Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs Ilves
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 - 17:00 (UK Time)
Stadium:
Mariehamn vs Ilves Prediction & Stats - Veikkausliiga 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Mariehamn vs Ilves carries real history into this round of the Veikkausliiga.
The two sides meet on 10/10 (Saturday) at Wiklof Holding Arena, 17:00 (UK time).
Read the Mariehamn vs Ilves prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Mariehamn vs Ilves
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Mariehamn vs Ilves call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Correct Score: 1 - 1
Last updated on 07-10-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Ilves the side to beat, with roughly 32% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Veikkausliiga odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Mariehamn Preview
Mariehamn reach this fixture 25 match into their Veikkausliiga. Here is where Mariehamn stand:
In this competition
4 won, 5 drawn, 16 lost
0.68 points per game
20 scored, at 0.8 a game
47 conceded, at 1.88 a game
Mariehamn, season-wide
4 won, 5 drawn, 16 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Adam Larsson, 4 goals
Most assists: Jonathan Svedberg, 3 assists
Recent results — Mariehamn
18/09/2026 11:00
12/09/2026 10:00
08/09/2026 11:00
31/08/2026 12:00
23/08/2026 08:00
Ilves: how they are travelling
Ilves come in 25 matches into their Veikkausliiga.
Here is what Ilves have produced:
In this competition
10 won, 4 drawn, 11 lost
1.36 points per game
42 scored, at 1.68 a game
38 conceded, at 1.52 a game
Ilves, season-wide
2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Yiandro Raap, 1 goals
Most assists: Jardell Kanga, 3 assists
Recent results — Ilves
19/09/2026 08:00
12/09/2026 12:00
08/09/2026 11:00
31/08/2026 12:00
22/08/2026 10:00
The head-to-head favours Ilves
Ilves have generally come out ahead of Mariehamn in their recent meetings.
From 32 match(es):
Ilves: 15 win(s)
Mariehamn: 11 win(s)
Drawn: 6
That trend is worth factoring into the Mariehamn vs Ilves prediction.
Form comparison Mariehamn vs Ilves
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Mariehamn
Finland - Veikkausliiga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
L
W
W
|
0.68 |
| Home |
W
W
W
D
L
|
1.08 |
| Away |
L
L
W
L
L
|
0.31 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 16% | 25% | 8% |
| Goals | 2.68 | 2.25 | 3.08 |
| Scored | 0.8 | 0.83 | 0.77 |
| Conceded | 1.88 | 1.42 | 2.31 |
| Both Teams to Score | 40% | 33% | 46% |
| Without Conceding | 12% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 48% | 42% | 54% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.14 | 1.2 | 1.08 |
|
xGA
|
1.98 | 2.09 | 1.88 |
Away Team
Ilves
Finland - Veikkausliiga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
W
W
W
|
1.36 |
| Home |
W
W
W
L
L
|
1.92 |
| Away |
D
W
L
L
W
|
0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 62% | 17% |
| Goals | 3.2 | 2.62 | 3.83 |
| Scored | 1.68 | 1.69 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.52 | 0.92 | 2.17 |
| Both Teams to Score | 56% | 38% | 75% |
| Without Conceding | 32% | 54% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 8% | 17% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.41 | 1.31 | 1.51 |
|
xGA
|
1.7 | 1.53 | 1.89 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Under 2.5
Based on our research, Mariehamn vs Ilves is shaping up to be a defensive match.
The stats suggest a careful approach from both teams, making under 2.5 goals a strong pick.
👉 Our prediction is: Draw
Mariehamn will have the home advantage in this match, and with the quality of their players to the strength of their performances, they will have the upper hand. But even with all that said, our betting tip is to go for a draw in Mariehamn vs Ilves.
We just see some flaws that Ilves can exploit in order to hold the home side to a draw. And with odds of 3.56, the potential payout for a draw is well worth a shot.
Fixture information - Mariehamn vs Ilves
Match: Mariehamn vs Ilves
Competition: Veikkausliiga
Date: Saturday, 10/10/2026
Kick-off: 17:00 (UK time)
Venue: Wiklof Holding Arena
More Veikkausliiga predictions
Explore the rest of our Veikkausliiga predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Mariehamn vs Ilves that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.94
League: 2.51
Both Teams to Score
48%
League: 49%
Over 1.5+
82%
League: 72%
Over 2.5+
56%
League: 45%
Cards
3.44
League: 3.78
Corners
8.56
League: 9.85
Home Team
Mariehamn
Finland - Veikkausliiga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
L
W
W
|
0.68 |
| Home |
W
W
W
D
L
|
1.08 |
| Away |
L
L
W
L
L
|
0.31 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 16% | 25% | 8% |
| Goals | 2.68 | 2.25 | 3.08 |
| Scored | 0.8 | 0.83 | 0.77 |
| Conceded | 1.88 | 1.42 | 2.31 |
| Both Teams to Score | 40% | 33% | 46% |
| Without Conceding | 12% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 48% | 42% | 54% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.14 | 1.2 | 1.08 |
|
xGA
|
1.98 | 2.09 | 1.88 |
Away Team
Ilves
Finland - Veikkausliiga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
W
W
W
|
1.36 |
| Home |
W
W
W
L
L
|
1.92 |
| Away |
D
W
L
L
W
|
0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 62% | 17% |
| Goals | 3.2 | 2.62 | 3.83 |
| Scored | 1.68 | 1.69 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.52 | 0.92 | 2.17 |
| Both Teams to Score | 56% | 38% | 75% |
| Without Conceding | 32% | 54% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 8% | 17% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.41 | 1.31 | 1.51 |
|
xGA
|
1.7 | 1.53 | 1.89 |
Corners
10.44 / Match
+4% Corners / Match
Mariehamn received +4% more corners than Ilves in the Veikkausliiga
10.08 / Match
SJK
(4)
TPS
(1)
Lahti
(9)
Jaro
(3)
KuPS
(4)
SJK
(5)
Ilves
(11)(3)
TPS
(0)
Lahti
(5)
Jaro
(6)
HJK
(9)
VPS
(3)
Gnistan
(4)
Mariehamn
Cards
1.88 / Match
+21% Cards / Match
Mariehamn received +21% more cards than Ilves in the Veikkausliiga
1.56 / Match
SJK
(2)
TPS
(2)
Lahti
(2)
Jaro
(2)
KuPS
(2)
SJK
(1)
Ilves
(3)(1)
TPS
(1)
Lahti
(0)
Jaro
(1)
HJK
(2)
VPS
(2)
Gnistan
(1)
Mariehamn
Goals Scored
0.8 / Match
+110%
Ilves is +110% better in terms of goals scored
1.68 / Match
SJK
(1)
TPS
(1)
Lahti
(1)
Jaro
(2)
KuPS
(4)
SJK
(2)
Ilves
(0)(3)
TPS
(3)
Lahti
(2)
Jaro
(1)
HJK
(0)
VPS
(2)
Gnistan
(2)
Mariehamn
Goals Conceded
1.88 / Match
+19%
Mariehamn condeded +19% more goals than Ilves
1.52 / Match
SJK
(2)
TPS
(0)
Lahti
(2)
Jaro
(0)
KuPS
(2)
SJK
(0)
Ilves
(2)(0)
TPS
(1)
Lahti
(0)
Jaro
(2)
HJK
(1)
VPS
(3)
Gnistan
(0)
Mariehamn
Veikkausliiga Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
KuPS
|
22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 43 | 1.95 |
| 2 |
Inter Turku
|
22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 42 | 1.91 |
| 3 |
HJK
|
22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 37 | 1.68 |
| 4 |
Gnistan
|
22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 36 | 1.64 |
| 5 |
Oulu
|
22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 34 | 1.55 |
| 6 |
VPS
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 33 | 1.5 |
| 7 |
Lahti
|
22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 32 | 1.45 |
| 8 |
TPS
|
22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 31 | 1.41 |
| 9 |
Ilves
|
22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 25 | 1.14 |
| 10 |
SJK
|
22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 19 | 0.86 |
| 11 |
Jaro
|
22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 15 | 0.68 |
| 12 |
Mariehamn
|
22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 14 | 0.64 |
Odds
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