UEFA Nations League
Estonia vs Iceland
Tue, 06 Oct 2026 - 19:45 (UK Time)
Stadium: Sportland Arena
Estonia vs Iceland Prediction & Stats - UEFA Nations League 2026/27
Predictions
Few recent meetings between Estonia and Iceland have been settled comfortably, and that makes this UEFA Nations League tie on Tuesday (06/10) one to study closely.
It takes place at Sportland Arena, 19:45 (UK time).
Our Estonia vs {team_b_name} prediction points to where the value looks strongest.
Our verdict on Estonia vs Iceland
Value at this level takes some digging out. Having gone through the form and the numbers, here is our preferred Estonia vs Iceland prediction:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Iceland Win
Last updated on 06-10-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Iceland the side to beat, with roughly 18% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all UEFA Nations League odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Estonia Preview
Estonia reach this fixture 3 match into their UEFA Nations League. Here is where Estonia stand:
In this competition
1 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost
1.67 points per game
2 scored, at 0.67 a game
1 conceded, at 0.33 a game
Estonia, season-wide
1 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Maksim Paskotši, 1 goals
Most assists: Rasmus Peetson, 1 assists
Recent results — Estonia
03/10/2026 12:00
29/09/2026 14:45
26/09/2026 12:00
30/03/2026 13:30
27/03/2026 12:00
Iceland: how they are travelling
Iceland come in 3 matches into their UEFA Nations League.
Here is what Iceland have produced:
In this competition
2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost
2.33 points per game
7 scored, at 2.33 a game
1 conceded, at 0.33 a game
Iceland, season-wide
2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Orri Steinn Óskarsson, 3 goals
Most assists: Orri Steinn Óskarsson, 2 assists
Recent results — Iceland
03/10/2026 12:00
29/09/2026 14:45
26/09/2026 12:00
09/06/2026 21:00
31/05/2026 06:25
The head-to-head
A short sample to go on — 3 recent meeting(s) between the two:
Estonia: 0 win(s)
Iceland: 0 win(s)
Drawn: 3
With so little history, this fixture stays hard to call.
Form comparison Estonia vs Iceland
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Estonia
International - UEFA Nations League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
D
|
1.67 |
| Home |
W
|
3 |
| Away |
D
D
|
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Scored | 0.67 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Conceded | 0.33 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.17 | 1.69 | 0.91 |
|
xGA
|
1.61 | 0.98 | 1.92 |
Away Team
Iceland
International - UEFA Nations League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
W
W
|
2.33 |
| Home |
D
W
|
2 |
| Away |
W
|
3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| Goals | 2.67 | 2.5 | 3 |
| Scored | 2.33 | 2 | 3 |
| Conceded | 0.33 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Both Teams to Score | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Without Conceding | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.68 | 1.83 | 1.37 |
|
xGA
|
0.94 | 1.05 | 0.72 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Under 2.5
Estonia and Iceland have shown a preference for defensive football this season, often avoiding risky attacks.
With both teams likely to play carefully, we see under 2.5 goals as the best value bet for this match.
Fixture information - Estonia vs Iceland
Match: Estonia vs Iceland
Competition: UEFA Nations League
Date: Tuesday, 06/10/2026
Kick-off: 19:45 (UK time)
Venue: Sportland Arena
More UEFA Nations League predictions
Explore the rest of our UEFA Nations League predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Estonia vs Iceland that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
1.84
League: 2.48
Both Teams to Score
33%
League: 47%
Over 1.5+
67%
League: 73%
Over 2.5+
34%
League: 48%
Cards
4.66
League: 4.31
Corners
11.33
League: 8.37
Home Team
Estonia
International - UEFA Nations League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
D
D
|
1.67 |
| Home |
W
|
3 |
| Away |
D
D
|
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Scored | 0.67 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Conceded | 0.33 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.17 | 1.69 | 0.91 |
|
xGA
|
1.61 | 0.98 | 1.92 |
Away Team
Iceland
International - UEFA Nations League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
W
W
|
2.33 |
| Home |
D
W
|
2 |
| Away |
W
|
3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| Goals | 2.67 | 2.5 | 3 |
| Scored | 2.33 | 2 | 3 |
| Conceded | 0.33 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Both Teams to Score | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Without Conceding | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.68 | 1.83 | 1.37 |
|
xGA
|
0.94 | 1.05 | 0.72 |
Corners
10.66 / Match
+33% Corners / Match
Estonia received +33% more corners than Iceland in the UEFA Nations League
8 / Match
Luxembourg
(7)
Bulgaria
(6)
Iceland
(3)(9)
Bulgaria
(2)
Luxembourg
(7)
Estonia
Cards
2.33 / Match
+0% Cards / Match
Both Teams are equal in terms of cards
2.33 / Match
Luxembourg
(3)
Bulgaria
(2)
Iceland
(2)(2)
Bulgaria
(4)
Luxembourg
(1)
Estonia
Goals Scored
0.67 / Match
+248%
Iceland is +248% better in terms of goals scored
2.33 / Match
Luxembourg
(1)
Bulgaria
(0)
Iceland
(1)(3)
Bulgaria
(3)
Luxembourg
(1)
Estonia
Goals Conceded
0.33 / Match
+0%
Both Teams are equal in terms of goals conceded
0.33 / Match
Luxembourg
(0)
Bulgaria
(0)
Iceland
(1)(0)
Bulgaria
(0)
Luxembourg
(1)
Estonia
UEFA Nations League Standings
Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Switzerland
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
| 2 |
Slovenia
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 3 |
Scotland
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 4 |
North Macedonia
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 | 0 |
Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Northern Ireland
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2.33 |
| 2 |
Hungary
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 3 |
Ukraine
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 4 |
Georgia
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | 0.33 |
Group 3
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Austria
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 2 |
Ireland
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1.25 |
| 3 |
Kosovo
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 | 1.25 |
| 4 |
Israel
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 | 0.5 |
Group 4
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sweden
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2.33 |
| 2 |
Bosnia-Herzegovina
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1.67 |
| 3 |
Poland
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 4 |
Romania
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 | 0 |
Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Finland
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 2.33 |
| 2 |
Albania
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 3 |
Belarus
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 4 |
San Marino
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | -14 | 0 | 0 |
Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Montenegro
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 2 |
Cyprus
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 3 |
Armenia
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 |
Latvia
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | 0.33 |
Group 3
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Slovakia
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 2.33 |
| 2 |
Moldova
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 3 |
Faroe Islands
|
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 |
Kazakhstan
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | 0.33 |
Group 4
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Iceland
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2.33 |
| 2 |
Estonia
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1.67 |
| 3 |
Luxembourg
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 |
Bulgaria
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | 0.33 |
Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
France
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2.33 |
| 2 |
Belgium
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 3 |
Italy
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 4 |
Turkey
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 0 | 0 |
Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Greece
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 2 |
Netherlands
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 3 |
Germany
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1.25 |
| 4 |
Serbia
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | 0 |
Group 3
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Spain
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| 2 |
England
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 |
| 3 |
Croatia
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 |
Czech Republic
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | 0 |
Group 4
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Portugal
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
| 2 |
Denmark
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1.5 |
| 3 |
Norway
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | 0.75 |
| 4 |
Wales
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | 0.75 |
Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Malta
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2.33 |
| 2 |
Gibraltar
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 |
Andorra
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | 0.33 |
Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Azerbaijan
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1.67 |
| 2 |
Lithuania
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 3 |
Liechtenstein
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | 0.5 |
Odds
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