Championship
Derby County vs Birmingham City
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 - 12:30 (UK Time)
Stadium: Pride Park Stadium
Derby County vs Birmingham City Prediction & Stats - Championship 2026/27
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Derby County vs Birmingham City carries real history into this round of the Championship.
The two sides meet on 12/09 (Saturday) at Pride Park Stadium, 12:30 (UK time).
Read the Derby County vs Birmingham City prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Derby County vs Birmingham City
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Derby County vs Birmingham City call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
Last updated on 10-09-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Birmingham City the side to beat, with roughly 29% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Championship odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Derby County Preview
Derby County reach this fixture 5 match into their Championship. Here is where The Rams stand:
In this competition
1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
0.8 points per game
5 scored, at 1 a game
10 conceded, at 2 a game
The Rams, season-wide
1 won, 1 drawn, 5 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Samuel Szmodics, 2 goals
Most assists: Bobby Clark, 2 assists
Recent results — Derby County
09/09/2026 14:45
05/09/2026 10:00
01/09/2026 14:45
29/08/2026 07:30
22/08/2026 10:00
Birmingham City: how they are travelling
Birmingham City come in 5 matches into their Championship.
Here is what The Blues have produced:
In this competition
1 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost
1.4 points per game
7 scored, at 1.4 a game
6 conceded, at 1.2 a game
The Blues, season-wide
2 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Phil Neumann, 2 goals
Most assists: Patrick Roberts, 2 assists
Recent results — The Blues
09/09/2026 14:45
06/09/2026 07:00
01/09/2026 15:00
28/08/2026 15:00
25/08/2026 15:00
The head-to-head favours Derby County
Recent meetings have tended to go Derby County's way against Birmingham City.
From 28 match(es):
Derby County: 11 win(s)
Birmingham City: 6 win(s)
Drawn: 11
It is a pattern worth weighing in the Derby County vs Birmingham City prediction.
Form comparison Derby County vs Birmingham City
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Derby County
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
L
D
|
0.67 |
| Home |
L
L
D
|
0.33 |
| Away |
L
W
L
|
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Goals | 2.67 | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 0.83 | 0.67 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.83 | 2 | 1.67 |
| Both Teams to Score | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Without Conceding | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.31 | 1.54 | 1.08 |
|
xGA
|
1.77 | 1.64 | 1.89 |
Away Team
Birmingham City
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
D
D
W
D
|
1.17 |
| Home |
D
D
D
|
1 |
| Away |
L
W
D
|
1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Goals | 2.67 | 3.33 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.39 | 1.52 | 1.26 |
|
xGA
|
1.23 | 1.34 | 1.13 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Double Chance - 1X
Our betting recommendation is to take Derby County to win or draw in the Double Chance market. This means that as long as Derby County avoids defeat, the bet is successful—an outcome we think is very likely.
With the gap in quality between the two teams clear from recent performances, along with Derby County’s strong home record, we don’t see them losing to Birmingham City in this match.
👉 Prediction: Derby County to Win
Expect a hard-fought battle in Derby County vs Birmingham City, but we’re backing Derby County to take home the three points.
Their strong home record at Pride Park Stadium makes them the safer pick, and we expect them to use their home-field advantage to claim all three points.
Fixture information - Derby County vs Birmingham City
Match: Derby County vs Birmingham City
Competition: Championship
Date: Saturday, 12/09/2026
Kick-off: 12:30 (UK time)
Venue: Pride Park Stadium
More Championship predictions
Explore the rest of our Championship predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Derby County vs Birmingham City that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.34
League: 2.83
Both Teams to Score
50%
League: 68%
Over 1.5+
67%
League: 83%
Over 2.5+
67%
League: 64%
Cards
4
League: 3.75
Corners
14.67
League: 10.67
Home Team
Derby County
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
L
W
L
D
|
0.67 |
| Home |
L
L
D
|
0.33 |
| Away |
L
W
L
|
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Goals | 2.67 | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 0.83 | 0.67 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.83 | 2 | 1.67 |
| Both Teams to Score | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Without Conceding | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.31 | 1.54 | 1.08 |
|
xGA
|
1.77 | 1.64 | 1.89 |
Away Team
Birmingham City
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
D
D
W
D
|
1.17 |
| Home |
D
D
D
|
1 |
| Away |
L
W
D
|
1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Goals | 2.67 | 3.33 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.39 | 1.52 | 1.26 |
|
xGA
|
1.23 | 1.34 | 1.13 |
Corners
12 / Match
+16% Corners / Match
Derby County received +16% more corners than Birmingham City in the Championship
10.33 / Match
West Bromwich Albion
(11)
West Ham
(6)
Portsmouth
(2)
Swansea City
(5)
Cardiff City
(7)
Charlton Athletic
(4)(7)
Norwich City
(8)
Wolverhampton
(3)
Southampton
(6)
Wrexham
(7)
Bristol City
(8)
Sheffield United
Cards
2.5 / Match
+37% Cards / Match
Derby County received +37% more cards than Birmingham City in the Championship
1.83 / Match
West Bromwich Albion
(0)
West Ham
(2)
Portsmouth
(2)
Swansea City
(3)
Cardiff City
(5)
Charlton Athletic
(3)(2)
Norwich City
(2)
Wolverhampton
(3)
Southampton
(2)
Wrexham
(2)
Bristol City
(0)
Sheffield United
Goals Scored
0.83 / Match
+60%
Birmingham City is +60% better in terms of goals scored
1.33 / Match
West Bromwich Albion
(0)
West Ham
(0)
Portsmouth
(2)
Swansea City
(0)
Cardiff City
(2)
Charlton Athletic
(1)(1)
Norwich City
(2)
Wolverhampton
(1)
Southampton
(2)
Wrexham
(2)
Bristol City
(0)
Sheffield United
Goals Conceded
1.83 / Match
+27%
Derby County condeded +27% more goals than Birmingham City
1.33 / Match
West Bromwich Albion
(1)
West Ham
(3)
Portsmouth
(0)
Swansea City
(3)
Cardiff City
(2)
Charlton Athletic
(2)(2)
Norwich City
(2)
Wolverhampton
(1)
Southampton
(1)
Wrexham
(2)
Bristol City
(0)
Sheffield United
Championship Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
West Bromwich Albion
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 2.17 |
| 2 |
Southampton
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 1.83 |
| 3 |
West Ham
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 1.83 |
| 4 |
Swansea City
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 1.83 |
| 5 |
Queens Park Rangers
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 1.83 |
| 6 |
Charlton Athletic
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 11 | 1.83 |
| 7 |
Middlesbrough
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 8 |
Bristol City
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
| 9 |
Millwall
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| 10 |
Norwich City
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 1.5 |
| 11 |
Sheffield United
|
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 1.5 |
| 12 |
Wolverhampton
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 13 |
Watford
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 | 1.33 |
| 14 |
Wrexham
|
6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 1.17 |
| 15 |
Birmingham City
|
6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 1.17 |
| 16 |
Stoke City
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 7 | 1.17 |
| 17 |
Portsmouth
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| 18 |
Lincoln City
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 | 1 |
| 19 |
Blackburn Rovers
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | 0.83 |
| 20 |
Cardiff City
|
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 | 0.67 |
| 21 |
Derby County
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 | 0.67 |
| 22 |
Bolton Wanderers
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 | 0.67 |
| 23 |
Preston North End
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3 | 0.5 |
| 24 |
Burnley
|
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 | 0.5 |
Odds
Wilson took his first steps into the iGaming industry in 2019. He started by crafting online casino reviews for affiliate sites targeting North American audiences. Since then he has created content iGaming content that has appeared on several blogs. Wilson's interests extend beyond iGaming. He has ventured into other sectors, writing articles on cryptocurrency, technology, and sports. Notably, he has developed a strong fascination with the sporting industry, particularly football (soccer), which now occupies a significant portion of his content creation. Wilson's true talent lies in making complex concepts understandable. He combines his deep knowledge of the Sports and iGaming industries with a knack for clear explanations. This winning combination results in informative and accessible content.
