USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United
Sun, 09 Aug 2026 - 03:00 (UK Time)
Stadium:
Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United Prediction & Stats - USL Championship 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United carries real history into this round of the USL Championship.
The two sides meet on 09/08 (Sunday) at , 03:00 (UK time).
Read the Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Double Chance: Monterey Bay or Draw
Last updated on 06-08-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Monterey Bay the side to beat, with roughly 38% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all USL Championship odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Monterey Bay Preview
Monterey Bay reach this fixture 19 match into their USL Championship. Here is where Monterey Bay stand:
In this competition
4 won, 3 drawn, 12 lost
0.79 points per game
19 scored, at 1 a game
31 conceded, at 1.63 a game
Monterey Bay, season-wide
4 won, 3 drawn, 12 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Ilijah Paul, 4 goals
Most assists: Ilijah Paul, 3 assists
Recent results — Monterey Bay
05/08/2026 21:00
01/08/2026 19:00
25/07/2026 22:00
18/07/2026 22:30
04/07/2026 21:00
New Mexico United: how they are travelling
New Mexico United come in 15 matches into their USL Championship.
Here is what New Mexico United have produced:
In this competition
8 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost
1.8 points per game
20 scored, at 1.33 a game
15 conceded, at 1 a game
New Mexico United, season-wide
8 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Greg Hurst, 4 goals
Most assists: Dayonn Harris, 5 assists
Recent results — New Mexico United
01/08/2026 21:30
15/07/2026 19:00
04/07/2026 21:30
20/06/2026 23:00
13/06/2026 21:30
The head-to-head favours New Mexico United
New Mexico United have generally come out ahead of Monterey Bay in their recent meetings.
From 8 match(es):
New Mexico United: 4 win(s)
Monterey Bay: 2 win(s)
Drawn: 2
That trend is worth factoring into the Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United prediction.
Form comparison Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Monterey Bay
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
L
L
D
|
0.79 |
| Home |
L
W
W
W
W
|
1.44 |
| Away |
L
L
L
D
L
|
0.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 21% | 44% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.63 | 2.33 | 2.9 |
| Scored | 1 | 1.22 | 0.8 |
| Conceded | 1.63 | 1.11 | 2.1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 53% | 44% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 21% | 33% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 37% | 33% | 40% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.24 | 1.44 | 1.06 |
|
xGA
|
1.53 | 1.17 | 1.84 |
Away Team
New Mexico United
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
W
W
D
|
1.8 |
| Home |
W
W
D
W
L
|
2.13 |
| Away |
W
W
D
L
W
|
1.43 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 53% | 63% | 43% |
| Goals | 2.33 | 2.63 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.33 | 1.63 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47% | 63% | 29% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 25% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 13% | 43% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.3 | 1.47 | 1.11 |
|
xGA
|
1.62 | 1.63 | 1.62 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: New Mexico United to Win the First Half
Despite playing away at , New Mexico United has the quality to put Monterey Bay under pressure early on. They are a dangerous side that usually starts matches strongly.
We see solid value in betting on New Mexico United to win the first half at odds of 3.44.
👉 Our prediction is: Draw
Who wins this match between Monterey Bay and New Mexico United? For us, it's too close to call, so a draw is the best betting option for this match.
After taking into account the strengths and weaknesses of both sides, including recent form, it is clear that the most likely outcome is that the match ends with no winner.
Fixture information - Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United
Match: Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United
Competition: USL Championship
Date: Sunday, 09/08/2026
Kick-off: 03:00 (UK time)
Venue:
More USL Championship predictions
Explore the rest of our USL Championship predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.17
League: 2.74
Both Teams to Score
37%
League: 54%
Over 1.5+
55%
League: 73%
Over 2.5+
50%
League: 50%
Cards
4.36
League: 4.68
Corners
8.46
League: 9.25
Home Team
Monterey Bay
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
L
L
D
|
0.79 |
| Home |
L
W
W
W
W
|
1.44 |
| Away |
L
L
L
D
L
|
0.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 21% | 44% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.63 | 2.33 | 2.9 |
| Scored | 1 | 1.22 | 0.8 |
| Conceded | 1.63 | 1.11 | 2.1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 53% | 44% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 21% | 33% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 37% | 33% | 40% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.24 | 1.44 | 1.06 |
|
xGA
|
1.53 | 1.17 | 1.84 |
Away Team
New Mexico United
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
W
W
D
|
1.8 |
| Home |
W
W
D
W
L
|
2.13 |
| Away |
W
W
D
L
W
|
1.43 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 53% | 63% | 43% |
| Goals | 2.33 | 2.63 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.33 | 1.63 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47% | 63% | 29% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 25% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 13% | 43% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.3 | 1.47 | 1.11 |
|
xGA
|
1.62 | 1.63 | 1.62 |
Corners
8.37 / Match
+13% Corners / Match
New Mexico United received +13% more corners than Monterey Bay in the USL Championship
9.46 / Match
El Paso Locomotive
(3)
Lexington
(5)
Orange County SC
(7)
Phoenix Rising
(3)
San Antonio
(5)
El Paso Locomotive
(4)
Tulsa Roughnecks
(5)(3)
Colorado Springs
(1)
Lexington
(4)
Oakland Roots
(3)
Sacramento Republic
(3)
Orange County SC
(2)
Hartford Athletic
(4)
Charleston Battery
Cards
2.63 / Match
+4% Cards / Match
New Mexico United received +4% more cards than Monterey Bay in the USL Championship
2.73 / Match
El Paso Locomotive
(2)
Lexington
(3)
Orange County SC
(1)
Phoenix Rising
(2)
San Antonio
(4)
El Paso Locomotive
(0)
Tulsa Roughnecks
(4)(3)
Colorado Springs
(2)
Lexington
(3)
Oakland Roots
(2)
Sacramento Republic
(0)
Orange County SC
(2)
Hartford Athletic
(5)
Charleston Battery
Goals Scored
1 / Match
+33%
New Mexico United is +33% better in terms of goals scored
1.33 / Match
El Paso Locomotive
(0)
Lexington
(2)
Orange County SC
(1)
Phoenix Rising
(2)
San Antonio
(0)
El Paso Locomotive
(1)
Tulsa Roughnecks
(0)(1)
Colorado Springs
(4)
Lexington
(2)
Oakland Roots
(1)
Sacramento Republic
(1)
Orange County SC
(0)
Hartford Athletic
(1)
Charleston Battery
Goals Conceded
1.63 / Match
+39%
Monterey Bay condeded +39% more goals than New Mexico United
1 / Match
El Paso Locomotive
(1)
Lexington
(3)
Orange County SC
(2)
Phoenix Rising
(3)
San Antonio
(0)
El Paso Locomotive
(0)
Tulsa Roughnecks
(2)(0)
Colorado Springs
(1)
Lexington
(1)
Oakland Roots
(0)
Sacramento Republic
(1)
Orange County SC
(0)
Hartford Athletic
(0)
Charleston Battery
USL Championship Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tampa Bay Rowdies
|
18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 38 | 2.11 |
| 2 |
Orange County SC
|
18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 34 | 1.89 |
| 3 |
San Antonio
|
18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 31 | 1.72 |
| 4 |
Charleston Battery
|
18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 30 | 1.67 |
| 5 |
Tulsa Roughnecks
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 | 1.71 |
| 6 |
Detroit City FC
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 28 | 1.65 |
| 7 |
New Mexico United
|
15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 27 | 1.8 |
| 8 |
Louisville City
|
18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 27 | 1.5 |
| 9 |
Sacramento Republic
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 26 | 1.53 |
| 10 |
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
|
18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 26 | 1.44 |
| 11 |
Lexington
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 25 | 1.47 |
| 12 |
Colorado Springs
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 25 | 1.47 |
| 13 |
El Paso Locomotive
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 25 | 1.39 |
| 14 |
Las Vegas Lights
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 23 | 1.28 |
| 15 |
Rhode Island
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 | 1.38 |
| 16 |
Phoenix Rising
|
18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 22 | 1.22 |
| 17 |
Oakland Roots
|
19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 22 | 1.16 |
| 18 |
Miami FC II
|
19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 22 | 1.16 |
| 19 |
Indy Eleven
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 | 1.31 |
| 20 |
Hartford Athletic
|
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 20 | 1.18 |
| 21 |
Loudoun United
|
17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 18 | 1.06 |
| 22 |
Birmingham Legion
|
17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 | 1 |
| 23 |
Monterey Bay
|
19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 15 | 0.79 |
| 24 |
Brooklyn FC
|
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 13 | 0.76 |
| 25 |
Sporting JAX
|
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 8 | 0.42 |
Odds
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