Vitória vs Palmeiras Prediction & Stats - Serie A 2026

Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Vitória vs Palmeiras carries real history into this round of the Serie A.

The two sides meet on 30/07 (Thursday) at Estádio Manoel Barradas, 01:30 (UK time).

Read the Vitória vs Palmeiras prediction below before backing anything.

Our verdict on Vitória vs Palmeiras

A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Vitória vs Palmeiras call we are most confident in:

Who do the bookmakers favour?

The market makes Palmeiras the side to beat, with roughly 25% of the implied odds in their favour.

For the wider picture, compare all Serie A odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.

Vitória Preview

Vitória reach this fixture 19 match into their Serie A. Here is where Leão da Barra stand:

In this competition

• 7 won, 5 drawn, 7 lost

• 1.37 points per game

• 22 scored, at 1.16 a game

• 25 conceded, at 1.32 a game

Leão da Barra, season-wide

• 8 won, 5 drawn, 8 lost across all competitions

• Leading scorer: Carlos Rene de Sousa Ferreira, 5 goals

• Most assists: Erick de Arruda Serafim, 4 assists

Recent results — Vitória

26/07/2026 18:30

Remo

2 - 0

Vitória

L

23/07/2026 18:30

Botafogo

0 - 0

Vitória

D

16/07/2026 18:30

Vitória

1 - 0

Vasco da Gama

W

06/06/2026 15:00

Vitória

2 - 1

Fortaleza

W

02/06/2026 20:00

Fortaleza

1 - 2

Vitória

W

Palmeiras: how they are travelling

Palmeiras come in 19 matches into their Serie A.

Here is what Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras have produced:

In this competition

• 13 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost

• 2.32 points per game

• 33 scored, at 1.74 a game

• 14 conceded, at 0.74 a game

Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras, season-wide

• 18 won, 7 drawn, 2 lost across all competitions

• Leading scorer: José Manuel López, 6 goals

• Most assists: Andreas Pereira, 10 assists

Recent results — Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras

26/07/2026 18:30

Palmeiras

1 - 2

Atlético MG

L

22/07/2026 18:30

Coritiba

1 - 3

Palmeiras

W

31/05/2026 15:00

Palmeiras

1 - 0

Chapecoense

W

23/05/2026 20:00

Flamengo

0 - 3

Palmeiras

W

20/05/2026 20:30

Palmeiras

0 - 1

Cerro Porteño

L

The head-to-head favours Palmeiras

Palmeiras have generally come out ahead of Leão da Barra in their recent meetings.

From 13 match(es):

• Palmeiras: 9 win(s)

• Vitória: 2 win(s)

• Drawn: 2

That trend is worth factoring into the Vitória vs Palmeiras prediction.

Form comparison Vitória vs Palmeiras

A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:

Home Team

Vitória

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D W L W	1.3
Home	W W W D W	2.44
Away	L D L L D	0.36

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	35%	78%	0%
Goals	2.45	2	2.82
Scored	1.1	1.67	0.64
Conceded	1.35	0.33	2.18
Both Teams to Score	40%	22%	55%
Without Conceding	40%	78%	9%
Failed To Score	30%	11%	45%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.23	1.36	1.13
xGA	1.56	1.26	1.81

Away Team

Palmeiras

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W W W	2.2
Home	W L W D D	2.3
Away	W W D W D	2.1

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	65%	70%	60%
Goals	2.5	2.5	2.5
Scored	1.7	1.7	1.7
Conceded	0.8	0.8	0.8
Both Teams to Score	65%	70%	60%
Without Conceding	35%	30%	40%
Failed To Score	5%	0%	10%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.49	1.67	1.3
xGA	1.5	1.3	1.69

Further markets to consider

Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:

Fixture information - Vitória vs Palmeiras

• Match: Vitória vs Palmeiras

• Competition: Serie A

• Date: Thursday, 30/07/2026

• Kick-off: 01:30 (UK time)

• Venue: Estádio Manoel Barradas

More Serie A predictions

Explore the rest of our Serie A predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.

The statistics for Rubro-Negro Baiano vs Palmeiras that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.

Home Team

Vitória

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D W L W	1.3
Home	W W W D W	2.44
Away	L D L L D	0.36

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	35%	78%	0%
Goals	2.45	2	2.82
Scored	1.1	1.67	0.64
Conceded	1.35	0.33	2.18
Both Teams to Score	40%	22%	55%
Without Conceding	40%	78%	9%
Failed To Score	30%	11%	45%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.23	1.36	1.13
xGA	1.56	1.26	1.81

Away Team

Palmeiras

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W W W	2.2
Home	W L W D D	2.3
Away	W W D W D	2.1

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	65%	70%	60%
Goals	2.5	2.5	2.5
Scored	1.7	1.7	1.7
Conceded	0.8	0.8	0.8
Both Teams to Score	65%	70%	60%
Without Conceding	35%	30%	40%
Failed To Score	5%	0%	10%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.49	1.67	1.3
xGA	1.5	1.3	1.69

Corners

9.1 / Match

+33% Corners / Match

Palmeiras received +33% more corners than Vitória in the Serie A

12.1 / Match

Remo

(9)

Botafogo

(3)

Vasco da Gama

(3)

Santos

(5)

Internacional

(4)

RB Bragantino

(6)

Fluminense

(3)

(10)

Atlético MG

(4)

Coritiba

(3)

Chapecoense

(4)

Flamengo

(6)

Cruzeiro

(17)

Remo

(9)

Santos

Cards

2.4 / Match

+7% Cards / Match

Vitória received +7% more cards than Palmeiras in the Serie A

2.25 / Match

Remo

(1)

Botafogo

(1)

Vasco da Gama

(0)

Santos

(4)

Internacional

(2)

RB Bragantino

(2)

Fluminense

(2)

(0)

Atlético MG

(3)

Coritiba

(1)

Chapecoense

(6)

Flamengo

(2)

Cruzeiro

(2)

Remo

(1)

Santos

Goals Scored

1.1 / Match

+55%

Palmeiras is +55% better in terms of goals scored

1.7 / Match

Remo

(0)

Botafogo

(0)

Vasco da Gama

(1)

Santos

(1)

Internacional

(2)

RB Bragantino

(0)

Fluminense

(2)

(1)

Atlético MG

(3)

Coritiba

(1)

Chapecoense

(3)

Flamengo

(1)

Cruzeiro

(1)

Remo

(1)

Santos

Goals Conceded

1.35 / Match

+41%

Vitória condeded +41% more goals than Palmeiras

0.8 / Match

Remo

(2)

Botafogo

(0)

Vasco da Gama

(0)

Santos

(3)

Internacional

(0)

RB Bragantino

(2)

Fluminense

(2)

(2)

Atlético MG

(1)

Coritiba

(0)

Chapecoense

(0)

Flamengo

(1)

Cruzeiro

(1)

Remo

(1)

Santos

Serie A Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Palmeiras	19	13	5	1	33	14	19	44	2.32
2	Flamengo	18	11	4	3	35	16	19	37	2.06
3	Athletico-PR	20	11	3	6	28	19	9	36	1.8
4	Fluminense	19	9	5	5	29	24	5	32	1.68
5	RB Bragantino	19	9	3	7	26	20	6	30	1.58
6	Bahia	19	8	6	5	28	24	4	30	1.58
7	Corinthians	19	7	6	6	21	19	2	27	1.42
8	Cruzeiro	19	7	6	6	26	29	-3	27	1.42
9	Botafogo	19	7	5	7	33	32	1	26	1.37
10	Coritiba	19	7	5	7	25	27	-2	26	1.37
11	Vitória	19	7	5	7	22	25	-3	26	1.37
12	São Paulo	19	7	4	8	24	22	2	25	1.32
13	Atlético MG	19	7	4	8	23	24	-1	25	1.32
14	Santos	20	5	7	8	29	33	-4	22	1.1
15	Grêmio	19	5	6	8	21	25	-4	21	1.11
16	Internacional	20	5	6	9	22	26	-4	21	1.05
17	Vasco da Gama	20	5	6	9	23	31	-8	21	1.05
18	Mirassol	19	5	5	9	21	26	-5	20	1.05
19	Remo	19	4	6	9	21	32	-11	18	0.95
20	Chapecoense	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10	0.5