Primera Categoria Serie A
SD Aucas vs Libertad
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 - 19:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
SD Aucas vs Libertad Prediction & Stats - Primera Categoria Serie A 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. SD Aucas vs Libertad carries real history into this round of the Primera Categoria Serie A.
The two sides meet on 30/08 (Sunday) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, 19:00 (UK time).
Read the SD Aucas vs Libertad prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on SD Aucas vs Libertad
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the SD Aucas vs Libertad call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
Last updated on 29-08-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes SD Aucas the side to beat, with roughly 63% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Primera Categoria Serie A odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
SD Aucas Preview
SD Aucas reach this fixture 26 match into their Primera Categoria Serie A. Here is where SD Aucas stand:
In this competition
13 won, 5 drawn, 8 lost
1.69 points per game
30 scored, at 1.15 a game
26 conceded, at 1 a game
SD Aucas, season-wide
13 won, 5 drawn, 8 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Bruno Miranda Villagomez, 6 goals
Most assists: Andrés David Mena Montenegro, 4 assists
Recent results — SD Aucas
26/08/2026 18:00
23/08/2026 16:30
16/08/2026 20:00
12/08/2026 16:00
08/08/2026 17:30
Libertad: how they are travelling
Libertad come in 26 matches into their Primera Categoria Serie A.
Here is what Libertad have produced:
In this competition
10 won, 7 drawn, 9 lost
1.42 points per game
29 scored, at 1.12 a game
29 conceded, at 1.12 a game
Libertad, season-wide
10 won, 7 drawn, 10 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín, 8 goals
Most assists: Elvis Adan Patta Quintero, 4 assists
Recent results — Libertad
24/08/2026 20:00
15/08/2026 17:30
10/08/2026 17:30
31/07/2026 20:00
27/07/2026 15:00
The head-to-head favours Libertad
Libertad have generally come out ahead of SD Aucas in their recent meetings.
From 8 match(es):
Libertad: 4 win(s)
SD Aucas: 2 win(s)
Drawn: 2
That trend is worth factoring into the SD Aucas vs Libertad prediction.
Form comparison SD Aucas vs Libertad
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
SD Aucas
Ecuador - Primera Categoria Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
W
W
L
|
1.69 |
| Home |
L
W
L
L
W
|
1.69 |
| Away |
W
W
L
W
W
|
1.69 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 54% | 46% |
| Goals | 2.15 | 2.46 | 1.85 |
| Scored | 1.15 | 1.31 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.15 | 0.85 |
| Both Teams to Score | 35% | 38% | 31% |
| Without Conceding | 46% | 31% | 62% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 31% | 23% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.47 | 1.64 | 1.3 |
|
xGA
|
1.09 | 0.98 | 1.2 |
Away Team
Libertad
Ecuador - Primera Categoria Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
D
W
W
|
1.42 |
| Home |
W
W
W
W
W
|
2 |
| Away |
D
W
L
D
L
|
0.85 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 38% | 62% | 15% |
| Goals | 2.23 | 2.15 | 2.31 |
| Scored | 1.12 | 1.31 | 0.92 |
| Conceded | 1.12 | 0.85 | 1.38 |
| Both Teams to Score | 46% | 38% | 54% |
| Without Conceding | 35% | 46% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 23% | 38% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.25 | 1.47 | 1.04 |
|
xGA
|
1.8 | 1.54 | 2.06 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Libertad win or Draw
Our betting tip for this match is to back Libertad to win or draw in the Double Chance market.
Playing away from home is always a challenge, but based on recent form and season statistics, Libertad has shown they have what it takes to secure a positive result. Keep in mind that they only need to avoid defeat for the bet to win.
👉 Our prediction is: Draw
SD Aucas vs Libertad is a matchup that is as close as they come, with our analysis finding hardly anything to separate the two sides. And so, our betting tip is to take the draw on the 1X2 market.
The 3.8 odds for a draw are quite favourable and would result in a substantial payout if the match does end in a stalemate.
Fixture information - SD Aucas vs Libertad
Match: SD Aucas vs Libertad
Competition: Primera Categoria Serie A
Date: Sunday, 30/08/2026
Kick-off: 19:00 (UK time)
Venue: Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
More Primera Categoria Serie A predictions
Explore the rest of our Primera Categoria Serie A predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for SD Aucas vs Libertad that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.39
League: 2.24
Both Teams to Score
46%
League: 44%
Over 1.5+
70%
League: 65%
Over 2.5+
46%
League: 39%
Cards
5.23
League: 4.9
Corners
8.93
League: 9.24
Home Team
SD Aucas
Ecuador - Primera Categoria Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
W
W
L
|
1.69 |
| Home |
L
W
L
L
W
|
1.69 |
| Away |
W
W
L
W
W
|
1.69 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 54% | 46% |
| Goals | 2.15 | 2.46 | 1.85 |
| Scored | 1.15 | 1.31 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.15 | 0.85 |
| Both Teams to Score | 35% | 38% | 31% |
| Without Conceding | 46% | 31% | 62% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 31% | 23% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.47 | 1.64 | 1.3 |
|
xGA
|
1.09 | 0.98 | 1.2 |
Away Team
Libertad
Ecuador - Primera Categoria Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
D
W
W
|
1.42 |
| Home |
W
W
W
W
W
|
2 |
| Away |
D
W
L
D
L
|
0.85 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 38% | 62% | 15% |
| Goals | 2.23 | 2.15 | 2.31 |
| Scored | 1.12 | 1.31 | 0.92 |
| Conceded | 1.12 | 0.85 | 1.38 |
| Both Teams to Score | 46% | 38% | 54% |
| Without Conceding | 35% | 46% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 23% | 38% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.25 | 1.47 | 1.04 |
|
xGA
|
1.8 | 1.54 | 2.06 |
Corners
9.16 / Match
+1% Corners / Match
Libertad received +1% more corners than SD Aucas in the Primera Categoria Serie A
9.23 / Match
Delfin SC
(0)
LDU Quito
(7)
Leones del Norte
(4)
CS Emelec
(3)
Macará
(6)
Orense SC
(3)
Técnico Universitario
(6)(6)
Macará
(3)
Guayaquil City FC
(5)
CD Universidad Católica
(2)
Orense SC
(3)
Mushuc Runa SC
(4)
Delfin SC
(4)
Barcelona
Cards
2.54 / Match
+7% Cards / Match
SD Aucas received +7% more cards than Libertad in the Primera Categoria Serie A
2.38 / Match
Delfin SC
(2)
LDU Quito
(4)
Leones del Norte
(1)
CS Emelec
(1)
Macará
(1)
Orense SC
(0)
Técnico Universitario
(3)(3)
Macará
(2)
Guayaquil City FC
(2)
CD Universidad Católica
(0)
Orense SC
(1)
Mushuc Runa SC
(2)
Delfin SC
(3)
Barcelona
Goals Scored
1.15 / Match
+3%
SD Aucas is +3% better in terms of goals scored
1.12 / Match
Delfin SC
(1)
LDU Quito
(0)
Leones del Norte
(3)
CS Emelec
(2)
Macará
(1)
Orense SC
(1)
Técnico Universitario
(1)(1)
Macará
(2)
Guayaquil City FC
(2)
CD Universidad Católica
(3)
Orense SC
(2)
Mushuc Runa SC
(1)
Delfin SC
(0)
Barcelona
Goals Conceded
1 / Match
+11%
Libertad condeded +11% more goals than SD Aucas
1.12 / Match
Delfin SC
(0)
LDU Quito
(1)
Leones del Norte
(0)
CS Emelec
(0)
Macará
(4)
Orense SC
(2)
Técnico Universitario
(0)(0)
Macará
(2)
Guayaquil City FC
(1)
CD Universidad Católica
(0)
Orense SC
(0)
Mushuc Runa SC
(0)
Delfin SC
(1)
Barcelona
Primera Categoria Serie A Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
CSD Independiente del Valle
|
26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64 | 26 | 38 | 67 | 2.58 |
| 2 |
SD Aucas
|
26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 44 | 1.69 |
| 3 |
CD Universidad Católica
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 43 | 1.65 |
| 4 |
Macará
|
26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 42 | 1.62 |
| 5 |
LDU Quito
|
26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 41 | 1.58 |
| 6 |
Barcelona
|
26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 39 | 1.5 |
| 7 |
Libertad
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 37 | 1.42 |
| 8 |
Mushuc Runa SC
|
27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 | 1.33 |
| 9 |
Leones del Norte
|
26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 35 | 1.35 |
| 10 |
Guayaquil City FC
|
26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 33 | 1.27 |
| 11 |
Deportivo Cuenca
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 32 | 1.19 |
| 12 |
Orense SC
|
26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 30 | 1.15 |
| 13 |
CS Emelec
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 29 | 1.23 |
| 14 |
Técnico Universitario
|
27 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 29 | 1.07 |
| 15 |
Delfin SC
|
27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 24 | 0.89 |
| 16 |
Manta FC
|
26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 17 | 0.65 |
Odds
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CSD Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC