USL Championship
Orange County SC vs Louisville City
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 - 03:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Championship Soccer Stadium at OC Great Park
Orange County SC vs Louisville City Prediction & Stats - USL Championship 2026
Predictions
Orange County SC vs Louisville City is part of the USL Championship schedule for Sunday (16/08).
The fixture is staged at Championship Soccer Stadium at OC Great Park, 03:00 (UK time).
Below is our Orange County SC vs Louisville City prediction, built before you place a bet.
Our verdict on Orange County SC vs Louisville City
Value at this level takes some digging out. Having gone through the form and the numbers, here is our preferred Orange County SC vs Louisville City prediction:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Double Chance: Draw or Louisville City
Last updated on 14-08-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Louisville City the side to beat, with roughly 24% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all USL Championship odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Orange County SC Preview
Orange County SC reach this fixture 19 match into their USL Championship. Here is where Orange County SC stand:
In this competition
9 won, 7 drawn, 3 lost
1.79 points per game
29 scored, at 1.53 a game
22 conceded, at 1.16 a game
Orange County SC, season-wide
9 won, 7 drawn, 3 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Yaniv Bazini, 5 goals
Most assists: Christopher Hegardt, 5 assists
Recent results — Orange County SC
08/08/2026 22:00
01/08/2026 22:00
25/07/2026 22:00
08/07/2026 19:00
04/07/2026 19:30
Louisville City: how they are travelling
Louisville City come in 19 matches into their USL Championship.
Here is what Louisville City have produced:
In this competition
8 won, 4 drawn, 7 lost
1.47 points per game
33 scored, at 1.74 a game
32 conceded, at 1.68 a game
Louisville City, season-wide
8 won, 4 drawn, 7 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Jansen Wilson, 7 goals
Most assists: Taylor Davila, 6 assists
Recent results — Louisville City
08/08/2026 20:00
01/08/2026 20:00
29/07/2026 19:30
18/07/2026 12:00
04/07/2026 20:00
The head-to-head favours Louisville City
Louisville City have generally come out ahead of Orange County SC in their recent meetings.
From 4 match(es):
Louisville City: 3 win(s)
Orange County SC: 0 win(s)
Drawn: 1
That trend is worth factoring into the Orange County SC vs Louisville City prediction.
Form comparison Orange County SC vs Louisville City
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Orange County SC
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
W
D
D
|
1.79 |
| Home |
L
W
W
D
W
|
1.75 |
| Away |
W
D
D
W
W
|
1.82 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 47% | 50% | 45% |
| Goals | 2.68 | 2 | 3.18 |
| Scored | 1.53 | 1.13 | 1.82 |
| Conceded | 1.16 | 0.88 | 1.36 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 25% | 82% |
| Without Conceding | 32% | 50% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 38% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.15 | 1.07 | 1.2 |
|
xGA
|
1.71 | 1.55 | 1.82 |
Away Team
Louisville City
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
L
W
L
W
|
1.47 |
| Home |
D
W
W
D
L
|
1.7 |
| Away |
L
L
W
D
L
|
1.22 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Goals | 3.42 | 2.8 | 4.11 |
| Scored | 1.74 | 1.5 | 2 |
| Conceded | 1.68 | 1.3 | 2.11 |
| Both Teams to Score | 63% | 50% | 78% |
| Without Conceding | 21% | 20% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 30% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.96 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
|
xGA
|
1.23 | 0.98 | 1.51 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals
After analyzing the odds and available statistics for Orange County SC vs Louisville City, we anticipate a low-scoring match.
With few clear-cut chances expected, under 2.5 goals looks like the smartest betting option, as the match is unlikely to see more than two goals.
👉 Prediction: Orange County SC to Win
Our betting tip for this match is a Orange County SC win. They have the quality to overcome Louisville City.
Additionally, the support at Championship Soccer Stadium at OC Great Park has consistently improved their performances, and we expect that home energy to push them towards a victory.
Fixture information - Orange County SC vs Louisville City
Match: Orange County SC vs Louisville City
Competition: USL Championship
Date: Sunday, 16/08/2026
Kick-off: 03:00 (UK time)
Venue: Championship Soccer Stadium at OC Great Park
More USL Championship predictions
Explore the rest of our USL Championship predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Orange County SC vs Louisville City that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
3.06
League: 2.7
Both Teams to Score
52%
League: 53%
Over 1.5+
76%
League: 71%
Over 2.5+
46%
League: 48%
Cards
3.61
League: 4.64
Corners
9.38
League: 9.21
Home Team
Orange County SC
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
W
D
D
|
1.79 |
| Home |
L
W
W
D
W
|
1.75 |
| Away |
W
D
D
W
W
|
1.82 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 47% | 50% | 45% |
| Goals | 2.68 | 2 | 3.18 |
| Scored | 1.53 | 1.13 | 1.82 |
| Conceded | 1.16 | 0.88 | 1.36 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 25% | 82% |
| Without Conceding | 32% | 50% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 38% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.15 | 1.07 | 1.2 |
|
xGA
|
1.71 | 1.55 | 1.82 |
Away Team
Louisville City
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
L
W
L
W
|
1.47 |
| Home |
D
W
W
D
L
|
1.7 |
| Away |
L
L
W
D
L
|
1.22 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Goals | 3.42 | 2.8 | 4.11 |
| Scored | 1.74 | 1.5 | 2 |
| Conceded | 1.68 | 1.3 | 2.11 |
| Both Teams to Score | 63% | 50% | 78% |
| Without Conceding | 21% | 20% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 30% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.96 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
|
xGA
|
1.23 | 0.98 | 1.51 |
Corners
9.85 / Match
+4% Corners / Match
Louisville City received +4% more corners than Orange County SC in the USL Championship
10.21 / Match
Tampa Bay Rowdies
(1)
El Paso Locomotive
(3)
Monterey Bay
(1)
Hartford Athletic
(4)
Rhode Island
(2)
Miami FC II
(3)
Las Vegas Lights
(5)(2)
San Antonio
(2)
Tampa Bay Rowdies
(10)
Birmingham Legion
(7)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
(7)
Hartford Athletic
(14)
Brooklyn FC
(4)
Phoenix Rising
Cards
1.79 / Match
+7% Cards / Match
Orange County SC received +7% more cards than Louisville City in the USL Championship
1.68 / Match
Tampa Bay Rowdies
(3)
El Paso Locomotive
(0)
Monterey Bay
(2)
Hartford Athletic
(3)
Rhode Island
(2)
Miami FC II
(2)
Las Vegas Lights
(0)(0)
San Antonio
(1)
Tampa Bay Rowdies
(3)
Birmingham Legion
(3)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
(1)
Hartford Athletic
(2)
Brooklyn FC
(1)
Phoenix Rising
Goals Scored
1.53 / Match
+14%
Louisville City is +14% better in terms of goals scored
1.74 / Match
Tampa Bay Rowdies
(0)
El Paso Locomotive
(2)
Monterey Bay
(2)
Hartford Athletic
(2)
Rhode Island
(1)
Miami FC II
(4)
Las Vegas Lights
(3)(1)
San Antonio
(4)
Tampa Bay Rowdies
(2)
Birmingham Legion
(1)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
(1)
Hartford Athletic
(2)
Brooklyn FC
(2)
Phoenix Rising
Goals Conceded
1.16 / Match
+31%
Louisville City condeded +31% more goals than Orange County SC
1.68 / Match
Tampa Bay Rowdies
(3)
El Paso Locomotive
(0)
Monterey Bay
(1)
Hartford Athletic
(2)
Rhode Island
(1)
Miami FC II
(2)
Las Vegas Lights
(2)(1)
San Antonio
(5)
Tampa Bay Rowdies
(1)
Birmingham Legion
(3)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
(0)
Hartford Athletic
(2)
Brooklyn FC
(0)
Phoenix Rising
USL Championship Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tampa Bay Rowdies
|
19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 41 | 2.16 |
| 2 |
Orange County SC
|
19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 34 | 1.79 |
| 3 |
Charleston Battery
|
19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 33 | 1.74 |
| 4 |
San Antonio
|
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 32 | 1.68 |
| 5 |
Detroit City FC
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 31 | 1.72 |
| 6 |
New Mexico United
|
16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 | 1.88 |
| 7 |
Tulsa Roughnecks
|
18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 29 | 1.61 |
| 8 |
Lexington
|
18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 28 | 1.56 |
| 9 |
El Paso Locomotive
|
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 28 | 1.47 |
| 10 |
Louisville City
|
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 28 | 1.47 |
| 11 |
Sacramento Republic
|
18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 27 | 1.5 |
| 12 |
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
|
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 27 | 1.42 |
| 13 |
Las Vegas Lights
|
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 26 | 1.37 |
| 14 |
Rhode Island
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 25 | 1.47 |
| 15 |
Colorado Springs
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 25 | 1.39 |
| 16 |
Indy Eleven
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 | 1.29 |
| 17 |
Phoenix Rising
|
19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 | 1.16 |
| 18 |
Oakland Roots
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 22 | 1.1 |
| 19 |
Miami FC II
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 22 | 1.1 |
| 20 |
Hartford Athletic
|
18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 21 | 1.17 |
| 21 |
Loudoun United
|
18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 18 | 1 |
| 22 |
Birmingham Legion
|
17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 | 1 |
| 23 |
Monterey Bay
|
20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 15 | 0.75 |
| 24 |
Brooklyn FC
|
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 13 | 0.76 |
| 25 |
Sporting JAX
|
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 8 | 0.42 |
Odds
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