Primera División
Danubio vs Nacional
Sat, 11 Jul 2026 - 19:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
Danubio vs Nacional Prediction & Stats - Primera División 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Danubio vs Nacional carries real history into this round of the Primera División.
The two sides meet on 11/07 (Saturday) at Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, 19:00 (UK time).
Read the Danubio vs Nacional prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Danubio vs Nacional
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Danubio vs Nacional call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Nacional Win
Last updated on 10-07-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Nacional the side to beat, with roughly 23% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Primera División odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Danubio Preview
Danubio reach this fixture 19 match into their Primera División. Here is where La Franja stand:
In this competition
4 won, 8 drawn, 7 lost
1.05 points per game
20 scored, at 1.05 a game
27 conceded, at 1.42 a game
La Franja, season-wide
4 won, 8 drawn, 7 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Sebastián Bruno Fernández Miglierina, 4 goals
Most assists: Maicol Sebastián Ferreira Soppi, 4 assists
Recent results — Danubio
05/07/2026 13:00
05/06/2026 18:00
30/05/2026 14:00
18/05/2026 17:30
09/05/2026 14:30
Nacional: how they are travelling
Nacional come in 19 matches into their Primera División.
Here is what Nacional have produced:
In this competition
10 won, 1 drawn, 8 lost
1.63 points per game
31 scored, at 1.63 a game
26 conceded, at 1.37 a game
Nacional, season-wide
12 won, 3 drawn, 10 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Maxi Gómez, 11 goals
Most assists: Christian Gabriel Oliva Giménez, 2 assists
Recent results — Nacional
06/06/2026 17:30
31/05/2026 17:30
26/05/2026 20:30
23/05/2026 17:30
20/05/2026 18:00
The head-to-head favours Nacional
Nacional have generally come out ahead of La Franja in their recent meetings.
From 31 match(es):
Nacional: 15 win(s)
Danubio: 12 win(s)
Drawn: 4
That trend is worth factoring into the Danubio vs Nacional prediction.
Form comparison Danubio vs Nacional
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Danubio
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
D
L
L
L
|
1.05 |
| Home |
D
L
L
D
D
|
1.22 |
| Away |
D
L
L
W
D
|
0.9 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 21% | 22% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.47 | 2.33 | 2.6 |
| Scored | 1.05 | 1.33 | 0.8 |
| Conceded | 1.42 | 1 | 1.8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 67% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 21% | 22% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 22% | 40% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.27 | 1.51 | 1.06 |
|
xGA
|
1.4 | 1.28 | 1.51 |
Away Team
Nacional
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
L
W
W
|
1.63 |
| Home |
L
W
W
W
L
|
1.78 |
| Away |
L
W
L
W
L
|
1.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 53% | 56% | 50% |
| Goals | 3 | 2.22 | 3.7 |
| Scored | 1.63 | 1.56 | 1.7 |
| Conceded | 1.37 | 0.67 | 2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 33% | 80% |
| Without Conceding | 26% | 44% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 22% | 10% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.54 | 1.67 | 1.42 |
|
xGA
|
1.04 | 0.84 | 1.23 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Over 2.5
Our analysis shows that this match is likely to see many goals.
After reviewing Danubio and Nacional’s recent performances, we predict this game will exceed 2.5 total goals. Both teams boast some of the strongest attacks in Primera División, which makes this a strong betting option.
Fixture information - Danubio vs Nacional
Match: Danubio vs Nacional
Competition: Primera División
Date: Saturday, 11/07/2026
Kick-off: 19:00 (UK time)
Venue: Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
More Primera División predictions
Explore the rest of our Primera División predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Los de la Curva vs Nacional that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
3.02
League: 2.45
Both Teams to Score
74%
League: 53%
Over 1.5+
84%
League: 68%
Over 2.5+
62%
League: 47%
Cards
5.06
League: 6.3
Corners
10.72
League: 8.75
Home Team
Danubio
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
D
D
L
L
L
|
1.05 |
| Home |
D
L
L
D
D
|
1.22 |
| Away |
D
L
L
W
D
|
0.9 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 21% | 22% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.47 | 2.33 | 2.6 |
| Scored | 1.05 | 1.33 | 0.8 |
| Conceded | 1.42 | 1 | 1.8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 67% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 21% | 22% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 22% | 40% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.27 | 1.51 | 1.06 |
|
xGA
|
1.4 | 1.28 | 1.51 |
Away Team
Nacional
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
W
L
W
W
|
1.63 |
| Home |
L
W
W
W
L
|
1.78 |
| Away |
L
W
L
W
L
|
1.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 53% | 56% | 50% |
| Goals | 3 | 2.22 | 3.7 |
| Scored | 1.63 | 1.56 | 1.7 |
| Conceded | 1.37 | 0.67 | 2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 33% | 80% |
| Without Conceding | 26% | 44% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 22% | 10% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.54 | 1.67 | 1.42 |
|
xGA
|
1.04 | 0.84 | 1.23 |
Corners
8.16 / Match
+10% Corners / Match
Nacional received +10% more corners than Danubio in the Primera División
9 / Match
Juventud
(10)
Wanderers
(8)
Progreso
(3)
Deportivo Maldonado
(1)
Albion
(4)
Liverpool FC Montevideo
(4)
Nacional
(3)(4)
Juventud
(7)
Deportivo Maldonado
(13)
Albion
(7)
Torque
(5)
Cerro
(9)
Albion
(10)
Danubio
Cards
2.42 / Match
+24% Cards / Match
Nacional received +24% more cards than Danubio in the Primera División
3 / Match
Juventud
(2)
Wanderers
(1)
Progreso
(2)
Deportivo Maldonado
(2)
Albion
(5)
Liverpool FC Montevideo
(0)
Nacional
(3)(5)
Juventud
(3)
Deportivo Maldonado
(4)
Albion
(2)
Torque
(1)
Cerro
(2)
Albion
(4)
Danubio
Goals Scored
1.05 / Match
+55%
Nacional is +55% better in terms of goals scored
1.63 / Match
Juventud
(1)
Wanderers
(0)
Progreso
(1)
Deportivo Maldonado
(1)
Albion
(0)
Liverpool FC Montevideo
(0)
Nacional
(2)(2)
Juventud
(0)
Deportivo Maldonado
(1)
Albion
(2)
Torque
(4)
Cerro
(2)
Albion
(1)
Danubio
Goals Conceded
1.42 / Match
+4%
Danubio condeded +4% more goals than Nacional
1.37 / Match
Juventud
(1)
Wanderers
(0)
Progreso
(2)
Deportivo Maldonado
(3)
Albion
(1)
Liverpool FC Montevideo
(3)
Nacional
(1)(1)
Juventud
(3)
Deportivo Maldonado
(0)
Albion
(1)
Torque
(0)
Cerro
(3)
Albion
(2)
Danubio
Primera División Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 2.17 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Maldonado
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 2.17 |
| 3 |
Peñarol
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 4 |
Torque
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
| 5 |
Liverpool FC Montevideo
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 6 |
Central Español
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 7 |
Nacional
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 8 |
Defensor Sporting
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 9 |
Wanderers
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 10 |
Danubio
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 11 |
Cerro Largo
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | 1 |
| 12 |
Albion
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | 0.83 |
| 13 |
Progreso
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 | 0.83 |
| 14 |
Boston River
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 | 0.33 |
| 15 |
Cerro
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | 0.33 |
| 16 |
Juventud
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | 0.25 |
Odds
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Racing
Peñarol
Central Español
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Boston River