Nacional vs Progreso Prediction & Stats - Primera División 2026

Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Nacional vs Progreso carries real history into this round of the Primera División.

The two sides meet on 23/08 (Sunday) at Estadio Gran Parque Central, 22:30 (UK time).

Read the Nacional vs Progreso prediction below before backing anything.

Our verdict on Nacional vs Progreso

A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Nacional vs Progreso call we are most confident in:

Who do the bookmakers favour?

The market makes Nacional the side to beat, with roughly 67% of the implied odds in their favour.

For the wider picture, compare all Primera División odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.

Nacional Preview

Nacional reach this fixture 24 match into their Primera División. Here is where Nacional stand:

In this competition

• 11 won, 2 drawn, 11 lost

• 1.46 points per game

• 35 scored, at 1.46 a game

• 33 conceded, at 1.38 a game

Nacional, season-wide

• 14 won, 4 drawn, 14 lost across all competitions

• Leading scorer: Maxi Gómez, 11 goals

• Most assists: Christian Gabriel Oliva Giménez, 2 assists

Recent results — Nacional

15/08/2026 15:30

Racing

2 - 0

Nacional

L

09/08/2026 17:30

Nacional

1 - 2

Boston River

L

02/08/2026 17:30

Nacional

2 - 1

Progreso

W

28/07/2026 18:00

Tigre

1 - 2

Nacional

W

21/07/2026 18:00

Nacional

0 - 3

Tigre

L

Progreso: how they are travelling

Progreso come in 24 matches into their Primera División.

Here is what Progreso have produced:

In this competition

• 4 won, 4 drawn, 16 lost

• 0.67 points per game

• 18 scored, at 0.75 a game

• 37 conceded, at 1.54 a game

Progreso, season-wide

• 4 won, 4 drawn, 16 lost across all competitions

• Leading scorer: Elvis Nahuel López Barboza, 3 goals

• Most assists: Facundo Kidd Álvarez, 2 assists

Recent results — Progreso

16/08/2026 10:00

Progreso

0 - 2

Deportivo Maldonado

L

08/08/2026 10:00

Central Español

1 - 0

Progreso

L

02/08/2026 17:30

Nacional

2 - 1

Progreso

L

18/07/2026 11:30

Progreso

1 - 0

Deportivo Maldonado

W

11/07/2026 17:00

Wanderers

2 - 0

Progreso

L

The head-to-head favours Nacional

Recent meetings have tended to go Nacional's way against Progreso.

From 16 match(es):

• Nacional: 13 win(s)

• Progreso: 2 win(s)

• Drawn: 1

It is a pattern worth weighing in the Nacional vs Progreso prediction.

Form comparison Nacional vs Progreso

A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:

Home Team

Nacional

Uruguay - Primera División

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W L D	1.46
Home	L W L W W	1.58
Away	L D L W L	1.33

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	46%	50%	42%
Goals	2.83	2.42	3.25
Scored	1.46	1.5	1.42
Conceded	1.38	0.92	1.83
Both Teams to Score	58%	50%	67%
Without Conceding	25%	33%	17%
Failed To Score	21%	17%	25%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.5	1.64	1.37
xGA	1.05	0.88	1.22

Away Team

Progreso

Uruguay - Primera División

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L L W	0.67
Home	L L W L L	0.67
Away	L L L W L	0.67

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	17%	17%	17%
Goals	2.29	2.5	2.08
Scored	0.75	0.83	0.67
Conceded	1.54	1.67	1.42
Both Teams to Score	42%	42%	42%
Without Conceding	8%	8%	8%
Failed To Score	50%	50%	50%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.16	1.17	1.16
xGA	1.48	1.43	1.53

Further markets to consider

Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:

Fixture information - Nacional vs Progreso

• Match: Nacional vs Progreso

• Competition: Primera División

• Date: Sunday, 23/08/2026

• Kick-off: 22:30 (UK time)

• Venue: Estadio Gran Parque Central

More Primera División predictions

Explore the rest of our Primera División predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.

The statistics for Nacional vs Progreso that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.

Home Team

Nacional

Uruguay - Primera División

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W L D	1.46
Home	L W L W W	1.58
Away	L D L W L	1.33

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	46%	50%	42%
Goals	2.83	2.42	3.25
Scored	1.46	1.5	1.42
Conceded	1.38	0.92	1.83
Both Teams to Score	58%	50%	67%
Without Conceding	25%	33%	17%
Failed To Score	21%	17%	25%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.5	1.64	1.37
xGA	1.05	0.88	1.22

Away Team

Progreso

Uruguay - Primera División

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L L W	0.67
Home	L L W L L	0.67
Away	L L L W L	0.67

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	17%	17%	17%
Goals	2.29	2.5	2.08
Scored	0.75	0.83	0.67
Conceded	1.54	1.67	1.42
Both Teams to Score	42%	42%	42%
Without Conceding	8%	8%	8%
Failed To Score	50%	50%	50%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.16	1.17	1.16
xGA	1.48	1.43	1.53

Corners

9.58 / Match

+11% Corners / Match

Nacional received +11% more corners than Progreso in the Primera División

8.63 / Match

Racing

(5)

Boston River

(11)

Progreso

(10)

Wanderers

(10)

Danubio

(7)

Juventud

(4)

Deportivo Maldonado

(7)

(5)

Deportivo Maldonado

(3)

Central Español

(1)

Nacional

(3)

Deportivo Maldonado

(7)

Wanderers

(7)

Albion

(7)

Danubio

Cards

2.79 / Match

+14% Cards / Match

Progreso received +14% more cards than Nacional in the Primera División

3.17 / Match

Racing

(2)

Boston River

(1)

Progreso

(0)

Wanderers

(3)

Danubio

(2)

Juventud

(5)

Deportivo Maldonado

(3)

(1)

Deportivo Maldonado

(0)

Central Español

(0)

Nacional

(4)

Deportivo Maldonado

(2)

Wanderers

(2)

Albion

(2)

Danubio

Goals Scored

1.46 / Match

+95%

Nacional is +95% better in terms of goals scored

0.75 / Match

Racing

(0)

Boston River

(1)

Progreso

(2)

Wanderers

(1)

Danubio

(0)

Juventud

(2)

Deportivo Maldonado

(0)

(0)

Deportivo Maldonado

(0)

Central Español

(1)

Nacional

(1)

Deportivo Maldonado

(0)

Wanderers

(1)

Albion

(2)

Danubio

Goals Conceded

1.38 / Match

+10%

Progreso condeded +10% more goals than Nacional

1.54 / Match

Racing

(2)

Boston River

(2)

Progreso

(1)

Wanderers

(2)

Danubio

(0)

Juventud

(1)

Deportivo Maldonado

(3)

(2)

Deportivo Maldonado

(1)

Central Español

(2)

Nacional

(0)

Deportivo Maldonado

(2)

Wanderers

(2)

Albion

(1)

Danubio

Primera División Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Racing	6	4	1	1	12	6	6	13	2.17
2	Deportivo Maldonado	6	4	1	1	10	5	5	13	2.17
3	Torque	5	3	1	1	9	5	4	10	2
4	Peñarol	5	3	1	1	8	5	3	10	2
5	Liverpool FC Montevideo	5	3	1	1	7	4	3	10	2
6	Central Español	6	3	1	2	7	5	2	10	1.67
7	Nacional	6	3	1	2	7	6	1	10	1.67
8	Defensor Sporting	5	2	2	1	4	3	1	8	1.6
9	Wanderers	5	2	2	1	4	6	-2	8	1.6
10	Danubio	5	2	2	1	6	7	-1	8	1.6
11	Cerro Largo	6	2	0	4	5	7	-2	6	1
12	Albion	6	1	2	3	7	8	-1	5	0.83
13	Progreso	6	1	2	3	5	10	-5	5	0.83
14	Boston River	6	0	2	4	2	7	-5	2	0.33
15	Cerro	6	0	2	4	2	8	-6	2	0.33
16	Juventud	4	0	1	3	3	6	-3	1	0.25