Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs Mariehamn
Sat, 11 Jul 2026 - 15:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Mustapekka Areena
Gnistan vs Mariehamn Prediction & Stats - Veikkausliiga 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Gnistan vs Mariehamn carries real history into this round of the Veikkausliiga.
The two sides meet on 11/07 (Saturday) at Mustapekka Areena, 15:00 (UK time).
Read the Gnistan vs Mariehamn prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Gnistan vs Mariehamn
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Gnistan vs Mariehamn call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Gnistan Win
Last updated on 09-07-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Gnistan the side to beat, with roughly 70% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Veikkausliiga odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Gnistan Preview
Gnistan reach this fixture 14 match into their Veikkausliiga. Here is where Gnistan stand:
In this competition
5 won, 4 drawn, 5 lost
1.36 points per game
19 scored, at 1.36 a game
18 conceded, at 1.29 a game
Gnistan, season-wide
5 won, 4 drawn, 5 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Adeleke Akinola Akinyemi, 5 goals
Most assists: Roman Eremenko, 3 assists
Recent results — Gnistan
04/07/2026 08:00
27/06/2026 12:00
23/06/2026 12:00
17/06/2026 14:00
13/06/2026 12:00
Mariehamn: how they are travelling
Mariehamn come in 14 matches into their Veikkausliiga.
Here is what Mariehamn have produced:
In this competition
0 won, 4 drawn, 10 lost
0.29 points per game
6 scored, at 0.43 a game
29 conceded, at 2.07 a game
Mariehamn, season-wide
0 won, 4 drawn, 10 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Sebastian Dahlström, 2 goals
Most assists: Yeboah Amankwah, 1 assists
Recent results — Mariehamn
04/07/2026 11:00
27/06/2026 10:00
23/06/2026 13:00
18/06/2026 05:59
13/06/2026 12:00
The head-to-head favours Gnistan
Recent meetings have tended to go Gnistan's way against Mariehamn.
From 11 match(es):
Gnistan: 6 win(s)
Mariehamn: 1 win(s)
Drawn: 4
It is a pattern worth weighing in the Gnistan vs Mariehamn prediction.
Form comparison Gnistan vs Mariehamn
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Gnistan
Finland - Veikkausliiga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
D
D
W
W
|
1.36 |
| Home |
D
W
W
W
W
|
1.86 |
| Away |
L
D
W
L
D
|
0.86 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 36% | 57% | 14% |
| Goals | 2.64 | 3.43 | 1.86 |
| Scored | 1.36 | 1.86 | 0.86 |
| Conceded | 1.29 | 1.57 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 43% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 14% | 43% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.36 | 1.49 | 1.22 |
|
xGA
|
1.54 | 1.48 | 1.6 |
Away Team
Mariehamn
Finland - Veikkausliiga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
L
L
L
|
0.29 |
| Home |
L
L
L
D
L
|
0.43 |
| Away |
L
L
L
L
D
|
0.14 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.5 | 2.57 | 2.43 |
| Scored | 0.43 | 0.57 | 0.29 |
| Conceded | 2.07 | 2 | 2.14 |
| Both Teams to Score | 36% | 43% | 29% |
| Without Conceding | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 64% | 57% | 71% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
0.97 | 1.04 | 0.9 |
|
xGA
|
2.17 | 2.31 | 2.03 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Gnistan to Win the First Half
We expect the half-time market to offer great value in Gnistan vs Mariehamn.
Gnistan has often started strong, particularly at home, where they dominate possession early. This makes them an excellent pick to lead at half-time.
👉 Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals
Gnistan vs Mariehamn is set up to be a tough match, and we expect it to go over 2.5 goals.
With bookmakers offering odds of 1.57 on this outcome, there’s great value in betting on three or more goals being scored, especially considering the attacking strength of both teams.
Fixture information - Gnistan vs Mariehamn
Match: Gnistan vs Mariehamn
Competition: Veikkausliiga
Date: Saturday, 11/07/2026
Kick-off: 15:00 (UK time)
Venue: Mustapekka Areena
More Veikkausliiga predictions
Explore the rest of our Veikkausliiga predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Gnistan vs Mariehamn that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.93
League: 2.69
Both Teams to Score
36%
League: 53%
Over 1.5+
79%
League: 76%
Over 2.5+
57%
League: 48%
Cards
4
League: 3.7
Corners
6.72
League: 9.73
Home Team
Gnistan
Finland - Veikkausliiga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
D
D
W
W
|
1.36 |
| Home |
D
W
W
W
W
|
1.86 |
| Away |
L
D
W
L
D
|
0.86 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 36% | 57% | 14% |
| Goals | 2.64 | 3.43 | 1.86 |
| Scored | 1.36 | 1.86 | 0.86 |
| Conceded | 1.29 | 1.57 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 43% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 14% | 43% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.36 | 1.49 | 1.22 |
|
xGA
|
1.54 | 1.48 | 1.6 |
Away Team
Mariehamn
Finland - Veikkausliiga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
L
L
L
|
0.29 |
| Home |
L
L
L
D
L
|
0.43 |
| Away |
L
L
L
L
D
|
0.14 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.5 | 2.57 | 2.43 |
| Scored | 0.43 | 0.57 | 0.29 |
| Conceded | 2.07 | 2 | 2.14 |
| Both Teams to Score | 36% | 43% | 29% |
| Without Conceding | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 64% | 57% | 71% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
0.97 | 1.04 | 0.9 |
|
xGA
|
2.17 | 2.31 | 2.03 |
Corners
10.29 / Match
+1% Corners / Match
Gnistan received +1% more corners than Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga
10.14 / Match
Lahti
(3)
VPS
(3)
Jaro
(6)
Lahti
(2)
Mariehamn
(3)
SJK
(2)
Ilves
(4)(2)
VPS
(2)
Inter Turku
(4)
HJK
(5)
Oulu
(10)
Gnistan
(1)
HJK
(4)
Jaro
Cards
2.21 / Match
+29% Cards / Match
Gnistan received +29% more cards than Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga
1.71 / Match
Lahti
(2)
VPS
(1)
Jaro
(4)
Lahti
(3)
Mariehamn
(0)
SJK
(3)
Ilves
(2)(0)
VPS
(2)
Inter Turku
(2)
HJK
(5)
Oulu
(2)
Gnistan
(4)
HJK
(2)
Jaro
Goals Scored
1.36 / Match
+216%
Gnistan is +216% better in terms of goals scored
0.43 / Match
Lahti
(0)
VPS
(1)
Jaro
(1)
Lahti
(1)
Mariehamn
(3)
SJK
(3)
Ilves
(0)(0)
VPS
(0)
Inter Turku
(0)
HJK
(1)
Oulu
(0)
Gnistan
(0)
HJK
(0)
Jaro
Goals Conceded
1.29 / Match
+38%
Mariehamn condeded +38% more goals than Gnistan
2.07 / Match
Lahti
(1)
VPS
(1)
Jaro
(1)
Lahti
(0)
Mariehamn
(0)
SJK
(2)
Ilves
(2)(4)
VPS
(2)
Inter Turku
(4)
HJK
(2)
Oulu
(3)
Gnistan
(1)
HJK
(3)
Jaro
Veikkausliiga Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
KuPS
|
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 30 | 2 |
| 2 |
Inter Turku
|
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 2 |
| 3 |
Oulu
|
14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 26 | 1.86 |
| 4 |
VPS
|
14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 | 1.71 |
| 5 |
HJK
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 22 | 1.57 |
| 6 |
Gnistan
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 | 1.36 |
| 7 |
TPS
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 | 1.36 |
| 8 |
Lahti
|
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 16 | 1.14 |
| 9 |
Ilves
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 16 | 1.07 |
| 10 |
SJK
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 | 1 |
| 11 |
Jaro
|
15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 11 | 0.73 |
| 12 |
Mariehamn
|
14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 29 | -23 | 4 | 0.29 |
Odds
Wilson took his first steps into the iGaming industry in 2019. He started by crafting online casino reviews for affiliate sites targeting North American audiences. Since then he has created content iGaming content that has appeared on several blogs. Wilson's interests extend beyond iGaming. He has ventured into other sectors, writing articles on cryptocurrency, technology, and sports. Notably, he has developed a strong fascination with the sporting industry, particularly football (soccer), which now occupies a significant portion of his content creation. Wilson's true talent lies in making complex concepts understandable. He combines his deep knowledge of the Sports and iGaming industries with a knack for clear explanations. This winning combination results in informative and accessible content.
