Primera División
Danubio vs Cerro Largo
Sun, 04 Oct 2026 - 14:00 (UK Time)
Stadium: Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
Danubio vs Cerro Largo Prediction & Stats - Primera División 2026
Predictions
Another instalment of a long-running fixture. Danubio vs Cerro Largo carries real history into this round of the Primera División.
The two sides meet on 04/10 (Sunday) at Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, 14:00 (UK time).
Read the Danubio vs Cerro Largo prediction below before backing anything.
Our verdict on Danubio vs Cerro Largo
A deep head-to-head record gives this fixture a story, and that context feeds directly into our thinking. This is the Danubio vs Cerro Largo call we are most confident in:
Eagle Predict Prediction
Double Chance: Draw or Cerro Largo
Last updated on 01-10-2026.
Who do the bookmakers favour?
The market makes Danubio the side to beat, with roughly 43% of the implied odds in their favour.
For the wider picture, compare all Primera División odds and the rest of the round's fixtures before you settle on a bet.
Danubio Preview
Danubio reach this fixture 30 match into their Primera División. Here is where La Franja stand:
In this competition
4 won, 14 drawn, 12 lost
0.87 points per game
24 scored, at 0.8 a game
39 conceded, at 1.3 a game
La Franja, season-wide
4 won, 14 drawn, 12 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Sebastián Bruno Fernández Miglierina, 5 goals
Most assists: Maicol Sebastián Ferreira Soppi, 4 assists
Recent results — Danubio
27/09/2026 17:00
20/09/2026 12:00
13/09/2026 12:00
05/09/2026 14:00
29/08/2026 10:00
Cerro Largo: how they are travelling
Cerro Largo come in 30 matches into their Primera División.
Here is what Arachán have produced:
In this competition
8 won, 9 drawn, 13 lost
1.1 points per game
28 scored, at 0.93 a game
34 conceded, at 1.13 a game
Arachán, season-wide
8 won, 9 drawn, 13 lost across all competitions
Leading scorer: Axel Michele Pandiani, 7 goals
Most assists: Alberto Sebastián Assis Silva, 2 assists
Recent results — Arachán
26/09/2026 14:00
19/09/2026 17:30
12/09/2026 19:00
04/09/2026 18:00
30/08/2026 18:00
The head-to-head favours Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo have generally come out ahead of La Franja in their recent meetings.
From 18 match(es):
Cerro Largo: 8 win(s)
Danubio: 2 win(s)
Drawn: 8
That trend is worth factoring into the Danubio vs Cerro Largo prediction.
Form comparison Danubio vs Cerro Largo
A side-by-side look at how both teams are performing right now, to set the context for your bets:
Home Team
Danubio
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
D
D
L
L
|
0.87 |
| Home |
D
L
D
L
D
|
1 |
| Away |
L
D
L
D
D
|
0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 13% | 14% | 13% |
| Goals | 2.1 | 2 | 2.19 |
| Scored | 0.8 | 0.93 | 0.69 |
| Conceded | 1.3 | 1.07 | 1.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47% | 50% | 44% |
| Without Conceding | 23% | 29% | 19% |
| Failed To Score | 47% | 43% | 50% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.29 | 1.49 | 1.13 |
|
xGA
|
1.34 | 1.26 | 1.41 |
Away Team
Cerro Largo
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
L
D
L
|
1.1 |
| Home |
W
L
D
D
D
|
1.2 |
| Away |
L
L
D
L
W
|
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| Goals | 2.07 | 2.2 | 1.93 |
| Scored | 0.93 | 1.2 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.13 | 1 | 1.27 |
| Both Teams to Score | 40% | 53% | 27% |
| Without Conceding | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 27% | 53% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.28 | 1.28 | 1.28 |
|
xGA
|
1.57 | 1.5 | 1.64 |
Further markets to consider
Beyond the main tip at the top of the page, two more selections stand out for this match-up:
👉 Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals
If you’re expecting lots of goals in Danubio vs Cerro Largo, you might want to reconsider.
Neither side has shown enough attacking quality to upset their opponent’s defense consistently, which is why we predict this match to stay under 2.5 goals.
👉 Prediction: Danubio to Win the First Half
With Danubio coming into this match in great form and holding the home advantage against Cerro Largo, we see good value in backing them to win the first half.
Since the odds for a full-time win may not be as rewarding, the half-time bet can be a good alternative.
Fixture information - Danubio vs Cerro Largo
Match: Danubio vs Cerro Largo
Competition: Primera División
Date: Sunday, 04/10/2026
Kick-off: 14:00 (UK time)
Venue: Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
More Primera División predictions
Explore the rest of our Primera División predictions and keep up with the analysis round by round.
Stats
The statistics for Los de la Curva vs Cerro Largo that you will find on this page should help you make well-informed decisions for placing your bets.
Goal Average
2.09
League: 2.37
Both Teams to Score
44%
League: 51%
Over 1.5+
65%
League: 67%
Over 2.5+
34%
League: 44%
Cards
5.37
League: 5.88
Corners
8.4
League: 9.02
Home Team
Danubio
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
L
D
D
L
L
|
0.87 |
| Home |
D
L
D
L
D
|
1 |
| Away |
L
D
L
D
D
|
0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 13% | 14% | 13% |
| Goals | 2.1 | 2 | 2.19 |
| Scored | 0.8 | 0.93 | 0.69 |
| Conceded | 1.3 | 1.07 | 1.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47% | 50% | 44% |
| Without Conceding | 23% | 29% | 19% |
| Failed To Score | 47% | 43% | 50% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.29 | 1.49 | 1.13 |
|
xGA
|
1.34 | 1.26 | 1.41 |
Away Team
Cerro Largo
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall |
W
L
L
D
L
|
1.1 |
| Home |
W
L
D
D
D
|
1.2 |
| Away |
L
L
D
L
W
|
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| Goals | 2.07 | 2.2 | 1.93 |
| Scored | 0.93 | 1.2 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.13 | 1 | 1.27 |
| Both Teams to Score | 40% | 53% | 27% |
| Without Conceding | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 27% | 53% |
| first to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.28 | 1.28 | 1.28 |
|
xGA
|
1.57 | 1.5 | 1.64 |
Corners
8.96 / Match
+3% Corners / Match
Danubio received +3% more corners than Cerro Largo in the Primera División
8.7 / Match
Defensor Sporting
(7)
Wanderers
(3)
Juventud
(8)
Peñarol
(7)
Progreso
(6)
Racing
(7)
Boston River
(3)(6)
Nacional
(6)
Deportivo Maldonado
(8)
Central Español
(5)
Torque
(2)
Liverpool FC Montevideo
(1)
Defensor Sporting
(4)
Wanderers
Cards
2.5 / Match
+15% Cards / Match
Cerro Largo received +15% more cards than Danubio in the Primera División
2.87 / Match
Defensor Sporting
(3)
Wanderers
(2)
Juventud
(2)
Peñarol
(0)
Progreso
(4)
Racing
(3)
Boston River
(3)(2)
Nacional
(3)
Deportivo Maldonado
(1)
Central Español
(3)
Torque
(4)
Liverpool FC Montevideo
(3)
Defensor Sporting
(5)
Wanderers
Goals Scored
0.8 / Match
+16%
Cerro Largo is +16% better in terms of goals scored
0.93 / Match
Defensor Sporting
(0)
Wanderers
(1)
Juventud
(1)
Peñarol
(0)
Progreso
(0)
Racing
(0)
Boston River
(0)(0)
Nacional
(0)
Deportivo Maldonado
(0)
Central Español
(1)
Torque
(1)
Liverpool FC Montevideo
(1)
Defensor Sporting
(1)
Wanderers
Goals Conceded
1.3 / Match
+13%
Danubio condeded +13% more goals than Cerro Largo
1.13 / Match
Defensor Sporting
(1)
Wanderers
(1)
Juventud
(1)
Peñarol
(4)
Progreso
(1)
Racing
(0)
Boston River
(0)(2)
Nacional
(2)
Deportivo Maldonado
(0)
Central Español
(2)
Torque
(1)
Liverpool FC Montevideo
(1)
Defensor Sporting
(1)
Wanderers
Primera División Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 2.17 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Maldonado
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 2.17 |
| 3 |
Torque
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
| 4 |
Peñarol
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 5 |
Liverpool FC Montevideo
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| 6 |
Central Español
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 7 |
Nacional
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 8 |
Defensor Sporting
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 9 |
Wanderers
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 10 |
Danubio
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| 11 |
Cerro Largo
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | 1 |
| 12 |
Albion
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | 0.83 |
| 13 |
Progreso
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 | 0.83 |
| 14 |
Boston River
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 | 0.33 |
| 15 |
Cerro
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | 0.33 |
| 16 |
Juventud
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | 0.25 |
Odds
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