Primera División
Nacional vs Progreso
Fri, 24 Jul 2026 - 23:30 (UK Time)
Stadium: Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional vs Progreso Prediction & Stats - Primera División 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Nacional vs Progreso carries real history into this round of the Primera División.
The two sides meet on 24/07 (Friday) at Estadio Gran Parque Central, 23:30 (UK time).
Read the Nacional vs Progreso prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Nacional vs Progreso
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Nacional vs Progreso call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Nacional Win
Last updated on 21-07-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Nacional the side to beat, with roughly 63% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Primera División odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Nacional Preview
Nacional reach this fixture 21 match into their Primera División. Here is where Nacional stand:
In this competition
10 won, 2 drawn, 9 lost
1.52 points per game
32 scored, at 1.52 a game
28 conceded, at 1.33 a game
Nacional, season-wide
12 won, 4 drawn, 11 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Maxi Gómez, 11 goals
Most assists: Christian Gabriel Oliva Giménez, 2 assists
Recent results — Nacional
21/07/2026 18:00
17/07/2026 18:30
11/07/2026 14:00
06/06/2026 17:30
31/05/2026 17:30
Progreso: how they are travelling
Progreso come in 21 matches into their Primera División.
Here is what Progreso have produced:
In this competition
4 won, 4 drawn, 13 lost
0.76 points per game
17 scored, at 0.81 a game
32 conceded, at 1.52 a game
Progreso, season-wide
4 won, 4 drawn, 13 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Elvis Nahuel López Barboza, 3 goals
Most assists: Facundo Kidd Álvarez, 2 assists
Recent results — Progreso
18/07/2026 11:30
11/07/2026 17:00
07/06/2026 09:00
30/05/2026 14:00
23/05/2026 09:00
The head-to-head favours Nacional
Recent meetings have tended to go Nacional's way against Progreso.
From 15 match(es):
Nacional: 12 win(s)
Progreso: 2 win(s)
Drawn: 1
It is a pattern worth weighing in the Nacional vs Progreso prediction.
Form comparison Nacional vs Progreso
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Nacional
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
D
W
L
W
|
1.52 |
| Home |
L
W
W
W
L
|
1.6 |
| Away |
D
L
W
L
W
|
1.45 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 48% | 50% | 45% |
| Goals | 2.86 | 2.3 | 3.36 |
| Scored | 1.52 | 1.5 | 1.55 |
| Conceded | 1.33 | 0.8 | 1.82 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 40% | 73% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 40% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 20% | 18% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.5 | 1.65 | 1.37 |
|
xGA
|
1.02 | 0.85 | 1.18 |
Away Team
Progreso
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
L
L
W
|
0.76 |
| Home |
L
W
L
L
L
|
0.73 |
| Away |
L
W
L
L
L
|
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 19% | 18% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.33 | 2.55 | 2.1 |
| Scored | 0.81 | 0.91 | 0.7 |
| Conceded | 1.52 | 1.64 | 1.4 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 45% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 10% | 9% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 48% | 45% | 50% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.17 | 1.18 | 1.15 |
|
xGA
|
1.46 | 1.46 | 1.46 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals
If you’re expecting lots of goals in Nacional vs Progreso, you might want to reconsider.
Neither side has shown enough attacking quality to upset their opponent’s defense consistently, which is why we predict this match to stay under 2.5 goals.
👉 Prediction: Progreso win or Draw
Despite being the away side, we don’t expect Progreso to lose this match. Our recommended bet is Progreso to win or draw in the Double Chance market, ensuring a payout as long as they don’t lose.
Progreso has its weaknesses, but Nacional has been vulnerable, and home advantage might not be enough to keep them from losing.
Fixture information - Nacional vs Progreso
Match: Nacional vs Progreso
Competition: Primera División
Date: Friday, 24/07/2026
Kick-off: 23:30 (UK time)
Venue: Estadio Gran Parque Central
More Primera División predictions
Explore the rest of our Primera División predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Nacional vs Progreso that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.2
League: 2.41
Both Teams to Score
40%
League: 52%
Over 1.5+
70%
League: 68%
Over 2.5+
40%
League: 46%
Cards
6.8
League: 6.27
Corners
11.2
League: 8.78
Home Team
Nacional
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
D
W
L
W
|
1.52 |
| Home |
L
W
W
W
L
|
1.6 |
| Away |
D
L
W
L
W
|
1.45 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 48% | 50% | 45% |
| Goals | 2.86 | 2.3 | 3.36 |
| Scored | 1.52 | 1.5 | 1.55 |
| Conceded | 1.33 | 0.8 | 1.82 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 40% | 73% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 40% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 20% | 18% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.5 | 1.65 | 1.37 |
|
xGA
|
1.02 | 0.85 | 1.18 |
Away Team
Progreso
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
L
L
W
|
0.76 |
| Home |
L
W
L
L
L
|
0.73 |
| Away |
L
W
L
L
L
|
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 19% | 18% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.33 | 2.55 | 2.1 |
| Scored | 0.81 | 0.91 | 0.7 |
| Conceded | 1.52 | 1.64 | 1.4 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 45% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 10% | 9% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 48% | 45% | 50% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.17 | 1.18 | 1.15 |
|
xGA
|
1.46 | 1.46 | 1.46 |
Corners
9.38 / Match
+11% Corners / Match
Nacional received +11% more corners than Progreso in the Primera División
8.43 / Match
Wanderers
(10)
Danubio
(7)
Juventud
(4)
Deportivo Maldonado
(7)
Albion
(13)
Torque
(7)
Cerro
(5)(3)
Deportivo Maldonado
(7)
Wanderers
(7)
Albion
(7)
Danubio
(3)
Torque
(4)
Juventud
(4)
Torque
Cards
3.05 / Match
+14% Cards / Match
Progreso received +14% more cards than Nacional in the Primera División
3.48 / Match
Wanderers
(3)
Danubio
(2)
Juventud
(5)
Deportivo Maldonado
(3)
Albion
(4)
Torque
(2)
Cerro
(1)(4)
Deportivo Maldonado
(2)
Wanderers
(2)
Albion
(2)
Danubio
(6)
Torque
(2)
Juventud
(3)
Torque
Goals Scored
1.52 / Match
+88%
Nacional is +88% better in terms of goals scored
0.81 / Match
Wanderers
(1)
Danubio
(0)
Juventud
(2)
Deportivo Maldonado
(0)
Albion
(1)
Torque
(2)
Cerro
(4)(1)
Deportivo Maldonado
(0)
Wanderers
(1)
Albion
(2)
Danubio
(1)
Torque
(0)
Juventud
(1)
Torque
Goals Conceded
1.33 / Match
+13%
Progreso condeded +13% more goals than Nacional
1.52 / Match
Wanderers
(2)
Danubio
(0)
Juventud
(1)
Deportivo Maldonado
(3)
Albion
(0)
Torque
(1)
Cerro
(0)(0)
Deportivo Maldonado
(2)
Wanderers
(2)
Albion
(1)
Danubio
(2)
Torque
(2)
Juventud
(2)
Torque
Primera División Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 2.17 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Maldonado
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 2.17 |
| 3 |
Peñarol
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 4 |
Torque
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
| 5 |
Liverpool FC Montevideo
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 6 |
Central Español
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 7 |
Nacional
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 8 |
Defensor Sporting
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 9 |
Wanderers
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 10 |
Danubio
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 11 |
Cerro Largo
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | 1 |
| 12 |
Albion
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | 0.83 |
| 13 |
Progreso
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 | 0.83 |
| 14 |
Boston River
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 | 0.33 |
| 15 |
Cerro
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | 0.33 |
| 16 |
Juventud
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | 0.25 |
Odds
Hey there! I’m Abhishek Nandwani, one of the voices behind the content at Eagle Predict. Hailing from India's capital, Delhi, I’m not just a football fan – I’m a die-hard Manchester United supporter. With 15 years of experience in the media world, I’ve spent the past three years in the betting world, producing content. When I’m not writing about football betting, you’ll probably catch me glued to football matches and enjoying some good food. For me, Zinedine Zidane is The GOAT! Stay tuned for my reviews – they’re always packed with detailed insights!
