USL Championship
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising
Sun, 04 Oct 2026 - 23:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Stadion Patriot
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising Prediction & Stats - USL Championship 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising carries real history into this round of the USL Championship.
The two sides meet on 04/10 (Sunday) at Stadion Patriot, 23:00 (UK time).
Read the New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Under 4.5 Goals
Last updated on 01-10-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes New Mexico United the side to beat, with roughly 43% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all USL Championship odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
New Mexico United Preview
New Mexico United reach this fixture 25 match into their USL Championship. Here is where New Mexico United stand:
In this competition
12 won, 7 drawn, 6 lost
1.72 points per game
39 scored, at 1.56 a game
30 conceded, at 1.2 a game
New Mexico United, season-wide
12 won, 7 drawn, 7 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Greg Hurst, 10 goals
Most assists: Dayonn Harris, 7 assists
Recent results — New Mexico United
30/09/2026 20:00
26/09/2026 21:00
19/09/2026 21:00
16/09/2026 20:30
11/09/2026 21:30
Phoenix Rising: how they are travelling
Phoenix Rising come in 26 matches into their USL Championship.
Here is what Phoenix Rising have produced:
In this competition
8 won, 9 drawn, 9 lost
1.27 points per game
35 scored, at 1.35 a game
38 conceded, at 1.46 a game
Phoenix Rising, season-wide
8 won, 9 drawn, 9 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Ihsan Sacko, 12 goals
Most assists: Ihsan Sacko, 4 assists
Recent results — Phoenix Rising
26/09/2026 22:00
19/09/2026 22:00
12/09/2026 22:00
05/09/2026 22:00
29/08/2026 22:30
The head-to-head favours Phoenix Rising
Phoenix Rising have generally come out ahead of New Mexico United in their recent meetings.
From 19 match(es):
Phoenix Rising: 8 win(s)
New Mexico United: 7 win(s)
Drawn: 4
That trend is worth factoring into the New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising prediction.
Form comparison New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
New Mexico United
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
D
D
D
|
1.65 |
| Home |
L
D
L
W
W
|
1.85 |
| Away |
L
D
D
W
D
|
1.46 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 46% | 54% | 38% |
| Goals | 2.69 | 2.85 | 2.54 |
| Scored | 1.5 | 1.62 | 1.38 |
| Conceded | 1.19 | 1.23 | 1.15 |
| Both Teams to Score | 54% | 69% | 38% |
| Without Conceding | 31% | 23% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 8% | 46% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.38 | 1.55 | 1.21 |
|
xGA
|
1.82 | 1.6 | 2.04 |
Away Team
Phoenix Rising
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
L
W
D
|
1.27 |
| Home |
W
L
W
W
W
|
1.69 |
| Away |
L
D
D
L
D
|
0.85 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 31% | 46% | 15% |
| Goals | 2.81 | 3.15 | 2.46 |
| Scored | 1.35 | 1.77 | 0.92 |
| Conceded | 1.46 | 1.38 | 1.54 |
| Both Teams to Score | 62% | 69% | 54% |
| Without Conceding | 19% | 23% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 15% | 31% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.43 | 1.75 | 1.1 |
|
xGA
|
1.29 | 1.22 | 1.37 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
Fixture information - New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising
Match: New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising
Competition: USL Championship
Date: Sunday, 04/10/2026
Kick-off: 23:00 (UK time)
Venue: Stadion Patriot
More USL Championship predictions
Explore the rest of our USL Championship predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.66
League: 2.73
Both Teams to Score
62%
League: 54%
Over 1.5+
77%
League: 72%
Over 2.5+
54%
League: 50%
Cards
5.76
League: 4.54
Corners
8.61
League: 9.25
Home Team
New Mexico United
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
D
D
D
|
1.65 |
| Home |
L
D
L
W
W
|
1.85 |
| Away |
L
D
D
W
D
|
1.46 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 46% | 54% | 38% |
| Goals | 2.69 | 2.85 | 2.54 |
| Scored | 1.5 | 1.62 | 1.38 |
| Conceded | 1.19 | 1.23 | 1.15 |
| Both Teams to Score | 54% | 69% | 38% |
| Without Conceding | 31% | 23% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 8% | 46% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.38 | 1.55 | 1.21 |
|
xGA
|
1.82 | 1.6 | 2.04 |
Away Team
Phoenix Rising
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
L
W
D
|
1.27 |
| Home |
W
L
W
W
W
|
1.69 |
| Away |
L
D
D
L
D
|
0.85 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 31% | 46% | 15% |
| Goals | 2.81 | 3.15 | 2.46 |
| Scored | 1.35 | 1.77 | 0.92 |
| Conceded | 1.46 | 1.38 | 1.54 |
| Both Teams to Score | 62% | 69% | 54% |
| Without Conceding | 19% | 23% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 15% | 31% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.43 | 1.75 | 1.1 |
|
xGA
|
1.29 | 1.22 | 1.37 |
Corners
9.54 / Match
+20% Corners / Match
New Mexico United received +20% more corners than Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship
7.92 / Match
Tulsa Roughnecks
(5)
Sacramento Republic
(4)
Colorado Springs
(3)
Birmingham Legion
(0)
Indy Eleven
(1)
Las Vegas Lights
(8)
San Antonio
(2)(6)
Oakland Roots
(6)
El Paso Locomotive
(1)
Tulsa Roughnecks
(2)
Monterey Bay
(2)
Indy Eleven
(2)
Sacramento Republic
(2)
Colorado Springs
Cards
2.88 / Match
+2% Cards / Match
New Mexico United received +2% more cards than Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship
2.81 / Match
Tulsa Roughnecks
(2)
Sacramento Republic
(3)
Colorado Springs
(1)
Birmingham Legion
(2)
Indy Eleven
(3)
Las Vegas Lights
(4)
San Antonio
(8)(2)
Oakland Roots
(3)
El Paso Locomotive
(1)
Tulsa Roughnecks
(0)
Monterey Bay
(3)
Indy Eleven
(2)
Sacramento Republic
(2)
Colorado Springs
Goals Scored
1.5 / Match
+11%
New Mexico United is +11% better in terms of goals scored
1.35 / Match
Tulsa Roughnecks
(0)
Sacramento Republic
(2)
Colorado Springs
(0)
Birmingham Legion
(4)
Indy Eleven
(2)
Las Vegas Lights
(2)
San Antonio
(1)(0)
Oakland Roots
(1)
El Paso Locomotive
(2)
Tulsa Roughnecks
(1)
Monterey Bay
(2)
Indy Eleven
(2)
Sacramento Republic
(3)
Colorado Springs
Goals Conceded
1.19 / Match
+18%
Phoenix Rising condeded +18% more goals than New Mexico United
1.46 / Match
Tulsa Roughnecks
(1)
Sacramento Republic
(3)
Colorado Springs
(0)
Birmingham Legion
(4)
Indy Eleven
(2)
Las Vegas Lights
(1)
San Antonio
(2)(3)
Oakland Roots
(3)
El Paso Locomotive
(1)
Tulsa Roughnecks
(1)
Monterey Bay
(1)
Indy Eleven
(2)
Sacramento Republic
(1)
Colorado Springs
USL Championship Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tampa Bay Rowdies
|
26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 52 | 2 |
| 2 |
El Paso Locomotive
|
26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 47 | 1.81 |
| 3 |
Charleston Battery
|
26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 46 | 1.77 |
| 4 |
Detroit City FC
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 44 | 1.69 |
| 5 |
Sacramento Republic
|
26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 43 | 1.65 |
| 6 |
New Mexico United
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 43 | 1.65 |
| 7 |
Tulsa Roughnecks
|
26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 41 | 1.58 |
| 8 |
Lexington
|
26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 40 | 1.54 |
| 9 |
Hartford Athletic
|
26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 39 | 1.5 |
| 10 |
Colorado Springs
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 39 | 1.5 |
| 11 |
Orange County SC
|
26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 | 1.5 |
| 12 |
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
|
27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 38 | 1.41 |
| 13 |
San Antonio
|
26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 38 | 1.46 |
| 14 |
Louisville City
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 37 | 1.42 |
| 15 |
Rhode Island
|
25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 35 | 1.4 |
| 16 |
Indy Eleven
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 33 | 1.27 |
| 17 |
Oakland Roots
|
26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 33 | 1.27 |
| 18 |
Phoenix Rising
|
26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 33 | 1.27 |
| 19 |
Las Vegas Lights
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 33 | 1.27 |
| 20 |
Miami FC II
|
27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 33 | 1.22 |
| 21 |
Birmingham Legion
|
25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 23 | 0.92 |
| 22 |
Loudoun United
|
25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 23 | 0.92 |
| 23 |
Monterey Bay
|
26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 18 | 0.69 |
| 24 |
Brooklyn FC
|
26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 18 | 0.69 |
| 25 |
Sporting JAX
|
27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 73 | -41 | 14 | 0.52 |
Odds
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Tampa Bay Rowdies
Charleston Battery
Detroit City FC
Lexington
Hartford Athletic
Orange County SC
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Louisville City
Rhode Island
Miami FC II
Loudoun United
Brooklyn FC
Sporting JAX