Serie A
Vitória vs Vasco da Gama
Thu, 16 Jul 2026 - 23:30 (UK Time)
Stadium: Estádio Manoel Barradas
Vitória vs Vasco da Gama Prediction & Stats - Serie A 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Vitória vs Vasco da Gama carries real history into this round of the Serie A.
The two sides meet on 16/07 (Thursday) at Estádio Manoel Barradas, 23:30 (UK time).
Read the Vitória vs Vasco da Gama prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Vitória vs Vasco da Gama
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Vitória vs Vasco da Gama call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Under 3.5 Goals
Last updated on 14-07-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Vitória the side to beat, with roughly 39% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Serie A odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Vitória Preview
Vitória reach this fixture 17 match into their Serie A. Here is where Leão da Barra stand:
In this competition
6 won, 4 drawn, 7 lost
1.29 points per game
21 scored, at 1.24 a game
25 conceded, at 1.47 a game
Leão da Barra, season-wide
7 won, 4 drawn, 8 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Carlos Rene de Sousa Ferreira, 5 goals
Most assists: Erick de Arruda Serafim, 4 assists
Recent results — Vitória
06/06/2026 15:00
02/06/2026 20:00
30/05/2026 19:00
27/05/2026 20:30
23/05/2026 16:00
Vasco da Gama: how they are travelling
Vasco da Gama come in 18 matches into their Serie A.
Here is what Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama have produced:
In this competition
5 won, 5 drawn, 8 lost
1.11 points per game
22 scored, at 1.22 a game
29 conceded, at 1.61 a game
Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama, season-wide
9 won, 7 drawn, 10 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Andres Gomez, 3 goals
Most assists: José Luis Rodríguez Bebanz, 4 assists
Recent results — Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
31/05/2026 15:00
27/05/2026 18:00
24/05/2026 19:30
20/05/2026 18:00
16/05/2026 17:30
The head-to-head favours Vitória
Recent meetings have tended to go Vitória's way against Vasco da Gama.
From 14 match(es):
Vitória: 7 win(s)
Vasco da Gama: 5 win(s)
Drawn: 2
It is a pattern worth weighing in the Vitória vs Vasco da Gama prediction.
Form comparison Vitória vs Vasco da Gama
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Vitória
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
L
D
W
|
1.29 |
| Home |
W
W
D
W
W
|
2.38 |
| Away |
L
L
D
L
D
|
0.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 35% | 75% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.71 | 2.13 | 3.22 |
| Scored | 1.24 | 1.75 | 0.78 |
| Conceded | 1.47 | 0.38 | 2.44 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47% | 25% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 35% | 75% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 13% | 33% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.23 | 1.34 | 1.13 |
|
xGA
|
1.53 | 1.25 | 1.78 |
Away Team
Vasco da Gama
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
L
W
D
|
1.11 |
| Home |
L
L
W
W
L
|
1.6 |
| Away |
L
D
L
D
D
|
0.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 28% | 50% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.83 | 2.5 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 1.22 | 1.2 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.61 | 1.3 | 2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 72% | 60% | 88% |
| Without Conceding | 6% | 10% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 30% | 13% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.87 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
|
xGA
|
1.33 | 1.27 | 1.4 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Vitória win or Draw
Betting on Vitória to win or draw in the Double Chance market is a solid pick for this fixture. With home advantage on their side, they stand a great chance of securing a positive result against Vasco da Gama.
Given their consistency at home and the added cushion of a draw still landing the bet, the 1X market is a smart and calculated choice.
👉 Prediction: Vasco da Gama to Win
We’re backing Vasco da Gama to win in the 1X2 market in the Vitória vs Vasco da Gama clash.
The odds of 2.98 to win give you good value, and their track record away from home shows they have what it takes to pull off a victory at Estádio Manoel Barradas.
Fixture information - Vitória vs Vasco da Gama
Match: Vitória vs Vasco da Gama
Competition: Serie A
Date: Thursday, 16/07/2026
Kick-off: 23:30 (UK time)
Venue: Estádio Manoel Barradas
More Serie A predictions
Explore the rest of our Serie A predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Rubro-Negro Baiano vs Vasco da Gama that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.69
League: 2.66
Both Teams to Score
57%
League: 57%
Over 1.5+
82%
League: 77%
Over 2.5+
44%
League: 50%
Cards
4.88
League: 5.11
Corners
8.5
League: 10.02
Home Team
Vitória
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
L
D
W
|
1.29 |
| Home |
W
W
D
W
W
|
2.38 |
| Away |
L
L
D
L
D
|
0.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 35% | 75% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.71 | 2.13 | 3.22 |
| Scored | 1.24 | 1.75 | 0.78 |
| Conceded | 1.47 | 0.38 | 2.44 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47% | 25% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 35% | 75% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 13% | 33% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.23 | 1.34 | 1.13 |
|
xGA
|
1.53 | 1.25 | 1.78 |
Away Team
Vasco da Gama
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
L
W
D
|
1.11 |
| Home |
L
L
W
W
L
|
1.6 |
| Away |
L
D
L
D
D
|
0.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 28% | 50% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.83 | 2.5 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 1.22 | 1.2 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.61 | 1.3 | 2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 72% | 60% | 88% |
| Without Conceding | 6% | 10% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 30% | 13% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.87 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
|
xGA
|
1.33 | 1.27 | 1.4 |
Corners
8.94 / Match
+3% Corners / Match
Vasco da Gama received +3% more corners than Vitória in the Serie A
9.22 / Match
Santos
(5)
Internacional
(4)
RB Bragantino
(6)
Fluminense
(3)
Coritiba
(2)
Athletico-PR
(4)
Corinthians
(4)(3)
Atlético MG
(6)
RB Bragantino
(4)
Internacional
(4)
Athletico-PR
(6)
Flamengo
(7)
Corinthians
(6)
São Paulo
Cards
2.71 / Match
+22% Cards / Match
Vitória received +22% more cards than Vasco da Gama in the Serie A
2.22 / Match
Santos
(4)
Internacional
(2)
RB Bragantino
(2)
Fluminense
(2)
Coritiba
(3)
Athletico-PR
(4)
Corinthians
(1)(1)
Atlético MG
(1)
RB Bragantino
(2)
Internacional
(4)
Athletico-PR
(3)
Flamengo
(4)
Corinthians
(1)
São Paulo
Goals Scored
1.24 / Match
+2%
Vitória is +2% better in terms of goals scored
1.22 / Match
Santos
(1)
Internacional
(2)
RB Bragantino
(0)
Fluminense
(2)
Coritiba
(4)
Athletico-PR
(1)
Corinthians
(0)(0)
Atlético MG
(0)
RB Bragantino
(1)
Internacional
(1)
Athletico-PR
(2)
Flamengo
(0)
Corinthians
(2)
São Paulo
Goals Conceded
1.47 / Match
+9%
Vasco da Gama condeded +9% more goals than Vitória
1.61 / Match
Santos
(3)
Internacional
(0)
RB Bragantino
(2)
Fluminense
(2)
Coritiba
(1)
Athletico-PR
(3)
Corinthians
(0)(1)
Atlético MG
(3)
RB Bragantino
(4)
Internacional
(0)
Athletico-PR
(2)
Flamengo
(1)
Corinthians
(1)
São Paulo
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 38 | 2.24 |
| 2 |
Flamengo
|
16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 31 | 1.94 |
| 3 |
Fluminense
|
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 30 | 1.76 |
| 4 |
Athletico-PR
|
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 27 | 1.59 |
| 5 |
RB Bragantino
|
17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 26 | 1.53 |
| 6 |
São Paulo
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 25 | 1.47 |
| 7 |
Bahia
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 23 | 1.53 |
| 8 |
Coritiba
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 23 | 1.44 |
| 9 |
Cruzeiro
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 | 1.35 |
| 10 |
Botafogo
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 22 | 1.38 |
| 11 |
Vitória
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 22 | 1.38 |
| 12 |
Internacional
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 | 1.24 |
| 13 |
Grêmio
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 | 1.24 |
| 14 |
Atlético MG
|
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 21 | 1.24 |
| 15 |
Corinthians
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 | 1.24 |
| 16 |
Vasco da Gama
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 20 | 1.18 |
| 17 |
Santos
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 18 | 1.06 |
| 18 |
Mirassol
|
16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 | 1 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 15 | 0.88 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense
|
16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 9 | 0.56 |
Odds
Wilson took his first steps into the iGaming industry in 2019. He started by crafting online casino reviews for affiliate sites targeting North American audiences. Since then he has created content iGaming content that has appeared on several blogs. Wilson's interests extend beyond iGaming. He has ventured into other sectors, writing articles on cryptocurrency, technology, and sports. Notably, he has developed a strong fascination with the sporting industry, particularly football (soccer), which now occupies a significant portion of his content creation. Wilson's true talent lies in making complex concepts understandable. He combines his deep knowledge of the Sports and iGaming industries with a knack for clear explanations. This winning combination results in informative and accessible content.
