Primera División
Racing vs Peñarol
Sun, 04 Oct 2026 - 23:30 (UK Time)
Stadium: Parque Osvaldo Roberto
Racing vs Peñarol Prediction & Stats - Primera División 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Racing vs Peñarol carries real history into this round of the Primera División.
The two sides meet on 04/10 (Sunday) at Parque Osvaldo Roberto, 23:30 (UK time).
Read the Racing vs Peñarol prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Racing vs Peñarol
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Racing vs Peñarol call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Under 3.5 Goals
Last updated on 01-10-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Peñarol the side to beat, with roughly 28% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Primera División odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Racing Preview
Racing reach this fixture 30 match into their Primera División. Here is where La Escuelita stand:
In this competition
14 won, 11 drawn, 5 lost
1.77 points per game
36 scored, at 1.2 a game
24 conceded, at 0.8 a game
La Escuelita, season-wide
14 won, 11 drawn, 6 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Tomás Habib, 6 goals
Most assists: Álex Bacilio Vázquez Álvez, 3 assists
Recent results — Racing
26/09/2026 10:00
20/09/2026 19:00
12/09/2026 12:00
06/09/2026 09:00
31/08/2026 14:30
Peñarol: how they are travelling
Peñarol come in 30 matches into their Primera División.
Here is what Peñarol have produced:
In this competition
19 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost
2.07 points per game
53 scored, at 1.77 a game
25 conceded, at 0.83 a game
Peñarol, season-wide
19 won, 9 drawn, 9 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Douglas Matías Arezo Martínez, 13 goals
Most assists: Javier Cabrera, 5 assists
Recent results — Peñarol
30/09/2026 19:00
26/09/2026 17:30
19/09/2026 14:30
13/09/2026 18:30
05/09/2026 14:00
The head-to-head favours Peñarol
Peñarol have generally come out ahead of La Escuelita in their recent meetings.
From 22 match(es):
Peñarol: 10 win(s)
Racing: 3 win(s)
Drawn: 9
That trend is worth factoring into the Racing vs Peñarol prediction.
Form comparison Racing vs Peñarol
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Racing
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
D
W
L
W
|
1.77 |
| Home |
W
W
W
W
D
|
2.13 |
| Away |
L
D
L
D
D
|
1.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 47% | 60% | 33% |
| Goals | 2 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Scored | 1.2 | 1.47 | 0.93 |
| Conceded | 0.8 | 0.73 | 0.87 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47% | 47% | 47% |
| Without Conceding | 43% | 53% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 7% | 40% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
|
xGA
|
1.09 | 1.09 | 1.08 |
Away Team
Peñarol
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
L
D
W
W
|
2.03 |
| Home |
L
W
W
L
W
|
1.94 |
| Away |
D
D
W
W
D
|
2.14 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 61% | 59% | 64% |
| Goals | 2.58 | 3 | 2.07 |
| Scored | 1.74 | 1.94 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 0.84 | 1.06 | 0.57 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 71% | 36% |
| Without Conceding | 32% | 12% | 57% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 18% | 14% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.67 | 1.8 | 1.52 |
|
xGA
|
1.23 | 1.21 | 1.25 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Peñarol to Win the 1st Half
Peñarol travels to Parque Osvaldo Roberto and is looking to take home all three points. Despite being the away side, they are expected to dominate the first half.
With Racing struggling, this is the perfect chance for Peñarol to take control and grab a first-half lead. That’s why our betting tip is Peñarol to win the first half.
👉 Prediction: Peñarol win or Draw
Despite being the away side, we don’t expect Peñarol to lose this match. Our recommended bet is Peñarol to win or draw in the Double Chance market, ensuring a payout as long as they don’t lose.
Peñarol has its weaknesses, but Racing has been vulnerable, and home advantage might not be enough to keep them from losing.
Fixture information - Racing vs Peñarol
Match: Racing vs Peñarol
Competition: Primera División
Date: Sunday, 04/10/2026
Kick-off: 23:30 (UK time)
Venue: Parque Osvaldo Roberto
More Primera División predictions
Explore the rest of our Primera División predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Racinguistas vs Peñarol that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.29
League: 2.37
Both Teams to Score
51%
League: 51%
Over 1.5+
67%
League: 67%
Over 2.5+
41%
League: 44%
Cards
5.57
League: 5.88
Corners
10.18
League: 9.02
Home Team
Racing
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
D
W
L
W
|
1.77 |
| Home |
W
W
W
W
D
|
2.13 |
| Away |
L
D
L
D
D
|
1.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 47% | 60% | 33% |
| Goals | 2 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Scored | 1.2 | 1.47 | 0.93 |
| Conceded | 0.8 | 0.73 | 0.87 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47% | 47% | 47% |
| Without Conceding | 43% | 53% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 7% | 40% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
|
xGA
|
1.09 | 1.09 | 1.08 |
Away Team
Peñarol
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
L
D
W
W
|
2.03 |
| Home |
L
W
W
L
W
|
1.94 |
| Away |
D
D
W
W
D
|
2.14 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 61% | 59% | 64% |
| Goals | 2.58 | 3 | 2.07 |
| Scored | 1.74 | 1.94 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 0.84 | 1.06 | 0.57 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 71% | 36% |
| Without Conceding | 32% | 12% | 57% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 18% | 14% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.67 | 1.8 | 1.52 |
|
xGA
|
1.23 | 1.21 | 1.25 |
Corners
8.93 / Match
+12% Corners / Match
Racing received +12% more corners than Peñarol in the Primera División
8 / Match
Progreso
(6)
Liverpool FC Montevideo
(3)
Boston River
(2)
Cerro
(9)
Albion
(6)
Danubio
(4)
Nacional
(4)(5)
Torque
(2)
Boston River
(2)
Cerro
(7)
Albion
(3)
Danubio
(6)
Nacional
(4)
Deportivo Maldonado
Cards
2.63 / Match
+12% Cards / Match
Peñarol received +12% more cards than Racing in the Primera División
2.94 / Match
Progreso
(1)
Liverpool FC Montevideo
(5)
Boston River
(1)
Cerro
(2)
Albion
(2)
Danubio
(2)
Nacional
(3)(3)
Torque
(2)
Boston River
(1)
Cerro
(3)
Albion
(0)
Danubio
(3)
Nacional
(4)
Deportivo Maldonado
Goals Scored
1.2 / Match
+45%
Peñarol is +45% better in terms of goals scored
1.74 / Match
Progreso
(1)
Liverpool FC Montevideo
(0)
Boston River
(3)
Cerro
(0)
Albion
(1)
Danubio
(0)
Nacional
(2)(1)
Torque
(2)
Boston River
(2)
Cerro
(3)
Albion
(4)
Danubio
(0)
Nacional
(0)
Deportivo Maldonado
Goals Conceded
0.8 / Match
+5%
Peñarol condeded +5% more goals than Racing
0.84 / Match
Progreso
(2)
Liverpool FC Montevideo
(0)
Boston River
(2)
Cerro
(1)
Albion
(0)
Danubio
(0)
Nacional
(0)(1)
Torque
(1)
Boston River
(1)
Cerro
(1)
Albion
(0)
Danubio
(1)
Nacional
(0)
Deportivo Maldonado
Primera División Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 2.17 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Maldonado
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 2.17 |
| 3 |
Torque
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
| 4 |
Peñarol
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 5 |
Liverpool FC Montevideo
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 6 |
Central Español
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 7 |
Nacional
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 8 |
Defensor Sporting
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 9 |
Wanderers
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 10 |
Danubio
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 11 |
Cerro Largo
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | 1 |
| 12 |
Albion
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | 0.83 |
| 13 |
Progreso
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 | 0.83 |
| 14 |
Boston River
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 | 0.33 |
| 15 |
Cerro
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | 0.33 |
| 16 |
Juventud
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | 0.25 |
Odds
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