Wales vs Denmark Prediction & Stats - UEFA Nations League 2026/27

Wales vs Denmark is part of the UEFA Nations League schedule for Sunday (04/10).

The fixture is staged at Cardiff City Stadium, 19:45 (UK time).

Below is our Wales vs Denmark prediction, built before you place a bet.

Our verdict on Wales vs Denmark

Value at this level takes some digging out. Having gone through the form and the numbers, here is our preferred Wales vs Denmark prediction:

Who do the bookmakers favour?

The market makes Denmark the side to beat, with roughly 23% of the implied odds in their favour.

For the wider picture, compare all UEFA Nations League odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.

Wales Preview

Wales reach this fixture 3 match into their UEFA Nations League. Here is where Wales stand:

In this competition

• 1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost

• 1 points per game

• 2 scored, at 0.67 a game

• 4 conceded, at 1.33 a game

Wales, season-wide

• 1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost across all competitions

• Leading scorer: Daniel James, 1 goals

• Most assists: Sorba Thomas, 1 assists

Recent results — Wales

01/10/2026 14:45

Wales

2 - 1

Norway

W

27/09/2026 12:00

Denmark

2 - 0

Wales

L

24/09/2026 14:45

Portugal

1 - 0

Wales

L

06/06/2026 13:45

Romania

2 - 1

Wales

L

02/06/2026 14:45

Wales

1 - 1

Ghana

D

Denmark: how they are travelling

Denmark come in 3 matches into their UEFA Nations League.

Here is what Denmark have produced:

In this competition

• 1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost

• 1 points per game

• 6 scored, at 2 a game

• 7 conceded, at 2.33 a game

Denmark, season-wide

• 1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost across all competitions

• Leading scorer: Rasmus Højlund, 2 goals

• Most assists: Joakim Mæhle, 1 assists

Recent results — Denmark

01/10/2026 14:45

Denmark

2 - 4

Portugal

L

27/09/2026 12:00

Denmark

2 - 0

Wales

W

24/09/2026 14:45

Norway

3 - 2

Denmark

L

03/06/2026 14:00

Congo DR

0 - 0

Denmark

D

26/03/2026 15:45

Denmark

4 - 0

North Macedonia

W

The head-to-head favours Denmark

Denmark have generally come out ahead of Wales in their recent meetings.

From 4 match(es):

• Denmark: 4 win(s)

• Wales: 0 win(s)

• Drawn: 0

That trend is worth factoring into the Wales vs Denmark prediction.

Form comparison Wales vs Denmark

A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:

Home Team

Wales

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L	1
Home	W	3
Away	L L	0

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	100%	0%
Goals	2	3	1.5
Scored	0.67	2	0
Conceded	1.33	1	1.5
Both Teams to Score	33%	100%	0%
Without Conceding	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	67%	0%	100%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.08	1.61	0.81
xGA	1.86	1.35	2.12

Away Team

Denmark

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L	1
Home	W L	1.5
Away	L	0

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	50%	0%
Goals	4.33	4	5
Scored	2	2	2
Conceded	2.33	2	3
Both Teams to Score	67%	50%	100%
Without Conceding	33%	50%	0%
Failed To Score	0%	0%	0%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.72	1.74	1.68
xGA	1.65	1.6	1.74

Further markets to consider

Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:

Fixture information - Wales vs Denmark

• Match: Wales vs Denmark

• Competition: UEFA Nations League

• Date: Sunday, 04/10/2026

• Kick-off: 19:45 (UK time)

• Venue: Cardiff City Stadium

More UEFA Nations League predictions

Explore the rest of our UEFA Nations League predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.

The statistics for Wales vs Denmark that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.

Home Team

Wales

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L	1
Home	W	3
Away	L L	0

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	100%	0%
Goals	2	3	1.5
Scored	0.67	2	0
Conceded	1.33	1	1.5
Both Teams to Score	33%	100%	0%
Without Conceding	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	67%	0%	100%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.08	1.61	0.81
xGA	1.86	1.35	2.12

Away Team

Denmark

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L	1
Home	W L	1.5
Away	L	0

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	50%	0%
Goals	4.33	4	5
Scored	2	2	2
Conceded	2.33	2	3
Both Teams to Score	67%	50%	100%
Without Conceding	33%	50%	0%
Failed To Score	0%	0%	0%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.72	1.74	1.68
xGA	1.65	1.6	1.74

Corners

8 / Match

+13% Corners / Match

Denmark received +13% more corners than Wales in the UEFA Nations League

9 / Match

Norway

(3)

Denmark

(4)

Portugal

(2)

(3)

Portugal

(2)

Wales

(7)

Norway

Cards

2 / Match

+20% Cards / Match

Wales received +20% more cards than Denmark in the UEFA Nations League

1.67 / Match

Norway

(3)

Denmark

(2)

Portugal

(1)

(1)

Portugal

(1)

Wales

(3)

Norway

Goals Scored

0.67 / Match

+199%

Denmark is +199% better in terms of goals scored

2 / Match

Norway

(2)

Denmark

(0)

Portugal

(0)

(2)

Portugal

(2)

Wales

(2)

Norway

Goals Conceded

1.33 / Match

+43%

Denmark condeded +43% more goals than Wales

2.33 / Match

Norway

(1)

Denmark

(2)

Portugal

(1)

(4)

Portugal

(0)

Wales

(3)

Norway

UEFA Nations League Standings

Group 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Albania	2	2	0	0	5	0	5	6	3
2	Finland	2	1	1	0	7	0	7	4	2
3	Belarus	2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	0.5
4	San Marino	2	0	0	2	0	10	-10	0	0

Group 2

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Montenegro	2	2	0	0	5	3	2	6	3
2	Armenia	2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	1.5
3	Cyprus	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	0.5
4	Latvia	2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	0.5

Group 3

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Slovakia	2	2	0	0	4	1	3	6	3
2	Faroe Islands	2	0	2	0	2	2	0	2	1
3	Kazakhstan	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	0.5
4	Moldova	2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	0.5

Group 4

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Iceland	2	1	1	0	4	1	3	4	2
2	Luxembourg	2	1	0	1	2	4	-2	3	1.5
3	Estonia	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
4	Bulgaria	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	0.5

Group 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	France	2	2	0	0	2	0	2	6	3
2	Belgium	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	1.5
3	Italy	2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	1.5
4	Turkey	2	0	0	2	1	5	-4	0	0

Group 2

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Greece	3	2	1	0	5	3	2	7	2.33
2	Netherlands	3	1	2	0	5	4	1	5	1.67
3	Germany	3	1	1	1	3	2	1	4	1.33
4	Serbia	3	0	0	3	2	6	-4	0	0

Group 3

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Spain	2	2	0	0	7	3	4	6	3
2	England	2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	1.5
3	Croatia	2	1	0	1	3	5	-2	3	1.5
4	Czech Republic	2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	0

Group 4

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Portugal	3	3	0	0	7	3	4	9	3
2	Norway	3	1	0	2	5	6	-1	3	1
3	Denmark	3	1	0	2	6	7	-1	3	1
4	Wales	3	1	0	2	2	4	-2	3	1

Group 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Switzerland	2	2	0	0	6	0	6	6	3
2	Slovenia	2	1	1	0	2	0	2	4	2
3	Scotland	2	0	1	1	0	3	-3	1	0.5
4	North Macedonia	2	0	0	2	0	5	-5	0	0

Group 2

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Northern Ireland	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	2
2	Ukraine	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	2
3	Georgia	2	0	1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.5
4	Hungary	2	0	1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.5

Group 3

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Austria	3	2	1	0	8	4	4	7	2.33
2	Ireland	3	1	1	1	5	3	2	4	1.33
3	Kosovo	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4	1.33
4	Israel	3	0	1	2	1	6	-5	1	0.33

Group 4

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Sweden	2	2	0	0	5	2	3	6	3
2	Bosnia-Herzegovina	2	1	1	0	4	2	2	4	2
3	Poland	2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	0.5
4	Romania	2	0	0	2	3	6	-3	0	0

Group 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Malta	2	1	1	0	3	2	1	4	2
2	Gibraltar	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
3	Andorra	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	0.5

Group 2

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Lithuania	2	1	1	0	3	1	2	4	2
2	Azerbaijan	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
3	Liechtenstein	2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	0.5