Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Stats - Bundesliga 2026/27

Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen carries real history into this round of the Bundesliga.

The two sides meet on 24/10 (Saturday) at Mewa Arena, 14:30 (UK time).

Read the Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen prediction below before backing anything.

Our verdict on Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen

A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen call we are most confident in:

Who do the bookmakers favour?

The market makes Mainz 05 the side to beat, with roughly 53% of the implied odds in their favour.

For the wider picture, compare all Bundesliga odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.

Mainz 05 Preview

Mainz 05 reach this fixture 6 match into their Bundesliga. Here is where Die Nullfünfer stand:

In this competition

• 3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

• 1.67 points per game

• 14 scored, at 2.33 a game

• 10 conceded, at 1.67 a game

Die Nullfünfer, season-wide

• 4 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost across all competitions

• Leading scorer: Phillip Tietz, 5 goals

• Most assists: Sheraldo Becker, 3 assists

Recent results — Mainz 05

17/10/2026 09:30

Schalke 04

0 - 1

Mainz 05

W

10/10/2026 09:30

Mainz 05

3 - 4

Bayer Leverkusen

L

19/09/2026 09:30

Borussia M'gladbach

3 - 4

Mainz 05

W

12/09/2026 09:30

Mainz 05

1 - 3

Eintracht Frankfurt

L

06/09/2026 09:30

Hamburger SV

0 - 5

Mainz 05

W

Werder Bremen: how they are travelling

Werder Bremen come in 6 matches into their Bundesliga.

Here is what Werder Bremen have produced:

In this competition

• 2 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost

• 1.5 points per game

• 12 scored, at 2 a game

• 12 conceded, at 2 a game

Werder Bremen, season-wide

• 3 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost across all competitions

• Leading scorer: Niclas Füllkrug, 6 goals

• Most assists: Marco Grüll, 5 assists

Recent results — Werder Bremen

17/10/2026 09:30

Werder Bremen

2 - 2

Paderborn

D

09/10/2026 14:30

Borussia Dortmund

2 - 2

Werder Bremen

D

19/09/2026 09:30

Werder Bremen

3 - 2

Augsburg

W

12/09/2026 12:30

Köln

1 - 1

Werder Bremen

D

05/09/2026 09:30

Werder Bremen

3 - 1

RB Leipzig

W

The head-to-head favours Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen have generally come out ahead of Die Nullfünfer in their recent meetings.

From 34 match(es):

• Werder Bremen: 16 win(s)

• Mainz 05: 11 win(s)

• Drawn: 7

That trend is worth factoring into the Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen prediction.

Form comparison Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen

A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:

Home Team

Mainz 05

Germany - Bundesliga

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W L W	1.67
Home	L L D	0.33
Away	W W W	3

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	0%	100%
Goals	4	3.67	4.33
Scored	2.33	1.33	3.33
Conceded	1.67	2.33	1
Both Teams to Score	50%	67%	33%
Without Conceding	50%	33%	67%
Failed To Score	17%	33%	0%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.92	2.13	1.7
xGA	1.34	1.36	1.32

Away Team

Werder Bremen

Germany - Bundesliga

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D W D W	1.5
Home	D W W	2.33
Away	D D L	0.67

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	67%	0%
Goals	4	4.33	3.67
Scored	2	2.67	1.33
Conceded	2	1.67	2.33
Both Teams to Score	100%	100%	100%
Without Conceding	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	0%	0%	0%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.64	2.05	1.24
xGA	1.78	1.44	2.11

Further markets to consider

Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:

Fixture information - Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen

• Match: Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen

• Competition: Bundesliga

• Date: Saturday, 24/10/2026

• Kick-off: 14:30 (UK time)

• Venue: Mewa Arena

More Bundesliga predictions

Explore the rest of our Bundesliga predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.

The statistics for Karnevalsverein vs Werder Bremen that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.

Home Team

Mainz 05

Germany - Bundesliga

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W L W	1.67
Home	L L D	0.33
Away	W W W	3

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	0%	100%
Goals	4	3.67	4.33
Scored	2.33	1.33	3.33
Conceded	1.67	2.33	1
Both Teams to Score	50%	67%	33%
Without Conceding	50%	33%	67%
Failed To Score	17%	33%	0%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.92	2.13	1.7
xGA	1.34	1.36	1.32

Away Team

Werder Bremen

Germany - Bundesliga

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D W D W	1.5
Home	D W W	2.33
Away	D D L	0.67

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	67%	0%
Goals	4	4.33	3.67
Scored	2	2.67	1.33
Conceded	2	1.67	2.33
Both Teams to Score	100%	100%	100%
Without Conceding	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	0%	0%	0%
first to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	1.64	2.05	1.24
xGA	1.78	1.44	2.11

Corners

8.83 / Match

+8% Corners / Match

Werder Bremen received +8% more corners than Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga

9.5 / Match

Schalke 04

(1)

Bayer Leverkusen

(4)

Borussia M'gladbach

(4)

Eintracht Frankfurt

(4)

Hamburger SV

(5)

Paderborn

(11)

(5)

Paderborn

(3)

Borussia Dortmund

(2)

Augsburg

(5)

Köln

(2)

RB Leipzig

(5)

Freiburg

Cards

2.33 / Match

+99% Cards / Match

Mainz 05 received +99% more cards than Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga

1.17 / Match

Schalke 04

(2)

Bayer Leverkusen

(3)

Borussia M'gladbach

(5)

Eintracht Frankfurt

(0)

Hamburger SV

(3)

Paderborn

(1)

(1)

Paderborn

(1)

Borussia Dortmund

(2)

Augsburg

(1)

Köln

(1)

RB Leipzig

(1)

Freiburg

Goals Scored

2.33 / Match

+17%

Mainz 05 is +17% better in terms of goals scored

2 / Match

Schalke 04

(1)

Bayer Leverkusen

(3)

Borussia M'gladbach

(4)

Eintracht Frankfurt

(1)

Hamburger SV

(5)

Paderborn

(0)

(2)

Paderborn

(2)

Borussia Dortmund

(3)

Augsburg

(1)

Köln

(3)

RB Leipzig

(1)

Freiburg

Goals Conceded

1.67 / Match

+17%

Werder Bremen condeded +17% more goals than Mainz 05

2 / Match

Schalke 04

(0)

Bayer Leverkusen

(4)

Borussia M'gladbach

(3)

Eintracht Frankfurt

(3)

Hamburger SV

(0)

Paderborn

(0)

(2)

Paderborn

(2)

Borussia Dortmund

(2)

Augsburg

(1)

Köln

(1)

RB Leipzig

(4)

Freiburg

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Bayern München	6	4	2	0	22	5	17	14	2.33
2	Borussia Dortmund	6	4	2	0	11	4	7	14	2.33
3	Freiburg	6	4	1	1	15	6	9	13	2.17
4	Bayer Leverkusen	6	4	1	1	16	9	7	13	2.17
5	Mainz 05	6	3	1	2	14	10	4	10	1.67
6	Elversberg	6	3	1	2	12	11	1	10	1.67
7	RB Leipzig	6	3	0	3	16	11	5	9	1.5
8	Werder Bremen	6	2	3	1	12	12	0	9	1.5
9	Hamburger SV	6	3	0	3	6	15	-9	9	1.5
10	Augsburg	6	2	2	2	16	12	4	8	1.33
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	6	2	2	2	10	16	-6	8	1.33
12	Köln	6	2	1	3	8	11	-3	7	1.17
13	Stuttgart	6	2	0	4	8	10	-2	6	1
14	Hoffenheim	6	2	0	4	11	14	-3	6	1
15	Schalke 04	6	1	2	3	4	7	-3	5	0.83
16	Paderborn	6	1	2	3	5	9	-4	5	0.83
17	Union Berlin	6	1	2	3	5	17	-12	5	0.83
18	Borussia M'gladbach	6	0	0	6	8	20	-12	0	0