USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights
Thu, 01 Oct 2026 - 03:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Papa Murphy’s Park
Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction & Stats - USL Championship 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights carries real history into this round of the USL Championship.
The two sides meet on 01/10 (Thursday) at Papa Murphy’s Park, 03:00 (UK time).
Read the Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Correct Score: 1 - 1
Last updated on 29-09-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Sacramento Republic the side to beat, with roughly 58% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all USL Championship odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Sacramento Republic Preview
Sacramento Republic reach this fixture 25 match into their USL Championship. Here is where Sacramento Republic stand:
In this competition
10 won, 10 drawn, 5 lost
1.6 points per game
33 scored, at 1.32 a game
22 conceded, at 0.88 a game
Sacramento Republic, season-wide
10 won, 10 drawn, 5 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Kyle Edwards, 7 goals
Most assists: José Rodríguez, 6 assists
Recent results — Sacramento Republic
26/09/2026 21:00
20/09/2026 19:00
12/09/2026 22:00
05/09/2026 21:00
29/08/2026 22:00
Las Vegas Lights: how they are travelling
Las Vegas Lights come in 25 matches into their USL Championship.
Here is what Las Vegas Lights have produced:
In this competition
9 won, 6 drawn, 10 lost
1.32 points per game
32 scored, at 1.28 a game
35 conceded, at 1.4 a game
Las Vegas Lights, season-wide
9 won, 6 drawn, 10 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Johnny Rodriguez, 12 goals
Most assists: Christian Pinzon Barajas, 6 assists
Recent results — Las Vegas Lights
19/09/2026 22:30
12/09/2026 22:00
05/09/2026 22:30
29/08/2026 22:30
22/08/2026 19:00
The head-to-head favours Sacramento Republic
Recent meetings have tended to go Sacramento Republic's way against Las Vegas Lights.
From 19 match(es):
Sacramento Republic: 10 win(s)
Las Vegas Lights: 4 win(s)
Drawn: 5
It is a pattern worth weighing in the Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights prediction.
Form comparison Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Sacramento Republic
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
W
D
D
|
1.6 |
| Home |
D
W
D
W
W
|
2 |
| Away |
W
D
D
D
L
|
1.23 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 58% | 23% |
| Goals | 2.2 | 2.42 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.32 | 1.67 | 1 |
| Conceded | 0.88 | 0.75 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52% | 42% | 62% |
| Without Conceding | 36% | 50% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 17% | 31% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.5 | 1.62 | 1.38 |
|
xGA
|
1.17 | 1.02 | 1.31 |
Away Team
Las Vegas Lights
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
D
W
L
L
|
1.32 |
| Home |
D
D
L
L
W
|
1.31 |
| Away |
W
L
W
W
W
|
1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 36% | 31% | 42% |
| Goals | 2.68 | 2.15 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 1.28 | 1.08 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.4 | 1.08 | 1.75 |
| Both Teams to Score | 64% | 62% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 28% | 31% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 23% | 8% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.42 | 1.57 | 1.25 |
|
xGA
|
1.34 | 1.17 | 1.53 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
Fixture information - Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights
Match: Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights
Competition: USL Championship
Date: Thursday, 01/10/2026
Kick-off: 03:00 (UK time)
Venue: Papa Murphy’s Park
More USL Championship predictions
Explore the rest of our USL Championship predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.84
League: 2.73
Both Teams to Score
55%
League: 54%
Over 1.5+
75%
League: 72%
Over 2.5+
50%
League: 50%
Cards
4.42
League: 4.52
Corners
10.17
League: 9.22
Home Team
Sacramento Republic
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
W
D
D
|
1.6 |
| Home |
D
W
D
W
W
|
2 |
| Away |
W
D
D
D
L
|
1.23 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 58% | 23% |
| Goals | 2.2 | 2.42 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.32 | 1.67 | 1 |
| Conceded | 0.88 | 0.75 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52% | 42% | 62% |
| Without Conceding | 36% | 50% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 17% | 31% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.5 | 1.62 | 1.38 |
|
xGA
|
1.17 | 1.02 | 1.31 |
Away Team
Las Vegas Lights
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
D
W
L
L
|
1.32 |
| Home |
D
D
L
L
W
|
1.31 |
| Away |
W
L
W
W
W
|
1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 36% | 31% | 42% |
| Goals | 2.68 | 2.15 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 1.28 | 1.08 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.4 | 1.08 | 1.75 |
| Both Teams to Score | 64% | 62% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 28% | 31% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 23% | 8% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.42 | 1.57 | 1.25 |
|
xGA
|
1.34 | 1.17 | 1.53 |
Corners
8.6 / Match
+4% Corners / Match
Las Vegas Lights received +4% more corners than Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship
8.92 / Match
New Mexico United
(2)
San Antonio
(12)
Detroit City FC
(7)
Orange County SC
(11)
Monterey Bay
(6)
Phoenix Rising
(3)
Lexington
(3)(4)
Hartford Athletic
(5)
Orange County SC
(3)
New Mexico United
(5)
Charleston Battery
(2)
Lexington
(4)
Brooklyn FC
(2)
Miami FC II
Cards
2.04 / Match
+2% Cards / Match
Sacramento Republic received +2% more cards than Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship
2 / Match
New Mexico United
(3)
San Antonio
(1)
Detroit City FC
(0)
Orange County SC
(2)
Monterey Bay
(0)
Phoenix Rising
(1)
Lexington
(3)(1)
Hartford Athletic
(4)
Orange County SC
(1)
New Mexico United
(1)
Charleston Battery
(3)
Lexington
(2)
Brooklyn FC
(3)
Miami FC II
Goals Scored
1.32 / Match
+3%
Sacramento Republic is +3% better in terms of goals scored
1.28 / Match
New Mexico United
(3)
San Antonio
(0)
Detroit City FC
(1)
Orange County SC
(1)
Monterey Bay
(1)
Phoenix Rising
(2)
Lexington
(1)(1)
Hartford Athletic
(2)
Orange County SC
(1)
New Mexico United
(0)
Charleston Battery
(0)
Lexington
(2)
Brooklyn FC
(1)
Miami FC II
Goals Conceded
0.88 / Match
+37%
Las Vegas Lights condeded +37% more goals than Sacramento Republic
1.4 / Match
New Mexico United
(2)
San Antonio
(0)
Detroit City FC
(0)
Orange County SC
(1)
Monterey Bay
(1)
Phoenix Rising
(2)
Lexington
(0)(1)
Hartford Athletic
(0)
Orange County SC
(2)
New Mexico United
(2)
Charleston Battery
(2)
Lexington
(1)
Brooklyn FC
(0)
Miami FC II
USL Championship Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tampa Bay Rowdies
|
26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 52 | 2 |
| 2 |
El Paso Locomotive
|
26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 47 | 1.81 |
| 3 |
Charleston Battery
|
26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 46 | 1.77 |
| 4 |
New Mexico United
|
25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 43 | 1.72 |
| 5 |
Detroit City FC
|
25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 41 | 1.64 |
| 6 |
Lexington
|
26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 40 | 1.54 |
| 7 |
Sacramento Republic
|
25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 40 | 1.6 |
| 8 |
Hartford Athletic
|
26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 39 | 1.5 |
| 9 |
Colorado Springs
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 39 | 1.5 |
| 10 |
Orange County SC
|
26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 | 1.5 |
| 11 |
Tulsa Roughnecks
|
25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 38 | 1.52 |
| 12 |
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
|
27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 38 | 1.41 |
| 13 |
San Antonio
|
26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 38 | 1.46 |
| 14 |
Louisville City
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 37 | 1.42 |
| 15 |
Indy Eleven
|
25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 33 | 1.32 |
| 16 |
Oakland Roots
|
26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 33 | 1.27 |
| 17 |
Las Vegas Lights
|
25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 33 | 1.32 |
| 18 |
Phoenix Rising
|
26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 33 | 1.27 |
| 19 |
Rhode Island
|
24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 32 | 1.33 |
| 20 |
Miami FC II
|
26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 30 | 1.15 |
| 21 |
Birmingham Legion
|
25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 23 | 0.92 |
| 22 |
Loudoun United
|
25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 23 | 0.92 |
| 23 |
Monterey Bay
|
26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 18 | 0.69 |
| 24 |
Brooklyn FC
|
25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 18 | 0.72 |
| 25 |
Sporting JAX
|
26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 14 | 0.54 |
Odds
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