Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay Prediction & Stats - USL Championship 2026

Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay carries real history into this round of the USL Championship.

The two sides meet on 04/10 (Sunday) at Championship Soccer Stadium at OC Great Park, 03:00 (UK time).

Read the Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay prediction below before backing anything.

Our verdict on Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay

A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay call we are most confident in:

Who do the bookmakers favour?

The market makes Orange County SC the side to beat, with roughly 48% of the implied odds in their favour.

For the wider picture, compare all USL Championship odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.

Orange County SC Preview

Orange County SC reach this fixture 26 match into their USL Championship. Here is where Orange County SC stand:

In this competition

• 10 won, 9 drawn, 7 lost

• 1.5 points per game

• 35 scored, at 1.35 a game

• 40 conceded, at 1.54 a game

Orange County SC, season-wide

• 10 won, 9 drawn, 7 lost across all competitions

• Leading scorer: Yaniv Bazini, 8 goals

• Most assists: Christopher Hegardt, 5 assists

Recent results — Orange County SC

26/09/2026 22:00

Orange County SC

1 - 0

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

W

19/09/2026 19:00

Lexington

6 - 0

Orange County SC

L

12/09/2026 22:00

Orange County SC

0 - 2

Las Vegas Lights

L

05/09/2026 21:00

Orange County SC

1 - 1

Sacramento Republic

D

29/08/2026 20:00

Oakland Roots

1 - 1

Orange County SC

D

Monterey Bay: how they are travelling

Monterey Bay come in 26 matches into their USL Championship.

Here is what Monterey Bay have produced:

In this competition

• 4 won, 6 drawn, 16 lost

• 0.69 points per game

• 27 scored, at 1.04 a game

• 46 conceded, at 1.77 a game

Monterey Bay, season-wide

• 4 won, 6 drawn, 16 lost across all competitions

• Leading scorer: Ilijah Paul, 5 goals

• Most assists: Ilijah Paul, 4 assists

Recent results — Monterey Bay

26/09/2026 22:00

Monterey Bay

2 - 3

Lexington

L

19/09/2026 19:00

Charleston Battery

1 - 0

Monterey Bay

L

05/09/2026 22:00

Monterey Bay

1 - 1

Phoenix Rising

D

29/08/2026 22:00

Monterey Bay

1 - 1

Sacramento Republic

D

22/08/2026 19:30

Rhode Island

3 - 1

Monterey Bay

L

The head-to-head favours Monterey Bay

Monterey Bay have generally come out ahead of Orange County SC in their recent meetings.

From 10 match(es):

• Monterey Bay: 5 win(s)

• Orange County SC: 4 win(s)

• Drawn: 1

That trend is worth factoring into the Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay prediction.

Form comparison Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay

A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:

Home Team

Orange County SC

USA - USL Championship

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L D D	1.5
Home	W L D L L	1.38
Away	L D W D D	1.62

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	38%	38%	38%
Goals	2.88	2.46	3.31
Scored	1.35	1.08	1.62
Conceded	1.54	1.38	1.69
Both Teams to Score	58%	38%	77%
Without Conceding	27%	38%	15%
Failed To Score	19%	31%	8%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.16	1.14	1.19
xGA	1.74	1.57	1.91

Away Team

Monterey Bay

USA - USL Championship

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L D D	0.69
Home	L L D D L	1.15
Away	L L D L L	0.23

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	15%	31%	0%
Goals	2.81	2.85	2.77
Scored	1.04	1.31	0.77
Conceded	1.77	1.54	2
Both Teams to Score	62%	62%	62%
Without Conceding	15%	23%	8%
Failed To Score	31%	23%	38%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.27	1.47	1.06
xGA	1.58	1.31	1.85

Further markets to consider

Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:

Fixture information - Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay

• Match: Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay

• Competition: USL Championship

• Date: Sunday, 04/10/2026

• Kick-off: 03:00 (UK time)

• Venue: Championship Soccer Stadium at OC Great Park

More USL Championship predictions

Explore the rest of our USL Championship predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.

The statistics for Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.

Home Team

Orange County SC

USA - USL Championship

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L D D	1.5
Home	W L D L L	1.38
Away	L D W D D	1.62

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	38%	38%	38%
Goals	2.88	2.46	3.31
Scored	1.35	1.08	1.62
Conceded	1.54	1.38	1.69
Both Teams to Score	58%	38%	77%
Without Conceding	27%	38%	15%
Failed To Score	19%	31%	8%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.16	1.14	1.19
xGA	1.74	1.57	1.91

Away Team

Monterey Bay

USA - USL Championship

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L D D	0.69
Home	L L D D L	1.15
Away	L L D L L	0.23

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	15%	31%	0%
Goals	2.81	2.85	2.77
Scored	1.04	1.31	0.77
Conceded	1.77	1.54	2
Both Teams to Score	62%	62%	62%
Without Conceding	15%	23%	8%
Failed To Score	31%	23%	38%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.27	1.47	1.06
xGA	1.58	1.31	1.85

Corners

10.24 / Match

+11% Corners / Match

Orange County SC received +11% more corners than Monterey Bay in the USL Championship

9.2 / Match

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

(5)

Lexington

(4)

Las Vegas Lights

(7)

Sacramento Republic

(2)

Oakland Roots

(3)

Tulsa Roughnecks

(9)

Louisville City

(5)

(4)

Lexington

(3)

Charleston Battery

(2)

Phoenix Rising

(2)

Sacramento Republic

(3)

Rhode Island

(4)

Oakland Roots

(12)

New Mexico United

Cards

1.65 / Match

+63% Cards / Match

Monterey Bay received +63% more cards than Orange County SC in the USL Championship

2.69 / Match

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

(1)

Lexington

(1)

Las Vegas Lights

(1)

Sacramento Republic

(3)

Oakland Roots

(2)

Tulsa Roughnecks

(1)

Louisville City

(0)

(4)

Lexington

(3)

Charleston Battery

(1)

Phoenix Rising

(1)

Sacramento Republic

(5)

Rhode Island

(4)

Oakland Roots

(1)

New Mexico United

Goals Scored

1.35 / Match

+30%

Orange County SC is +30% better in terms of goals scored

1.04 / Match

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

(1)

Lexington

(0)

Las Vegas Lights

(0)

Sacramento Republic

(1)

Oakland Roots

(1)

Tulsa Roughnecks

(1)

Louisville City

(2)

(2)

Lexington

(0)

Charleston Battery

(1)

Phoenix Rising

(1)

Sacramento Republic

(1)

Rhode Island

(1)

Oakland Roots

(2)

New Mexico United

Goals Conceded

1.54 / Match

+13%

Monterey Bay condeded +13% more goals than Orange County SC

1.77 / Match

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

(0)

Lexington

(6)

Las Vegas Lights

(2)

Sacramento Republic

(1)

Oakland Roots

(1)

Tulsa Roughnecks

(5)

Louisville City

(3)

(3)

Lexington

(1)

Charleston Battery

(1)

Phoenix Rising

(1)

Sacramento Republic

(3)

Rhode Island

(1)

Oakland Roots

(5)

New Mexico United

USL Championship Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	26	15	7	4	45	23	22	52	2
2	El Paso Locomotive	26	14	5	7	45	32	13	47	1.81
3	Charleston Battery	26	14	4	8	52	31	21	46	1.77
4	Detroit City FC	26	12	8	6	32	20	12	44	1.69
5	Sacramento Republic	26	11	10	5	36	24	12	43	1.65
6	New Mexico United	26	12	7	7	39	31	8	43	1.65
7	Tulsa Roughnecks	26	11	8	7	31	24	7	41	1.58
8	Lexington	26	12	4	10	46	32	14	40	1.54
9	Hartford Athletic	26	9	12	5	29	26	3	39	1.5
10	Colorado Springs	26	11	6	9	40	37	3	39	1.5
11	Orange County SC	26	10	9	7	35	40	-5	39	1.5
12	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	27	11	5	11	28	27	1	38	1.41
13	San Antonio	26	9	11	6	29	28	1	38	1.46
14	Louisville City	26	10	7	9	43	42	1	37	1.42
15	Rhode Island	25	10	5	10	36	28	8	35	1.4
16	Indy Eleven	26	9	6	11	32	32	0	33	1.27
17	Oakland Roots	26	8	9	9	33	35	-2	33	1.27
18	Phoenix Rising	26	8	9	9	35	38	-3	33	1.27
19	Las Vegas Lights	26	9	6	11	34	38	-4	33	1.27
20	Miami FC II	27	8	9	10	36	44	-8	33	1.22
21	Birmingham Legion	25	4	11	10	36	42	-6	23	0.92
22	Loudoun United	25	4	11	10	31	43	-12	23	0.92
23	Monterey Bay	26	4	6	16	27	46	-19	18	0.69
24	Brooklyn FC	26	4	6	16	26	52	-26	18	0.69
25	Sporting JAX	27	3	5	19	32	73	-41	14	0.52