World Cup
Mexico vs Ecuador
Wed, 01 Jul 2026 - 02:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Estadio Banorte
Mexico vs Ecuador Prediction & Stats - World Cup 2026
Predictions
Mexico and Ecuador will battle for a place in the FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 16 when they meet at the iconic Estadio Azteca in Mexico City. Playing on home soil, El Tri have carried impressive momentum into the knockout stage, while Ecuador arrive full of confidence after overcoming one of the toughest groups in the tournament.
Mexico produced a flawless group-stage campaign, collecting nine points from three matches without conceding a goal. Their impressive run ended with a convincing 3-0 victory over the Czech Republic to seal top spot. Ecuador advanced as one of the best third-placed teams with four points, finishing the group stage in style by securing a memorable 2-1 win over Germany under Sebastian Beccacece.
Read the Mexico vs Ecuador prediction and see what to expect from this World Cup clash.
Prediction for Mexico vs Ecuador in the 2026 World Cup
It is all or nothing. That is why the prediction below points to the best bet for this knockout-style World Cup clash.
See our bet:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Mexico Win
Last updated on 29-06-2026.
Who is the favourite to win?
According to leading UK-licensed bookmakers, Mexico are the favourites to win, with 42% of the odds pointing to victory.
Want to know more? See all World Cup odds and explore this and other fixtures from the biggest football tournament on the planet.
🆚 Match: Mexico vs Ecuador
🏆 Competition: 2026 FIFA World Cup
📅 Date: Wednesday, 01/07/2026
🕐 Time: 02:00 UK time
🏟️ Stadium: Estadio Azteca
Mexico in the 2026 World Cup
Mexico come into this match with 3 match(es) played in the 2026 World Cup. See the record for El Tricolor:
World Cup campaign
3 win(s), 0 draw(s), and 0 defeat(s)
Average: 3 point(s) per match
6 goals scored in the World Cup (2 per match)
0 goals conceded in the World Cup (0 per match)
El Tricolor in 2026:
9 win(s), 2 draw(s), and 0 defeat(s) across all competitions
Top scorer: Brian Gutierrez with 2 goal(s)
Assists: Roberto Carlos Alvarado Hernández with 2 assists
Latest results for El Tricolor
24/06/2026 21:00
18/06/2026 21:00
11/06/2026 15:00
04/06/2026 22:00
30/05/2026 22:00
Ecuador in the 2026 World Cup
Ecuador come into this clash with 3 match(es) played in the 2026 World Cup.
See what Ecuador have done so far:
World Cup campaign:
1 win(s), 1 draw(s), and 1 defeat(s)
Average: 1.33 point(s) per match
2 goals scored in the World Cup (0.67 per match)
2 goals conceded in the World Cup (0.67 per match)
Ecuador in 2026
11 win(s), 11 draw(s), and 3 defeat(s) across all competitions
Top scorer: Enner Valencia with 6 goal(s)
Assists: Moisés Caicedo with 3 assists
Latest results for Ecuador
25/06/2026 16:00
20/06/2026 20:00
14/06/2026 19:00
07/06/2026 16:00
30/05/2026 20:00
Mexico vs Ecuador: head-to-head advantage
Mexico have the advantage in the record against Ecuador.
In 7 meeting(s), the numbers are:
{team_a_name}: 3 win(s)
Ecuador: 1 win(s)
Draws: 3
In the 2026 World Cup, the head-to-head record is another factor to consider in the Mexico vs Ecuador prediction.
Probable lineups for Mexico vs Ecuador
Check the probable lineups below for the Mexico vs Ecuador prediction in the 2026 World Cup.
Mexico Predicted XI: José Rangel, Jorge Sánchez, César Montes, Johan Vásquez, Jesús Gallardo, Erik Lira, Luis Romo, Brian Gutiérrez, Roberto Alvarado, Raúl Jiménez, Julián Quiñones.
Ecuador Predicted XI: Hernán Galíndez, Alan Franco, Joel Ordóñez, Willian Pacho, Piero Hincapié, John Yeboah, Moisés Caicedo, Pedro Vite, Nilson Angulo, Gonzalo Plata, Enner Valencia.
Other predictions for the match
In addition to the betting tip offered at the start of this article, see other good bets for Mexico vs Ecuador:
More 2026 World Cup predictions
Check all our 2026 FIFA World Cup predictions and stay up to date with the best analysis throughout the tournament.
Stats
The statistics for Los Guerreros Aztecas vs Ecuador that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
1.67
League: 2.96
Both Teams to Score
17%
League: 53%
Over 1.5+
50%
League: 75%
Over 2.5+
33%
League: 55%
Cards
3
League: 2.74
Corners
7
League: 8.64
Home Team
Mexico
International - World Cup
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
W
W
|
3 |
| Home |
W
W
|
3 |
| Away |
W
|
3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Goals | 2 | 1.5 | 3 |
| Scored | 2 | 1.5 | 3 |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Without Conceding | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.23 | 1.21 | 1.27 |
|
xGA
|
0.88 | 0.77 | 1.1 |
Away Team
Ecuador
International - World Cup
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
L
|
1.33 |
| Home |
W
D
|
2 |
| Away |
L
|
0 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Goals | 1.33 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Scored | 0.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Conceded | 0.67 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.85 | 2.2 | 1.17 |
|
xGA
|
1.32 | 1.16 | 1.66 |
Corners
4 / Match
+84% Corners / Match
Ecuador received +84% more corners than Mexico in the World Cup
7.34 / Match
Czech Republic
(1)
South Korea
(0)
South Africa
(3)(3)
Germany
(9)
Curaçao
(5)
Ivory Coast
Cards
1.33 / Match
+26% Cards / Match
Ecuador received +26% more cards than Mexico in the World Cup
1.67 / Match
Czech Republic
(1)
South Korea
(0)
South Africa
(1)(3)
Germany
(1)
Curaçao
(1)
Ivory Coast
Goals Scored
2 / Match
+199%
Mexico is +199% better in terms of goals scored
0.67 / Match
Czech Republic
(3)
South Korea
(1)
South Africa
(2)(2)
Germany
(0)
Curaçao
(0)
Ivory Coast
Goals Conceded
0 / Match
100%
Ecuador condeded 100% more goals than Mexico
0.67 / Match
Czech Republic
(0)
South Korea
(0)
South Africa
(0)(1)
Germany
(0)
Curaçao
(1)
Ivory Coast
World Cup Standings
Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mexico
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| 2 |
South Africa
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 3 |
South Korea
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 |
Czech Republic
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | 0.33 |
Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Switzerland
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2.33 |
| 2 |
Canada
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 3 |
Bosnia-Herzegovina
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 4 |
Qatar
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 1 | 0.33 |
Group C
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Brazil
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2.33 |
| 2 |
Morocco
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2.33 |
| 3 |
Scotland
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 |
Haiti
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 | 0 |
Group D
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
USA
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 2 |
Australia
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 3 |
Paraguay
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 4 |
Turkey
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | 1 |
Group E
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Germany
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
| 2 |
Ivory Coast
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 3 |
Ecuador
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 4 |
Curaçao
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 1 | 0.33 |
Group F
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Netherlands
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 2.33 |
| 2 |
Japan
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1.67 |
| 3 |
Sweden
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 4 |
Tunisia
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 | 0 |
Group G
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Belgium
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1.67 |
| 2 |
Egypt
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1.67 |
| 3 |
Iran
|
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 |
New Zealand
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 | 0.33 |
Group H
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Spain
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2.33 |
| 2 |
Cape Verde
|
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 3 |
Uruguay
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | 0.67 |
| 4 |
Saudi Arabia
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 | 0.67 |
Group I
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
France
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
| 2 |
Norway
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| 3 |
Senegal
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 |
Iraq
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | 0 |
Group J
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Argentina
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
| 2 |
Austria
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 3 |
Algeria
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 4 |
Jordan
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | 0 |
Group K
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Colombia
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2.33 |
| 2 |
Portugal
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 1.67 |
| 3 |
Congo DR
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 4 |
Uzbekistan
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 0 | 0 |
Group L
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
England
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2.33 |
| 2 |
Croatia
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 2 |
| 3 |
Ghana
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 4 |
Panama
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | 0 |
Odds
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