Bundesliga
Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 - 14:30 (UK Time)
Stadium: Mewa Arena
Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Stats - Bundesliga 2026/27
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen carries real history into this round of the Bundesliga.
The two sides meet on 10/10 (Saturday) at Mewa Arena, 14:30 (UK time).
Read the Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Under 4.5 Goals
Last updated on 09-10-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Bayer Leverkusen the side to beat, with roughly 32% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Bundesliga odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Mainz 05 Preview
Mainz 05 reach this fixture 4 match into their Bundesliga. Here is where Die Nullfünfer stand:
In this competition
2 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
1.75 points per game
10 scored, at 2.5 a game
6 conceded, at 1.5 a game
Die Nullfünfer, season-wide
3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Phillip Tietz, 4 goals
Most assists: Sheraldo Becker, 3 assists
Recent results — Mainz 05
19/09/2026 09:30
12/09/2026 09:30
06/09/2026 09:30
29/08/2026 09:30
23/08/2026 09:30
Bayer Leverkusen: how they are travelling
Bayer Leverkusen come in 4 matches into their Bundesliga.
Here is what Leverkusen have produced:
In this competition
2 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
1.75 points per game
10 scored, at 2.5 a game
5 conceded, at 1.25 a game
Leverkusen, season-wide
4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Patrik Schick, 4 goals
Most assists: Miguel Gutiérrez, 3 assists
Recent results — Leverkusen
20/09/2026 09:30
16/09/2026 15:00
12/09/2026 09:30
05/09/2026 09:30
29/08/2026 09:30
The head-to-head favours Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen have generally come out ahead of Die Nullfünfer in their recent meetings.
From 36 match(es):
Bayer Leverkusen: 20 win(s)
Mainz 05: 9 win(s)
Drawn: 7
That trend is worth factoring into the Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction.
Form comparison Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Mainz 05
Germany - Bundesliga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
W
D
|
1.75 |
| Home |
L
D
|
0.5 |
| Away |
W
W
|
3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Scored | 2.5 | 0.5 | 4.5 |
| Conceded | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.99 | 2.08 | 1.9 |
|
xGA
|
1.26 | 1.12 | 1.41 |
Away Team
Bayer Leverkusen
Germany - Bundesliga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
W
L
|
1.75 |
| Home |
W
W
|
3 |
| Away |
D
L
|
0.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 3.75 | 3 | 4.5 |
| Scored | 2.5 | 3 | 2 |
| Conceded | 1.25 | 0 | 2.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Without Conceding | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
2.3 | 2.15 | 2.44 |
|
xGA
|
1.06 | 0.97 | 1.16 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
Fixture information - Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
Match: Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
Competition: Bundesliga
Date: Saturday, 10/10/2026
Kick-off: 14:30 (UK time)
Venue: Mewa Arena
More Bundesliga predictions
Explore the rest of our Bundesliga predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Karnevalsverein vs Bayer Leverkusen that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
3.25
League: 3.81
Both Teams to Score
75%
League: 57%
Over 1.5+
75%
League: 86%
Over 2.5+
75%
League: 78%
Cards
2
League: 3.72
Corners
16
League: 10.86
Home Team
Mainz 05
Germany - Bundesliga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
W
D
|
1.75 |
| Home |
L
D
|
0.5 |
| Away |
W
W
|
3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Scored | 2.5 | 0.5 | 4.5 |
| Conceded | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.99 | 2.08 | 1.9 |
|
xGA
|
1.26 | 1.12 | 1.41 |
Away Team
Bayer Leverkusen
Germany - Bundesliga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
W
L
|
1.75 |
| Home |
W
W
|
3 |
| Away |
D
L
|
0.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 3.75 | 3 | 4.5 |
| Scored | 2.5 | 3 | 2 |
| Conceded | 1.25 | 0 | 2.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Without Conceding | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
2.3 | 2.15 | 2.44 |
|
xGA
|
1.06 | 0.97 | 1.16 |
Corners
10.25 / Match
+22% Corners / Match
Bayer Leverkusen received +22% more corners than Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga
12.5 / Match
Borussia M'gladbach
(4)
Eintracht Frankfurt
(4)
Hamburger SV
(5)
Paderborn
(11)(9)
RB Leipzig
(14)
Augsburg
(11)
Union Berlin
(3)
Elversberg
Cards
2.25 / Match
+29% Cards / Match
Mainz 05 received +29% more cards than Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga
1.75 / Match
Borussia M'gladbach
(5)
Eintracht Frankfurt
(0)
Hamburger SV
(3)
Paderborn
(1)(2)
RB Leipzig
(1)
Augsburg
(2)
Union Berlin
(2)
Elversberg
Goals Scored
2.5 / Match
+0%
Both Teams are equal in terms of goals scored
2.5 / Match
Borussia M'gladbach
(4)
Eintracht Frankfurt
(1)
Hamburger SV
(5)
Paderborn
(0)(2)
RB Leipzig
(2)
Augsburg
(4)
Union Berlin
(2)
Elversberg
Goals Conceded
1.5 / Match
+17%
Mainz 05 condeded +17% more goals than Bayer Leverkusen
1.25 / Match
Borussia M'gladbach
(3)
Eintracht Frankfurt
(3)
Hamburger SV
(0)
Paderborn
(0)(0)
RB Leipzig
(2)
Augsburg
(0)
Union Berlin
(3)
Elversberg
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2.5 |
| 3 |
Freiburg
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 2.5 |
| 4 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 1.75 |
| 5 |
Augsburg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 1.75 |
| 6 |
Mainz 05
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 1.75 |
| 7 |
Elversberg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 1.75 |
| 8 |
Werder Bremen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 1.75 |
| 9 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 1.5 |
| 10 |
Schalke 04
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 | 1.25 |
| 11 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 | 1.25 |
| 12 |
Paderborn
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | 1 |
| 13 |
Köln
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 | 1 |
| 14 |
Stuttgart
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | 0.75 |
| 15 |
Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 | 0.75 |
| 16 |
Hamburger SV
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 | 0.75 |
| 17 |
Union Berlin
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 | 0.25 |
| 18 |
Borussia M'gladbach
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 | 0 |
Odds
Hey there! I’m Abhishek Nandwani, one of the voices behind the content at Eagle Predict. Hailing from India's capital, Delhi, I’m not just a football fan – I’m a die-hard Manchester United supporter. With 15 years of experience in the media world, I’ve spent the past three years in the betting world, producing content. When I’m not writing about football betting, you’ll probably catch me glued to football matches and enjoying some good food. For me, Zinedine Zidane is The GOAT! Stay tuned for my reviews – they’re always packed with detailed insights!
