Paraguay vs France Prediction & Stats - World Cup 2026

France take on Paraguay in a classic David vs. Goliath showdown in the FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 16 at Philadelphia Stadium (Lincoln Financial Field). With a place in the quarter-finals on the line, the winner will move on to face either Canada or Morocco.

Didier Deschamps' side has looked every bit like title favourites throughout the tournament. France have won all four of their matches, scored a tournament-high 13 goals, and found the net at least three times in every game. Their latest statement came in a commanding 3-0 victory over Sweden in the Round of 32.

Paraguay, meanwhile, have emerged as the surprise package of the competition. Gustavo Alfaro's team entered the knockout stage as heavy underdogs, but stunned Germany by winning a dramatic penalty shootout after a 1-1 draw following extra time. Ranked 41st in the world, they are also the first team to qualify from the group stage in third place and reach this stage of the tournament.

Read the Paraguay vs France prediction before placing your bet.

Prediction for Paraguay vs France in the 2026 World Cup

It is all or nothing. That is why the prediction below points to the best bet for this knockout-style World Cup clash.

See our bet:

Who is the favourite to win?

According to leading UK-licensed bookmakers, France are the favourites to win, with 86% of the odds pointing to victory.

Want to know more? See all World Cup odds and explore this and other fixtures from the biggest football tournament on the planet.

• 🆚 Match: Paraguay vs France

• 🏆 Competition: 2026 FIFA World Cup

• 📅 Date: Saturday, 04/07/2026

• 🕐 Time: 22:00 UK time

• 🏟️ Stadium: Philadelphia Stadium (Lincoln Financial Field)

Paraguay in the 2026 World Cup

Paraguay come into this match with 4 match(es) played in the 2026 World Cup. See the record for La Albirroja:

World Cup campaign

• 1 win(s), 2 draw(s), and 1 defeat(s)

• Average: 1.25 point(s) per match

• 3 goals scored in the World Cup (0.75 per match)

• 5 goals conceded in the World Cup (1.25 per match)

La Albirroja in 2026:

• 10 win(s), 9 draw(s), and 6 defeat(s) across all competitions

• Top scorer: Antonio Sanabria with 4 goal(s)

• Assists: Diego Gómez with 2 assists

Latest results for La Albirroja

29/06/2026 16:30

Germany

1 - 1

Paraguay

D

25/06/2026 22:00

Paraguay

0 - 0

Australia

D

19/06/2026 23:00

Turkey

0 - 1

Paraguay

W

12/06/2026 21:00

USA

4 - 1

Paraguay

L

05/06/2026 18:45

Paraguay

4 - 0

Nicaragua

W

France in the 2026 World Cup

France come into this clash with 4 match(es) played in the 2026 World Cup.

See what France have done so far:

World Cup campaign:

• 4 win(s), 0 draw(s), and 0 defeat(s)

• Average: 3 point(s) per match

• 13 goals scored in the World Cup (3.25 per match)

• 2 goals conceded in the World Cup (0.5 per match)

France in 2026

• 12 win(s), 1 draw(s), and 1 defeat(s) across all competitions

• Top scorer: Kylian Mbappé with 6 goal(s)

• Assists: Michael Olise with 5 assists

Latest results for France

30/06/2026 17:00

France

3 - 0

Sweden

W

26/06/2026 15:00

Norway

1 - 4

France

W

22/06/2026 17:00

France

3 - 0

Iraq

W

16/06/2026 15:00

France

3 - 1

Senegal

W

08/06/2026 15:10

France

3 - 1

Northern Ireland

W

Head-to-head record between Paraguay and France

The two national teams have only a few recent meetings: 1 match(es) in total, which makes this 2026 World Cup fixture even more unpredictable.

• Paraguay: 0 win(s)

• France: 1 win(s)

• Draws: 0

Probable lineups for Paraguay vs France

Check the probable lineups below for the Paraguay vs France prediction in the 2026 World Cup.

France Expected Lineup: Mike Maignan, Jules Koundé, William Saliba, Dayot Upamecano, Theo Hernández, Manu Koné, Aurélien Tchouaméni, Ousmane Dembélé, Michael Olise, Bradley Barcola, Kylian Mbappé.

Paraguay Expected Lineup: Orlando Gill, Juan Cáceres, Gustavo Gómez, Junior Alonso, Juan Canale, Andrés Cubas, Matías Galarza, Miguel Almirón, Diego Bobadilla, Julio Enciso, Gabriel Ávalos.

Other predictions for the match

In addition to the betting tip offered at the start of this article, see other good bets for Paraguay vs France:

More 2026 World Cup predictions

Check all our 2026 FIFA World Cup predictions and stay up to date with the best analysis throughout the tournament.

The statistics for Guaraníes vs France that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.

Home Team

Paraguay

International - World Cup

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D W L	1.25
Home	D	1
Away	D W L	1.33

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	25%	0%	33%
Goals	2	0	2.67
Scored	0.75	0	1
Conceded	1.25	0	1.67
Both Teams to Score	50%	0%	67%
Without Conceding	50%	100%	33%
Failed To Score	25%	100%	0%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	0.81	0.75	0.82
xGA	2.39	1.44	2.7

Away Team

France

International - World Cup

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W	3
Home	W W W	3
Away	W	3

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Goals	3.75	3.33	5
Scored	3.25	3	4
Conceded	0.5	0.33	1
Both Teams to Score	50%	33%	100%
Without Conceding	50%	67%	0%
Failed To Score	0%	0%	0%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	2.21	2.21	2.22
xGA	0.84	0.72	1.2

Corners

10.5 / Match

+20% Corners / Match

Paraguay received +20% more corners than France in the World Cup

8.75 / Match

Germany

(6)

Australia

(1)

Turkey

(0)

USA

(1)

(9)

Sweden

(5)

Norway

(4)

Iraq

(6)

Senegal

Cards

2.75 / Match

+1000% Cards / Match

Paraguay received +1000% more cards than France in the World Cup

0.25 / Match

Germany

(2)

Australia

(1)

Turkey

(1)

USA

(5)

(0)

Sweden

(1)

Norway

(0)

Iraq

(0)

Senegal

Goals Scored

0.75 / Match

+333%

France is +333% better in terms of goals scored

3.25 / Match

Germany

(1)

Australia

(0)

Turkey

(1)

USA

(1)

(3)

Sweden

(4)

Norway

(3)

Iraq

(3)

Senegal

Goals Conceded

1.25 / Match

+60%

Paraguay condeded +60% more goals than France

0.5 / Match

Germany

(1)

Australia

(0)

Turkey

(0)

USA

(4)

(0)

Sweden

(1)

Norway

(0)

Iraq

(1)

Senegal

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	6	9	3
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4	1.33
3	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3	1
4	Czech Republic	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1	0.33

Group B

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	4	7	2.33
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	5	4	1.33
3	Bosnia-Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4	1.33
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1	0.33

Group C

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	6	7	2.33
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	3	7	2.33
3	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3	1
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0	0

Group D

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	4	6	2
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4	1.33
3	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4	1.33
4	Turkey	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3	1

Group E

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	6	6	2
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	2	6	2
3	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4	1.33
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1	0.33

Group F

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	6	7	2.33
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	4	5	1.67
3	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4	1.33
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0	0

Group G

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	4	5	1.67
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	2	5	1.67
3	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3	1
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1	0.33

Group H

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	5	7	2.33
2	Cape Verde	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3	1
3	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2	0.67
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2	0.67

Group I

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	France	3	3	0	0	10	2	8	9	3
2	Norway	3	2	0	1	8	7	1	6	2
3	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	2	3	1
4	Iraq	3	0	0	3	1	12	-11	0	0

Group J

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	7	9	3
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4	1.33
3	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4	1.33
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0	0

Group K

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	3	7	2.33
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	5	5	1.67
3	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	1	4	1.33
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0	0

Group L

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	4	7	2.33
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6	2
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4	1.33
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0	0