USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs Lexington
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 - 04:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Papa Murphy’s Park
Sacramento Republic vs Lexington Prediction & Stats - USL Championship 2026
Predictions
Few recent meetings between Sacramento Republic and Lexington have been settled comfortably, and that makes this USL Championship tie on Sunday (16/08) one to study closely.
It takes place at Papa Murphy’s Park, 04:00 (UK time).
Our Sacramento Republic vs {team_b_name} prediction points to where the value looks strongest.
Our verdict on Sacramento Republic vs Lexington
Value at this level takes some digging out. Having gone through the form and the numbers, here is our preferred Sacramento Republic vs Lexington prediction:
Eagle Predict Prediction
BTTS - Yes
Last updated on 14-08-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Sacramento Republic the side to beat, with roughly 45% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all USL Championship odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Sacramento Republic Preview
Sacramento Republic reach this fixture 18 match into their USL Championship. Here is where Sacramento Republic stand:
In this competition
7 won, 6 drawn, 5 lost
1.5 points per game
24 scored, at 1.33 a game
16 conceded, at 0.89 a game
Sacramento Republic, season-wide
7 won, 6 drawn, 5 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Kyle Edwards, 5 goals
Most assists: José Rodríguez, 4 assists
Recent results — Sacramento Republic
08/08/2026 19:00
05/08/2026 20:30
01/08/2026 23:00
25/07/2026 22:00
18/07/2026 19:30
Lexington: how they are travelling
Lexington come in 18 matches into their USL Championship.
Here is what Lexington have produced:
In this competition
8 won, 4 drawn, 6 lost
1.56 points per game
28 scored, at 1.56 a game
22 conceded, at 1.22 a game
Lexington, season-wide
8 won, 4 drawn, 6 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Aaron Molloy, 4 goals
Most assists: Aaron Molloy, 5 assists
Recent results — Lexington
08/08/2026 19:00
01/08/2026 19:00
25/07/2026 20:30
22/07/2026 19:00
15/07/2026 19:00
The head-to-head
A short sample to go on — 3 recent meeting(s) between the two:
Sacramento Republic: 0 win(s)
Lexington: 0 win(s)
Drawn: 3
With so little history, this fixture stays hard to call.
Form comparison Sacramento Republic vs Lexington
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Sacramento Republic
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
L
W
W
D
|
1.5 |
| Home |
W
W
L
W
W
|
2 |
| Away |
D
L
W
D
W
|
1.1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 39% | 63% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.22 | 2.88 | 1.7 |
| Scored | 1.33 | 2 | 0.8 |
| Conceded | 0.89 | 0.88 | 0.9 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 38% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 13% | 40% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.44 | 1.66 | 1.27 |
|
xGA
|
1.27 | 1.18 | 1.34 |
Away Team
Lexington
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
W
W
D
W
|
1.56 |
| Home |
D
W
W
W
L
|
1.9 |
| Away |
D
W
W
L
L
|
1.13 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 44% | 60% | 25% |
| Goals | 2.78 | 2.9 | 2.63 |
| Scored | 1.56 | 1.7 | 1.38 |
| Conceded | 1.22 | 1.2 | 1.25 |
| Both Teams to Score | 56% | 50% | 63% |
| Without Conceding | 39% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 10% | 38% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.48 | 1.59 | 1.35 |
|
xGA
|
1.35 | 1.25 | 1.47 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
Fixture information - Sacramento Republic vs Lexington
Match: Sacramento Republic vs Lexington
Competition: USL Championship
Date: Sunday, 16/08/2026
Kick-off: 04:00 (UK time)
Venue: Papa Murphy’s Park
More USL Championship predictions
Explore the rest of our USL Championship predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Sacramento Republic vs Lexington that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.76
League: 2.7
Both Teams to Score
57%
League: 53%
Over 1.5+
82%
League: 71%
Over 2.5+
50%
League: 48%
Cards
5.13
League: 4.64
Corners
10.88
League: 9.21
Home Team
Sacramento Republic
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
L
W
W
D
|
1.5 |
| Home |
W
W
L
W
W
|
2 |
| Away |
D
L
W
D
W
|
1.1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 39% | 63% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.22 | 2.88 | 1.7 |
| Scored | 1.33 | 2 | 0.8 |
| Conceded | 0.89 | 0.88 | 0.9 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 38% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 13% | 40% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.44 | 1.66 | 1.27 |
|
xGA
|
1.27 | 1.18 | 1.34 |
Away Team
Lexington
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
W
W
D
W
|
1.56 |
| Home |
D
W
W
W
L
|
1.9 |
| Away |
D
W
W
L
L
|
1.13 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 44% | 60% | 25% |
| Goals | 2.78 | 2.9 | 2.63 |
| Scored | 1.56 | 1.7 | 1.38 |
| Conceded | 1.22 | 1.2 | 1.25 |
| Both Teams to Score | 56% | 50% | 63% |
| Without Conceding | 39% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 10% | 38% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.48 | 1.59 | 1.35 |
|
xGA
|
1.35 | 1.25 | 1.47 |
Corners
8.45 / Match
+13% Corners / Match
Lexington received +13% more corners than Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship
9.56 / Match
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
(7)
Tulsa Roughnecks
(2)
Sporting JAX
(4)
Oakland Roots
(7)
Charleston Battery
(5)
Rhode Island
(7)
New Mexico United
(5)(7)
Phoenix Rising
(11)
Monterey Bay
(4)
Tulsa Roughnecks
(3)
Oakland Roots
(4)
New Mexico United
(2)
Tampa Bay Rowdies
(1)
San Antonio
Cards
2.28 / Match
+8% Cards / Match
Sacramento Republic received +8% more cards than Lexington in the USL Championship
2.11 / Match
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
(0)
Tulsa Roughnecks
(1)
Sporting JAX
(1)
Oakland Roots
(1)
Charleston Battery
(2)
Rhode Island
(1)
New Mexico United
(2)(1)
Phoenix Rising
(1)
Monterey Bay
(6)
Tulsa Roughnecks
(3)
Oakland Roots
(4)
New Mexico United
(0)
Tampa Bay Rowdies
(1)
San Antonio
Goals Scored
1.33 / Match
+17%
Lexington is +17% better in terms of goals scored
1.56 / Match
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
(0)
Tulsa Roughnecks
(0)
Sporting JAX
(5)
Oakland Roots
(3)
Charleston Battery
(1)
Rhode Island
(2)
New Mexico United
(0)(1)
Phoenix Rising
(3)
Monterey Bay
(0)
Tulsa Roughnecks
(2)
Oakland Roots
(1)
New Mexico United
(4)
Tampa Bay Rowdies
(2)
San Antonio
Goals Conceded
0.89 / Match
+27%
Lexington condeded +27% more goals than Sacramento Republic
1.22 / Match
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
(0)
Tulsa Roughnecks
(1)
Sporting JAX
(0)
Oakland Roots
(1)
Charleston Battery
(1)
Rhode Island
(1)
New Mexico United
(1)(0)
Phoenix Rising
(2)
Monterey Bay
(0)
Tulsa Roughnecks
(0)
Oakland Roots
(4)
New Mexico United
(1)
Tampa Bay Rowdies
(0)
San Antonio
USL Championship Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tampa Bay Rowdies
|
19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 41 | 2.16 |
| 2 |
Orange County SC
|
19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 34 | 1.79 |
| 3 |
Charleston Battery
|
19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 33 | 1.74 |
| 4 |
San Antonio
|
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 32 | 1.68 |
| 5 |
Detroit City FC
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 31 | 1.72 |
| 6 |
New Mexico United
|
16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 | 1.88 |
| 7 |
Tulsa Roughnecks
|
18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 29 | 1.61 |
| 8 |
Lexington
|
18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 28 | 1.56 |
| 9 |
El Paso Locomotive
|
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 28 | 1.47 |
| 10 |
Louisville City
|
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 28 | 1.47 |
| 11 |
Sacramento Republic
|
18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 27 | 1.5 |
| 12 |
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
|
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 27 | 1.42 |
| 13 |
Las Vegas Lights
|
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 26 | 1.37 |
| 14 |
Rhode Island
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 25 | 1.47 |
| 15 |
Colorado Springs
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 25 | 1.39 |
| 16 |
Indy Eleven
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 | 1.29 |
| 17 |
Phoenix Rising
|
19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 | 1.16 |
| 18 |
Oakland Roots
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 22 | 1.1 |
| 19 |
Miami FC II
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 22 | 1.1 |
| 20 |
Hartford Athletic
|
18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 21 | 1.17 |
| 21 |
Loudoun United
|
18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 18 | 1 |
| 22 |
Birmingham Legion
|
17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 | 1 |
| 23 |
Monterey Bay
|
20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 15 | 0.75 |
| 24 |
Brooklyn FC
|
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 13 | 0.76 |
| 25 |
Sporting JAX
|
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 8 | 0.42 |
Odds
Toba is a betting enthusiast with a keen interest in helping Nigerian players with the knowledge needed to navigate the sometimes complex world of sports betting. He combines his years of experience in sports journalism and passion for sports betting to craft easy to understand reviews and analysis of diverse betting topics. He has a very good knowledge of the Nigerian market and what would enhance the betting experience of an average Nigerian bettor. That is why he is dedicated to showcasing the best bookmakers, latest bonuses and general tips that can help you have a smooth betting adventure.
