Liga MX
Puebla vs Toluca
Wed, 16 Sep 2026 - 02:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Estadio Cuauhtémoc
Puebla vs Toluca Prediction & Stats - Liga MX 2026/27
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Puebla vs Toluca carries real history into this round of the Liga MX.
The two sides meet on 16/09 (Wednesday) at Estadio Cuauhtémoc, 02:00 (UK time).
Read the Puebla vs Toluca prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Puebla vs Toluca
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Puebla vs Toluca call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Over 2.5 Goals
Last updated on 16-09-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Toluca the side to beat, with roughly 20% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Liga MX odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Puebla Preview
Puebla reach this fixture 7 match into their Liga MX. Here is where Los Camoteros stand:
In this competition
4 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
1.86 points per game
10 scored, at 1.43 a game
9 conceded, at 1.29 a game
Los Camoteros, season-wide
4 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Eduardo Mustre Torres, 3 goals
Most assists: Alberto Herrera Rodríguez, 2 assists
Recent results — Puebla
11/09/2026 21:00
29/08/2026 21:05
22/08/2026 21:00
17/08/2026 23:06
31/07/2026 21:00
Toluca: how they are travelling
Toluca come in 7 matches into their Liga MX.
Here is what Diablos Rojos have produced:
In this competition
5 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
2.29 points per game
17 scored, at 2.43 a game
6 conceded, at 0.86 a game
Diablos Rojos, season-wide
5 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Federico Sebastián Viñas Barboza, 3 goals
Most assists: Helio Junio Nunes de Castro, 2 assists
Recent results — Diablos Rojos
12/09/2026 19:05
30/08/2026 20:00
21/08/2026 23:10
15/08/2026 19:00
02/08/2026 21:05
The head-to-head favours Toluca
Toluca have generally come out ahead of Los Camoteros in their recent meetings.
From 35 match(es):
Toluca: 15 win(s)
Puebla: 10 win(s)
Drawn: 10
That trend is worth factoring into the Puebla vs Toluca prediction.
Form comparison Puebla vs Toluca
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Puebla
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
W
W
D
|
1.86 |
| Home |
W
D
|
2 |
| Away |
W
L
W
L
W
|
1.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 57% | 50% | 60% |
| Goals | 2.71 | 3.5 | 2.4 |
| Scored | 1.43 | 2 | 1.2 |
| Conceded | 1.29 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 100% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 20% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.47 | 1.32 | 1.53 |
|
xGA
|
1.7 | 1.64 | 1.72 |
Away Team
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
W
D
W
|
2.29 |
| Home |
W
W
W
L
|
2.25 |
| Away |
W
D
W
|
2.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Goals | 3.29 | 4.5 | 1.67 |
| Scored | 2.43 | 3.25 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 0.86 | 1.25 | 0.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Without Conceding | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.91 | 2.25 | 1.47 |
|
xGA
|
1.15 | 0.84 | 1.55 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals
After analyzing the odds and available statistics for Puebla vs Toluca, we anticipate a low-scoring match.
With few clear-cut chances expected, under 2.5 goals looks like the smartest betting option, as the match is unlikely to see more than two goals.
Fixture information - Puebla vs Toluca
Match: Puebla vs Toluca
Competition: Liga MX
Date: Wednesday, 16/09/2026
Kick-off: 02:00 (UK time)
Venue: Estadio Cuauhtémoc
More Liga MX predictions
Explore the rest of our Liga MX predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for La Franja vs Los Auriazules that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
3
League: 2.84
Both Teams to Score
57%
League: 55%
Over 1.5+
79%
League: 78%
Over 2.5+
57%
League: 54%
Cards
3
League: 4.22
Corners
10.57
League: 10.7
Home Team
Puebla
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
W
W
D
|
1.86 |
| Home |
W
D
|
2 |
| Away |
W
L
W
L
W
|
1.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 57% | 50% | 60% |
| Goals | 2.71 | 3.5 | 2.4 |
| Scored | 1.43 | 2 | 1.2 |
| Conceded | 1.29 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 100% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 20% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.47 | 1.32 | 1.53 |
|
xGA
|
1.7 | 1.64 | 1.72 |
Away Team
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
W
D
W
|
2.29 |
| Home |
W
W
W
L
|
2.25 |
| Away |
W
D
W
|
2.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Goals | 3.29 | 4.5 | 1.67 |
| Scored | 2.43 | 3.25 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 0.86 | 1.25 | 0.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Without Conceding | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.91 | 2.25 | 1.47 |
|
xGA
|
1.15 | 0.84 | 1.55 |
Corners
10.71 / Match
+5% Corners / Match
Toluca received +5% more corners than Puebla in the Liga MX
11.29 / Match
Necaxa
(5)
América
(8)
Santos Laguna
(6)
Pachuca
(3)
Guadalajara
(1)
Cruz Azul
(3)
Juárez
(7)(6)
Atlas
(5)
Juárez
(6)
Querétaro
(7)
Atlante
(6)
Necaxa
(9)
Pumas UNAM
(2)
Guadalajara
Cards
1.43 / Match
+10% Cards / Match
Toluca received +10% more cards than Puebla in the Liga MX
1.57 / Match
Necaxa
(3)
América
(1)
Santos Laguna
(0)
Pachuca
(0)
Guadalajara
(0)
Cruz Azul
(3)
Juárez
(1)(1)
Atlas
(1)
Juárez
(3)
Querétaro
(0)
Atlante
(1)
Necaxa
(1)
Pumas UNAM
(2)
Guadalajara
Goals Scored
1.43 / Match
+70%
Toluca is +70% better in terms of goals scored
2.43 / Match
Necaxa
(1)
América
(0)
Santos Laguna
(3)
Pachuca
(3)
Guadalajara
(1)
Cruz Azul
(1)
Juárez
(1)(5)
Atlas
(4)
Juárez
(2)
Querétaro
(0)
Atlante
(3)
Necaxa
(1)
Pumas UNAM
(2)
Guadalajara
Goals Conceded
1.29 / Match
+33%
Puebla condeded +33% more goals than Toluca
0.86 / Match
Necaxa
(0)
América
(2)
Santos Laguna
(2)
Pachuca
(2)
Guadalajara
(1)
Cruz Azul
(2)
Juárez
(0)(2)
Atlas
(0)
Juárez
(1)
Querétaro
(0)
Atlante
(1)
Necaxa
(2)
Pumas UNAM
(0)
Guadalajara
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Guadalajara
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 2.13 |
| 2 |
Toluca
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 2.29 |
| 3 |
América
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 2.29 |
| 4 |
Cruz Azul
|
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | 1.88 |
| 5 |
Querétaro
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 1.86 |
| 6 |
Tijuana
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 1.86 |
| 7 |
León
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 1.63 |
| 8 |
Puebla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 1.86 |
| 9 |
Atlas
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 | 1.63 |
| 10 |
Pachuca
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 1.38 |
| 11 |
Pumas UNAM
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 11 | 1.38 |
| 12 |
Monterrey
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 1.43 |
| 13 |
Necaxa
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 | 1 |
| 14 |
Tigres UANL
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 | 0.88 |
| 15 |
Atlante
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | 0.88 |
| 16 |
Atlético San Luis
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 | 0.75 |
| 17 |
Santos Laguna
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | 0.5 |
| 18 |
Juárez
|
8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 23 | -19 | 0 | 0 |
Odds
Hey there! I’m Abhishek Nandwani, one of the voices behind the content at Eagle Predict. Hailing from India's capital, Delhi, I’m not just a football fan – I’m a die-hard Manchester United supporter. With 15 years of experience in the media world, I’ve spent the past three years in the betting world, producing content. When I’m not writing about football betting, you’ll probably catch me glued to football matches and enjoying some good food. For me, Zinedine Zidane is The GOAT! Stay tuned for my reviews – they’re always packed with detailed insights!
