UEFA Nations League
Italy vs France
Thu, 12 Nov 2026 - 19:45 (UK Time)
Stadium: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Italy vs France Prediction & Stats - UEFA Nations League 2026/27
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Italy vs France carries real history into this round of the UEFA Nations League.
The two sides meet on 12/11 (Thursday) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, 19:45 (UK time).
Read the Italy vs France prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Italy vs France
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Italy vs France call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
France Win
Last updated on 09-11-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes France the side to beat, with roughly 21% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all UEFA Nations League odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Italy Preview
Italy reach this fixture 4 match into their UEFA Nations League. Here is where Italy stand:
In this competition
2 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
1.75 points per game
8 scored, at 2 a game
5 conceded, at 1.25 a game
Italy, season-wide
2 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Francesco Pio Esposito, 2 goals
Most assists: Nicolò Barella, 1 assists
Recent results — Italy
05/10/2026 14:45
02/10/2026 14:45
28/09/2026 14:45
25/09/2026 14:45
07/06/2026 15:00
France: how they are travelling
France come in 4 matches into their UEFA Nations League.
Here is what France have produced:
In this competition
3 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost
2.5 points per game
7 scored, at 1.75 a game
2 conceded, at 0.5 a game
France, season-wide
3 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Michael Olise, 4 goals
Most assists: Michael Olise, 2 assists
Recent results — France
05/10/2026 14:45
02/10/2026 14:45
28/09/2026 14:45
25/09/2026 14:45
18/07/2026 17:00
The head-to-head favours France
France have generally come out ahead of Italy in their recent meetings.
From 6 match(es):
France: 3 win(s)
Italy: 1 win(s)
Drawn: 2
That trend is worth factoring into the Italy vs France prediction.
Form comparison Italy vs France
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Italy
International - UEFA Nations League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
W
L
|
1.75 |
| Home |
W
L
|
1.5 |
| Away |
D
W
|
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 3.25 | 3 | 3.5 |
| Scored | 2 | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| Conceded | 1.25 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Without Conceding | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.71 | 1.98 | 1.44 |
|
xGA
|
1.88 | 1.83 | 1.93 |
Away Team
France
International - UEFA Nations League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
W
W
W
|
2.5 |
| Home |
D
W
|
2 |
| Away |
W
W
|
3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Goals | 2.25 | 3.5 | 1 |
| Scored | 1.75 | 2.5 | 1 |
| Conceded | 0.5 | 1 | 0 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Without Conceding | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
2.15 | 2.55 | 1.75 |
|
xGA
|
1.03 | 0.89 | 1.18 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Under 9.5 Corners
Our analysis of Italy vs France suggests there is good value in the corners market.
With low attacking activity expected from both sides, our best betting tip is under 9.5 corners. If the total stays at 9 or fewer, you will win your bet.
👉 Prediction: France win or Draw
Despite being the away side, we don’t expect France to lose this match. Our recommended bet is France to win or draw in the Double Chance market, ensuring a payout as long as they don’t lose.
France has its weaknesses, but Italy has been vulnerable, and home advantage might not be enough to keep them from losing.
Fixture information - Italy vs France
Match: Italy vs France
Competition: UEFA Nations League
Date: Thursday, 12/11/2026
Kick-off: 19:45 (UK time)
Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
More UEFA Nations League predictions
Explore the rest of our UEFA Nations League predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Italy vs France that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.75
League: 2.46
Both Teams to Score
63%
League: 46%
Over 1.5+
75%
League: 72%
Over 2.5+
38%
League: 50%
Cards
3.75
League: 4.32
Corners
9.25
League: 8.58
Home Team
Italy
International - UEFA Nations League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
W
L
|
1.75 |
| Home |
W
L
|
1.5 |
| Away |
D
W
|
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 3.25 | 3 | 3.5 |
| Scored | 2 | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| Conceded | 1.25 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Without Conceding | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.71 | 1.98 | 1.44 |
|
xGA
|
1.88 | 1.83 | 1.93 |
Away Team
France
International - UEFA Nations League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
W
W
W
|
2.5 |
| Home |
D
W
|
2 |
| Away |
W
W
|
3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Goals | 2.25 | 3.5 | 1 |
| Scored | 1.75 | 2.5 | 1 |
| Conceded | 0.5 | 1 | 0 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Without Conceding | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
2.15 | 2.55 | 1.75 |
|
xGA
|
1.03 | 0.89 | 1.18 |
Corners
10.5 / Match
+14% Corners / Match
Italy received +14% more corners than France in the UEFA Nations League
9.25 / Match
Turkey
(3)
France
(4)
Turkey
(2)
Belgium
(4)(9)
Belgium
(6)
Italy
(6)
Belgium
(3)
Turkey
Cards
2.25 / Match
+50% Cards / Match
Italy received +50% more cards than France in the UEFA Nations League
1.5 / Match
Turkey
(2)
France
(4)
Turkey
(0)
Belgium
(3)(1)
Belgium
(1)
Italy
(0)
Belgium
(3)
Turkey
Goals Scored
2 / Match
+14%
Italy is +14% better in terms of goals scored
1.75 / Match
Turkey
(3)
France
(1)
Turkey
(4)
Belgium
(0)(4)
Belgium
(1)
Italy
(1)
Belgium
(1)
Turkey
Goals Conceded
1.25 / Match
+60%
Italy condeded +60% more goals than France
0.5 / Match
Turkey
(1)
France
(1)
Turkey
(1)
Belgium
(2)(1)
Belgium
(1)
Italy
(0)
Belgium
(0)
Turkey
UEFA Nations League Standings
Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Switzerland
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 3 |
| 2 |
Slovenia
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1.75 |
| 3 |
Scotland
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | 1 |
| 4 |
North Macedonia
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | 0 |
Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Northern Ireland
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 2 |
Hungary
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1.75 |
| 3 |
Ukraine
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 | 1 |
| 4 |
Georgia
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 | 0.5 |
Group 3
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Austria
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 2 |
Ireland
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1.25 |
| 3 |
Kosovo
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 | 1.25 |
| 4 |
Israel
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 | 0.5 |
Group 4
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sweden
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 2.5 |
| 2 |
Bosnia-Herzegovina
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| 3 |
Poland
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 4 |
Romania
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 0 | 0 |
Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
France
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 2.5 |
| 2 |
Italy
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 1.75 |
| 3 |
Belgium
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.5 |
| 4 |
Turkey
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 0 | 0 |
Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Greece
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 2 |
Netherlands
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 3 |
Germany
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1.25 |
| 4 |
Serbia
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | 0 |
Group 3
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Spain
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
| 2 |
England
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2.25 |
| 3 |
Croatia
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 3 | 0.75 |
| 4 |
Czech Republic
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 0 | 0 |
Group 4
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Portugal
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
| 2 |
Denmark
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1.5 |
| 3 |
Norway
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | 0.75 |
| 4 |
Wales
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | 0.75 |
Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Albania
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 2.25 |
| 2 |
Finland
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 1.75 |
| 3 |
Belarus
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1.75 |
| 4 |
San Marino
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 16 | -15 | 0 | 0 |
Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Montenegro
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 2.5 |
| 2 |
Cyprus
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1.75 |
| 3 |
Armenia
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | 1 |
| 4 |
Latvia
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | 0.25 |
Group 3
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Slovakia
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 2.5 |
| 2 |
Faroe Islands
|
4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 3 |
Moldova
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 | 1 |
| 4 |
Kazakhstan
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2 | 0.5 |
Group 4
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Iceland
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 2 |
| 2 |
Estonia
|
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1.5 |
| 3 |
Bulgaria
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | 1 |
| 4 |
Luxembourg
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 | 0.75 |
Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Malta
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2.33 |
| 2 |
Gibraltar
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 |
Andorra
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | 0.33 |
Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Azerbaijan
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1.67 |
| 2 |
Lithuania
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 3 |
Liechtenstein
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | 0.5 |
Odds
Wilson took his first steps into the iGaming industry in 2019. He started by crafting online casino reviews for affiliate sites targeting North American audiences. Since then he has created content iGaming content that has appeared on several blogs. Wilson's interests extend beyond iGaming. He has ventured into other sectors, writing articles on cryptocurrency, technology, and sports. Notably, he has developed a strong fascination with the sporting industry, particularly football (soccer), which now occupies a significant portion of his content creation. Wilson's true talent lies in making complex concepts understandable. He combines his deep knowledge of the Sports and iGaming industries with a knack for clear explanations. This winning combination results in informative and accessible content.
