Serie A

Vitória vs Bahia

Sun, 23 Aug 2026 - 20:00 (UK Time)

Stadium: Estádio Manoel Barradas

Vitória vs Bahia Prediction & Stats - Serie A 2026

Predictions

Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Vitória vs Bahia carries real history into this round of the Serie A.

The two sides meet on 23/08 (Sunday) at Estádio Manoel Barradas, 20:00 (UK time).

Read the Vitória vs Bahia prediction below before backing anything.

Our verdict on Vitória vs Bahia

A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Vitória vs Bahia call we are most confident in:

Eagle Predict Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Last updated on 20-08-2026.

Who do the bookmakers favour?

The market makes Vitória the side to beat, with roughly 37% of the implied odds in their favour.

For the wider picture, compare all Serie A odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.

Vitória Preview

Vitória reach this fixture 23 match into their Serie A. Here is where Leão da Barra stand:

In this competition

8 won, 5 drawn, 10 lost
1.26 points per game
23 scored, at 1 a game
33 conceded, at 1.43 a game

Leão da Barra, season-wide

9 won, 5 drawn, 12 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Carlos Rene de Sousa Ferreira, 5 goals
Most assists: Erick de Arruda Serafim, 4 assists

Recent results — Vitória

16/08/2026 17:30

Vitória

1 - 0

Botafogo

09/08/2026 18:30

Flamengo

2 - 0

Vitória

06/08/2026 19:00

Vitória

4 - 0

Athletico-PR

03/08/2026 20:00

Athletico-PR

2 - 0

Vitória

29/07/2026 20:30

Vitória

0 - 4

Palmeiras

Bahia: how they are travelling

Bahia come in 23 matches into their Serie A.

Here is what Esquadrão de Aço have produced:

In this competition

8 won, 10 drawn, 5 lost
1.48 points per game
32 scored, at 1.39 a game
28 conceded, at 1.22 a game

Esquadrão de Aço, season-wide

9 won, 10 drawn, 8 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Luciano Batista da Silva Junior, 7 goals
Most assists: Éverton Ribeiro, 4 assists

Recent results — Esquadrão de Aço

16/08/2026 10:00

Chapecoense

3 - 3

Bahia

09/08/2026 15:00

Bahia

0 - 0

Vasco da Gama

29/07/2026 20:30

Fluminense

0 - 0

Bahia

26/07/2026 15:00

Bahia

1 - 1

Corinthians

21/07/2026 18:30

Atlético MG

1 - 1

Bahia

The head-to-head favours Bahia

Bahia have generally come out ahead of Leão da Barra in their recent meetings.

From 32 match(es):

Bahia: 11 win(s)
Vitória: 8 win(s)
Drawn: 13

That trend is worth factoring into the Vitória vs Bahia prediction.

Form comparison Vitória vs Bahia

A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:

Home Team

Vitória

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L L D	1.26
Home	W L W W W	2.27
Away	L L D L L	0.33

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	35%	73%	0%
Goals	2.43	2.09	2.75
Scored	1	1.45	0.58
Conceded	1.43	0.64	2.17
Both Teams to Score	35%	18%	50%
Without Conceding	39%	73%	8%
Failed To Score	35%	18%	50%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.24	1.39	1.09
xGA	1.6	1.33	1.84

Away Team

Bahia

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D D D D	1.48
Home	D D D W W	1.5
Away	D D D L D	1.45

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	35%	33%	36%
Goals	2.61	2.33	2.91
Scored	1.39	1.42	1.36
Conceded	1.22	0.92	1.55
Both Teams to Score	65%	67%	64%
Without Conceding	30%	33%	27%
Failed To Score	13%	8%	18%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.57	1.7	1.43
xGA	1.52	1.18	1.89

Further markets to consider

Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:

Fixture information - Vitória vs Bahia

Match: Vitória vs Bahia
Competition: Serie A
Date: Sunday, 23/08/2026
Kick-off: 20:00 (UK time)
Venue: Estádio Manoel Barradas

More Serie A predictions

Explore the rest of our Serie A predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.

Stats

The statistics for Rubro-Negro Baiano vs Tricolor Baiano that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.

Goal Average

2.5

League: 2.6

Both Teams to Score

41%

League: 57%

Over 1.5+

69%

League: 78%

Over 2.5+

41%

League: 49%

Cards

4.54

League: 4.91

Corners

8.91

League: 10

Home Team

Vitória

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L L D	1.26
Home	W L W W W	2.27
Away	L L D L L	0.33

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	35%	73%	0%
Goals	2.43	2.09	2.75
Scored	1	1.45	0.58
Conceded	1.43	0.64	2.17
Both Teams to Score	35%	18%	50%
Without Conceding	39%	73%	8%
Failed To Score	35%	18%	50%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.24	1.39	1.09
xGA	1.6	1.33	1.84

Away Team

Bahia

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D D D D	1.48
Home	D D D W W	1.5
Away	D D D L D	1.45

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	35%	33%	36%
Goals	2.61	2.33	2.91
Scored	1.39	1.42	1.36
Conceded	1.22	0.92	1.55
Both Teams to Score	65%	67%	64%
Without Conceding	30%	33%	27%
Failed To Score	13%	8%	18%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.57	1.7	1.43
xGA	1.52	1.18	1.89

Corners

9.13 / Match

+21% Corners / Match

Bahia received +21% more corners than Vitória in the Serie A

11.04 / Match

Botafogo

(8)

Flamengo

(1)

Palmeiras

(6)

Remo

(9)

Botafogo

(3)

Vasco da Gama

(3)

Santos

(5)

Chapecoense

(4)

Vasco da Gama

(1)

Fluminense

(7)

Corinthians

(4)

Atlético MG

(10)

Chapecoense

(10)

Botafogo

Cards

2.52 / Match

+16% Cards / Match

Vitória received +16% more cards than Bahia in the Serie A

2.17 / Match

Botafogo

(2)

Flamengo

(1)

Palmeiras

(3)

Remo

(1)

Botafogo

(1)

Vasco da Gama

(0)

Santos

(4)

(2)

Chapecoense

(1)

Vasco da Gama

(1)

Fluminense

(2)

Corinthians

(2)

Atlético MG

(2)

Chapecoense

(2)

Botafogo

Goals Scored

1 / Match

+39%

Bahia is +39% better in terms of goals scored

1.39 / Match

Botafogo

(1)

Flamengo

(0)

Palmeiras

(0)

Remo

(0)

Botafogo

(0)

Vasco da Gama

(1)

Santos

(1)

(3)

Chapecoense

(0)

Vasco da Gama

(0)

Fluminense

(1)

Corinthians

(1)

Atlético MG

(2)

Chapecoense

(2)

Botafogo

Goals Conceded

1.43 / Match

+15%

Vitória condeded +15% more goals than Bahia

1.22 / Match

Botafogo

(0)

Flamengo

(2)

Palmeiras

(4)

Remo

(2)

Botafogo

(0)

Vasco da Gama

(0)

Santos

(3)

Chapecoense

(0)

Vasco da Gama

(0)

Fluminense

(1)

Corinthians

(1)

Atlético MG

(0)

Chapecoense

(1)

Botafogo

Serie A Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Palmeiras	23	14	6	3	40	19	21	48	2.09
2	Flamengo	22	13	6	3	44	19	25	45	2.05
3	Athletico-PR	23	12	5	6	31	20	11	41	1.78
4	Fluminense	23	10	8	5	34	28	6	38	1.65
5	Cruzeiro	23	10	6	7	32	32	0	36	1.57
6	Bahia	23	8	10	5	32	28	4	34	1.48
7	RB Bragantino	22	9	5	8	27	23	4	32	1.45
8	Corinthians	23	8	8	7	25	22	3	32	1.39
9	Atlético MG	22	9	5	8	30	27	3	32	1.45
10	Coritiba	23	8	7	8	28	30	-2	31	1.35
11	Botafogo	22	8	6	8	35	34	1	30	1.36
12	Vitória	23	8	5	10	23	33	-10	29	1.26
13	São Paulo	22	7	6	9	27	26	1	27	1.23
14	Santos	22	6	7	9	32	35	-3	25	1.14
15	Grêmio	22	6	7	9	24	30	-6	25	1.14
16	Internacional	22	5	8	9	23	27	-4	23	1.05
17	Mirassol	22	6	5	11	25	35	-10	23	1.05
18	Remo	22	5	7	10	26	36	-10	22	1
19	Vasco da Gama	22	5	7	10	23	34	-11	22	1
20	Chapecoense	22	1	8	13	23	46	-23	11	0.5

Odds

Oke Ejiro Wilson

Author

Wilson took his first steps into the iGaming industry in 2019. He started by crafting online casino reviews for affiliate sites targeting North American audiences. Since then he has created content iGaming content that has appeared on several blogs. Wilson's interests extend beyond iGaming. He has ventured into other sectors, writing articles on cryptocurrency, technology, and sports. Notably, he has developed a strong fascination with the sporting industry, particularly football (soccer), which now occupies a significant portion of his content creation. Wilson's true talent lies in making complex concepts understandable. He combines his deep knowledge of the Sports and iGaming industries with a knack for clear explanations. This winning combination results in informative and accessible content.