Meistriliiga
Nõmme United vs Vaprus
Fri, 23 Oct 2026 - 17:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Männiku staadion
Nõmme United vs Vaprus Prediction & Stats - Meistriliiga 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Nõmme United vs Vaprus carries real history into this round of the Meistriliiga.
The two sides meet on 23/10 (Friday) at Männiku staadion, 17:00 (UK time).
Read the Nõmme United vs Vaprus prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Nõmme United vs Vaprus
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Nõmme United vs Vaprus call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Double Chance: Draw or Vaprus
Last updated on 21-10-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Nõmme United the side to beat, with roughly 43% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Meistriliiga odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Nõmme United Preview
Nõmme United reach this fixture 32 match into their Meistriliiga. Here is where Nõmme United stand:
In this competition
10 won, 1 drawn, 21 lost
0.97 points per game
50 scored, at 1.56 a game
74 conceded, at 2.31 a game
Nõmme United, season-wide
10 won, 1 drawn, 21 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Zakaria Beglarishvili, 11 goals
Most assists: Zakaria Beglarishvili, 10 assists
Recent results — Nõmme United
17/10/2026 05:30
13/10/2026 11:00
10/10/2026 10:00
19/09/2026 10:00
12/09/2026 10:00
Vaprus: how they are travelling
Vaprus come in 32 matches into their Meistriliiga.
Here is what Vaprus have produced:
In this competition
9 won, 6 drawn, 17 lost
1.03 points per game
42 scored, at 1.31 a game
64 conceded, at 2 a game
Vaprus, season-wide
9 won, 6 drawn, 17 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Henri Välja, 8 goals
Most assists: Tristan Pajo, 5 assists
Recent results — Vaprus
18/10/2026 07:30
13/10/2026 11:00
10/10/2026 07:30
20/09/2026 12:00
16/09/2026 12:00
The head-to-head favours Vaprus
Vaprus have generally come out ahead of Nõmme United in their recent meetings.
From 13 match(es):
Vaprus: 8 win(s)
Nõmme United: 4 win(s)
Drawn: 1
That trend is worth factoring into the Nõmme United vs Vaprus prediction.
Form comparison Nõmme United vs Vaprus
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Nõmme United
Estonia - Meistriliiga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
L
L
L
|
0.97 |
| Home |
W
L
L
L
L
|
0.94 |
| Away |
L
L
W
L
L
|
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 31% | 31% | 31% |
| Goals | 3.88 | 4.06 | 3.69 |
| Scored | 1.56 | 2 | 1.13 |
| Conceded | 2.31 | 2.06 | 2.56 |
| Both Teams to Score | 75% | 81% | 69% |
| Without Conceding | 3% | 6% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 13% | 31% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.54 | 1.67 | 1.4 |
|
xGA
|
2.09 | 2.03 | 2.14 |
Away Team
Vaprus
Estonia - Meistriliiga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
L
D
D
|
1.03 |
| Home |
W
L
D
D
L
|
1.38 |
| Away |
L
L
L
L
D
|
0.69 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 28% | 38% | 19% |
| Goals | 3.31 | 3.38 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 1.31 | 1.69 | 0.94 |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.69 | 2.31 |
| Both Teams to Score | 66% | 69% | 63% |
| Without Conceding | 19% | 25% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 13% | 31% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.25 | 1.3 | 1.19 |
|
xGA
|
1.99 | 1.85 | 2.14 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Nõmme United to Win the 1st Half
Backing Nõmme United to win the first half is our top betting recommendation.
They are a team that thrives on fast starts, applying early pressure with an aggressive attacking style. Given their strong home performances and ability to dominate from the start, we expect them to take control early against Vaprus and lead at halftime.
👉 Prediction: Over 2.5
Our analysis shows that this match is likely to see many goals.
After reviewing Nõmme United and Vaprus’s recent performances, we predict this game will exceed 2.5 total goals. Both teams boast some of the strongest attacks in Meistriliiga, which makes this a strong betting option.
Fixture information - Nõmme United vs Vaprus
Match: Nõmme United vs Vaprus
Competition: Meistriliiga
Date: Friday, 23/10/2026
Kick-off: 17:00 (UK time)
Venue: Männiku staadion
More Meistriliiga predictions
Explore the rest of our Meistriliiga predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Nõmme United vs Vaprus that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
3.66
League: 3.09
Both Teams to Score
72%
League: 56%
Over 1.5+
91%
League: 81%
Over 2.5+
82%
League: 64%
Cards
4.19
League: 4.29
Corners
8.81
League: 10.45
Home Team
Nõmme United
Estonia - Meistriliiga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
L
L
L
|
0.97 |
| Home |
W
L
L
L
L
|
0.94 |
| Away |
L
L
W
L
L
|
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 31% | 31% | 31% |
| Goals | 3.88 | 4.06 | 3.69 |
| Scored | 1.56 | 2 | 1.13 |
| Conceded | 2.31 | 2.06 | 2.56 |
| Both Teams to Score | 75% | 81% | 69% |
| Without Conceding | 3% | 6% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 13% | 31% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.54 | 1.67 | 1.4 |
|
xGA
|
2.09 | 2.03 | 2.14 |
Away Team
Vaprus
Estonia - Meistriliiga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
L
D
D
|
1.03 |
| Home |
W
L
D
D
L
|
1.38 |
| Away |
L
L
L
L
D
|
0.69 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 28% | 38% | 19% |
| Goals | 3.31 | 3.38 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 1.31 | 1.69 | 0.94 |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.69 | 2.31 |
| Both Teams to Score | 66% | 69% | 63% |
| Without Conceding | 19% | 25% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 13% | 31% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.25 | 1.3 | 1.19 |
|
xGA
|
1.99 | 1.85 | 2.14 |
Corners
10.59 / Match
+1% Corners / Match
Nõmme United received +1% more corners than Vaprus in the Meistriliiga
10.5 / Match
Nõmme Kalju
(7)
Harju Jalgpallikool
(2)
Tammeka
(5)
Paide
(3)
Tallinna FC Flora
(3)
Nõmme Kalju
(5)
Vaprus
(4)(3)
Harju Jalgpallikool
(6)
Nõmme Kalju
(4)
Trans
(1)
Tallinna FC Flora
(6)
Paide
(5)
Tallinna FC Levadia
(3)
Harju Jalgpallikool
Cards
2 / Match
+3% Cards / Match
Vaprus received +3% more cards than Nõmme United in the Meistriliiga
2.06 / Match
Nõmme Kalju
(3)
Harju Jalgpallikool
(1)
Tammeka
(2)
Paide
(2)
Tallinna FC Flora
(0)
Nõmme Kalju
(5)
Vaprus
(2)(4)
Harju Jalgpallikool
(1)
Nõmme Kalju
(2)
Trans
(0)
Tallinna FC Flora
(2)
Paide
(2)
Tallinna FC Levadia
(2)
Harju Jalgpallikool
Goals Scored
1.56 / Match
+19%
Nõmme United is +19% better in terms of goals scored
1.31 / Match
Nõmme Kalju
(3)
Harju Jalgpallikool
(0)
Tammeka
(0)
Paide
(1)
Tallinna FC Flora
(2)
Nõmme Kalju
(2)
Vaprus
(0)(0)
Harju Jalgpallikool
(2)
Nõmme Kalju
(2)
Trans
(2)
Tallinna FC Flora
(0)
Paide
(0)
Tallinna FC Levadia
(2)
Harju Jalgpallikool
Goals Conceded
2.31 / Match
+13%
Nõmme United condeded +13% more goals than Vaprus
2 / Match
Nõmme Kalju
(0)
Harju Jalgpallikool
(2)
Tammeka
(4)
Paide
(3)
Tallinna FC Flora
(3)
Nõmme Kalju
(1)
Vaprus
(1)(2)
Harju Jalgpallikool
(2)
Nõmme Kalju
(2)
Trans
(3)
Tallinna FC Flora
(2)
Paide
(4)
Tallinna FC Levadia
(3)
Harju Jalgpallikool
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tallinna FC Levadia
|
32 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 87 | 22 | 65 | 81 | 2.53 |
| 2 |
Tallinna FC Flora
|
32 | 19 | 1 | 12 | 62 | 44 | 18 | 58 | 1.81 |
| 3 |
Paide
|
32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 57 | 1.78 |
| 4 |
Nõmme Kalju
|
32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 33 | 21 | 51 | 1.59 |
| 5 |
Harju Jalgpallikool
|
32 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 47 | 1.47 |
| 6 |
Tammeka
|
32 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 47 | 1.47 |
| 7 |
Kuressaare
|
32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 35 | 1.09 |
| 8 |
Vaprus
|
32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 42 | 64 | -22 | 33 | 1.03 |
| 9 |
Nõmme United
|
32 | 10 | 1 | 21 | 50 | 74 | -24 | 31 | 0.97 |
| 10 |
Trans
|
32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 20 | 0.63 |
Odds
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