International Friendlies

USA vs Mexico

Sun, 04 Oct 2026 - 03:00 (UK Time)

Stadium:

USA vs Mexico Prediction & Stats - International Friendlies 2026

Predictions

Another instalment of a long-running fixture. USA vs Mexico carries real history into this round of the International Friendlies.

The two sides meet on 04/10 (Sunday) at , 03:00 (UK time).

Read the USA vs Mexico prediction below before backing anything.

Our verdict on USA vs Mexico

A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the USA vs Mexico call we are most confident in:

Eagle Predict Prediction

BTTS - Yes

Last updated on 02-10-2026.

Who do the bookmakers favour?

The market makes USA the side to beat, with roughly 38% of the implied odds in their favour.

For the wider picture, compare all International Friendlies odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.

USA Preview

USA reach this fixture 6 match into their International Friendlies. Here is where USMNT stand:

In this competition

3 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost
1.5 points per game
14 scored, at 2.33 a game
14 conceded, at 2.33 a game

USMNT, season-wide

6 won, 0 drawn, 5 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Folarin Balogun, 3 goals
Most assists: Ricardo Pepi, 2 assists

Recent results — USA

29/09/2026 20:00

USA

4 - 2

Chile

26/09/2026 16:30

USA

4 - 1

Peru

06/07/2026 20:00

USA

1 - 4

Belgium

01/07/2026 20:00

USA

2 - 0

Bosnia-Herzegovina

25/06/2026 22:00

Turkey

3 - 2

USA

Mexico: how they are travelling

Mexico come in 10 matches into their International Friendlies.

Here is what El Tricolor have produced:

In this competition

6 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost
2.2 points per game
17 scored, at 1.7 a game
4 conceded, at 0.4 a game

El Tricolor, season-wide

10 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Julián Andrés Quiñones Quiñones, 4 goals
Most assists: Roberto Carlos Alvarado Hernández, 3 assists

Recent results — El Tricolor

29/09/2026 21:00

Mexico

1 - 1

Peru

26/09/2026 21:00

Mexico

1 - 1

Colombia

05/07/2026 21:00

Mexico

2 - 3

England

30/06/2026 22:00

Mexico

2 - 0

Ecuador

24/06/2026 21:00

Czech Republic

0 - 3

Mexico

The head-to-head favours USA

Recent meetings have tended to go USA's way against Mexico.

From 13 match(es):

USA: 7 win(s)
Mexico: 4 win(s)
Drawn: 2

It is a pattern worth weighing in the USA vs Mexico prediction.

Form comparison USA vs Mexico

A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:

Home Team

USA

International - International Friendlies

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L W L	1.5
Home	W W L W L	1.5
Away		0

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	50%	0%
Goals	4.67	4.67	0
Scored	2.33	2.33	0
Conceded	2.33	2.33	0
Both Teams to Score	83%	83%	0%
Without Conceding	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	17%	17%	0%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.51	1.68	0
xGA	1.23	1.39	0

Away Team

Mexico

International - International Friendlies

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D W W W	2.2
Home	D D W W W	2
Away	W W	3

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	50%	100%
Goals	2.1	2.38	1
Scored	1.7	1.88	1
Conceded	0.4	0.5	0
Both Teams to Score	40%	50%	0%
Without Conceding	60%	50%	100%
Failed To Score	10%	13%	0%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.43	1.58	0.82
xGA	0.77	0.75	0.85

Further markets to consider

Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:

👉 Prediction: Over 2.5

With USA and Mexico both looking to attack, this match is likely to see plenty of goal-scoring opportunities.

That’s why we’re backing over 2.5 goals, a bet that wins if at least three goals are scored.

👉 Prediction: USA win or Draw

The upcoming USA vs Mexico matchup looks to be a close contest, but home advantage could be the key factor in this match.

For that reason, we suggest backing USA to win or draw on the Double Chance market. Playing at in front of their home fans should give them the edge they need to at least avoid defeat, making this a strong bet.

Fixture information - USA vs Mexico

Match: USA vs Mexico
Competition: International Friendlies
Date: Sunday, 04/10/2026
Kick-off: 03:00 (UK time)
Venue:

More International Friendlies predictions

Explore the rest of our International Friendlies predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.

Stats

The statistics for The Stars and Stripes vs Los Guerreros Aztecas that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.

Goal Average

3.39

League: 2.89

Both Teams to Score

62%

League: 47%

Over 1.5+

80%

League: 78%

Over 2.5+

52%

League: 53%

Cards

3.13

League: 2.82

Corners

10.33

League: 9.21

Home Team

USA

International - International Friendlies

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L W L	1.5
Home	W W L W L	1.5
Away		0

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	50%	0%
Goals	4.67	4.67	0
Scored	2.33	2.33	0
Conceded	2.33	2.33	0
Both Teams to Score	83%	83%	0%
Without Conceding	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	17%	17%	0%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.51	1.68	0
xGA	1.23	1.39	0

Away Team

Mexico

International - International Friendlies

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D W W W	2.2
Home	D D W W W	2
Away	W W	3

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	50%	100%
Goals	2.1	2.38	1
Scored	1.7	1.88	1
Conceded	0.4	0.5	0
Both Teams to Score	40%	50%	0%
Without Conceding	60%	50%	100%
Failed To Score	10%	13%	0%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.43	1.58	0.82
xGA	0.77	0.75	0.85

Corners

11.66 / Match

+48% Corners / Match

USA received +48% more corners than Mexico in the International Friendlies

7.9 / Match

Chile

(5)

Peru

(5)

Germany

(10)

Senegal

(4)

Portugal

(2)

Belgium

(6)

(4)

Peru

(2)

Colombia

(6)

Serbia

(5)

Australia

(9)

Ghana

(3)

Belgium

(0)

Portugal

Cards

1.33 / Match

+35% Cards / Match

Mexico received +35% more cards than USA in the International Friendlies

1.8 / Match

Chile

(1)

Peru

(2)

Germany

(1)

Senegal

(1)

Portugal

(1)

Belgium

(2)

(1)

Peru

(2)

Colombia

(2)

Serbia

(1)

Australia

(1)

Ghana

(2)

Belgium

(1)

Portugal

Goals Scored

2.33 / Match

+37%

USA is +37% better in terms of goals scored

1.7 / Match

Chile

(4)

Peru

(4)

Germany

(1)

Senegal

(3)

Portugal

(0)

Belgium

(2)

(1)

Peru

(1)

Colombia

(5)

Serbia

(1)

Australia

(2)

Ghana

(1)

Belgium

(0)

Portugal

Goals Conceded

2.33 / Match

+83%

USA condeded +83% more goals than Mexico

0.4 / Match

Chile

(2)

Peru

(1)

Germany

(2)

Senegal

(2)

Portugal

(2)

Belgium

(5)

(1)

Peru

(1)

Colombia

(1)

Serbia

(0)

Australia

(0)

Ghana

(1)

Belgium

(0)

Portugal

International Friendlies Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Mexico	10	6	4	0	17	4	13	22	2.2
2	Japan	5	5	0	0	8	2	6	15	3
3	Argentina	5	5	0	0	16	1	15	15	3
4	Brazil	6	4	1	1	17	9	8	13	2.17
5	Russia	6	4	1	1	11	2	9	13	2.17
6	Canada	6	3	3	0	7	3	4	12	2
7	Germany	4	4	0	0	12	5	7	12	3
8	Nigeria	6	3	2	1	12	7	5	11	1.83
9	Morocco	5	3	2	0	13	3	10	11	2.2
10	Panama	8	2	4	2	12	14	-2	10	1.25
11	Portugal	4	3	1	0	6	2	4	10	2.5
12	Belgium	4	3	1	0	13	3	10	10	2.5
13	Hungary	4	3	1	0	6	2	4	10	2.5
14	China	6	3	1	2	7	6	1	10	1.67
15	Algeria	4	3	1	0	12	0	12	10	2.5
16	Ivory Coast	3	3	0	0	7	1	6	9	3
17	France	4	3	0	1	9	5	4	9	2.25
18	USA	6	3	0	3	14	14	0	9	1.5
19	Iran	6	3	0	3	12	8	4	9	1.5
20	Austria	3	3	0	0	7	1	6	9	3
21	Indonesia	4	3	0	1	8	1	7	9	2.25
22	South Korea	6	3	0	3	10	9	1	9	1.5
23	Paraguay	4	3	0	1	8	2	6	9	2.25
24	Ecuador	5	2	2	1	7	6	1	8	1.6
25	Spain	4	2	2	0	7	2	5	8	2
26	Ireland	4	2	2	0	7	1	6	8	2
27	Australia	6	2	2	2	10	8	2	8	1.33
28	Kenya	4	2	2	0	9	2	7	8	2
29	Senegal	4	2	1	1	7	4	3	7	1.75
30	Netherlands	4	2	1	1	5	4	1	7	1.75
31	Colombia	5	2	1	2	8	7	1	7	1.4
32	England	4	2	1	1	5	2	3	7	1.75
33	Egypt	4	2	1	1	6	2	4	7	1.75
34	Bulgaria	4	2	1	1	13	5	8	7	1.75
35	Venezuela	5	2	1	2	8	5	3	7	1.4
36	Slovakia	3	2	1	0	6	3	3	7	2.33
37	Croatia	4	2	0	2	5	7	-2	6	1.5
38	New Zealand	4	2	0	2	7	4	3	6	1.5
39	Scotland	4	2	0	2	8	3	5	6	1.5
40	Czech Republic	2	2	0	0	5	2	3	6	3
41	Ukraine	2	2	0	0	3	0	3	6	3
42	Italy	2	2	0	0	2	0	2	6	3
43	Turkey	2	2	0	0	6	1	5	6	3
44	Norway	4	1	2	1	5	4	1	5	1.25
45	Switzerland	4	1	2	1	8	6	2	5	1.25
46	Uruguay	4	1	2	1	6	5	1	5	1.25
47	Peru	6	1	2	3	7	13	-6	5	0.83
48	Finland	4	1	1	2	4	7	-3	4	1
49	Bolivia	7	1	1	5	4	16	-12	4	0.57
50	Uzbekistan	4	1	1	2	4	5	-1	4	1
51	Saudi Arabia	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4	0.8
52	Slovenia	4	1	1	2	5	6	-1	4	1
53	Tunisia	4	1	1	2	1	6	-5	4	1
54	Montenegro	3	1	1	1	5	5	0	4	1.33
55	Cape Verde	3	1	1	1	6	5	1	4	1.33
56	Romania	3	1	1	1	3	4	-1	4	1.33
57	Northern Ireland	3	1	1	1	3	4	-1	4	1.33
58	South Africa	4	0	3	1	3	4	-1	3	0.75
59	Cameroon	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	1.5
60	Chile	5	1	0	4	8	13	-5	3	0.6
61	Serbia	4	1	0	3	3	12	-9	3	0.75
62	Liechtenstein	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	3
63	Tanzania	2	1	0	1	6	1	5	3	1.5
64	Zimbabwe	2	1	0	1	1	2	-1	3	1.5
65	Israel	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	3
66	Iceland	5	0	2	3	3	11	-8	2	0.4
67	Greece	4	0	2	2	2	4	-2	2	0.5
68	Jordan	4	0	2	2	5	10	-5	2	0.5
69	Wales	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2	0.67
70	North Macedonia	3	0	2	1	0	4	-4	2	0.67
71	Bosnia-Herzegovina	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
72	Thailand	2	0	2	0	2	2	0	2	1
73	Ghana	4	0	1	3	3	10	-7	1	0.25
74	Costa Rica	4	0	1	3	3	13	-10	1	0.25
75	Mali	2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1	0.5
76	Nicaragua	3	0	1	2	1	7	-6	1	0.33
77	Qatar	2	0	1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.5
78	Haiti	3	0	1	2	2	4	-2	1	0.33
79	Estonia	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	1
80	Honduras	2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1	0.5
81	Sweden	2	0	1	1	3	5	-2	1	0.5
82	Georgia	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	1
83	Moldova	1	0	1	0	2	2	0	1	1
84	Poland	2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1	0.5
85	Cyprus	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	1
86	Denmark	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
87	Iraq	2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	0.5
88	Kuwait	1	0	1	0	2	2	0	1	1
89	Malawi	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
90	Zambia	3	0	1	2	0	6	-6	1	0.33
91	Congo DR	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
92	El Salvador	2	0	1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.5
93	Lesotho	2	0	1	1	1	5	-4	1	0.5
94	Jamaica	2	0	1	1	1	4	-3	1	0.5
95	India	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	1
96	Guatemala	4	0	0	4	1	14	-13	0	0
97	Kazakhstan	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	0
98	Solomon Islands	1	0	0	1	2	10	-8	0	0
99	St. Kitts and Nevis	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	0
100	Trinidad and Tobago	4	0	0	4	1	15	-14	0	0
101	Curaçao	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0	0
102	Gambia	2	0	0	2	2	6	-4	0	0
103	Luxembourg	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	0
104	Albania	2	0	0	2	0	2	-2	0	0
105	Malta	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	0
106	Macau	1	0	0	1	0	6	-6	0	0
107	Oman	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	0
108	Singapore	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	0
109	Guinea	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	0
110	Burkina Faso	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	0
111	Dominican Republic	1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0	0
112	Mauritania	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	0
113	Grenada	2	0	0	2	0	8	-8	0	0
114	Kosovo	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	0
115	Madagascar	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	0
116	Burundi	1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	0
117	Palestine	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
118	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
119	Sudan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
120	Puerto Rico	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	0
121	Rwanda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
122	Uganda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
123	Mozambique	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	0
124	Tajikistan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
125	Maldives	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0	0
126	Turkmenistan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
127	Namibia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
128	Benin	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
129	Niger	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
130	Comoros	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Odds

Oke Ejiro Wilson

Author

Wilson took his first steps into the iGaming industry in 2019. He started by crafting online casino reviews for affiliate sites targeting North American audiences. Since then he has created content iGaming content that has appeared on several blogs. Wilson's interests extend beyond iGaming. He has ventured into other sectors, writing articles on cryptocurrency, technology, and sports. Notably, he has developed a strong fascination with the sporting industry, particularly football (soccer), which now occupies a significant portion of his content creation. Wilson's true talent lies in making complex concepts understandable. He combines his deep knowledge of the Sports and iGaming industries with a knack for clear explanations. This winning combination results in informative and accessible content.