Querétaro vs Toluca Prediction & Stats - Liga MX 2026/27

Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Querétaro vs Toluca carries real history into this round of the Liga MX.

The two sides meet on 22/08 (Saturday) at Estadio La Corregidora, 04:10 (UK time).

Read the Querétaro vs Toluca prediction below before backing anything.

Our verdict on Querétaro vs Toluca

A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Querétaro vs Toluca call we are most confident in:

Who do the bookmakers favour?

The market makes Toluca the side to beat, with roughly 24% of the implied odds in their favour.

For the wider picture, compare all Liga MX odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.

Querétaro Preview

Querétaro reach this fixture 4 match into their Liga MX. Here is where Los Gallos Blancos stand:

In this competition

• 2 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

• 1.75 points per game

• 5 scored, at 1.25 a game

• 4 conceded, at 1 a game

Los Gallos Blancos, season-wide

• 2 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost across all competitions

• Leading scorer: Ali Ávila Vega, 3 goals

• Most assists: Santiago Damián Homenchenko Bianchi, 1 assists

Recent results — Querétaro

16/08/2026 14:00

Pumas UNAM

0 - 0

Querétaro

D

01/08/2026 19:00

Querétaro

3 - 2

Tigres UANL

W

26/07/2026 21:06

Pachuca

1 - 2

Querétaro

W

18/07/2026 23:10

Querétaro

0 - 1

América

L

24/04/2026 23:00

Puebla

1 - 2

Querétaro

W

Toluca: how they are travelling

Toluca come in 4 matches into their Liga MX.

Here is what Diablos Rojos have produced:

In this competition

• 2 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

• 1.75 points per game

• 6 scored, at 1.5 a game

• 3 conceded, at 0.75 a game

Diablos Rojos, season-wide

• 2 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost across all competitions

• Leading scorer: Jorge Roberto Díaz Price, 1 goals

• Most assists: Helio Junio Nunes de Castro, 2 assists

Recent results — Diablos Rojos

15/08/2026 19:00

Atlante

0 - 0

Toluca

D

02/08/2026 21:05

Toluca

3 - 1

Necaxa

W

21/07/2026 23:05

Toluca

1 - 2

Pumas UNAM

L

18/07/2026 21:07

Guadalajara

0 - 2

Toluca

W

10/05/2026 19:00

Pachuca

2 - 0

Toluca

L

The head-to-head favours Toluca

Toluca have generally come out ahead of Los Gallos Blancos in their recent meetings.

From 29 match(es):

• Toluca: 15 win(s)

• Querétaro: 6 win(s)

• Drawn: 8

That trend is worth factoring into the Querétaro vs Toluca prediction.

Form comparison Querétaro vs Toluca

A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:

Home Team

Querétaro

Mexico - Liga MX

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W L	1.75
Home	W L	1.5
Away	D W	2

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Goals	2.25	3	1.5
Scored	1.25	1.5	1
Conceded	1	1.5	0.5
Both Teams to Score	50%	50%	50%
Without Conceding	25%	0%	50%
Failed To Score	50%	50%	50%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.37	1.34	1.4
xGA	1.73	2.02	1.45

Away Team

Toluca

Mexico - Liga MX

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L W	1.75
Home	W L	1.5
Away	D W	2

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Goals	2.25	3.5	1
Scored	1.5	2	1
Conceded	0.75	1.5	0
Both Teams to Score	50%	100%	0%
Without Conceding	50%	0%	100%
Failed To Score	25%	0%	50%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.88	2.32	1.45
xGA	1.16	0.85	1.47

Further markets to consider

Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:

Fixture information - Querétaro vs Toluca

• Match: Querétaro vs Toluca

• Competition: Liga MX

• Date: Saturday, 22/08/2026

• Kick-off: 04:10 (UK time)

• Venue: Estadio La Corregidora

More Liga MX predictions

Explore the rest of our Liga MX predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.

The statistics for Los Albiazules vs Los Auriazules that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.

Home Team

Querétaro

Mexico - Liga MX

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W L	1.75
Home	W L	1.5
Away	D W	2

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Goals	2.25	3	1.5
Scored	1.25	1.5	1
Conceded	1	1.5	0.5
Both Teams to Score	50%	50%	50%
Without Conceding	25%	0%	50%
Failed To Score	50%	50%	50%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.37	1.34	1.4
xGA	1.73	2.02	1.45

Away Team

Toluca

Mexico - Liga MX

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L W	1.75
Home	W L	1.5
Away	D W	2

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Goals	2.25	3.5	1
Scored	1.5	2	1
Conceded	0.75	1.5	0
Both Teams to Score	50%	100%	0%
Without Conceding	50%	0%	100%
Failed To Score	25%	0%	50%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.88	2.32	1.45
xGA	1.16	0.85	1.47

Corners

11.25 / Match

+2% Corners / Match

Querétaro received +2% more corners than Toluca in the Liga MX

11 / Match

Pumas UNAM

(1)

Tigres UANL

(6)

Pachuca

(6)

América

(2)

(7)

Atlante

(6)

Necaxa

(9)

Pumas UNAM

(2)

Guadalajara

Cards

4.5 / Match

+350% Cards / Match

Querétaro received +350% more cards than Toluca in the Liga MX

1 / Match

Pumas UNAM

(3)

Tigres UANL

(6)

Pachuca

(3)

América

(6)

(0)

Atlante

(1)

Necaxa

(1)

Pumas UNAM

(2)

Guadalajara

Goals Scored

1.25 / Match

+20%

Toluca is +20% better in terms of goals scored

1.5 / Match

Pumas UNAM

(0)

Tigres UANL

(3)

Pachuca

(2)

América

(0)

(0)

Atlante

(3)

Necaxa

(1)

Pumas UNAM

(2)

Guadalajara

Goals Conceded

1 / Match

+25%

Querétaro condeded +25% more goals than Toluca

0.75 / Match

Pumas UNAM

(0)

Tigres UANL

(2)

Pachuca

(1)

América

(1)

(0)

Atlante

(1)

Necaxa

(2)

Pumas UNAM

(0)

Guadalajara

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	América	4	3	1	0	8	1	7	10	2.5
2	Tijuana	4	3	1	0	6	2	4	10	2.5
3	Monterrey	4	3	0	1	12	5	7	9	2.25
4	Atlas	4	3	0	1	6	5	1	9	2.25
5	Toluca	4	2	1	1	6	3	3	7	1.75
6	Pumas UNAM	4	2	1	1	7	5	2	7	1.75
7	Querétaro	4	2	1	1	5	4	1	7	1.75
8	Puebla	4	2	1	1	6	5	1	7	1.75
9	Guadalajara	4	2	1	1	3	3	0	7	1.75
10	León	4	2	0	2	5	5	0	6	1.5
11	Cruz Azul	4	2	0	2	8	8	0	6	1.5
12	Necaxa	4	2	0	2	6	7	-1	6	1.5
13	Atlante	4	1	2	1	5	5	0	5	1.25
14	Pachuca	4	1	0	3	6	6	0	3	0.75
15	Atlético San Luis	4	0	2	2	4	8	-4	2	0.5
16	Tigres UANL	4	0	1	3	6	10	-4	1	0.25
17	Santos Laguna	4	0	0	4	2	8	-6	0	0
18	Juárez	4	0	0	4	2	13	-11	0	0