K League 1
Gwangju vs Ulsan
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 - 06:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Gwangju World Cup Stadium
Gwangju vs Ulsan Prediction & Stats - K League 1 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Gwangju vs Ulsan carries real history into this round of the K League 1.
The two sides meet on 11/10 (Sunday) at Gwangju World Cup Stadium, 06:00 (UK time).
Read the Gwangju vs Ulsan prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Gwangju vs Ulsan
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Gwangju vs Ulsan call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Under 4.5 Goals
Last updated on 09-10-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Ulsan the side to beat, with roughly 20% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all K League 1 odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Gwangju Preview
Gwangju reach this fixture 30 match into their K League 1. Here is where Gwangju stand:
In this competition
1 won, 12 drawn, 17 lost
0.5 points per game
21 scored, at 0.7 a game
63 conceded, at 2.1 a game
Gwangju, season-wide
1 won, 12 drawn, 17 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Min-seo Moon, 6 goals
Most assists: Hólmbert Aron Fridjonsson, 2 assists
Recent results — Gwangju
20/09/2026 03:30
13/09/2026 06:00
09/09/2026 06:30
06/09/2026 06:00
30/08/2026 06:30
Ulsan: how they are travelling
Ulsan come in 30 matches into their K League 1.
Here is what Tigers have produced:
In this competition
14 won, 5 drawn, 11 lost
1.57 points per game
45 scored, at 1.5 a game
40 conceded, at 1.33 a game
Tigers, season-wide
16 won, 8 drawn, 14 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Yago Cariello, 13 goals
Most assists: Dong-Kyung Lee, 10 assists
Recent results — Tigers
19/09/2026 06:00
12/09/2026 03:30
08/09/2026 06:30
05/09/2026 06:00
29/08/2026 06:30
The head-to-head favours Ulsan
Ulsan have generally come out ahead of Gwangju in their recent meetings.
From 32 match(es):
Ulsan: 17 win(s)
Gwangju: 7 win(s)
Drawn: 8
That trend is worth factoring into the Gwangju vs Ulsan prediction.
Form comparison Gwangju vs Ulsan
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Gwangju
South Korea - K League 1
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
D
L
D
L
|
0.5 |
| Home |
D
L
L
L
L
|
0.5 |
| Away |
D
D
D
D
L
|
0.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 3% | 6% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.8 | 2.69 | 2.93 |
| Scored | 0.7 | 0.75 | 0.64 |
| Conceded | 2.1 | 1.94 | 2.29 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47% | 50% | 43% |
| Without Conceding | 13% | 13% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 53% | 50% | 57% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.14 | 1.2 | 1.08 |
|
xGA
|
1.86 | 1.91 | 1.8 |
Away Team
Ulsan
South Korea - K League 1
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
W
L
W
W
|
1.57 |
| Home |
W
W
W
W
L
|
1.67 |
| Away |
D
L
D
L
L
|
1.47 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 47% | 53% | 40% |
| Goals | 2.83 | 3.27 | 2.4 |
| Scored | 1.5 | 1.73 | 1.27 |
| Conceded | 1.33 | 1.53 | 1.13 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67% | 73% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 13% | 27% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.67 | 1.81 | 1.54 |
|
xGA
|
1.65 | 1.69 | 1.61 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Double Chance - 1X
Our betting recommendation is to take Gwangju to win or draw in the Double Chance market. This means that as long as Gwangju avoids defeat, the bet is successful—an outcome we think is very likely.
With the gap in quality between the two teams clear from recent performances, along with Gwangju’s strong home record, we don’t see them losing to Ulsan in this match.
👉 Prediction: Ulsan to Win
Underestimating Ulsan would be a mistake. Despite being the away side, they have the quality and tactical discipline to pull off a win.
That’s why we’re backing Ulsan to win outright on the 1X2 market at odds of 1.73.
Fixture information - Gwangju vs Ulsan
Match: Gwangju vs Ulsan
Competition: K League 1
Date: Sunday, 11/10/2026
Kick-off: 06:00 (UK time)
Venue: Gwangju World Cup Stadium
More K League 1 predictions
Explore the rest of our K League 1 predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Gwangju vs Ulsan that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.55
League: 2.44
Both Teams to Score
55%
League: 53%
Over 1.5+
75%
League: 71%
Over 2.5+
46%
League: 45%
Cards
4.24
League: 3.98
Corners
7.65
League: 8.65
Home Team
Gwangju
South Korea - K League 1
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
D
L
D
L
|
0.5 |
| Home |
D
L
L
L
L
|
0.5 |
| Away |
D
D
D
D
L
|
0.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 3% | 6% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.8 | 2.69 | 2.93 |
| Scored | 0.7 | 0.75 | 0.64 |
| Conceded | 2.1 | 1.94 | 2.29 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47% | 50% | 43% |
| Without Conceding | 13% | 13% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 53% | 50% | 57% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.14 | 1.2 | 1.08 |
|
xGA
|
1.86 | 1.91 | 1.8 |
Away Team
Ulsan
South Korea - K League 1
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
W
L
W
W
|
1.57 |
| Home |
W
W
W
W
L
|
1.67 |
| Away |
D
L
D
L
L
|
1.47 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 47% | 53% | 40% |
| Goals | 2.83 | 3.27 | 2.4 |
| Scored | 1.5 | 1.73 | 1.27 |
| Conceded | 1.33 | 1.53 | 1.13 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67% | 73% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 13% | 27% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.67 | 1.81 | 1.54 |
|
xGA
|
1.65 | 1.69 | 1.61 |
Corners
8.3 / Match
+6% Corners / Match
Ulsan received +6% more corners than Gwangju in the K League 1
8.77 / Match
Jeonbuk Motors
(1)
Anyang
(2)
Jeju United
(4)
Sangju Sangmu
(1)
FC Seoul
(4)
Gangwon
(3)
Incheon United
(2)(8)
Anyang
(6)
Incheon United
(2)
FC Seoul
(5)
Jeju United
(5)
Sangju Sangmu
(2)
Daejeon Citizen
(4)
Jeonbuk Motors
Cards
2.27 / Match
+48% Cards / Match
Gwangju received +48% more cards than Ulsan in the K League 1
1.53 / Match
Jeonbuk Motors
(1)
Anyang
(3)
Jeju United
(1)
Sangju Sangmu
(1)
FC Seoul
(0)
Gangwon
(1)
Incheon United
(2)(3)
Anyang
(0)
Incheon United
(3)
FC Seoul
(2)
Jeju United
(1)
Sangju Sangmu
(2)
Daejeon Citizen
(3)
Jeonbuk Motors
Goals Scored
0.7 / Match
+114%
Ulsan is +114% better in terms of goals scored
1.5 / Match
Jeonbuk Motors
(2)
Anyang
(1)
Jeju United
(0)
Sangju Sangmu
(2)
FC Seoul
(2)
Gangwon
(2)
Incheon United
(0)(1)
Anyang
(2)
Incheon United
(1)
FC Seoul
(0)
Jeju United
(3)
Sangju Sangmu
(1)
Daejeon Citizen
(0)
Jeonbuk Motors
Goals Conceded
2.1 / Match
+37%
Gwangju condeded +37% more goals than Ulsan
1.33 / Match
Jeonbuk Motors
(2)
Anyang
(1)
Jeju United
(1)
Sangju Sangmu
(2)
FC Seoul
(5)
Gangwon
(2)
Incheon United
(1)(2)
Anyang
(1)
Incheon United
(0)
FC Seoul
(0)
Jeju United
(1)
Sangju Sangmu
(2)
Daejeon Citizen
(1)
Jeonbuk Motors
K League 1 Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Seoul
|
30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 56 | 25 | 31 | 62 | 2.07 |
| 2 |
Ulsan
|
30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 47 | 1.57 |
| 3 |
Jeju United
|
30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 46 | 1.53 |
| 4 |
Jeonbuk Motors
|
30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 | 1.47 |
| 5 |
Gangwon
|
30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 43 | 1.43 |
| 6 |
Daejeon Citizen
|
30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 40 | 1.33 |
| 7 |
Pohang Steelers
|
30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 40 | 1.33 |
| 8 |
Incheon United
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 39 | 1.3 |
| 9 |
Anyang
|
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 38 | 1.27 |
| 10 |
Sangju Sangmu
|
30 | 5 | 18 | 7 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 33 | 1.1 |
| 11 |
Bucheon 1995
|
30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 32 | 1.07 |
| 12 |
Gwangju
|
30 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 15 | 0.5 |
Odds
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