D D	1.8
Away	L L W W D	1.47

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	43%	47%	40%
Goals	2.67	2.47	2.87
Scored	1.47	1.53	1.4
Conceded	1.2	0.93	1.47
Both Teams to Score	63%	67%	60%
Without Conceding	30%	33%	27%
Failed To Score	13%	7%	20%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.58	1.71	1.45
xGA	1.57	1.19	1.96

Away Team

Flamengo

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D W W	2.13
Home	W W W W W	2.4
Away	D W L W D	1.87

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	63%	73%	53%
Goals	2.77	2.6	2.93
Scored	1.93	1.93	1.93
Conceded	0.83	0.67	1
Both Teams to Score	50%	40%	60%
Without Conceding	43%	53%	33%
Failed To Score	7%	7%	7%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.74	1.96	1.51
xGA	1.31	1.17	1.45

Further markets to consider

Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:

Fixture information - Bahia vs Flamengo

• Match: Bahia vs Flamengo

• Competition: Serie A

• Date: Sunday, 18/10/2026

• Kick-off: 22:30 (UK time)

• Venue: Arena Fonte Nova

More Serie A predictions

Explore the rest of our Serie A predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.

The statistics for Tricolor Baiano vs Clube de Regatas do Flamengo that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.

Home Team

Bahia

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L W W	1.63
Home	W W W D D	1.8
Away	L L W W D	1.47

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	43%	47%	40%
Goals	2.67	2.47	2.87
Scored	1.47	1.53	1.4
Conceded	1.2	0.93	1.47
Both Teams to Score	63%	67%	60%
Without Conceding	30%	33%	27%
Failed To Score	13%	7%	20%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.58	1.71	1.45
xGA	1.57	1.19	1.96

Away Team

Flamengo

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D W W	2.13
Home	W W W W W	2.4
Away	D W L W D	1.87

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	63%	73%	53%
Goals	2.77	2.6	2.93
Scored	1.93	1.93	1.93
Conceded	0.83	0.67	1
Both Teams to Score	50%	40%	60%
Without Conceding	43%	53%	33%
Failed To Score	7%	7%	7%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.74	1.96	1.51
xGA	1.31	1.17	1.45

Corners

11.07 / Match

+17% Corners / Match

Bahia received +17% more corners than Flamengo in the Serie A

9.5 / Match

Mirassol

(6)

Palmeiras

(3)

Athletico-PR

(3)

Remo

(7)

RB Bragantino

(8)

Internacional

(3)

Vitória

(7)

(4)

Fluminense

(5)

Santos

(2)

RB Bragantino

(20)

Corinthians

(9)

Remo

(9)

Mirassol

(5)

Botafogo

Cards

2.23 / Match

+8% Cards / Match

Flamengo received +8% more cards than Bahia in the Serie A

2.4 / Match

Mirassol

(1)

Palmeiras

(2)

Athletico-PR

(3)

Remo

(2)

RB Bragantino

(2)

Internacional

(4)

Vitória

(3)

(2)

Fluminense

(4)

Santos

(3)

RB Bragantino

(4)

Corinthians

(2)

Remo

(0)

Mirassol

(0)

Botafogo

Goals Scored

1.47 / Match

+31%

Flamengo is +31% better in terms of goals scored

1.93 / Match

Mirassol

(1)

Palmeiras

(0)

Athletico-PR

(1)

Remo

(2)

RB Bragantino

(3)

Internacional

(3)

Vitória

(2)

(1)

Fluminense

(2)

Santos

(2)

RB Bragantino

(2)

Corinthians

(1)

Remo

(2)

Mirassol

(3)

Botafogo

Goals Conceded

1.2 / Match

+31%

Bahia condeded +31% more goals than Flamengo

0.83 / Match

Mirassol

(0)

Palmeiras

(1)

Athletico-PR

(2)

Remo

(1)

RB Bragantino

(2)

Internacional

(2)

Vitória

(0)

(0)

Fluminense

(2)

Santos

(1)

RB Bragantino

(1)

Corinthians

(0)

Remo

(0)

Mirassol

(0)

Botafogo

Serie A Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Palmeiras	31	19	9	3	54	22	32	66	2.13
2	Flamengo	30	19	7	4	58	25	33	64	2.13
3	Athletico-PR	31	15	8	8	49	37	12	53	1.71
4	Fluminense	30	14	9	7	48	37	11	51	1.7
5	Atlético MG	31	14	8	9	42	35	7	50	1.61
6	Bahia	30	13	10	7	44	36	8	49	1.63
7	Cruzeiro	30	14	6	10	46	44	2	48	1.6
8	São Paulo	31	12	6	13	36	35	1	42	1.35
9	Santos	30	11	9	10	46	45	1	42	1.4
10	RB Bragantino	30	11	7	12	38	35	3	40	1.33
11	Botafogo	31	10	9	12	44	48	-4	39	1.26
12	Coritiba	31	10	9	12	38	49	-11	39	1.26
13	Mirassol	31	9	9	13	36	44	-8	36	1.16
14	Vitória	30	10	6	14	33	44	-11	36	1.2
15	Vasco da Gama	30	9	8	13	36	43	-7	35	1.17
16	Corinthians	30	8	8	14	31	38	-7	32	1.07
17	Internacional	31	7	11	13	33	40	-7	32	1.03
18	Grêmio	30	7	10	13	32	40	-8	31	1.03
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	33	48	-15	25	0.83
20	Chapecoense	30	3	9	18	30	62	-32	18	0.6