Serie A
Palmeiras vs Bahia
Fri, 09 Oct 2026 - 01:30 (UK Time)
Stadium: Allianz Parque
Palmeiras vs Bahia Prediction & Stats - Serie A 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Palmeiras vs Bahia carries real history into this round of the Serie A.
The two sides meet on 09/10 (Friday) at Allianz Parque, 01:30 (UK time).
Read the Palmeiras vs Bahia prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Palmeiras vs Bahia
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Palmeiras vs Bahia call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Palmeiras Win
Last updated on 07-10-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Palmeiras the side to beat, with roughly 61% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Serie A odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Palmeiras Preview
Palmeiras reach this fixture 28 match into their Serie A. Here is where Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras stand:
In this competition
16 won, 9 drawn, 3 lost
2.04 points per game
47 scored, at 1.68 a game
21 conceded, at 0.75 a game
Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras, season-wide
25 won, 13 drawn, 6 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: José Manuel López, 8 goals
Most assists: Andreas Pereira, 11 assists
Recent results — Palmeiras
20/09/2026 10:00
16/09/2026 18:00
12/09/2026 17:30
09/09/2026 18:00
06/09/2026 17:30
Bahia: how they are travelling
Bahia come in 28 matches into their Serie A.
Here is what Esquadrão de Aço have produced:
In this competition
12 won, 10 drawn, 6 lost
1.64 points per game
43 scored, at 1.54 a game
35 conceded, at 1.25 a game
Esquadrão de Aço, season-wide
13 won, 10 drawn, 9 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Luciano Batista da Silva Junior, 9 goals
Most assists: Éverton Ribeiro, 4 assists
Recent results — Esquadrão de Aço
20/09/2026 18:30
14/09/2026 19:00
05/09/2026 15:00
30/08/2026 18:30
23/08/2026 15:00
The head-to-head favours Palmeiras
Recent meetings have tended to go Palmeiras's way against Bahia.
From 21 match(es):
Palmeiras: 10 win(s)
Bahia: 3 win(s)
Drawn: 8
It is a pattern worth weighing in the Palmeiras vs Bahia prediction.
Form comparison Palmeiras vs Bahia
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Palmeiras
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
W
D
D
W
|
2.04 |
| Home |
W
W
D
L
W
|
2.31 |
| Away |
D
D
D
L
W
|
1.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 57% | 69% | 47% |
| Goals | 2.43 | 2.46 | 2.4 |
| Scored | 1.68 | 1.77 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 0.75 | 0.69 | 0.8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 62% | 53% |
| Without Conceding | 43% | 38% | 47% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 8% | 20% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.62 | 1.71 | 1.54 |
|
xGA
|
1.42 | 1.23 | 1.58 |
Away Team
Bahia
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
W
W
|
1.64 |
| Home |
L
W
W
D
D
|
1.71 |
| Away |
L
W
W
D
D
|
1.57 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Goals | 2.79 | 2.57 | 3 |
| Scored | 1.54 | 1.57 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.25 | 1 | 1.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 68% | 71% | 64% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 7% | 14% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.61 | 1.73 | 1.48 |
|
xGA
|
1.55 | 1.2 | 1.9 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Over 2.5
With Palmeiras and Bahia both looking to attack, this match is likely to see plenty of goal-scoring opportunities.
That’s why we’re backing over 2.5 goals, a bet that wins if at least three goals are scored.
👉 Prediction: Palmeiras win or Draw
Betting on Palmeiras to win or draw in the Double Chance market is a solid pick for this fixture. With home advantage on their side, they stand a great chance of securing a positive result against Bahia.
Given their consistency at home and the added cushion of a draw still landing the bet, the 1X market is a smart and calculated choice.
Fixture information - Palmeiras vs Bahia
Match: Palmeiras vs Bahia
Competition: Serie A
Date: Friday, 09/10/2026
Kick-off: 01:30 (UK time)
Venue: Allianz Parque
More Serie A predictions
Explore the rest of our Serie A predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Palmeiras vs Tricolor Baiano that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.73
League: 2.66
Both Teams to Score
63%
League: 59%
Over 1.5+
74%
League: 78%
Over 2.5+
52%
League: 52%
Cards
3.98
League: 4.94
Corners
11.31
League: 10.28
Home Team
Palmeiras
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
W
D
D
W
|
2.04 |
| Home |
W
W
D
L
W
|
2.31 |
| Away |
D
D
D
L
W
|
1.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 57% | 69% | 47% |
| Goals | 2.43 | 2.46 | 2.4 |
| Scored | 1.68 | 1.77 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 0.75 | 0.69 | 0.8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 62% | 53% |
| Without Conceding | 43% | 38% | 47% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 8% | 20% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.62 | 1.71 | 1.54 |
|
xGA
|
1.42 | 1.23 | 1.58 |
Away Team
Bahia
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
W
W
|
1.64 |
| Home |
L
W
W
D
D
|
1.71 |
| Away |
L
W
W
D
D
|
1.57 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Goals | 2.79 | 2.57 | 3 |
| Scored | 1.54 | 1.57 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.25 | 1 | 1.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 68% | 71% | 64% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 7% | 14% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.61 | 1.73 | 1.48 |
|
xGA
|
1.55 | 1.2 | 1.9 |
Corners
11.47 / Match
+2% Corners / Match
Palmeiras received +2% more corners than Bahia in the Serie A
11.21 / Match
Grêmio
(9)
São Paulo
(9)
Botafogo
(9)
Mirassol
(4)
Vasco da Gama
(5)
Fluminense
(5)
Internacional
(5)(3)
Athletico-PR
(7)
Remo
(8)
RB Bragantino
(3)
Internacional
(7)
Vitória
(5)
Chapecoense
(4)
Vasco da Gama
Cards
2.36 / Match
+3% Cards / Match
Palmeiras received +3% more cards than Bahia in the Serie A
2.29 / Match
Grêmio
(5)
São Paulo
(4)
Botafogo
(2)
Mirassol
(1)
Vasco da Gama
(1)
Fluminense
(3)
Internacional
(1)(3)
Athletico-PR
(2)
Remo
(2)
RB Bragantino
(4)
Internacional
(3)
Vitória
(2)
Chapecoense
(1)
Vasco da Gama
Goals Scored
1.68 / Match
+9%
Palmeiras is +9% better in terms of goals scored
1.54 / Match
Grêmio
(0)
São Paulo
(2)
Botafogo
(0)
Mirassol
(1)
Vasco da Gama
(4)
Fluminense
(2)
Internacional
(0)(1)
Athletico-PR
(2)
Remo
(3)
RB Bragantino
(3)
Internacional
(2)
Vitória
(3)
Chapecoense
(0)
Vasco da Gama
Goals Conceded
0.75 / Match
+40%
Bahia condeded +40% more goals than Palmeiras
1.25 / Match
Grêmio
(0)
São Paulo
(0)
Botafogo
(0)
Mirassol
(1)
Vasco da Gama
(1)
Fluminense
(3)
Internacional
(0)(2)
Athletico-PR
(1)
Remo
(2)
RB Bragantino
(2)
Internacional
(0)
Vitória
(3)
Chapecoense
(0)
Vasco da Gama
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | 32 | 60 | 2.14 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 57 | 2.04 |
| 3 |
Athletico-PR
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 49 | 1.75 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 48 | 1.71 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 46 | 1.64 |
| 6 |
Cruzeiro
|
28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 45 | 1.61 |
| 7 |
Atlético MG
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 43 | 1.54 |
| 8 |
Santos
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 41 | 1.46 |
| 9 |
Coritiba
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 | 1.36 |
| 10 |
RB Bragantino
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 36 | 1.29 |
| 11 |
São Paulo
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 36 | 1.29 |
| 12 |
Botafogo
|
28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 35 | 1.25 |
| 13 |
Vitória
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 | 1.18 |
| 14 |
Corinthians
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 32 | 1.14 |
| 15 |
Mirassol
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 | 1.14 |
| 16 |
Vasco da Gama
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 31 | 1.15 |
| 17 |
Grêmio
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 | 1.04 |
| 18 |
Internacional
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 | 1 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 | 0.82 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense
|
27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 18 | 0.67 |
Odds
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