Primera División
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado
Sat, 18 Jul 2026 - 16:30 (UK Time)
Stadium: Parque Abraham Paladino
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction & Stats - Primera División 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado carries real history into this round of the Primera División.
The two sides meet on 18/07 (Saturday) at Parque Abraham Paladino, 16:30 (UK time).
Read the Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
Last updated on 17-07-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Deportivo Maldonado the side to beat, with roughly 19% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Primera División odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Progreso Preview
Progreso reach this fixture 20 match into their Primera División. Here is where Progreso stand:
In this competition
3 won, 4 drawn, 13 lost
0.65 points per game
16 scored, at 0.8 a game
32 conceded, at 1.6 a game
Progreso, season-wide
3 won, 4 drawn, 13 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Elvis Nahuel López Barboza, 3 goals
Most assists: Facundo Kidd Álvarez, 2 assists
Recent results — Progreso
11/07/2026 17:00
07/06/2026 09:00
30/05/2026 14:00
23/05/2026 09:00
16/05/2026 14:00
Deportivo Maldonado: how they are travelling
Deportivo Maldonado come in 20 matches into their Primera División.
Here is what Deportivo Maldonado have produced:
In this competition
12 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost
2 points per game
36 scored, at 1.8 a game
21 conceded, at 1.05 a game
Deportivo Maldonado, season-wide
12 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Christian Alejandro Tabó Hornos, 7 goals
Most assists: Matías Espíndola, 3 assists
Recent results — Deportivo Maldonado
10/07/2026 18:00
06/06/2026 14:00
31/05/2026 17:30
24/05/2026 14:00
18/05/2026 17:30
The head-to-head
Over 16 recent meetings between Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado:
Progreso: 5 win(s)
Deportivo Maldonado: 5 win(s)
Drawn: 6
An even record like this keeps the Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado prediction genuinely open.
Form comparison Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Progreso
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
L
L
|
0.65 |
| Home |
L
L
L
W
L
|
0.5 |
| Away |
L
W
L
L
L
|
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 15% | 10% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| Scored | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Conceded | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Both Teams to Score | 45% | 50% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 5% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.18 | 1.2 | 1.15 |
|
xGA
|
1.46 | 1.46 | 1.46 |
Away Team
Deportivo Maldonado
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
W
W
D
|
2 |
| Home |
W
D
W
W
W
|
2.5 |
| Away |
W
D
W
D
W
|
1.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Goals | 2.85 | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| Scored | 1.8 | 2 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 1.05 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Both Teams to Score | 65% | 60% | 70% |
| Without Conceding | 35% | 40% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 5% | 0% | 10% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.43 | 1.53 | 1.33 |
|
xGA
|
1.27 | 1.23 | 1.32 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
Fixture information - Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado
Match: Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado
Competition: Primera División
Date: Saturday, 18/07/2026
Kick-off: 16:30 (UK time)
Venue: Parque Abraham Paladino
More Primera División predictions
Explore the rest of our Primera División predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.8
League: 2.42
Both Teams to Score
60%
League: 53%
Over 1.5+
75%
League: 69%
Over 2.5+
55%
League: 46%
Cards
7.4
League: 6.26
Corners
10.2
League: 8.78
Home Team
Progreso
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
L
L
|
0.65 |
| Home |
L
L
L
W
L
|
0.5 |
| Away |
L
W
L
L
L
|
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 15% | 10% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| Scored | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Conceded | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Both Teams to Score | 45% | 50% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 5% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.18 | 1.2 | 1.15 |
|
xGA
|
1.46 | 1.46 | 1.46 |
Away Team
Deportivo Maldonado
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
W
W
D
|
2 |
| Home |
W
D
W
W
W
|
2.5 |
| Away |
W
D
W
D
W
|
1.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Goals | 2.85 | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| Scored | 1.8 | 2 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 1.05 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Both Teams to Score | 65% | 60% | 70% |
| Without Conceding | 35% | 40% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 5% | 0% | 10% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.43 | 1.53 | 1.33 |
|
xGA
|
1.27 | 1.23 | 1.32 |
Corners
8.55 / Match
+8% Corners / Match
Deportivo Maldonado received +8% more corners than Progreso in the Primera División
9.2 / Match
Wanderers
(7)
Albion
(7)
Danubio
(7)
Torque
(3)
Juventud
(4)
Torque
(4)
Cerro Largo
(5)(4)
Albion
(1)
Torque
(7)
Nacional
(6)
Wanderers
(4)
Danubio
(7)
Boston River
(11)
Cerro
Cards
3.4 / Match
+6% Cards / Match
Progreso received +6% more cards than Deportivo Maldonado in the Primera División
3.2 / Match
Wanderers
(2)
Albion
(2)
Danubio
(2)
Torque
(6)
Juventud
(2)
Torque
(3)
Cerro Largo
(3)(3)
Albion
(1)
Torque
(3)
Nacional
(3)
Wanderers
(5)
Danubio
(2)
Boston River
(3)
Cerro
Goals Scored
0.8 / Match
+125%
Deportivo Maldonado is +125% better in terms of goals scored
1.8 / Match
Wanderers
(0)
Albion
(1)
Danubio
(2)
Torque
(1)
Juventud
(0)
Torque
(1)
Cerro Largo
(0)(1)
Albion
(4)
Torque
(3)
Nacional
(1)
Wanderers
(3)
Danubio
(2)
Boston River
(1)
Cerro
Goals Conceded
1.6 / Match
+34%
Progreso condeded +34% more goals than Deportivo Maldonado
1.05 / Match
Wanderers
(2)
Albion
(2)
Danubio
(1)
Torque
(2)
Juventud
(2)
Torque
(2)
Cerro Largo
(1)(1)
Albion
(2)
Torque
(0)
Nacional
(1)
Wanderers
(1)
Danubio
(1)
Boston River
(0)
Cerro
Primera División Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 2.17 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Maldonado
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 2.17 |
| 3 |
Peñarol
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 4 |
Torque
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
| 5 |
Liverpool FC Montevideo
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 6 |
Central Español
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 7 |
Nacional
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 8 |
Defensor Sporting
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 9 |
Wanderers
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 10 |
Danubio
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 11 |
Cerro Largo
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | 1 |
| 12 |
Albion
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | 0.83 |
| 13 |
Progreso
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 | 0.83 |
| 14 |
Boston River
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 | 0.33 |
| 15 |
Cerro
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | 0.33 |
| 16 |
Juventud
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | 0.25 |
Odds
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