Eredivisie

Ajax vs NEC

Sat, 10 Oct 2026 - 20:00 (UK Time)

Stadium: Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax vs NEC Prediction & Stats - Eredivisie 2026/27

Predictions

Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Ajax vs NEC carries real history into this round of the Eredivisie.

The two sides meet on 10/10 (Saturday) at Johan Cruijff Arena, 20:00 (UK time).

Read the Ajax vs NEC prediction below before backing anything.

Our verdict on Ajax vs NEC

A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Ajax vs NEC call we are most confident in:

Eagle Predict Prediction

Under 4.5 Goals

Last updated on 10-10-2026.

Who do the bookmakers favour?

The market makes Ajax the side to beat, with roughly 73% of the implied odds in their favour.

For the wider picture, compare all Eredivisie odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.

Ajax Preview

Ajax reach this fixture 7 match into their Eredivisie. Here is where Ajax stand:

In this competition

4 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
2 points per game
21 scored, at 3 a game
9 conceded, at 1.29 a game

Ajax, season-wide

9 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Davy Klaassen, 4 goals
Most assists: Oscar Gluh, 4 assists

Recent results — Ajax

19/09/2026 14:00

Ajax

2 - 2

Excelsior

15/09/2026 14:00

Ajax

5 - 1

Willem II

12/09/2026 14:00

Fortuna Sittard

1 - 5

Ajax

05/09/2026 14:00

Ajax

1 - 3

PSV

30/08/2026 10:45

Telstar

0 - 4

Ajax

NEC: how they are travelling

NEC come in 7 matches into their Eredivisie.

Here is what NEC Nijmegen have produced:

In this competition

2 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost
1.14 points per game
12 scored, at 1.71 a game
13 conceded, at 1.86 a game

NEC Nijmegen, season-wide

3 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Tjaronn Chery, 3 goals
Most assists: Dušan Tadić, 2 assists

Recent results — NEC Nijmegen

20/09/2026 10:45

NEC

1 - 1

Go Ahead Eagles

17/09/2026 15:00

Juventus

5 - 0

NEC

12/09/2026 15:00

Cambuur

3 - 0

NEC

08/09/2026 12:45

NEC

2 - 2

Excelsior

05/09/2026 10:30

NEC

1 - 3

Feyenoord

The head-to-head favours Ajax

Recent meetings have tended to go Ajax's way against NEC.

From 21 match(es):

Ajax: 14 win(s)
NEC: 1 win(s)
Drawn: 6

It is a pattern worth weighing in the Ajax vs NEC prediction.

Form comparison Ajax vs NEC

A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:

Home Team

Ajax

Netherlands - Eredivisie

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W L W	2
Home	D W L D	1.25
Away	W W W	3

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	57%	25%	100%
Goals	4.29	4.5	4
Scored	3	2.5	3.67
Conceded	1.29	2	0.33
Both Teams to Score	71%	100%	33%
Without Conceding	29%	0%	67%
Failed To Score	0%	0%	0%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	2.63	2.81	2.4
xGA	1.12	1.21	1

Away Team

NEC

Netherlands - Eredivisie

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D L W	1.14
Home	D D L L	0.5
Away	L W W	2

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	29%	0%	67%
Goals	3.57	3.25	4
Scored	1.71	1.25	2.33
Conceded	1.86	2	1.67
Both Teams to Score	86%	100%	67%
Without Conceding	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	14%	0%	33%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.71	1.87	1.49
xGA	1.25	1.32	1.17

Further markets to consider

Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:

👉 Prediction: NEC win or Draw

Despite being the away side, we don’t expect NEC to lose this match. Our recommended bet is NEC to win or draw in the Double Chance market, ensuring a payout as long as they don’t lose.

NEC has its weaknesses, but Ajax has been vulnerable, and home advantage might not be enough to keep them from losing.

👉 Prediction: Ajax to Win the First Half

With Ajax coming into this match in great form and holding the home advantage against NEC, we see good value in backing them to win the first half.

Since the odds for a full-time win may not be as rewarding, the half-time bet can be a good alternative.

Fixture information - Ajax vs NEC

Match: Ajax vs NEC
Competition: Eredivisie
Date: Saturday, 10/10/2026
Kick-off: 20:00 (UK time)
Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena

More Eredivisie predictions

Explore the rest of our Eredivisie predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.

Stats

The statistics for Ajax vs NEC that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.

Goal Average

4.25

League: 3.78

Both Teams to Score

84%

League: 69%

Over 1.5+

100%

League: 91%

Over 2.5+

100%

League: 75%

Cards

4.08

League: 2.8

Corners

12.42

League: 10.45

Home Team

Ajax

Netherlands - Eredivisie

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W L W	2
Home	D W L D	1.25
Away	W W W	3

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	57%	25%	100%
Goals	4.29	4.5	4
Scored	3	2.5	3.67
Conceded	1.29	2	0.33
Both Teams to Score	71%	100%	33%
Without Conceding	29%	0%	67%
Failed To Score	0%	0%	0%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	2.63	2.81	2.4
xGA	1.12	1.21	1

Away Team

NEC

Netherlands - Eredivisie

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D L W	1.14
Home	D D L L	0.5
Away	L W W	2

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	29%	0%	67%
Goals	3.57	3.25	4
Scored	1.71	1.25	2.33
Conceded	1.86	2	1.67
Both Teams to Score	86%	100%	67%
Without Conceding	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	14%	0%	33%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.71	1.87	1.49
xGA	1.25	1.32	1.17

Corners

10.14 / Match

+16% Corners / Match

Ajax received +16% more corners than NEC in the Eredivisie

8.71 / Match

Excelsior

(9)

Willem II

(14)

Fortuna Sittard

(11)

PSV

(1)

Telstar

(4)

Heerenveen

(7)

PEC Zwolle

(10)

(5)

Go Ahead Eagles

(5)

Cambuur

(2)

Excelsior

(1)

Feyenoord

(7)

PEC Zwolle

(2)

Willem II

(13)

Telstar

Cards

2 / Match

+27% Cards / Match

Ajax received +27% more cards than NEC in the Eredivisie

1.57 / Match

Excelsior

(1)

Willem II

(0)

Fortuna Sittard

(5)

PSV

(3)

Telstar

(0)

Heerenveen

(3)

PEC Zwolle

(2)

(0)

Go Ahead Eagles

(4)

Cambuur

(1)

Excelsior

(1)

Feyenoord

(3)

PEC Zwolle

(0)

Willem II

(2)

Telstar

Goals Scored

3 / Match

+75%

Ajax is +75% better in terms of goals scored

1.71 / Match

Excelsior

(2)

Willem II

(5)

Fortuna Sittard

(5)

PSV

(1)

Telstar

(4)

Heerenveen

(2)

PEC Zwolle

(2)

(1)

Go Ahead Eagles

(0)

Cambuur

(2)

Excelsior

(1)

Feyenoord

(3)

PEC Zwolle

(4)

Willem II

(1)

Telstar

Goals Conceded

1.29 / Match

+31%

NEC condeded +31% more goals than Ajax

1.86 / Match

Excelsior

(2)

Willem II

(1)

Fortuna Sittard

(1)

PSV

(3)

Telstar

(0)

Heerenveen

(2)

PEC Zwolle

(0)

(1)

Go Ahead Eagles

(3)

Cambuur

(2)

Excelsior

(3)

Feyenoord

(1)

PEC Zwolle

(1)

Willem II

(2)

Telstar

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	PSV	8	6	1	1	26	10	16	19	2.38
2	AZ	7	6	1	0	18	6	12	19	2.71
3	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	18	17	2.43
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	8	16	2.29
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	12	14	2
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13	1.86
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	6	11	1.57
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	2	11	1.57
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	2	10	1.43
10	Heerenveen	8	2	3	3	11	11	0	9	1.13
11	NEC	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8	1.14
12	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5	0.71
13	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5	0.71
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5	0.71
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5	0.71
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4	0.57
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2	0.29
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2	0.29

Odds

Oloruntoba Yusuf

Author

Toba is a betting enthusiast with a keen interest in helping Nigerian players with the knowledge needed to navigate the sometimes complex world of sports betting. He combines his years of experience in sports journalism and passion for sports betting to craft easy to understand reviews and analysis of diverse betting topics. He has a very good knowledge of the Nigerian market and what would enhance the betting experience of an average Nigerian bettor. That is why he is dedicated to showcasing the best bookmakers, latest bonuses and general tips that can help you have a smooth betting adventure.