Primera División
Wanderers vs Progreso
Sat, 11 Jul 2026 - 22:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
Wanderers vs Progreso Prediction & Stats - Primera División 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Wanderers vs Progreso carries real history into this round of the Primera División.
The two sides meet on 11/07 (Saturday) at Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, 22:00 (UK time).
Read the Wanderers vs Progreso prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Wanderers vs Progreso
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Wanderers vs Progreso call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Wanderers Win
Last updated on 10-07-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Wanderers the side to beat, with roughly 46% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Primera División odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Wanderers Preview
Wanderers reach this fixture 19 match into their Primera División. Here is where Montevideo Wanderers stand:
In this competition
7 won, 5 drawn, 7 lost
1.37 points per game
22 scored, at 1.16 a game
24 conceded, at 1.26 a game
Montevideo Wanderers, season-wide
7 won, 5 drawn, 7 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Jonás Luna, 3 goals
Most assists: Lucas Nahuel Furtado Cabrera, 2 assists
Recent results — Wanderers
05/06/2026 18:00
31/05/2026 14:00
24/05/2026 14:00
17/05/2026 17:00
08/05/2026 18:30
Progreso: how they are travelling
Progreso come in 19 matches into their Primera División.
Here is what Progreso have produced:
In this competition
3 won, 4 drawn, 12 lost
0.68 points per game
16 scored, at 0.84 a game
30 conceded, at 1.58 a game
Progreso, season-wide
3 won, 4 drawn, 12 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Elvis Nahuel López Barboza, 3 goals
Most assists: Facundo Kidd Álvarez, 2 assists
Recent results — Progreso
07/06/2026 09:00
30/05/2026 14:00
23/05/2026 09:00
16/05/2026 14:00
10/05/2026 15:00
The head-to-head
Over 15 recent meetings between Wanderers and Progreso:
Wanderers: 6 win(s)
Progreso: 6 win(s)
Drawn: 3
An even record like this keeps the Wanderers vs Progreso prediction genuinely open.
Form comparison Wanderers vs Progreso
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Wanderers
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
W
D
D
W
|
1.37 |
| Home |
D
D
W
W
L
|
1.6 |
| Away |
W
D
L
L
L
|
1.11 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 37% | 40% | 33% |
| Goals | 2.42 | 1.9 | 3 |
| Scored | 1.16 | 1 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.26 | 0.9 | 1.67 |
| Both Teams to Score | 53% | 40% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 37% | 50% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 30% | 22% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.39 | 1.31 | 1.49 |
|
xGA
|
1.42 | 1.44 | 1.4 |
Away Team
Progreso
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
W
L
L
|
0.68 |
| Home |
W
L
L
L
L
|
0.5 |
| Away |
W
L
L
L
L
|
0.89 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 16% | 10% | 22% |
| Goals | 2.42 | 2.7 | 2.11 |
| Scored | 0.84 | 0.9 | 0.78 |
| Conceded | 1.58 | 1.8 | 1.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47% | 50% | 44% |
| Without Conceding | 5% | 0% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 47% | 50% | 44% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.16 | 1.2 | 1.11 |
|
xGA
|
1.46 | 1.46 | 1.47 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Progreso win or Draw
Despite being the away side, we don’t expect Progreso to lose this match. Our recommended bet is Progreso to win or draw in the Double Chance market, ensuring a payout as long as they don’t lose.
Progreso has its weaknesses, but Wanderers has been vulnerable, and home advantage might not be enough to keep them from losing.
👉 Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals
Wanderers vs Progreso is set up to be a tough match, and we expect it to go over 2.5 goals.
With bookmakers offering odds of 2.05 on this outcome, there’s great value in betting on three or more goals being scored, especially considering the attacking strength of both teams.
Fixture information - Wanderers vs Progreso
Match: Wanderers vs Progreso
Competition: Primera División
Date: Saturday, 11/07/2026
Kick-off: 22:00 (UK time)
Venue: Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
More Primera División predictions
Explore the rest of our Primera División predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Wanderers vs Progreso that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.01
League: 2.45
Both Teams to Score
42%
League: 53%
Over 1.5+
64%
League: 68%
Over 2.5+
37%
League: 47%
Cards
5.92
League: 6.3
Corners
9.01
League: 8.75
Home Team
Wanderers
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
W
D
D
W
|
1.37 |
| Home |
D
D
W
W
L
|
1.6 |
| Away |
W
D
L
L
L
|
1.11 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 37% | 40% | 33% |
| Goals | 2.42 | 1.9 | 3 |
| Scored | 1.16 | 1 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.26 | 0.9 | 1.67 |
| Both Teams to Score | 53% | 40% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 37% | 50% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 30% | 22% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.39 | 1.31 | 1.49 |
|
xGA
|
1.42 | 1.44 | 1.4 |
Away Team
Progreso
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
W
L
L
|
0.68 |
| Home |
W
L
L
L
L
|
0.5 |
| Away |
W
L
L
L
L
|
0.89 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 16% | 10% | 22% |
| Goals | 2.42 | 2.7 | 2.11 |
| Scored | 0.84 | 0.9 | 0.78 |
| Conceded | 1.58 | 1.8 | 1.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47% | 50% | 44% |
| Without Conceding | 5% | 0% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 47% | 50% | 44% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.16 | 1.2 | 1.11 |
|
xGA
|
1.46 | 1.46 | 1.47 |
Corners
9.21 / Match
+8% Corners / Match
Wanderers received +8% more corners than Progreso in the Primera División
8.52 / Match
Danubio
(2)
Juventud
(6)
Deportivo Maldonado
(5)
Albion
(4)
Liverpool FC Montevideo
(4)
Juventud
(3)
Peñarol
(3)(7)
Albion
(7)
Danubio
(3)
Torque
(4)
Juventud
(4)
Torque
(5)
Cerro Largo
(5)
Defensor Sporting
Cards
3.21 / Match
+8% Cards / Match
Progreso received +8% more cards than Wanderers in the Primera División
3.47 / Match
Danubio
(1)
Juventud
(3)
Deportivo Maldonado
(1)
Albion
(1)
Liverpool FC Montevideo
(2)
Juventud
(5)
Peñarol
(4)(2)
Albion
(2)
Danubio
(6)
Torque
(2)
Juventud
(3)
Torque
(3)
Cerro Largo
(6)
Defensor Sporting
Goals Scored
1.16 / Match
+38%
Wanderers is +38% better in terms of goals scored
0.84 / Match
Danubio
(0)
Juventud
(5)
Deportivo Maldonado
(1)
Albion
(0)
Liverpool FC Montevideo
(1)
Juventud
(1)
Peñarol
(1)(1)
Albion
(2)
Danubio
(1)
Torque
(0)
Juventud
(1)
Torque
(0)
Cerro Largo
(0)
Defensor Sporting
Goals Conceded
1.26 / Match
+20%
Progreso condeded +20% more goals than Wanderers
1.58 / Match
Danubio
(0)
Juventud
(2)
Deportivo Maldonado
(1)
Albion
(0)
Liverpool FC Montevideo
(0)
Juventud
(2)
Peñarol
(0)(2)
Albion
(1)
Danubio
(2)
Torque
(2)
Juventud
(2)
Torque
(1)
Cerro Largo
(1)
Defensor Sporting
Primera División Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 2.17 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Maldonado
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 2.17 |
| 3 |
Peñarol
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 4 |
Torque
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
| 5 |
Liverpool FC Montevideo
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 6 |
Central Español
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 7 |
Nacional
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 8 |
Defensor Sporting
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 9 |
Wanderers
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 10 |
Danubio
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 11 |
Cerro Largo
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | 1 |
| 12 |
Albion
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | 0.83 |
| 13 |
Progreso
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 | 0.83 |
| 14 |
Boston River
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 | 0.33 |
| 15 |
Cerro
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | 0.33 |
| 16 |
Juventud
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | 0.25 |
Odds
Hey there! I’m Abhishek Nandwani, one of the voices behind the content at Eagle Predict. Hailing from India's capital, Delhi, I’m not just a football fan – I’m a die-hard Manchester United supporter. With 15 years of experience in the media world, I’ve spent the past three years in the betting world, producing content. When I’m not writing about football betting, you’ll probably catch me glued to football matches and enjoying some good food. For me, Zinedine Zidane is The GOAT! Stay tuned for my reviews – they’re always packed with detailed insights!
