USL Championship
Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
Sun, 09 Aug 2026 - 03:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Championship Soccer Stadium at OC Great Park
Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction & Stats - USL Championship 2026
Predictions
Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies is part of the USL Championship schedule for Sunday (09/08).
The fixture is staged at Championship Soccer Stadium at OC Great Park, 03:00 (UK time).
Below is our Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies prediction, built before you place a bet.
Our verdict on Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
Value at this level takes some digging out. Having gone through the form and the numbers, here is our preferred Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies prediction:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Under 4.5 Goals
Last updated on 06-08-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Tampa Bay Rowdies the side to beat, with roughly 23% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all USL Championship odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Orange County SC Preview
Orange County SC reach this fixture 18 match into their USL Championship. Here is where Orange County SC stand:
In this competition
9 won, 7 drawn, 2 lost
1.89 points per game
29 scored, at 1.61 a game
19 conceded, at 1.06 a game
Orange County SC, season-wide
9 won, 7 drawn, 2 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Yaniv Bazini, 5 goals
Most assists: Christopher Hegardt, 5 assists
Recent results — Orange County SC
01/08/2026 22:00
25/07/2026 22:00
08/07/2026 19:00
04/07/2026 19:30
24/06/2026 19:33
Tampa Bay Rowdies: how they are travelling
Tampa Bay Rowdies come in 18 matches into their USL Championship.
Here is what Tampa Bay Rowdies have produced:
In this competition
11 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost
2.11 points per game
33 scored, at 1.83 a game
19 conceded, at 1.06 a game
Tampa Bay Rowdies, season-wide
11 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Matthew Dyan Myers, 8 goals
Most assists: Charlie Ostrem, 7 assists
Recent results — Tampa Bay Rowdies
01/08/2026 20:00
25/07/2026 19:00
18/07/2026 19:00
04/07/2026 18:00
20/06/2026 19:00
The head-to-head favours Tampa Bay Rowdies
Tampa Bay Rowdies have generally come out ahead of Orange County SC in their recent meetings.
From 4 match(es):
Tampa Bay Rowdies: 2 win(s)
Orange County SC: 1 win(s)
Drawn: 1
That trend is worth factoring into the Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies prediction.
Form comparison Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Orange County SC
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
D
D
W
|
1.89 |
| Home |
W
W
D
W
L
|
2 |
| Away |
W
D
D
W
W
|
1.82 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 57% | 45% |
| Goals | 2.67 | 1.86 | 3.18 |
| Scored | 1.61 | 1.29 | 1.82 |
| Conceded | 1.06 | 0.57 | 1.36 |
| Both Teams to Score | 61% | 29% | 82% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 57% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 29% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.18 | 1.14 | 1.2 |
|
xGA
|
1.72 | 1.58 | 1.82 |
Away Team
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
D
L
W
|
2.11 |
| Home |
W
L
L
D
W
|
1.89 |
| Away |
W
D
W
W
W
|
2.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 61% | 56% | 67% |
| Goals | 2.89 | 3.78 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.83 | 2.22 | 1.44 |
| Conceded | 1.06 | 1.56 | 0.56 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 56% | 44% |
| Without Conceding | 44% | 33% | 56% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 11% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.79 | 2.01 | 1.56 |
|
xGA
|
1.18 | 1.11 | 1.25 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Orange County SC to Win
It’s hard to see any outcome other than a Orange County SC victory, making this our best betting tip.
They have been impressive throughout the season. Expect Orange County SC to live up to expectations in this matchup.
👉 Prediction: Double Chance - X2
Our analysis suggests there is little separating Orange County SC and Tampa Bay Rowdies in terms of overall quality. However, with the security of the Double Chance market, where a win or a draw is enough to land the bet, we see great value in backing Tampa Bay Rowdies.
With odds of 1.15, there’s solid potential for an upset, especially considering Orange County SC’s recent struggles and Tampa Bay Rowdies’s form.
Fixture information - Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
Match: Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
Competition: USL Championship
Date: Sunday, 09/08/2026
Kick-off: 03:00 (UK time)
Venue: Championship Soccer Stadium at OC Great Park
More USL Championship predictions
Explore the rest of our USL Championship predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
1.93
League: 2.74
Both Teams to Score
37%
League: 54%
Over 1.5+
62%
League: 73%
Over 2.5+
13%
League: 50%
Cards
4.73
League: 4.68
Corners
8.49
League: 9.25
Home Team
Orange County SC
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
D
D
W
|
1.89 |
| Home |
W
W
D
W
L
|
2 |
| Away |
W
D
D
W
W
|
1.82 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 57% | 45% |
| Goals | 2.67 | 1.86 | 3.18 |
| Scored | 1.61 | 1.29 | 1.82 |
| Conceded | 1.06 | 0.57 | 1.36 |
| Both Teams to Score | 61% | 29% | 82% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 57% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 29% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.18 | 1.14 | 1.2 |
|
xGA
|
1.72 | 1.58 | 1.82 |
Away Team
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
D
L
W
|
2.11 |
| Home |
W
L
L
D
W
|
1.89 |
| Away |
W
D
W
W
W
|
2.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 61% | 56% | 67% |
| Goals | 2.89 | 3.78 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.83 | 2.22 | 1.44 |
| Conceded | 1.06 | 1.56 | 0.56 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 56% | 44% |
| Without Conceding | 44% | 33% | 56% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 11% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.79 | 2.01 | 1.56 |
|
xGA
|
1.18 | 1.11 | 1.25 |
Corners
10.28 / Match
+14% Corners / Match
Orange County SC received +14% more corners than Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship
9 / Match
El Paso Locomotive
(3)
Monterey Bay
(1)
Hartford Athletic
(4)
Rhode Island
(2)
Miami FC II
(3)
Las Vegas Lights
(5)
New Mexico United
(4)(5)
Louisville City
(3)
Miami FC II
(5)
Loudoun United
(12)
Lexington
(3)
Brooklyn FC
(15)
Hartford Athletic
(5)
Charleston Battery
Cards
1.72 / Match
+55% Cards / Match
Tampa Bay Rowdies received +55% more cards than Orange County SC in the USL Championship
2.67 / Match
El Paso Locomotive
(0)
Monterey Bay
(2)
Hartford Athletic
(3)
Rhode Island
(2)
Miami FC II
(2)
Las Vegas Lights
(0)
New Mexico United
(1)(0)
Louisville City
(4)
Miami FC II
(2)
Loudoun United
(3)
Lexington
(1)
Brooklyn FC
(2)
Hartford Athletic
(4)
Charleston Battery
Goals Scored
1.61 / Match
+14%
Tampa Bay Rowdies is +14% better in terms of goals scored
1.83 / Match
El Paso Locomotive
(2)
Monterey Bay
(2)
Hartford Athletic
(2)
Rhode Island
(1)
Miami FC II
(4)
Las Vegas Lights
(3)
New Mexico United
(1)(5)
Louisville City
(3)
Miami FC II
(1)
Loudoun United
(1)
Lexington
(2)
Brooklyn FC
(0)
Hartford Athletic
(2)
Charleston Battery
Goals Conceded
1.06 / Match
+0%
Both Teams are equal in terms of goals conceded
1.06 / Match
El Paso Locomotive
(0)
Monterey Bay
(1)
Hartford Athletic
(2)
Rhode Island
(1)
Miami FC II
(2)
Las Vegas Lights
(2)
New Mexico United
(1)(4)
Louisville City
(2)
Miami FC II
(1)
Loudoun United
(4)
Lexington
(0)
Brooklyn FC
(1)
Hartford Athletic
(2)
Charleston Battery
USL Championship Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tampa Bay Rowdies
|
18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 38 | 2.11 |
| 2 |
Orange County SC
|
18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 34 | 1.89 |
| 3 |
San Antonio
|
18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 31 | 1.72 |
| 4 |
Charleston Battery
|
18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 30 | 1.67 |
| 5 |
Tulsa Roughnecks
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 | 1.71 |
| 6 |
Detroit City FC
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 28 | 1.65 |
| 7 |
New Mexico United
|
15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 27 | 1.8 |
| 8 |
Louisville City
|
18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 27 | 1.5 |
| 9 |
Sacramento Republic
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 26 | 1.53 |
| 10 |
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
|
18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 26 | 1.44 |
| 11 |
Lexington
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 25 | 1.47 |
| 12 |
Colorado Springs
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 25 | 1.47 |
| 13 |
El Paso Locomotive
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 25 | 1.39 |
| 14 |
Las Vegas Lights
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 23 | 1.28 |
| 15 |
Rhode Island
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 | 1.38 |
| 16 |
Phoenix Rising
|
18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 22 | 1.22 |
| 17 |
Oakland Roots
|
19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 22 | 1.16 |
| 18 |
Miami FC II
|
19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 22 | 1.16 |
| 19 |
Indy Eleven
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 | 1.31 |
| 20 |
Hartford Athletic
|
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 20 | 1.18 |
| 21 |
Loudoun United
|
17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 18 | 1.06 |
| 22 |
Birmingham Legion
|
17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 | 1 |
| 23 |
Monterey Bay
|
19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 15 | 0.79 |
| 24 |
Brooklyn FC
|
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 13 | 0.76 |
| 25 |
Sporting JAX
|
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 8 | 0.42 |
Odds
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