Primera División
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 - 15:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Parque Abraham Paladino
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction & Stats - Primera División 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado carries real history into this round of the Primera División.
The two sides meet on 16/08 (Sunday) at Parque Abraham Paladino, 15:00 (UK time).
Read the Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Double Chance: Draw or Deportivo Maldonado
Last updated on 14-08-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Deportivo Maldonado the side to beat, with roughly 25% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Primera División odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Progreso Preview
Progreso reach this fixture 23 match into their Primera División. Here is where Progreso stand:
In this competition
4 won, 4 drawn, 15 lost
0.7 points per game
18 scored, at 0.78 a game
35 conceded, at 1.52 a game
Progreso, season-wide
4 won, 4 drawn, 15 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Elvis Nahuel López Barboza, 3 goals
Most assists: Facundo Kidd Álvarez, 2 assists
Recent results — Progreso
08/08/2026 10:00
02/08/2026 17:30
18/07/2026 11:30
11/07/2026 17:00
07/06/2026 09:00
Deportivo Maldonado: how they are travelling
Deportivo Maldonado come in 23 matches into their Primera División.
Here is what Deportivo Maldonado have produced:
In this competition
12 won, 6 drawn, 5 lost
1.83 points per game
38 scored, at 1.65 a game
24 conceded, at 1.04 a game
Deportivo Maldonado, season-wide
12 won, 6 drawn, 5 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Christian Alejandro Tabó Hornos, 7 goals
Most assists: Matías Espíndola, 3 assists
Recent results — Deportivo Maldonado
10/08/2026 18:00
01/08/2026 14:00
18/07/2026 11:30
10/07/2026 18:00
06/06/2026 14:00
The head-to-head favours Progreso
Recent meetings have tended to go Progreso's way against Deportivo Maldonado.
From 17 match(es):
Progreso: 6 win(s)
Deportivo Maldonado: 5 win(s)
Drawn: 6
It is a pattern worth weighing in the Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado prediction.
Form comparison Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Progreso
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
L
L
|
0.7 |
| Home |
W
L
L
L
W
|
0.73 |
| Away |
L
L
L
W
L
|
0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 17% | 18% | 17% |
| Goals | 2.3 | 2.55 | 2.08 |
| Scored | 0.78 | 0.91 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.52 | 1.64 | 1.42 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 45% | 42% |
| Without Conceding | 9% | 9% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 48% | 45% | 50% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.17 | 1.18 | 1.16 |
|
xGA
|
1.5 | 1.46 | 1.53 |
Away Team
Deportivo Maldonado
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
D
D
D
|
1.83 |
| Home |
W
D
D
D
W
|
2.25 |
| Away |
L
W
D
W
D
|
1.36 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 52% | 67% | 36% |
| Goals | 2.7 | 2.67 | 2.73 |
| Scored | 1.65 | 1.83 | 1.45 |
| Conceded | 1.04 | 0.83 | 1.27 |
| Both Teams to Score | 61% | 58% | 64% |
| Without Conceding | 35% | 42% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 8% | 18% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.42 | 1.5 | 1.35 |
|
xGA
|
1.23 | 1.18 | 1.28 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Deportivo Maldonado to Win the 1st Half
Deportivo Maldonado travels to Parque Abraham Paladino and is looking to take home all three points. Despite being the away side, they are expected to dominate the first half.
With Progreso struggling, this is the perfect chance for Deportivo Maldonado to take control and grab a first-half lead. That’s why our betting tip is Deportivo Maldonado to win the first half.
Fixture information - Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado
Match: Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado
Competition: Primera División
Date: Sunday, 16/08/2026
Kick-off: 15:00 (UK time)
Venue: Parque Abraham Paladino
More Primera División predictions
Explore the rest of our Primera División predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.5
League: 2.37
Both Teams to Score
52%
League: 51%
Over 1.5+
70%
League: 66%
Over 2.5+
48%
League: 45%
Cards
6.39
League: 6.11
Corners
8.96
League: 8.92
Home Team
Progreso
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
L
L
|
0.7 |
| Home |
W
L
L
L
W
|
0.73 |
| Away |
L
L
L
W
L
|
0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 17% | 18% | 17% |
| Goals | 2.3 | 2.55 | 2.08 |
| Scored | 0.78 | 0.91 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.52 | 1.64 | 1.42 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 45% | 42% |
| Without Conceding | 9% | 9% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 48% | 45% | 50% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.17 | 1.18 | 1.16 |
|
xGA
|
1.5 | 1.46 | 1.53 |
Away Team
Deportivo Maldonado
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
D
D
D
|
1.83 |
| Home |
W
D
D
D
W
|
2.25 |
| Away |
L
W
D
W
D
|
1.36 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 52% | 67% | 36% |
| Goals | 2.7 | 2.67 | 2.73 |
| Scored | 1.65 | 1.83 | 1.45 |
| Conceded | 1.04 | 0.83 | 1.27 |
| Both Teams to Score | 61% | 58% | 64% |
| Without Conceding | 35% | 42% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 8% | 18% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.42 | 1.5 | 1.35 |
|
xGA
|
1.23 | 1.18 | 1.28 |
Corners
8.56 / Match
+7% Corners / Match
Deportivo Maldonado received +7% more corners than Progreso in the Primera División
9.13 / Match
Central Español
(3)
Nacional
(1)
Deportivo Maldonado
(3)
Wanderers
(7)
Albion
(7)
Danubio
(7)
Torque
(3)(0)
Racing
(10)
Juventud
(3)
Progreso
(4)
Albion
(1)
Torque
(7)
Nacional
(6)
Wanderers
Cards
3.26 / Match
+4% Cards / Match
Progreso received +4% more cards than Deportivo Maldonado in the Primera División
3.13 / Match
Central Español
(0)
Nacional
(0)
Deportivo Maldonado
(4)
Wanderers
(2)
Albion
(2)
Danubio
(2)
Torque
(6)(0)
Racing
(3)
Juventud
(3)
Progreso
(3)
Albion
(1)
Torque
(3)
Nacional
(3)
Wanderers
Goals Scored
0.78 / Match
+112%
Deportivo Maldonado is +112% better in terms of goals scored
1.65 / Match
Central Español
(0)
Nacional
(1)
Deportivo Maldonado
(1)
Wanderers
(0)
Albion
(1)
Danubio
(2)
Torque
(1)(2)
Racing
(0)
Juventud
(0)
Progreso
(1)
Albion
(4)
Torque
(3)
Nacional
(1)
Wanderers
Goals Conceded
1.52 / Match
+32%
Progreso condeded +32% more goals than Deportivo Maldonado
1.04 / Match
Central Español
(1)
Nacional
(2)
Deportivo Maldonado
(0)
Wanderers
(2)
Albion
(2)
Danubio
(1)
Torque
(2)(2)
Racing
(0)
Juventud
(1)
Progreso
(1)
Albion
(2)
Torque
(0)
Nacional
(1)
Wanderers
Primera División Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 2.17 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Maldonado
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 2.17 |
| 3 |
Torque
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
| 4 |
Peñarol
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 5 |
Liverpool FC Montevideo
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 6 |
Central Español
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 7 |
Nacional
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 8 |
Defensor Sporting
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 9 |
Wanderers
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 10 |
Danubio
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 11 |
Cerro Largo
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | 1 |
| 12 |
Albion
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | 0.83 |
| 13 |
Progreso
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 | 0.83 |
| 14 |
Boston River
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 | 0.33 |
| 15 |
Cerro
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | 0.33 |
| 16 |
Juventud
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | 0.25 |
Odds
Toba is a betting enthusiast with a keen interest in helping Nigerian players with the knowledge needed to navigate the sometimes complex world of sports betting. He combines his years of experience in sports journalism and passion for sports betting to craft easy to understand reviews and analysis of diverse betting topics. He has a very good knowledge of the Nigerian market and what would enhance the betting experience of an average Nigerian bettor. That is why he is dedicated to showcasing the best bookmakers, latest bonuses and general tips that can help you have a smooth betting adventure.
Peñarol
Liverpool FC Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Cerro